AccWx time!

[DESTRUCTION5]

Monday starts the wild week. The jet stream will take an unusual dip south and pick up Gamma. By Monday afternoon, Gamma will be racing along the northern Cuba coast and by evening will slam into South Florida with heavy rains and tropical-storm-force winds. On that track, places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale will have winds gusting up to 60 mph and rainfall of 4-6 inches. The AccuWeather.com Meteorologists want to stress that while the track of Gamma is close to Wilma, the impact of Gamma on South Florida should not be as severe as Wilma, but nevertheless, winds up to 60 mph can cause damage and power outages.

[mike815]

Thats not to bad by accuweather. Cant go agenst that to much.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Thats not to bad by accuweather. Cant go agenst that to much.

All I can say is if power does go out FPL better Get R Done by Thurs..

[wzrgirl1]

turkey on the barbie........yummmmmmmm

[mike815]

Yes i cant wait to through it on the barbie. That would be terrible especially how cold it will be.

[fci]

Looks more and more like they have missed Gamma to the north.
Latest says it will be well south of S. Fla.

[mike815]

not well south but yes south i guess it looks like that.

[Vandora]

Let's not forget: It's a cone, not a line. As of now, SFL is still in the cone.

That said, let's push that cone off of FL.

[mike815]

lol right.

[terpfan]

turkey on the barbie........yummmmmmmm

Turkey on the barbie can be done....just have to google and print instructions b/f you lose power!

[HurricaneQueen]

Wow, I can't believe how bullish they are on Gamma and S. FL. Of course, this came out before the latest model runs. Nevertheless, I hope they are 100% WRONG!

One good point and also one I hope we have all learned by now, most of S. FL. is still in the cone but my gut (for what it is worth) says this will wimp out due to the hostile environment. As pointed out on another thread, this may not even be a TS anymore.

My biggest concern is the interaction of the cold front and the low and possible tornadic activity taking down power lines. Heavy rains, if any, will play havoc with many roofs and weakened trees and poles. So wimpy Gamma or not, the potential does exists for some damage to already weakened infrastructures.

Lynn

[mike815]

right there still is but its slipping away.

[Rainband]

shifts further south with each advisory.

[mike815]

It sure does.

[Forecaster Colby]

My forecast for today (NOT storm2k endorced, nor official):

Tropical Storm Gamma strengthened a bit last night...but since then, the center re-formed farther away from the convection, and shear continues to rise. The center is drifting NNW, but convection is moving rapidly northeastward. The system is kept a 35kt Tropical Storm for this advisory, but that may be generous.

The track forecast shows the system moving north-northwest until dissipation...and the remnant low should continue north and then northeast. Models continue to show a strong nor'easter forming over the atlantic in about 96 hours, and the remnants of Gamma are expected to fuel the system. The forecast takes the remnant over extreme shouthern Florida, a bit north of the model consensus. They should then be absorbed by a large baroclinic low over the open atlantic.

The intensity forecast has been revised greatly downward due to the extremely high shears and badly displaced center...and dissipation is forecast within 24 hours. I will wait for this afternoon's recon to downgrade to a Tropical Depression...but it may ever have dissipated by then.

Initial: 16.5N 86.5W 35kt
12 Hour: 17.0N 87.0W 30kt...dissipating
24 Hour: 17.5N 87.0W 25kt...remnant low
48 Hour: 18.0N 86.5W 25kt...remnant low
72 Hour: 20.5N 86.0W 20kt...remnant low
96 Hour: 25.0N 84.0W 25kt...being absorbed
120 Hour: Absorbed by baroclinic low

[jlauderdal]

Thats not to bad by accuweather. Cant go agenst that to much.

I will go against them and say that they are overdoing the effects of gamma on broward and dade by alot.

[mike815]

yeah SPC though thinks severe weather is possible mon. could be interesting.

[vacanechaser]

looks like a michelle track in 2001... november storm as well..



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Downdraft]

Monday starts the wild week. The jet stream will take an unusual dip south and pick up Gamma. By Monday afternoon, Gamma will be racing along the northern Cuba coast and by evening will slam into South Florida with heavy rains and tropical-storm-force winds. On that track, places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale will have winds gusting up to 60 mph and rainfall of 4-6 inches. The AccuWeather.com Meteorologists want to stress that while the track of Gamma is close to Wilma, the impact of Gamma on South Florida should not be as severe as Wilma, but nevertheless, winds up to 60 mph can cause damage and power outages.

And today is Sunday and it's 3:20 PM EST and I'm looking at the sat pics and reading the discussions. Hmmm and Accuweather wants to replace the NHC huh? Winds up to 60 mph and power outages? Interesting very interesting.

[Forecaster Colby]

Monday starts the wild week. The jet stream will take an unusual dip south and pick up Gamma. By Monday afternoon, Gamma will be racing along the northern Cuba coast and by evening will slam into South Florida with heavy rains and tropical-storm-force winds. On that track, places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale will have winds gusting up to 60 mph and rainfall of 4-6 inches. The AccuWeather.com Meteorologists want to stress that while the track of Gamma is close to Wilma, the impact of Gamma on South Florida should not be as severe as Wilma, but nevertheless, winds up to 60 mph can cause damage and power outages.

And today is Sunday and it's 3:20 PM EST and I'm looking at the sat pics and reading the discussions. Hmmm and Accuweather wants to replace the NHC huh? Winds up to 60 mph and power outages? Interesting very interesting.

The NHC got it wrong too