Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0243 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2005
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM / NRN AND WRN TX / CENTRAL
   AND SW OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTH FL /
   PORTIONS OF FAR SRN AL / SRN GA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS REMAINS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SERN STATES
   DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE. DURING THE DAY...PRESSURES WILL LOWER ACROSS
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AS A ZONAL UPPER JET SHIFTS SEWD ACROSS AZ AND
   NM...RESULTING IN STRONG WINDS AND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS. HIGH
   PRESSURE AND PERSISTENT LOW RH OVER THE SERN STATES WILL ALSO RESULT
   IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHERE FUELS ARE RELATIVELY DRY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM / NRN AND WRN TX / CENTRAL
   AND SW OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH
   
   WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE AND WILL PEAK DURING THE
   AFTERNOON HOURS. SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
   35-45 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER ERN NM AND INTO WRN TX WHILE RH DROPS INTO
   THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE. FARTHER E INTO OK AND N TX...WINDS WILL BE
   MORE SLY IN DIRECTION...BUT STILL STRONG AT 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE AS LOW IN THESE
   AREAS DUE TO AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...MIN
   RH VALUES OF 25-35 PERCENT WILL BE LOW ENOUGH TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS
   FIRE CONDITIONS WHEN COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY DRY FUELS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTH FL /
   PORTIONS OF FAR SRN AL / SRN GA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH ALONG WITH HIGH KBDI
   VALUES
   
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE CRITICAL TODAY AS DRY
   WEATHER PERSISTS IN AREAS OF MDT TO HIGH KBDI VALUES. ALTHOUGH WINDS
   WILL BE LIGHT AT 5-10 MPH OUT OF THE NORTH...RH LEVELS WILL DROP
   INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE FOR 4-6 HOURS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
   CRITICAL AREA. IN SRN FL WHERE KBDI VALUES ARE NEAR 500 SOUTH OF THE
   LAKE...RH WILL BE IN THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE WITH STRONGER WINDS OF
   10-15 MPH.
   
   ...CAROLINAS...
   IT WILL BE FAIRLY COOL TODAY BUT WLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND LOW RH
   VALUES WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW HOURS OF AFTERNOON HAZARDOUS FIRE
   CONDITIONS. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH MIN RH
   VALUES OF 20-25 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING.
   
   ...SERN AZ INTO SWRN NM...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS UPPER TROUGH SINKS SWD BUT IT WILL NOT
   BE PARTICULARLY DRY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH APPEAR LIKELY
   ALONG WITH MIN RH VALUES NEAR 15-20 PERCENT. HIGHER WIND GUSTS WILL
   BE LIKELY NEAR RIDGE TOPS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/02/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2005
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM / SWRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NATION WITH ONLY SLIGHT
   RIDGING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST. AT THE SURFACE...WARM AND DRY AIR
   WILL EXIST OVER THE SRN TIER OF STATES...WITH STRONG WINDS ACROSS
   THE SRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS. FARTHER N A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD
   THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE AND CENTRAL OK...SHIFTING WINDS TO NLY. RH
   LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SERN STATES AS WINDS
   VEER TO SLY AND BRING MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM / SWRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   SRN BRANCH OF JET STREAM WILL STRENGTHEN OVER NM INTO THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY. THIS STRONG WLY FLOW WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE FROM THE ERN
   PLAINS OF NM INTO SW TX...WHERE SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   WILL OCCUR. IT WILL BE AGAIN WARM WITH HIGHS OF 70-80F...RESULTING
   IN MIN RH VALUES NEAR 15 PERCENT. OVERNIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   THROUGH THE AREA SHIFTING WINDS TO NLY WITH GOOD RH RECOVERY.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND NRN TX INTO OK...
   INCREASING SLY FLOW WILL BRING MOISTURE NWD AND WILL HELP TO KEEP RH
   LEVELS HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS DAY. TO THE N...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   THROUGH MUCH OF OKLAHOMA WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS FROM SWLY TO NLY AT
   15-20 MPH. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH WILL ALLOW
   FOR MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE SERN HALF OF OK INTO N
   TX.
   
   ...FLORIDA...
   RH WILL REMAIN LOW OVER INTERIOR FL FROM 30-40 PERCENT...BUT WILL
   BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY AS WINDS VEER TO MORE OF A SLY
   DIRECTION. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/02/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0251 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2005
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SRN OK/NRN AND NW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY LOW AMPLITUDE/WESTERLY UPPER FLOW REGIME EXISTS OVER MUCH
   OF THE CONUS...WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THE
   END OF THE PERIOD AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES TRAVERSE THE
   PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL
   PUSH SWD ACROSS OK/TX THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH GUSTY WINDS
   ASSOCIATED WITH IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL YIELD ACROSS THE SE
   STATES...WITH MOISTURE BEGINNING TO RETURN AHEAD OF EWD PROGRESSING
   LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SRN OK/NRN AND NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WINDS/WIND SHIFT AND WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW
   RH
   
   A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD ACROSS NE NM/NW TX AND CNTRL/SRN
   OK THIS AFTERNOON...AND SE NM AND WEST/NORTH TX THIS
   EVENING/OVERNIGHT. ACROSS MUCH OF ERN NM/NW TX...STRONG AND GUSTY
   W/SW WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON. IN THESE AREAS...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB WELL
   THROUGH THE 70S/LOWER 80S...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 15-25 PERCENT.
   
   FURTHER EAST INTO CNTRL/SRN OK AND NORTH TX...ALTHOUGH RH VALUES
   WILL BE HIGHER WITH EWD EXTENT...RATHER DRY FUELS AND THE
   MARKED/GUSTY NLY WIND SHIFT DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING SUGGESTS A
   CONTINUANCE OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FL...
   BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SE
   STATES/FL OWING TO DEVELOPMENT OF SLY TRAJECTORIES AHEAD OF LOW
   PRESSURE/COLD FRONT. RH VALUES SHOULD INCREASE
   ACCORDINGLY...ALTHOUGH MARGINALLY CRITICAL RH VALUES MAY OCCUR AGAIN
   ACROSS INTERIOR FL FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/03/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0252 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2005
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL FURTHER EVOLVE OVER THE CONUS ON SUNDAY.
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE E/SE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND GULF COAST
   STATES...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EWD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   WEST AND SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA EARLY SUNDAY.
   LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS SHOULD EXIST THROUGH CANYONS/PASSES...ESPECIALLY
   BY SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...DEVELOPING OFFSHORE
   TRAJECTORIES WILL PROMOTE A GRADUAL DRYING/WARMING AIRMASS INTO
   MONDAY...ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL INITIALLY REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
   LEVELS.
   
