TS Delta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#141 Postby **P.K.** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 2:23 pm

Wow, just saw this on the UKww forum. :eek:

Dvorak isn't that high though.
27/1800 UTC 28.2N 30.7W T2.5/3.0 DELTA -- Atlantic Ocean

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #142 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 2:33 pm

cycloneye wrote:TROPICAL STORM DELTA (AL282005) ON 20051127 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051127 1800 051128 0600 051128 1800 051129 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 28.3N 29.7W 30.0N 23.0W 29.9N 13.0W 31.8N 1.1W
BAMM 28.3N 29.7W 29.6N 25.2W 29.0N 18.6W 28.8N 9.4W
A98E 28.3N 29.7W 30.6N 25.4W 31.2N 19.8W 31.7N 12.0W
LBAR 28.3N 29.7W 30.0N 24.8W 30.2N 17.9W 30.2N 8.7W
SHIP 60KTS 58KTS 49KTS 38KTS
DSHP 60KTS 58KTS 49KTS 38KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051129 1800 051130 1800 051201 1800 051202 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 36.1N 9.8E 40.0N 32.5E 33.5N 47.8E 27.5N 57.6E
BAMM 31.9N .4W 40.3N 9.8E 46.5N 16.0E 49.5N 21.5E
A98E 31.9N 5.9W 30.8N 3.5W 30.5N .7E 33.6N 12.8E
LBAR 33.6N 1.3E .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 28KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.3N LONCUR = 29.7W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 23KT
LATM12 = 25.0N LONM12 = 33.8W DIRM12 = 46DEG SPDM12 = 22KT
LATM24 = 22.7N LONM24 = 37.2W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 982MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 450NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 120NM

Oh my almost a hurricane 60kts.Tremendous comeback.

60 kts!!! HOLY SMOKES!!! A HURRICANE INTO AFRICA MAYBE! :eek:

DoctorHurricane2003 · #143 Postby **DoctorHurricane2003** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 2:48 pm

Um...wow

That's baroclinic interaction for ya.

WindRunner · #144 Postby **WindRunner** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 2:53 pm

ET transition definately underway . . . but can it make to a hurricane for the record books?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #145 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 6:14 pm

Come on Delta become a hurricane!!!

#146 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 6:31 pm

The NHC should make it a hurricane in their final analysis.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #147 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 6:36 pm

I have a hard time believeing that one buoy to the north reported 60 knot winds. In they believe that there is not at least 65 to 70 knot winds in the storm?

superfly · #148 Postby **superfly** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 6:38 pm

This is no hurricane. Give me a break.

Website · #149 Postby **Brent** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 6:59 pm

superfly wrote:This is no hurricane. Give me a break.

I agree... it doesn't look like a hurricane.

whereverwx · #150 Postby **whereverwx** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 7:28 pm

Maybe we have another broken record.

WindRunner · #151 Postby **WindRunner** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 8:57 pm

And so it goes . . . no hurricane with this one, folks.

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM DELTA (AL282005) ON 20051128 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051128 0000 051128 1200 051129 0000 051129 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.1N 27.4W 30.7N 19.2W 31.5N 7.9W 34.4N 4.1E
BAMM 29.1N 27.4W 30.5N 21.4W 30.6N 13.1W 32.4N 4.0W
A98E 29.1N 27.4W 30.3N 22.2W 31.3N 15.1W 32.4N 6.8W
LBAR 29.1N 27.4W 30.4N 21.3W 30.5N 13.1W 32.1N 3.0W
SHIP 55KTS 46KTS 36KTS 25KTS
DSHP 55KTS 46KTS 36KTS 25KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051130 0000 051201 0000 051202 0000 051203 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 38.4N 15.9E 40.7N 37.9E 34.1N 51.0E 28.1N 56.2E
BAMM 35.6N 3.5E 42.9N 14.8E 47.5N 18.7E 51.0N 19.5E
A98E 33.4N 2.5E 33.5N 11.9E 39.3N 25.6E 44.8N 45.7E
LBAR .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.1N LONCUR = 27.4W DIRCUR = 65DEG SPDCUR = 23KT
LATM12 = 26.7N LONM12 = 32.0W DIRM12 = 47DEG SPDM12 = 25KT
LATM24 = 23.6N LONM24 = 35.6W
WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 60KT
CENPRS = 984MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 120NM

#152 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 9:01 pm

Calamity wrote:Maybe we have another broken record.

Anything that you say about this season has a 90% of being a record!!!!

aerojad · #153 Postby **aerojad** » Sun Nov 27, 2005 10:36 pm

And for the season that has everything, why not a landfalling tropical system on the African continent?

Granted the chances are the storm will no longer be tropical by the time it reaches the shores of Morocco, it looks like it'll try and take a run at that record anyhow.

Satellite + track

#154 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 12:35 am

DELTA REACHING THE CANARY ISLANDS:

#155 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 2:55 am

28/0545 UTC 29.6N 24.9W T2.5/2.5 DELTA -- Atlantic Ocean

#156 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 6:58 am

OK...it's not often you read these words "DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE
IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON A MOSTLY EASTWARD TRACK INTO
MOROCCO..."

Might be a while before you see them again.

#157 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 7:41 am

28/1200 UTC 30.3N 21.6W EXTRATROPICAL DELTA -- Atlantic Ocean

It has made the full transition.

#158 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 7:42 am

cycloneye wrote:28/1200 UTC 30.3N 21.6W EXTRATROPICAL DELTA -- Atlantic Ocean

It has made the full transition.

It's back to its original state!

#159 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 7:50 am

Air Force Met wrote:OK...it's not often you read these words "DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE
IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON A MOSTLY EASTWARD TRACK INTO
MOROCCO..."

Might be a while before you see them again.

Yes AFM.Who had ever thought that we would see a track like that in our lifetime.

#160 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Nov 28, 2005 8:09 am

Delta force in the Canaries

The regional government has declared a state of alert in the Canary Islands as tropical storm Delta (the 25th of the season) heads towards the archipelago.

The emergency services and civil protection are on stand-by and inhabitants are keeping a weather eye on the lowering skies as they prepare to batten down the hatches after meteorologists predicted wind speeds of between 75 and 100 kmh in the uplands of Tenerife and La Palma, possibly reaching 150 kmh or more on the summit of Mount Teide, this afternoon or evening (November 28).
Rain will accompany Delta and the islands could see precipitations in the order of 50 litres over the 12 hour period the storm is expected to take to pass.
First to feel the force will be little El Hierro, the most westerly of all the Canary Islands, where schools were closed today in anticipation of wild weather problems.
The island authority, El Hierro’s Cabildo, has been closely tracking the somewhat erratic path of the storm since the US National Center for Hurricanes alerted them last Friday to the possibility of a hit by Delta.
People all over the archipelago, most especially the more westerly isles, are being advised not to make unnecessary journeys and with the heavy seas it to be hoped that tourists heed barricades and red flags and regard beaches and breakwaters as strictly no-go areas.

http://www.tenerifenews.com/cms/front_c ... idart=2982

TS Delta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Delta force in the Canaries

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