TD/TS Gamma Recon Discussion

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:31 pm

RECON just reported winds near 49 knots, that would be 34.3 knots in the surface, a tropical storm.
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#22 Postby Blown Away » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:35 pm

What ever it is it's moving NW and will come onshore very soon in Central Nicaragua and will travel over land for a while. Bottom line alot of rain for Nicaragua and unlikely it will develop much when it moves off land in a few days. IMO

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html
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#23 Postby Damar91 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:39 pm

Matt, I was just going to say that. It looks like it will stay plenty off shore. To my untrained eye, of course. Latest model runs look awfully familiar howver.
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#24 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:44 pm

By the way, the NHC statement time is 4:25 PM EDT, but it's still, 3:44 PM EDT here in Miami.
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#25 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:53 pm

so there are winds to support a TD then?
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#26 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:55 pm

mike815 wrote:so there are winds to support a TD then?

But no surface circulation. Its not a TD
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#27 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:55 pm

mike815 wrote:so there are winds to support a TD then?


There are winds to support a TS, but no circulation found so there is no tropical cyclone. If it develops a LLC, then it will go up to Gamma.
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#28 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:56 pm

mike815 wrote:so there are winds to support a TD then?


I heard there was winds to support 35 knots=tropical storm. It appears to have a cirulation. But the nhc thinks theres not enough westly winds.
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#29 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 3:56 pm

oh ok i gotcha no llc the winds are there just not the LLC. I get it.
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#30 Postby Blown Away » Thu Nov 17, 2005 4:01 pm

Where did they find those winds? Was it near the naked swirl about to move onshore near central Nicaragua or near the blob of clouds to the N.
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#31 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 4:06 pm

yeah im wondering the same thing.
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#32 Postby P.K. » Thu Nov 17, 2005 4:12 pm

The strongest winds were found around 17.41N 85.46W.
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#33 Postby Blown Away » Thu Nov 17, 2005 4:16 pm

P.K. wrote:The strongest winds were found around 17.41N 85.46W.


So about 120 miles E of Belize!
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#34 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Nov 17, 2005 4:58 pm

Any new RECON reports? Has the plane gone back to the base? Also, will there be any new missions scheduled?
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#35 Postby P.K. » Thu Nov 17, 2005 5:01 pm

They have finished the mission and are returning to base. Next recon is due tomorrow at the same time.
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#36 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 18, 2005 7:03 am

Takeoff at 10:00 AM EST.
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#37 Postby mike815 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 7:25 am

Thank u when will they arive in the area?
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#38 Postby P.K. » Fri Nov 18, 2005 8:28 am

17:00GMT (12:00 your time I guess)
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#39 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Nov 18, 2005 8:44 am

so 12.00 noon US time?
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#40 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Nov 18, 2005 8:45 am

cycloneye wrote:Takeoff at 10:00 AM EST.
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