   ...FAR SOUTH TX...
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS FAR SOUTH TX ON SUNDAY...WITH GUSTY
   WINDS AND MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES POTENTIALLY INDUCING A SOMEWHAT
   ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/03/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0414 AM CST TUE DEC 06 2005
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SEWD ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS
   TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS PUSHING S/SE ACROSS THE
   PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. IN THE WEST...MODEST OFFSHORE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN CA THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   ALTHOUGH LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE ONGOING
   OFFSHORE/SANTA ANA EVENT THIS MORNING...PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
   CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RELAX TODAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS DIMINISHING
   ACCORDINGLY. NEVERTHELESS...WARM/DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS
   SRN CA...MAINTAINING A SOMEWHAT HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER. COASTAL
   AREAS WILL AGAIN REACH THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S...WITH MINIMUM RH
   VALUES OF 10-13 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION. GIVEN THE TREND OF
   A WEAKER OFFSHORE COMPONENT...OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES SHOULD
   IMPROVE.
   
   ...NRN FL/SRN AL/SRN GA...
   IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA...
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR A FEW
   HOURS THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO DRYING NLY TRAJECTORIES. WINDS SPEEDS
   SHOULD GENERALLY BE 10-15 MPH OR LESS. RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES
   /UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S/ AND SCATTERED RAINFALL ON MONDAY SHOULD
   CONSIDERABLY LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/06/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0415 AM CST TUE DEC 06 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND SEWD ACROSS THE NATIONS MID SECTION
   ON WEDNESDAY...WITH COLD FRONT SURGING SWD ACROSS SOUTH TX. COLD
   ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE PLAINS INTO THE NORTHEAST.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   ONSHORE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP ACROSS SRN CA ON WEDNESDAY
   ATTRIBUTABLE TO APPROACH OF PACIFIC UPPER TROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
   THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO ENDING THE OFFSHORE/LOCALLY GUSTY
   WINDS...THIS WILL RESULT IN IMPROVING RH VALUES/SLIGHTLY COOLER
   TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
   
   ...NRN FL/SRN AL/SRN GA...
   A GRADUAL INCREASE IN BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ON WEDNESDAY
   /INCLUDING AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/ WILL RESULT IN
   HIGHER RH VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOON. THUS CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
   ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/06/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2005
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   OVERALL PATTERN OVER THE CONUS WILL AMPLIFY THROUGH THE
   PERIOD...WITH REESTABLISHMENT OF WESTERN STATES RIDGE AND EASTERN
   STATES TROUGH. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND DEVELOPING COLD FRONT WILL
   PUSH EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND CENTRAL PLAINS. IN
   THE WEST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   STATES...WITH OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASING ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
   
   ...NORTHERN FL/AL/GA...
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
   STATES TODAY...WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF MOIST SOUTHERLY
   TRAJECTORIES AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE REGION.
   NEVERTHELESS...ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL RH VALUES /25-35 PERCENT/ ARE
   EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION ACROSS NORTHERN FL
   AND ADJACENT AL/GA. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND WEAK
   PRESSURE GRADIENT...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT /5 MPH OR LESS/.
   
   ...SOUTHERN CA...
   OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP/INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON
   AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN CA...ATTRIBUTABLE TO BUILDING UPPER
   RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. DEVELOPMENT OF
   MODERATE OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS
   OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY...IN ADDITION TO POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/23/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0314 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2005
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE SCALE UPPER PATTERN WILL FURTHER AMPLIFY ON SATURDAY...
   CHARACTERIZED BY LONGWAVE RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND EASTERN STATES
   TROUGH. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER/MIDDLE
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST STATES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN
   OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WITH OFFSHORE COMPONENT GRADUALLY
   WEAKENING ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
   
   ...SOUTHERN CA...
   WITH OFFSHORE GRADIENT ESTABLISHED...LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
   ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING...NAMELY BELOW CANYONS/PASSES OF SOUTHERN
   CA. HOWEVER OFFSHORE GRADIENT SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE
   AFTERNOON/NIGHT...WITH DIMINISHED POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY
   NIGHT. THE OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES WILL LEAD TO RATHER MILD
   TEMPERATURES /LOWER 80S IN THE COASTAL PLAIN/ SATURDAY
   AFTERNOON...WITH LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT.
   
   ...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
   IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING
   ACROSS MUCH OF KS/OK INTO NORTH TX. SUSTAINED NW WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   APPEAR LIKELY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON RH VALUES
   SHOULD TEND TO BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH...THE STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND
   ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL NEVERTHELESS LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
   FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF OK/NORTH TX.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/23/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0301 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2005
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE
   SOUTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE WAKE
   OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER THE SRN PLAINS TODAY. WHERE
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY MILD IN COMBINATION WITH THE
   WIND...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
   THE NATION...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE COMMON AS UPPER
   RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE SENSIBLE WEATHER. WEAK TO
   MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH OVER SRN CA EARLY IN THE
   PERIOD...PRECLUDING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...WARM
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE PRESENT LEADING TO
   HIGH FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL AND SRN
   TX...SWRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT
   
