95L C Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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95L C Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:03 am

Image

In central atlantic.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Nov 23, 2005 1:49 pm, edited 23 times in total.
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:06 am

Now this I wasn't expecting . . .
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#3 Postby WindRunner » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:08 am

Slightly clearer picture being from GOES:

Image

Also (in filename) has it at 30kts.
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#4 Postby krysof » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:12 am

WindRunner wrote:Slightly clearer picture being from GOES:

Image

Also (in filename) has it at 30kts.



looks subtropical or hybrid
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:15 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL952005) ON 20051120 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051120 1200 051121 0000 051121 1200 051122 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 28.0N 44.8W 29.7N 41.4W 32.0N 39.0W 34.8N 38.8W
BAMM 28.0N 44.8W 29.0N 42.1W 30.6N 39.9W 32.6N 39.0W
A98E 28.0N 44.8W 29.7N 42.5W 30.9N 40.3W 32.5N 39.1W
LBAR 28.0N 44.8W 29.6N 42.2W 31.0N 39.5W 32.7N 37.2W
SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 37KTS 42KTS
DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 37KTS 42KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051122 1200 051123 1200 051124 1200 051125 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 37.1N 41.1W 35.9N 48.1W 28.9N 50.2W 20.4N 49.8W
BAMM 34.3N 40.5W 32.4N 47.0W 24.6N 50.1W 17.4N 49.8W
A98E 32.9N 42.1W 31.1N 46.6W 24.7N 46.7W 17.1N 41.0W
LBAR 34.0N 35.9W 35.6N 35.3W 36.1N 39.0W 33.8N 43.1W
SHIP 47KTS 53KTS 44KTS 29KTS
DSHP 47KTS 53KTS 44KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.0N LONCUR = 44.8W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 26.7N LONM12 = 46.7W DIRM12 = 70DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 27.0N LONM24 = 48.0W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 150NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

First model plots for 95L.If it develops it looks like a subtropical system.
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#6 Postby krysof » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:17 am

cycloneye wrote: TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL952005) ON 20051120 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051120 1200 051121 0000 051121 1200 051122 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 28.0N 44.8W 29.7N 41.4W 32.0N 39.0W 34.8N 38.8W
BAMM 28.0N 44.8W 29.0N 42.1W 30.6N 39.9W 32.6N 39.0W
A98E 28.0N 44.8W 29.7N 42.5W 30.9N 40.3W 32.5N 39.1W
LBAR 28.0N 44.8W 29.6N 42.2W 31.0N 39.5W 32.7N 37.2W
SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 37KTS 42KTS
DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 37KTS 42KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051122 1200 051123 1200 051124 1200 051125 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 37.1N 41.1W 35.9N 48.1W 28.9N 50.2W 20.4N 49.8W
BAMM 34.3N 40.5W 32.4N 47.0W 24.6N 50.1W 17.4N 49.8W
A98E 32.9N 42.1W 31.1N 46.6W 24.7N 46.7W 17.1N 41.0W
LBAR 34.0N 35.9W 35.6N 35.3W 36.1N 39.0W 33.8N 43.1W
SHIP 47KTS 53KTS 44KTS 29KTS
DSHP 47KTS 53KTS 44KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.0N LONCUR = 44.8W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 26.7N LONM12 = 46.7W DIRM12 = 70DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 27.0N LONM24 = 48.0W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 150NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


First model plots for 95L.If it develops it looks like a subtropical system.


But it will get a name.
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#7 Postby P.K. » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:24 am

This is the one that was mentioned in the TWO for a while but isn't now?
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#8 Postby WindRunner » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:32 am

P.K. wrote:This is the one that was mentioned in the TWO for a while but isn't now?


I think so, it's just 15E and a little more north than a couple of days ago. Maybe another NE Atlantic storm :?: :roll:
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:35 am

WindRunner wrote:
P.K. wrote:This is the one that was mentioned in the TWO for a while but isn't now?


I think so, it's just 15E and a little more north than a couple of days ago. Maybe another NE Atlantic storm :?: :roll:


Yes that's a new low pressure much more NE than where the TWO was mentioning a few days ago.That old low is still there 23n-57w but much less defined than a few days ago.
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 20, 2005 8:43 am

FARTHER E...A
STRENGTHENING UPPER LOW IS LOCATED OVER THE CNTRL ATLC NEAR
28N44W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 13N56W. UPPER DIVERGENCE E
OF THE LOW ALONG AN UPPER RIDGE NEAR 38W HAS INDUCED THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 28N46W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 18N-32N BETWEEN 36W-44W.

From discussion at 7 AM EST.CLearly this is not pure tropical if it develops.
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#11 Postby WindRunner » Sun Nov 20, 2005 9:26 am

Extremely interesting model plots, certainly looks like it could undergo a full transition if it develops and follows that path.

Image
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#12 Postby Forecaster Colby » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:18 am

Since when does ANYTHING follow that track? The models are still high.
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#13 Postby WindRunner » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:21 am

Forecaster Colby wrote:Since when does ANYTHING follow that track? The models are still high.


I think I'll wait until we have a run or two before saying anything, but it's not often that ALL the models will call the same crazy track unless it's not really that crazy at all.
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#14 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:22 am

HERE COMES DELTA!
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#15 Postby Forecaster Colby » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:29 am

*commits suicide* How in the hell are we having a constant string of storms in NOVEMBER!?!?
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#16 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:41 am

WindRunner wrote:Extremely interesting model plots, certainly looks like it could undergo a full transition if it develops and follows that path.

Image
:crazyeyes: :jump:
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#17 Postby jusforsean » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:43 am

Oh My God just when i was ready to continue on with my life and bamm here comes another one to track!!!! This is a crazy track this should be good, hopefully it will stay out to sea or at least avoid land at all cost the worst part id that we are so far out that it will be forever until we know for sure
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#18 Postby Forecaster Colby » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:48 am

Wait...the LBAR agrees with stuff??
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:52 am

Image
Last edited by HURAKAN on Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#20 Postby WindRunner » Sun Nov 20, 2005 10:53 am




Oh boy :wink:
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