POST HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS HERE.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
850 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-131200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
850 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT GENERALLY
NORTHEAST OF A GAINESVILLE...MCKINNEY...EMORY LINE...AS AN UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE REGION. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS WILL BE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF A PARIS TO
CAMERON LINE SUNDAY...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES
SUNDAY NIGHT.

THIS SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY OVER
ALL BUT THE WESTERN COUNTIES...AND GENERALLY EAST OF A BOWIE TO
CORSICANA TO HEARNE LINE MONDAY NIGHT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTH TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF A BONHAM TO CORSICANA TO
KILLEEN LINE DURING THE DAY.

BEHIND TUESDAYS COLD FRONT...MUCH DRIER AIR AND STRONG NORTH WINDS
WILL INCREASED THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF
THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
855 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005

.UPDATE...
CONVECTION STILL HAVING A HARD TIME DEVELOPING OVER NORTH TEXAS.
WATER VAPOR SHOWS MAIN TROUGH AXIS HAS PASSED OVER THE REGION.  RUC
AND ETA BOTH KEEP POPS OVER THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS THRU
12Z TOMORROW MORNING AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES ALONG THE RED RIVER.
POPS WERE DRASTICALLY REDUCED OVERNIGHT TO ONLY CHANCE ALONG THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CWA...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
BACK TOWARDS THE METROPLEX.  NO OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE.  /13

&&

.AVIATION...
541 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005
TRICKY FCST REGARDING TSRA BTWN 00Z-08Z THIS EVE AS MAIN S/W HAS
EJECTED OVR CENTRAL PLAINS WITH DRYLINE TROF ORIENTED FROM JUST W
OF KGLE...TO KXBP (JUST W OF KLUD)...TO NEAR KMKN. BEST MSTR CVNG
IS RIGHT ALONG RED RIVER VALLEY INTO SERN OK...SO KEPT MNTN OUT OF
ALL TAFS...BUT MNTR FOR AMENDS AS NEEDED FOR ANY CB/S. ALSO...COORD
WITH CWSU IS AN AGREEMENT THAT DRYLINE WILL STAY JUST W/NW OF
TRACON TAF SITES WITH SLY FLOW 8-13 KTS...VEERING AND WEAKENING
S/SWLY ARND 5 KTS TOWARD 12Z SAT. SO WITH PLENTIFUL LOW LVL
MSTR...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES...LGTR SFC-BL FLO...SOME MVFR RADIATION
FOG VALUES PSBL AHD OF DRY LINE/CD FNT. XPCT SOME TEMPO IFR VSBYS AT
KACT 11Z-14Z. BY 18Z SAT...CD FNT WITH N/NELY WNDS 11-17 KTS XPCTD
DFW AREA TAFS...WITH FNT SQUEEKING INTO KACT WITH LGT WSWLY FLO 5-8
KTS...BECMG NELY 5-7 KTS BY/AFTER 21Z SAT. FOR NOW...LEFT OUT
TSRA/SHRA KACT VCNTY UNTIL BETTER CONFIDENCE IS HAD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005/

DISCUSSION...
ONCE AGAIN...THE UPPER LOW IS SITUATED WELL TO THE NORTH OF NORTH
TEXAS AND WE ARE LEFT WITH WHATEVER ACTIVITY CAN FORM SOUTHWARD
FROM THE MAIN SYSTEM. AND AS HAS BEEN THE NORM IN THE RECENT
PAST...VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE PRECIP THAT WE WILL SEE WILL BE EAST
OF INTERSTATE 35...WITH THE BULK NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

CONVECTION SHOULD BEGIN FORMING FAIRLY SOON TO OUR NORTH...THEN
BEGIN TO BUILD SOUTHWARD DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS THE DRY LINE
PUSHES SLOWLY EAST. COVERAGE WILL BE SPARSE IN THE I-35 CORRIDOR
BUT SHOULD BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES INTO EAST TEXAS LATER
TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS AND STALL SUNDAY BUT
RETURN FLOW WILL OCCUR QUICKLY IN ANTICIPATION OF THE NEXT AND
STRONGER SYSTEM LATE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALSO
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH WITH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK DRY. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WE SHOULD SEE
TEMPS IN THE 30S OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE REGION.