   ELEVATED WIND MAX A FEW THOUSAND FEET ABOVE GROUND WILL DEVELOP DOWN
   TO THE SURFACE EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS DAYTIME HEATING COMBINES WITH
   COLD ADVECTION/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES
   AND SCATTERED CLOUD COVER SHOULD AFFECT MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN OK
   PRECLUDING ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER POINTS SW-S
   WILL SEE ABOVE-WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AIDED BY THE AMPLE
   SUNSHINE. DRY AIR SUPPORTED BY LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE... WITH DEWPT
   READINGS IN THE TEENS-LOWER 30S...WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM
   15-20 PERCENT OVER WRN TX AND BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT OVER CENTRAL/SRN
   TX.  THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS WILL LEAD
   TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
   DIMINISH QUICKLY TOWARDS SUNSET AS WINDS DECREASE AND RH READINGS
   RISE.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   OFFSHORE WIND GUSTS FROM 30-40 MPH WILL REMAIN LIKELY UNTIL
   15Z...MAINLY THROUGH AND BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS. WEAKENING
   OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND NATURAL DIURNAL CYCLE WILL AID IN A
   TREND OF DIMINISHING WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
   MORNING. APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH OFF THE NRN CA COAST WILL AID IN
   SHIFTING THE WINDS TO WEAK ONSHORE LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. THE LACK OF
   A LONGER DURATION OF STRONGER OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED
   AS LOW RH READINGS/WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRESENT TODAY.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 12/24/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2005
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
   INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES
   AND RECENT RAINFALL WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. WINDS
   WILL DIMINISH OVER THE SRN PLAINS...LEADING TO A DECREASE IN FIRE
   DANGER. HOWEVER...WARM TEMPERATURES AND A CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL
   AGAIN SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS. FURTHER WEST...UNDER THE PRESENCE OF
   UPPER RIDGING...LOW RH READINGS WILL BE COMMONPLACE OVER THE
   SOUTHWEST STATES. ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN OVER SRN CA WITH
   HIGHER RH READINGS THE RESULT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 12/24/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0236 AM CST MON DEC 26 2005
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NATION TODAY.
   EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW...SEVERAL LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER SYSTEMS WILL
   EXIST. ONE FAIRLY STRONG UPPER SYSTEM IN PARTICULAR WILL MOVE EWD
   FROM THE CA COAST INTO THE SRN ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A
   SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL
   AID IN INCREASING SSWLY WINDS OVER THE SRN PLAINS. WELL ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH THE INCREASING WINDS WILL SUPPORT
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS.
   ELSEWHERE IN THE NATION...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND/OR HIGH RH
   READINGS WILL LIMIT ANY FIRE WEATHER RELATED THREATS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM AND MUCH OF  WRN/CENTRAL
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
   30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT
   
   INCREASING FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR A DEEPENING TREND IN THE LEE
   TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS TODAY. AS A RESULT...LOW LEVEL SWLY
   WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON. WELL
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ALONG WITH
   SEASONABLY LOW DEWPTS WILL AID IN MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT
   IN SERN NM AND SWRN TX TO BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT OVER
   NCENTRAL/CENTRAL TX. GIVEN THE INCREASING WLY FLOW WITH TIME
   OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL NOT DIMINISH MUCH AFTER 00Z. HOWEVER...
   TEMPERATURES WILL COOL AND END ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT
   SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ...MUCH OF OK...
   AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS AND TEMPERATURES AND NOT FORECAST TO BE AS
   HIGH AS FURTHER SW...AS LOW LEVEL INVERSION WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
   THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PREVENTING FULL BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING. IN
   ADDITION...THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE WEAKER THAN FURTHER
   SOUTH IN TX.  THUS SUSTAINED WINDS SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 15 MPH
   WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW CRITICAL
   LEVELS. HOWEVER...MIN RH READINGS WILL BE BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
   /20-30 PERCENT/ GIVEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S
   TO MID 70S AND DWPTS IN THE 20S AND 30S. THUS VERY HIGH DANGER WILL
   REMAIN IN THE AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 12/26/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0239 AM CST MON DEC 26 2005
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A COMPACT AND STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS
   ON DAY TWO. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM...STRONG LOW LEVEL WSWLY
   WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
   RAPIDLY SEWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE DAY. AHEAD OF
   THIS FRONT...STRONG COLD ADVECTION IN THE MID LEVELS WILL LEAD TO A
   DEEPLY MIXED LAYER THROUGH THE LOWEST 10 KFT. THIS WILL AID IN
   MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER MOST OF THE SRN PLAINS. IN
   ADDITION...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S WILL
   AID IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE SRN
   PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR OVER THE SERN
   STATES IN PROXIMITY TO A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER. LOW RH
   READINGS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASING FIRE DANGER...BUT SUSTAINED
   WINDS WILL BE LOW PRECLUDING ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM...WRN...CENTRAL AND
   PORTIONS OF NRN TX...SWRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
   45 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT.
   
   THE REGION WILL BE LOCATED ALONG AND NEAR THE MID LEVEL JET
   AXIS...WHERE THE STRONGEST MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND STEEP
   LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT STRONG WSWLY SURFACE WINDS
   DURING THE DAY. DESPITE SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN ON DAY
   ONE...AS COLD ADVECTION OCCURS IN THE MID LEVELS...AFTERNOON HIGH
   TEMPERATURES ARE FCST TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. THE
   COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT
   WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AS A RESULT. IF LOWER
   DEWPTS OR LESS HIGH CLOUD COVER OCCURS OVER THE AREA THAN CURRENTLY
   FORECAST...SOME OF THIS AREA /SPECIFICALLY THE TX SOUTH PLAINS AND
   LOW ROLLING PLAINS/ MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   AREA GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE WIND FIELDS.
   
