wxcrazytwo wrote:
Remember the GOM got hit hard, but the east coast fromJackonsville on up saw nothing come close to their shores. I doubt a major cane in NYC, but lower in the south. Just watch..
More than likely something will hit the East Coast. But they've been hit a lot of times before and the damage totals have always been the same. 3-6 billion dollars. Floyd, Isabel, Fran are the classic examples in the last 10 years alone. Other storms do less, Dennis, Bertha, Bonnie, Ophelia, Alex. There were all hurricanes at landfall. The first set were Cat 2s or 3s with pressures in the 950s, 960s. It would take 10 storms of Cat 2-3 strength hitting the NC coastline to cause Katrina's damage. Somehow, I doubt that's going to happen.
Even a Cat 4+ to NC or SC would not cause damage on the order of Katrina. I wonder if it would cause damage like Ivan, Charley or Wilma. There just isn't that much to destroy... granted there is some, but the plethora of examples proves that there isn't that much, to destroy along the immediate VA, NC, SC coasts.