[jhamps10]

000
FXUS63 KPAH 140937 CCA
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
317 AM CST MON NOV 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
06Z SFC MAP SHOWED DEVELOPING WARM FRONT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION.
THE FRONT EXTENDED EAST ACROSS NRN MISSISSIPPI AND INTO SE
TENNESSEE. RADAR SHOWED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE WARM FRONT. ON
SATELLITE...LARGE AREA OF LOW TO MID CLOUDS MOVG BACK NORTH INTO OUR
FA. RADAR VWP`S AND BLOOMFIELD PROFILER SHOWED SW FLOW ABOVE 4K
FEET...SO EXPECT THE ADVECTION OF CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH TO CONTINUE.
SHORT RANGE MODELS PREDICT THE WARM FRONT WILL SURGE NORTH AND INTO
OUR FA BY THE END OF THE DAY. WILL CARRY INCREASING CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TODAY AS A RESULT.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND H3 UPR AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED A STRONG JET CORE
PUNCHING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE
SUNDAY EVENING. THUS AMPLIFICATION OF THE LONG WAVE PATTERN ACROSS
NOAM IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE. THIS WILL RESULT IN LEE CYCLOGENESIS
THIS AFTN AND EVENING OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. OVERNIGHT...THE
LOW WILL PUSH EAST AND REACH WRN MISSOURI BY 12Z TUE. THIS SHOULD
HELP TO STALL THE FRONT SOMEWHAT ACROSS OUR FA TONIGHT. THE PRESENCE
OF THE FRONT...AND SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVG OVHD IN THE MID
TROP...MEANS WE WILL CARRY CATEGORICAL POPS TONIGHT FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

THE AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...DUE TO INCREASING WIND FIELDS...RESULTANT SHEAR NEAR
THE WARM FRONT...AND NORTHWARD ADVECTING INSTABILITY.

VERY ACTIVE WEATHER DAY POSSIBLE TUESDAY. THE SFC LOW OVER WRN MO TUE
MORNING WILL DEEPEN AND EJECT RAPIDLY NE INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION
BY TUE EVENING. TRAILING STRONG COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY. THIS SETUP HAS MANY
SIMILARITIES TO THE ONE THAT RESULTED IN THE SVR WX / TORNADO
OUTBREAK LAST SAT NIGHT AND EARLY SUN MORNING. THE ENTIRE AREA IS
OUTLOOKED IN A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.

THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO DEPART OUR EASTERN COUNTIES EARLY TUE
EVENING. STRONG CAA AND DRYING EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO FOLLOW...AND TAKE UP RESIDENCE
OVER A LARGE PART OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES MID TO LATE WEEK.
THIS FAIRLY COLD CORE HIGH WILL RESULT IN MUCH COOLER TEMPS AND LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. LOWERED OUR TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WED THRU FRI...AND
SFC DEW POINTS AS WELL.

GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE MAV IN THE SHORT TERM FOR BOTH TEMPS AND POPS.
MET WAS ADEQUATELY CLOSE AT TIMES. FWC APPEARS TOO COOL THROUGH
TUE...AND TOO WARM TUE NIGHT.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
400 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-152200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
400 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING AND
BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO LOCATIONS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST
OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR.  SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG EAST
OF A LINE FROM BONHAM...TO CORSICANA...TO HEARNE...AND PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.

BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED.  SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH.  WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST FOR THE AREA THAT IS NORTH OF I-20 AND WEST OF
I-35 WHERE WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH.  A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS...EXCEPT FOR THE AREA ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM PALESTINE...TO MARLIN...TO CAMERON.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
THEREFORE A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM BONHAM...TO DALLAS...TO CLEBURNE...TO
GATESVILLE.

LASTLY...THE FIRST WIDESPREAD FREEZE OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM COOPER...TO
GREENVILLE...TO PLANO...TO ARLINGTON...TO GATESVILLE...WHERE A
FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL BE OVER NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
MONDAY...AND THEREFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
VERY LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED EAST OF A BONHAM TO
HEARNE LINE LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
400 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-161100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
400 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...FOR THOSE AREAS WEST OF A SHERMAN...WEATHERFORD...GLEN
ROSE...GOLDTHWAITE LINE. RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE ACTIONS THIS EVENING
TO PROTECT ANIMALS AND COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
FREEZING CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AGAIN THURSDAY MORNING...ACROSS ALL
BUT EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.

OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
406 AM CST WED NOV 16 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-171015-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
406 AM CST WED NOV 16 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO FREEZING OR BELOW TONIGHT OVER ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS. FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE REGION...THIS WILL
BE THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON AND A FREEZE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
250 PM CST MON NOV 21 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
250 PM CST MON NOV 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE`LL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY...
WITH CHANCE LINGERING INTO THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK...AS
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AFFECT THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...IT
IS TOO EARLY TO ASSESS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

[dougjp]

Didn't really know where to put this, apologies if here isn't it.

Relates to the gale affecting much of the north east, and wind speeds. 140 Kph is 89 MPH.

Halifax Metro and Halifax County West
4:47 AM AST Tuesday 22 November 2005
Wind warning for
Halifax Metro and Halifax County West continued

This is a warning that damaging winds are forecast in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.

An intensifying low pressure system will approach the region from the southwest tonight and will lie over northwest New Brunswick by this evening. Strong southeasterly winds gusting to 100 km/h will begin over western Nova Scotia this afternoon then spread eastward. The southeast winds are expected to reach 140 km/h this evening over northern Inverness county.

The rain with this system has already begun over southwest regions and will spread northeast during the day. Rainfall amounts of 50 to 70 millimetres are expected for much of mainland Nova Scotia with the exception of northern regions where lesser amounts are expected.

The public is also advised that rough surf and higher than normal water levels are expected along southwestern coastal sections of Nova Scotia beginning this afternoon.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
450 AM CST WED NOV 23 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-241100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
450 AM CST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED THREAT OF WILD FIRES TODAY AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S AND LOWER 80S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT.  RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET
DUE TO WIND SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND REGION-WIDE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. LIMITED
INSTABILITY AND LACK OF STRONG SURFACE CONVERGENCE SHOULD KEEP
STORMS BELOW SEVERE LIMITS

A MUCH STRONGER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENHANCED DUE TO INCREASED FORCING AND
DEEPER MOISTURE.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY IN THE COMING
DAYS AND THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREATS WILL BE BETTER DEFINED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
153 PM CST WED NOV 23 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-241200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
153 PM CST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES...ALONG WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT SOUTH OF WACO AND PALESTINE...WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING SOUTH OF A
GOLDTHWAITE...HILLSBORO...ATHENS LINE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN
SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 DURING THIS TIME...AS THE FIRST DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER
SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED WITH THIS FIRST
SYSTEM DUE COOL SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LACK OF INSTABILITY OVER
THE AREA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE ASSOCIATED DRY LINE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE TOWARD CENTRAL TEXAS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING TO THE EAST OF THIS FEATURE IN AN AREA OF BETTER MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY. AS STRONG LIFT AND SHEAR INCREASE WITH THE APPROACH
OF THE UPPER LOW...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS EASTERN
SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS WILL INCREASE. THE SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED
VERY CLOSELY AS THE COMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND APPROACHES...AS SOME
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS ON WHERE INITIATION WILL OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
905 PM CST WED NOV 23 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-241200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
905 PM CST WED NOV 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT NORTH TEXAS AFTER
THANKSGIVING DAY. THE FIRST WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE FRIDAY AND SPREADING OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED WITH THIS FIRST SYSTEM DUE COOL SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
LACK OF INSTABILITY OVER THE AREA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A DRY LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD
CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING TO THE EAST. THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
510 AM CST THU NOV 24 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-241200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
510 AM CST THU NOV 24 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TODAY. AN APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
LATE TONIGHT TO THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...
GENERALLY SOUTHWEST OF A JACKSBORO...HILLSBORO...TO CENTERVILLE LINE.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
WILL PRESENT A HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.  STORMS WILL BE
MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WHERE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE THE
MOST FAVORABLE. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DOWNBURST
WINDS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL...BUT ALL STORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT AND BRING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION.

A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES ON SUNDAY AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTION OF NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  A
LIMITING FACTOR TO STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE A CAP OF WARM AIR IN
LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER...IF STORMS DO MANAGE TO
FORM THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS AND SOME HAIL. THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY WILL
CONTINUE TO BE ASSESSED IN LATER FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS.

FINALLY...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE REGION FROM
THE WEST. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 AM CST THU NOV 24 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-251200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
1110 AM CST THU NOV 24 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.  STORMS WILL BE
MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WHERE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE THE
MOST FAVORABLE. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DOWNBURST
WINDS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL...BUT ALL STORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT AND BRING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION.