   ...SOUTHEAST...
   WEAK SLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE
   ATLANTIC COAST. MODERATING TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S ALONG WITH LOW
   DEWPTS WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS IN THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE.
   GIVEN LACK OF SUSTAINED WIND OVER 10 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA...NO
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 12/26/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK RESENT 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0654 AM CST TUE DEC 27 2005
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WRN TX / TX
   AND OK PNHDL / SRN OK / ERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY WED MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...LOW
   PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS ERN KS / NERN OK AND WILL BE OVER WRN MO
   THIS AFTERNOON. WLY AND NWLY WINDS WILL BE STRONG BEHIND THIS
   LOW...WHERE THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY. COMBINATION OF HIGH
   WINDS...LOW RH...WARM TEMPERATURES AND DROUGHT WILL CAUSE CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SERN STATES WHERE RH
   WILL BE LOW BUT WINDS LIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WRN TX / TX
   AND OK PNHDL / SRN OK / ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / DROUGHT
   
   A STRONG AND PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM NM AND CO
   INTO N TX/OK BY AFTERNOON. STRONG HEATING WILL HELP DOWNWARD
   TRANSPORT OF MOMENTUM WITH SUSTAINED WLY SURFACE WINDS OF 20-25
   MPH...GUSTING INTO THE 30-40 MPH RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THE
   EXCEPTION BEING INTO ERN OK AND NERN TX WHERE GUSTS TO 25-30 WILL
   STILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS HOWEVER WILL BE OVER ERN NM
   AND WRN TX...WHERE SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30-40 MPH MAY OCCUR ALONG
   WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM 10-15 PERCENT OVER
   ERN NM AND W TX TO 20-30 PERCENT OVER ERN OK AND NERN TX.
   TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS MAINLY
   IN THE 70S F.
   
   ...FL / GA / CAROLINAS...
   RH WILL GRADUALLY LOWER THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND WILL AVERAGE 25-35
   PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHT DUE TO HIGH
   PRESSURE SUGGESTING MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
   COMBINATION WITH ONLY LOW TO MODERATE KBDI VALUES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/27/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0208 AM CST TUE DEC 27 2005
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN ON TUESDAY AS PRESSURE
   GRADIENTS RELAX OVER THE SRN PLAINS...ALTHOUGH DRY AIR WILL REMAIN.
   UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE
   APPALACHIANS WITH SURFACE LOW OVER NRN KY WED EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS
   SYSTEM...SLY WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF
   MEXICO INTO THE GULF COAST STATES...WHICH WILL INCREASE RH LEVELS
   DRAMATICALLY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAY.
   
   ...CENTRAL TX...
   PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL RELAX WED AS MAIN LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE
   FARTHER E. HOWEVER...A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE BUT WITH
   COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY INTO THE LOWER 70S
   WILL ALLOW RH TO DROP INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE. WIND SPEEDS WILL
   ONLY AVERAGE 10 MPH OUT OF THE NW AND RH RECOVERY WILL BE GOOD
   OVERNIGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/27/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0152 AM CST WED DEC 28 2005
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MATURE CYCLONE WILL SHIFT EWD OUT OF THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY INTO THE
   OH VALLEY TODAY...BRINGING PRECIPITATION FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
   SWD INTO GA. DRIER AIR WILL REMAIN FARTHER W ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
   WITH HIGH PRESSURE. GRADIENT BETWEEN EXITING LOW TO THE EAST AND
   HIGH TO THE WEST WILL CAUSE MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TO
   EXIST OVER SERN OK AND NERN TX.  ELSEWHERE...LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL
   BRING HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF THE NWRN STATES AND INTO
   PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN.
   
   ...SERN THIRD OF OK / NERN TX...
   WINDS SPEEDS TODAY WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN PREVIOUS DAY...AS MAIN LOW
   CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER E. AS A RESULT OF RELAXING PRESSURE
   GRADIENTS...SUSTAINED WNWLY WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE
   10-15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE AS
   LOW DUE TO COOLER TEMPERATURES...DROPPING INTO THE 25-35 PERCENT
   RANGE.
   
   ALTHOUGH WIND AND RH COMBINATION WILL BE MARGINAL...LOCALLY CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE
   VICINITY OF ANY ONGOING FIRES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/28/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0153 AM CST WED DEC 28 2005
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO
   THE PLAINS...HELPING TO PRODUCE A SURFACE LEE TROUGH FROM SD SWD
   INTO NW TX. THIS WILL INCREASE SLY WINDS ACROSS OK AND TX...WITH
   STRONGER WLY WINDS ACROSS NM. MEANWHILE...TROUGH OVER THE ERN U.S.
   WILL FINALLY MOVE OFFSHORE THU NIGHT...WITH BREEZY W WINDS FROM THE
   CAROLINAS INTO FL.
   
   ...ERN NM / MUCH OF NRN AND WRN TX / OK...
   DEVELOPMENT OF LEE TROUGH OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WILL INCREASE SLY
   WINDS OVER OK AND CENTRAL/NRN TX INTO THE 10-20 MPH RANGE. RH VALUES
   WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW AT 25-35 PERCENT IN GENERAL. FARTHER
   W...WINDS WILL BE MORE WLY...WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW OFF THE SRN ROCKIES
   AND STRONG MIXING. SPEEDS HERE LOOK TO AVERAGE 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS...ALONG WITH RH LEVELS NEAR 20 PERCENT.
   
   OVERNIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH WRN TX AND MUCH OF
   OK...TURNING WINDS TO THE N AT 15-20 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL
   BY THAT TIME WITH GOOD RH RECOVERY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/28/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0123 AM CST THU DEC 29 2005
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD OFF THE EAST COAST LATE
   TODAY...WHILE A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL
   ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...A LEE TROUGH WILL
   SHIFT EWD INTO THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS WITH INCREASING SLY FLOW.
   BEHIND THIS TROUGH...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM CENTRAL SD INTO
   WRN KS AND SERN CO...WITH STRONG NWLY WINDS BEHIND IT AND LOW RH DUE
   TO DOWNSLOPE FLOW. OVERNIGHT...COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SWD INTO NRN TX
   WITH COOL TEMPERATURES BEHIND IT.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND SRN OK INTO NRN TX...
   AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST TODAY...DUE TO A RETURN
   OF WARMER TEMPERATURES...SLY WINDS AND SEVERE DROUGHT. SUSTAINED SLY
   WINDS NEAR 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH...ALONG WITH
   TEMPERATURES OF 65-70 AND MIN RH VALUES OF 20-30 PERCENT.
   COMBINATION OF INCREASING WIND AND MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES WILL
   CAUSE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE
   AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MOST OF OK
   SHIFTING WINDS TO NW AT 10-15 MPH BUT WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
   
   ...SERN CO / NERN NM / TX AND OK PANHANDLE...
   IT WILL BECOME WINDY AND DRY TODAY AS DOWNSLOPE WINDS INCREASE TO
   15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONALLY...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
   SHIFT TO NWLY FROM SERN CO INTO THE TX PANHANDLE LATE IN THE DAY
   WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...RH WILL
   GENERALLY RANGE FROM 15-20 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT WILL
   RECOVER QUICKLY BY EVENING WHEN WINDS SHIFT AND TEMPERATURES COOL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/29/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0124 AM CST THU DEC 29 2005
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WILL AMPLIFY INTO THE MS
   RIVER VALLEY AS IT MOVES EWD WITH SURFACE LOW OVER NRN IL BY FRIDAY
   EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FILTER SEWD INTO THE CENTRAL AND SRN
   PLAINS BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. CONDITIONS WILL
   REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY OVER FL WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND LIGHT
   WINDS.
   
