UNOFFICIAL..Gamma #5; weak/moderate TS; south of Florida?

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ncweatherwizard
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UNOFFICIAL..Gamma #5; weak/moderate TS; south of Florida?

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:30 pm

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 5:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... gamma.html

A lot of uncertainty exists--first about the current condition of the low-level center, and second about the potential interaction between Gamma's low and the frontal boundary to the north. For now, I made a compromise and keep the center south of Florida, but most of the nasty weather will occur north of the center anyway as the system becomes extratropical while entering the Atlantic.

Scott

Track graphic coming soon.
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mike815
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#2 Postby mike815 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:46 pm

Yeah wilma like track i think.
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ncweatherwizard
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#3 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:51 pm

Track graphic now available, but it's rather useless to focus on the line of the center--I'll stress repeatedly that the majority of bad weather will occur north of the center.
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