FINALLY...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1045 AM CST THU NOV 24 2005

.UPDATE...
DENSE CIRRUS CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
TODAY AND BE PRIMARILY RESPONSIBLE FOR HOLDING TEMPS WELL BELOW
YESTERDAY/S RECORD LEVELS.  WILL UPDATE THE FIRST PERIOD FORECAST TO
SHOW MORE CLOUDS AND HAVE MADE OTHER MINOR CHANGES TO
TEMP/DEWPOINT/WIND GRIDS.

FOR TONIGHT HAVE REMOVED THE CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTH AS
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL INITIALLY RESULT IN ONLY INCREASED CLOUD COVER.
HAVE ALSO MADE CHANGES MAINLY TO INDICATE PRIMARILY RAIN AND ISO
THUNDER AS OPPOSED TO SHRA/TSRA FOR THE EVENT EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY.  FINALLY...REMOVED LOW POPS AND MENTION OF SEVERE FROM
HWO ON SUNDAY AS UPPER LOW WILL TRACK TOO FAR NORTH AND DRY SLOT OUR
AREA.

TR/92

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.  CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM EJECTS EASTWARD FROM BAJA.  AT THE
SURFACE...A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND TURN THE
WIND TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING AND EAST BY THIS AFTERNOON. AN
EASTERLY WIND WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER TRANSLATES EASTWARD ACROSS TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY. WIND SPEEDS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 12 KNOTS.  RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
JUST BEYOND THE TAF VALID TIME.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
450 AM

A VERY QUIET THANKSGIVING MORNING IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS...WITH A THICK DECK OF CIRRUS SEEN SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA
FROM THE WEST.  MEANWHILE...AN ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTINUES TO SPREAD
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES AREA...WITH THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS AIRMASS EXPECTED TO BACKDOOR ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA LATER TODAY.  THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS...WEAK COLD ADVECTION IN THE LOW-LEVELS...AND UPSLOPE
COMPONENT TO BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR A COOLER DAY ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS...WITH THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHEAST
HALF OF THE AREA.

CLOUD DECKS WILL CONTINUE TO THICKEN AND LOWER THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...COURTESY OF LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC ASCENT
WHICH WILL BE INDUCED AS A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH NEAR BAJA MOVES
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO LATER TODAY.  MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT ON HANDLING THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS FEATURE...AS IT
IS PROGGED TO ASSUME A NEGATIVE TILT AND ACCELERATE AS IT MOVES
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS FROM LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  ISENTROPIC
ASCENT PROGS SUGGESTS THAT AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA BEGINNING ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...EXPECT THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WHERE LINEAR FORCING WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS ON
FRIDAY NIGHT.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA AS WELL...WITH STRONGER MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND DEEPER VERTICAL MOTION SUPPORTING MORE VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS
IN THIS REGION.  THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY DEAMPLIFY AND EJECT TO THE
EAST ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AS UPSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OCCURS ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN REGION AND CENTRAL ROCKIES.

GUIDANCE FROM THE GFSLR HAS NOW COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE
ECMWF ON DEPICTING A NORTHERN TRACK TO THE STRONGER UPSTREAM
SYSTEM...WHICH WILL BE EMERGING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY
EVENING.  IN LIGHT OF THIS NEW DATA...IT APPEARS THAT MUCH OF NORTH
TEXAS WILL REMAIN STRONGLY CAPPED AS THE DRYLINE SURGES EASTWARD ON
SUNDAY.  THUS...HAVE DECIDED TO SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE POPS ACROSS THE
AREA AND HAVE ONLY LEFT SLIGHT CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN ZONES.  HOWEVER...GIVEN STRENGTH OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY...THERE WILL STILL BE A CONDITIONAL RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH ANY SUSTAINED CONVECTION THAT MAY DEVELOP ON SUNDAY.
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF UPPER VORTS MOVING THROUGH LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN U.S. WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY
NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING...AND HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT POPS FOR THIS
FEATURE.  OTHERWISE...DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED
FOR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

[TexasStooge]

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NORTH TEXAS WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 AM CST TUE THU 24 2005


HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUED TO DRIFT ACROSS TEXAS THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER BAJA APPROACHED THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES SO
FAR THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN IN THE UPPER 40S OVER THE PANHANDLE...MID
TO UPPER 50S ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND MID 60S OVER NORTHEAST
TEXAS.  EXTREMES INCLUDED 70S DEGREES IN STEPHENVILLE...AND 48
DEGREES IN AMARILLO.  WINDS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY CALM.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...A WELL DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
AFFECTING MOST OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND NORTHEAST THIS
MORNING.  THIS DISTURBANCE BROUGHT WINTRY CONDITIONS ON THIS
THANKSGIVING WITH  COLD TEMPERATURES AND SNOW.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
420 AM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
420 AM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND A LIFTING WARM FRONT...COUPLED
WITH ENERGY FROM AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...WILL BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF A
COMANCHE...HILLSBORO...TO ATHENS LINE. BETTER MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL
INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AREAS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL PRESENT A HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

A MORE POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A STRONG
AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND TO ALL OF NORTH TEXAS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EXTREME EASTERN AREAS.  ALTHOUGH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE LOW...IF ANY STORMS DO MANAGE TO
FORM...THEY WILL BE FAST MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS.  THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST OF THE REGION
SUNDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
320 PM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND A LIFTING WARM FRONT...COUPLED
WITH ENERGY FROM AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...WILL BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF A
COMANCHE...HILLSBORO...TO ATHENS LINE. BETTER MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL
INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AREAS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL PRESENT A HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

A MORE POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A STRONG
AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND TO ALL OF NORTH TEXAS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EXTREME EASTERN AREAS.  ALTHOUGH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE LOW...IF ANY STORMS DO MANAGE TO
FORM...THEY WILL BE FAST MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS.  THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST OF THE REGION
SUNDAY EVENING.

HUMIDITY VALUES BE LOW BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM.  THIS...COUPLED
WITH STRONG WINDS...WILL BRING AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO NORTH
TEXAS...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
430 PM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
430 PM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND A LIFTING WARM FRONT...COUPLED
WITH ENERGY FROM AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...WILL
INCREASE THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY TO THE SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 20. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL PRESENT A HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PUSH A PACIFIC COLD FRONT
RAPIDLY ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EASTERN AREAS OF NORTH TEXAS.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE LOW...IF ANY STORMS DO MANAGE
TO FORM...THEY WILL BE FAST MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS.

BEHIND THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE LOW AND WILL SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE STRONG.  THIS WILL
BRING AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO NORTH TEXAS...AND A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF A LINE
FROM BONHAM TO TEMPLE ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
832 PM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-270245-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
832 PM CST FRI NOV 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND A LIFTING WARM FRONT...COUPLED
WITH ENERGY FROM AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...WILL
INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LATER TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. SOME OF THE STORMS TO THE SOUTH
OF A GOLDTHWAITE...ATHENS LINE COULD BECOME STRONG AFTER 400 AM...AND
COULD CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AT DAYBREAK SATURDAY...MAINLY SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 20. THROUGH NOON...SOME OF THE STORMS TO THE SOUTH
OF A GOLDTHWAITE...ATHENS LINE COULD BECOME STRONG...AND COULD
CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PUSH A PACIFIC COLD FRONT
RAPIDLY ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EASTERN AREAS OF NORTH TEXAS.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE LOW...IF ANY STORMS DO MANAGE
TO FORM...THEY WILL BE FAST MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS.

BEHIND THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE LOW AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE STRONG. THIS WILL BRING
AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO NORTH TEXAS...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF A LINE FROM
BONHAM TO TEMPLE ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SOUTH OF A
GOLDTHWAITE...ATHENS LINE AFTER 400 AM SATURDAY.

[TexasStooge]

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CST SAT NOV 26 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-271200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
335 PM CST SAT NOV 26 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
ON SUNDAY...A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS WILL PUSH
BOTH A DRYLINE AND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT RAPIDLY ACROSS THE REGION.
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING ABOVE 30 MPH...BECOMING
SOUTHWESTERLY...AND THEN WESTERLY ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
PERSONS WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION.
STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE A
VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. A RED FLAG WARNING AND A WIND ADVISORY HAVE
BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS WEST OF A BONHAM TO WAXAHACHIE TO TEMPLE LINE.
IN ADDITION...THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE FAR EASTERN AREAS OF NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE LOW...IF ANY STORMS DO MANAGE
TO FORM THEY WILL BE FAST MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING EAST OF A BONHAM TO WAXAHACHIE TO TEMPLE LINE.