   ...OK INTO NRN AND CENTRAL TX...
   IT WILL BE DRY AND SOMETIMES BREEZY FRIDAY WITH NLY FLOW BEHIND COLD
   FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER OVER OK IN THE 55-65 DEGREE
   RANGE...BUT WARMER FARTHER S WITH 70-75 F INTO THE HILL COUNTRY. MIN
   RH WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE 25-35 PERCENT RANGE DUE TO COOLER
   TEMPERATURES. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG
   AT 10-15 MPH...BUT GIVEN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT...FIRE THREAT WILL
   REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/29/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0143 AM CST MON JAN 02 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST OK/NORTHEAST
   TX/NORTHWEST LA/SOUTHWEST AR...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM CENTRAL ARKANSAS...TO
   CENTRAL INDIANA...TO WEST VIRGINIA DURING THE PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM
   WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EASTERN
   US...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
   STATES. THE FIRST COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CYCLONE WILL MOVE
   THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY IN THE DAY...WHILE A SECONDARY
   COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING
   THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONCE AGAIN...THESE SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
   WILL ONLY BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
   PLAINS...AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL STILL PERSIST IN THE
   AREA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHEAST OK/NORTHEAST
   TX/NORTHWEST LA/SOUTHWEST AR...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH VALUES...STRONG/GUSTY W/NW WINDS...WARM
   AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...PROLONGED SEVERE DROUGHT
   
   A PERIOD OF FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL EXIST MAINLY DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA. WHILE TWO
   COLD FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE PERIOD...ONLY SLIGHTLY
   COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
   BEHIND THESE FRONTS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY AT TIMES...AND COUPLED
   WITH PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...SEVERE TO EXTREME
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...THE POTENTIAL FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXISTS MAINLY FOR 18Z/02 - 00Z/03.
   THE STRONG/GUSTY WINDS WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET...QUICKLY
   MINIMIZING THE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 01/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT.

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0320 AM CST MON JAN 02 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK/TX
   PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX/EXTREME EASTERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS
   BORDER BY 04/00Z...AND AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD...A COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE
   EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.  ONCE AGAIN...LACK OF MOISTURE
   AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL PRECLUDE ANY PRECIPITATION FOR THE
   REGION...CONTINUING THE DROUGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK/TX
   PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX/EXTREME EASTERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY W/SW WINDS...LOW TO VERY LOW
   RH...HIGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
   
   STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   AREA DURING THE PERIOD OF CYCLOGENESIS IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  AS
   THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS IN THE
   REGION WILL BE AROUND 20 KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THE AIRMASS IN
   THIS REGION WILL BE VERY DRY...WITH SOME AFTERNOON RH VALUES
   APPROACHING THE MID TEENS...AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AGAIN
   CLIMBING TO AT LEAST UNSEASONABLY WARM...AND POTENTIALLY
   RECORD...VALUES.  GIVEN THESE CONDITIONS...PORTIONS OF THE AREA
   COULD BE UPGRADED TO AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...ESPECIALLY IN
   TEXAS WHERE IT APPEARS WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MAXIMIZED.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 01/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0240 AM CST TUE JAN 03 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WESTERN OK/OK
   PANHANDLE/TX PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX/EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO/EXTREME
   SOUTHWEST KS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN OK/SOUTHEAST
   CO/EASTERN NM/CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TX/SOUTHWEST KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS NEAR THE
   NEBRASKA/SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER...AND MOVE EASTWARD TOWARDS WISCONSIN.
   A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
   SOUTHERN PLAINS...BUT A LACK OF MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THE FRONT
   WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES VERY LOW FOR THE DROUGHT STRICKEN
   SOUTHERN PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF
   THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS AS A SERIES OF IMPULSES ASSOCIATED WITH A MID
   LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONALLY...SOME
   PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST COAST WITH AN EXITING LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND OVER THE GREAT LAKES LATE IN THE PERIOD.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - WESTERN OK/OK
   PANHANDLE/TX PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX/EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO/EXTREME
   SOUTHWEST KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH...WARM TEMPERATURES AT OR NEAR
   RECORD VALUES...STRONG AND GUSTY W/SW WINDS
   
   A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION WILL EXIST OVER
   PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS DURING THE PERIOD. WHILE THE
   LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT BRINGS THESE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
   BE FURTHER NORTH AND SOMEWHAT WEAKER THAN THE SYSTEM THAT EXISTED ON
   NEW YEARS DAY...EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN EXIST
   OVER THE REGION. STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
   DRY COLD FRONT...WITH AFTERNOON VALUES APPROACHING 25 TO 30
   KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...WITH SOME
   AREAS NEAR RECORD VALUES...COUPLED WITH A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND RH
   VALUES IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS...WILL ADD TO THIS DANGEROUS FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT. THE REGION ALSO CONTINUES TO REMAIN IN A SEVERE TO
   EXTREME DROUGHT SITUATION AND DRY SURFACE VEGETATION WILL CONTINUE
   TO SERVE AS AN EXCELLENT FUEL FOR ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP.
   
   PERSONS IN AND NEAR THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA SHOULD TAKE NOTE OF
   THIS EXTREME FIRE DANGER AND THE THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - CENTRAL AND EASTERN OK/SOUTHEAST
   CO/EASTERN NM/CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TX/SOUTHWEST KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH...WARM TEMPERATURES...DROUGHT CONDITIONS
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA IS A REGION OF
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. THIS AREA WILL SEE SOMEWHAT COOLER
   TEMPERATURES AND WEAKER SURFACE WINDS...HOWEVER...GIVEN THE VERY DRY
   CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON RH VALUES IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOW
   THIRTIES...A FIRE WEATHER THREAT DOES EXIST. ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP
   IN THIS REGION WILL PERHAPS NOT SPREAD EXTREMELY QUICKLY DUE TO THE
   WEAKER SURFACE WIND FIELD...BUT CONTINUED DRY SURFACE FUELS AND WARM
   AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES YIELDS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 01/03/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CST TUE JAN 03 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UNITED STATES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A
   HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN STATES. A LOW PRESSURE
   SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE SOME RAIN AND WINTER
   PRECIPITATION...AND A FEW AREAS OF SNOW WILL EXIST IN AREAS OF THE
   ROCKY MOUNTAINS. A MORE SEASONABLE AIRMASS...WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER
   TEMPERATURES...WILL EXIST OVER THE MIDWEST AND MISSISSIPPI/OHIO
   VALLEYS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...STRONG AND GUSTY
   N/NW WINDS
   
   FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE...A PERIOD OF SOMEWHAT STRONG AND
   GUSTY N/NW WINDS WILL EXIST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TEMPERATURES
   WILL BE 10 TO 15 F COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY...AND RH VALUES WILL
   BE HIGHER...IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.  ANY FIRES THAT DO DEVELOP
   IN THIS CONTINUED DRY REGION WILL BE FUELED BY THE GUSTY WINDS...BUT
   THIS THREAT SHOULD ONLY LAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
   EVENING HOURS...AS WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 01/03/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0211 AM CST WED JAN 04 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN...CENTRAL/ERN
   TX...NWRN LA AND SWRN AR...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER AIR PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL UNDERGO A CHANGE FROM THE
   RECENT ZONAL PATTERN TO ONE OF A LARGE SCALE TROUGH IN THE EAST AND
   RIDGE IN THE WEST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL OCCUR AS A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW DIVES SEWD AND PHASES WITH
   ADDITIONAL ENERGY MOVING SWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. MEANWHILE...AN
   UPSTREAM SYSTEM WELL OFF THE WEST COAST WILL AMPLIFY THE RIDGE OVER
   THE WEST. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH ONE OF THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGHS...GUSTY NWLY WINDS COMBINED
   WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL AID IN CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
   TO PORTIONS OF TX...LA AND AR.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF ERN TX...NWRN LA...SWRN AR
   AND PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL AND SRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT
   
   A PACIFIC COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NWRN TX AND SRN OK EARLY THIS
   MORNING WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF TX TODAY AND
   THE LOWER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. MIXING BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
   COMBINED WITH ONLY MINOR COLD ADVECTION AND HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL
   ALLOW FOR MILD MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF NRN TX...WITH
   RH READINGS LIKELY TO BE AROUND 30 PERCENT AT SUNRISE. FURTHER
   SOUTH...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALLOW FOR RISING DEWPTS OVER
   ERN/SRN TX EARLY IN THE PERIOD PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER IN THE
   MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE MUCH MORE IN
   LINE WITH OBSERVED PROFILER DATA SUGGESTING THAT LOW LEVEL NWLY
   WINDS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 20-25 MPH AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE OVER THE
   ARKLATEX AREA SWWD INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SCENTRAL TX.
   COMBINED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND MIN RH READINGS FROM
   20-25 PERCENT...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH
   SUNSET.
   
   ...SRN OK...
   SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH THE MORNING
   HOURS...WHICH WILL AID IN SUFFICIENT MIXING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES IN
   THE 50S ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS PRIOR TO SUNRISE. WINDS WILL LIKELY
   REMAIN UNDER 20 MPH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY AS THE LOW LEVEL
   PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. MODERATE COLD ADVECTION WITH TIME WILL
   AID IN TEMPERATURES RISING SLOWLY INTO THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGH
   TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER 60S WITH DEWPTS IN THE
   20S. THIS WILL LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS AROUND 25 PERCENT. LACK OF
   STRONGER WINDS WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/04/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0213 AM CST WED JAN 04 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN TX...PORTIONS
   OF SRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN STATES WILL AID IN A
   REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE
   SOUTHEAST STATES. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD
   FRONT...GUSTY NWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF TX AND THE SRN
   PLAINS. DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES...LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE IN THE
   WAKE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR LOWER DEWPTS AND CONSEQUENT
   LOW RH READINGS ONCE AGAIN TO MUCH OF TX. THEREFORE...CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AGAIN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN TX...PORTIONS
   OF SRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   TO 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT
   
   A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR AND MODERATE PRESSURE RISES IN THE
   WAKE OF A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL AID IN STRONGER NWLY WINDS OVER THE
   REGION ON DAY TWO. DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN DAY ONE...WITH
   READINGS MAINLY IN THE 60S...LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S WILL
   AID IN MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT. GIVEN THE MILD
   TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE WINDS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   WILL BE PRESENT.
   
   ....NWRN TX/TX SOUTH PLAINS AND SWRN OK...
   COOLER TEMPERATURES /MID-UPPER 50S/ THAN OVER THE CRITICAL AREA
   FURTHER SOUTH...WILL LIMIT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE
   REGION...DESPITE SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. HOWEVER...VERY
   HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL STILL EXIST...GIVEN DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED
   WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/04/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0253 AM CST THU JAN 05 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL TAKE SHAPE OVER THE ERN CONUS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD AS A STRONG SYSTEM DIGS FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHEAST
   STATES. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS
   EARLY IN THE PERIOD. BEHIND THE FRONT A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
   WILL SLOWLY MOVE SWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SRN ROCKIES. A MODERATE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT OVER THE SRN PLAINS ALLOWING FOR
   OCCASIONALLY STRONG GUSTY NWLY WINDS. RELATIVELY MILD TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 60S AND 70S AND LOW DEWPTS WILL LEAD TO LOW RH READINGS. THIS
   WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF THE
   SRN PLAINS. ELSEWHERE AN UPPER RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR WARM/DRY
   CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE INTERIOR WEST. OFFSHORE/ELY WINDS WILL BE
   MODERATE THROUGH THE PERIOD OVER SRN CA AND SRN AZ...BUT RECENT
   RAINFALL WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN SRN CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN
   TX...SWRN/SCENTRAL OK AND NWRN LA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT
   
   WITH THE PASSAGE OF A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH AND
   ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT...NWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
   SRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY TODAY. EARLY MORNING PROFILER DATA
   INDICATED AROUND 25-30 MPH WINDS A THOUSAND FEET OFF THE SURFACE.
   WITH ONSET OF DAYTIME HEATING/MIXING...SURFACE WINDS SHOULD INCREASE
   TO BETWEEN 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING. ALTHOUGH
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...LOWER DEWPTS
   WITH READINGS GENERALLY IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S...WILL LEAD TO MIN
   RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT. THE COMBINATION OF MODEST WINDS/LOW
   RH VALUES WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER A BROAD
   AREA.
   
   ...CENTRAL/ERN OK...MUCH OF SRN AR AND LA...
   THIS AREA WILL BE ON THE FRINGES OF WARMER AND DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR.
   ALTHOUGH NWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-25 MPH...MIN RH READINGS
   WILL BE FROM 30-35 PERCENT...LEADING TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN AZ AND SRN CA...
   ELY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 20-30 MPH OVER THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN OF SRN CA TODAY...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SWD
   THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES. RECENT RAINFALL WILL LIMIT ANY
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THIS AREA. FURTHER EAST OVER SRN
   AZ...ELY LOW LEVEL WILL INCREASE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SWD
   THROUGH THE SRN ROCKIES. SUSTAINED ELY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH ALONG
   WITH RH READINGS AROUND 10 PERCENT WILL LEAD TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0254 AM CST THU JAN 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE
   PERIOD AS ADDITIONAL UPPER SYSTEMS BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE PAC NW. A
   WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED AS A RESULT OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS AS
   SURFACE WINDS TURN TO A WSWLY DIRECTION. GENERALLY WEAK PRESSURE
   FALLS OR GRADIENT WILL LIMIT THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS OVER THE SRN
   AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THUS NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...NWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
   FRONT OVER THE SERN STATES AND FLORIDA. MUCH COOLER AIR WITH BELOW
   NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO THIS REGION...PRECLUDING ANY
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. OFFSHORE/ELY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER
   SRN CA AND SRN AZ BUT WINDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE.
   
   ...TX COASTAL BEND/FAR SRN TX...
   NLY FLOW WILL WANE THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   RELAXES. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM 10-15 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY THE
   AFTERNOON. THUS DESPITE LOW RH READING FROM 15-25 PERCENT...A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ...SRN AZ AND SRN CA...
   OFFSHORE/ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL DIMINISH WITH TIME THROUGH DAY TWO
   AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. SUSTAINED ELY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH
   ARE EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SRN CA...WITH 10-15 MPH
   WINDS OVER SRN AZ. THE LACK OF STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   WINDS WILL TURN TO WSWLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SPEEDS
   AVERAGING BETWEEN 10-15 MPH. INCREASED DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND PRESENCE
   OF UPPER RIDGE WILL LEAD TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE
   UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S. LACK OF STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0256 AM CST FRI JAN 06 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE OVER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EWD THROUGH
   THE PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO SEVERAL UPPER TROUGHS MOVING TOWARDS THE
   WEST COAST. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR OVER THE SWRN
   STATES UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. A WARMING TREND WILL BE A RESULT OVER
   THE PLAINS STATES AS THE RIDGE APPROACHES THE REGION. GIVEN THE
   PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE...SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
   LIGHT...ALTHOUGH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS
   WILL AID IN HIGH FIRE DANGER OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS/SW STATES.
   FURTHER EAST...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ERN SEABOARD.
   NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF COUNTRY
   EAST OF THE MS RIVER...WITH NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ...TX COASTAL BEND...
   NLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE THROUGH TODAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
   MOVES WELL EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15
   MPH COMBINED WITH RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT WILL PRODUCE NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN ROCKIES/DESERT SW...
   WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH RECORD HIGHS...WILL OCCUR OVER
   MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY UNDER THE PRESENCE OF A PRONOUNCED UPPER
   RIDGE. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL ALSO RESULT...WITH RH READINGS FROM
   8-12 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
   /LESS THAN 10 MPH/...EXCEPT THIS MORNING OVER SRN AZ...WHERE ELY
   GRADIENT WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WILL OCCUR. THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE MET TODAY.
   
   ...CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE UPPER RIDGE APPROACHES
   THE REGION. SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL OCCUR THIS
   AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES 15-25 DEGREE ABOVE NORMAL. DESPITE MIN
   RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...LACK OF STRONGER WINDS WILL LIMIT A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0258 AM CST FRI JAN 06 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE WILL SLIDE EWD INTO THE PLAINS STATES WHILE BREAKING
   DOWN THROUGH THE PERIOD. A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND
   GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER MOST OF THE SRN
   PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH
   MODERATE WINDS AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF TX...OK AND ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT...POOR RH RECOVERY
   IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND URBAN AREAS...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   A BREAKDOWN OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASING WLY MID
   LEVEL FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING DAY TWO. INITIALLY
   ...SURFACE PRESSURE AND WIND FIELDS WILL BE UNSUPPORTIVE OF CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. BY MID
   AFTERNOON...SUFFICIENT DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER
   OVER WRN KS ALONG WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW LEVEL JET WILL AID
   IN SURFACE WINDS INCREASING TO SUSTAINED VALUES OVER 20 MPH OVER
   CENTRAL/NRN TX AND OK. WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF INCREASING
   WINDS...VERTICAL MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO REACH NEAR
   RECORD LEVELS FROM THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. CONSEQUENTLY MIN RH
   READINGS WILL BE VERY LOW...FROM 15-25 PERCENT. MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS
   SUGGEST THAT MIN RH READINGS WILL LIKELY NOT REACH CRITICAL LEVELS
   OVER ERN OK DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS...AS A MODERATELY STRONG LOW
   LEVEL INVERSION WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. HOWEVER...WITH AN INCREASING
   LOW LEVEL JET AND MODERATE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT...A WELL MIXED
   NEAR SURFACE LAYER...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WILL SUPPORT
   MODERATE WINDS AND POOR RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. OVER THE REST OF THE
   SRN PLAINS...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
   OVERNIGHT AS WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MODERATE ALLOWING FOR POOR RH
   RECOVERY...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR URBAN AREAS.
   
   ...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   MIN RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 15 PERCENT AS WARM TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 60S COMBINE WITH LOW DEWPTS. WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
   VERTICAL MIXING DUE TO PRESENCE OF HIGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD LIMIT
   SURFACE WINDS TO GENERALLY LESS THAN 20 MPH AND A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[canegrl04]

Holy crap Sunday could be a blazing inferno across Texas

[mike815]

...DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN ON SUNDAY...

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-141-144-147-081100-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.A.0002.060108T1800Z-060108T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
455 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...OKEECHOBEE
AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS...LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT 24 AND 72 HOURS.

$$

JP







--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
511 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2006

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
071700-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
511 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
THE COLDEST AIR MASS OF THE SEASON THUS FAR WILL PERSIST ACROSS
CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. AFTER HIGH TEMPERATURES
ONLY REACH INTO THE 50S TODAY...READINGS WILL FALL RAPIDLY
AFTER SUNSET UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND VERY LIGHT WINDS. FOUR TO SIX
HOURS BELOW FREEZING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS TONIGHT...WITH
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY REACHING AS LOW AS 28 TO 30 DEGREES.
PORTIONS OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY BREVARD COUNTY
SOUTHWARD...AND PERHAPS MUCH OF MARTIN COUNTY MAY REMAIN SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING. FROST IS EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS...EVEN
NEAR THE COASTLINE. CHECK FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY
CONCERNING THIS COLD WEATHER EVENT AS FREEZE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY
BE POSTED FOR MUCH OR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS PLANNING TO VENTURE INTO THE NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS THIS MORNING SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. BEYOND 20 MILES OFFSHORE...A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 20 KNOT WINDS AND SEAS UP TO 6
FEET. A TREND OF DIMINISHING WINDS AND SLOWLY SUBSIDING WINDS WILL
BEGIN BY MID DAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
DUE TO CONTINUED DRY VEGETATION AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...THERE WILL A WILDFIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES
QUICKLY RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MONDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.

THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT FOR WILDFIRES SUNDAY AS LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS PERSIST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$


SPRATT






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Red Flag Warning
RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
442 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2006

...VERY DRY AIR WILL PRODUCE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS
AFTERNOON...

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-072300-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0001.060107T1800Z-060107T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0002.060107T1800Z-060107T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
442 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...
OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR GREATER THAN THREE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON.

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
748 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2006

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON  THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...STRONG SURFACE WINDS...EXTREMELY DRY FUELS
AND THE ONGOING DROUGHT.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING LIT
CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0338 AM CST SAT JAN 07 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR EASTERN NM/NORTHWEST
   AND NORTH CENTRAL TX/PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO/CENTRAL
   TX/OK INTO WESTERN AR/NORTHWEST LA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WITH BROAD UPPER TROUGH PUSHING EASTWARD OFF THE ATLANTIC
   SEABOARD...A PROGRESSIVELY LOW AMPLITUDE WESTERLY FLOW WILL
   ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE CONUS. AS HEIGHTS FALL OVER THE CENTRAL STATES
   TODAY...CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MISSOURI
   VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH A DEVELOPING DRYLINE AND
   INCREASINGLY GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - FAR EASTERN NM/NORTHWEST
   AND NORTH CENTRAL TX/PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR RECORD
   TEMPERATURES/LOW RH VALUES
   
   A VERY CRITICAL/PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE THREAT IS EXPECTED
   ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX
   TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RH VALUES...AND
   STRONG/GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH VERY DRY/CURED FUELS WILL LEAD TO A
   VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY FROM FAR EASTERN NM INTO
   NORTHWEST/NORTH TX AND THE WESTERN HALF OF OK. CONDITIONS WILL BE
   FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.
   
   NUMERICAL MODELS APPEAR TO BE CONSERVATIVE WITH THE DEGREE OF DEEP
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING TODAY...CONSEQUENTLY UNDERESTIMATING THE WIND
   GUST POTENTIAL...WITH TOO OPTIMISTIC OF A PROGNOSIS OF AFTERNOON RH
   VALUES. DEEP MIXING COMBINED WITH INCREASING WIND SPEEDS ALOFT
   SHOULD YIELD 20-30 MPH S/SW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH POTENTIAL
   FOR 40 MPH GUSTS. NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
   70S/LOWER 80S WILL BE QUITE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
   PLAINS...WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES IN THE TEENS AND RELATIVELY POOR
   RH RECOVERY THROUGH THE NIGHT.
   
   IN SPITE OF THE TENDENCY FOR A DECOUPLING BOUNDARY LAYER THIS
   EVENING...RELATIVELY STRONG/GUSTY WINDS SHOULD PERSIST MUCH OF THE
   NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF OK/NORTH TX INTO AR AND NORTHERN
   LA...ATTRIBUTABLE TO CENTRAL PLAINS CYCLOGENESIS AND CORE OF STRONG
   WINDS ALOFT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO/CENTRAL
   TX/OK INTO WESTERN AR/NORTHWEST LA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   VALUES
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT
   WILL EXIST ACROSS EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO INTO CENTRAL TX/EASTERN OK
   AND FAR WESTERN AR/NORTHWEST LA. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE GUSTY IN
   THESE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A HEIGHTENED FIRE
   DANGER...OVERALL CONDITIONS SUGGEST A COMPARATIVELY MORE MODEST
   THREAT.
   
   ...FL...
   CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA THIS
   AFTERNOON...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES AS LOW AS 30-35 PERCENT FOR A FEW
   HOURS DURATION. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT AT 5-10
   MPH OR LESS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

Code: Select all

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0419 AM CST SAT JAN 07 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTH CENTRAL/EASTERN OK AND
   CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX INTO AR/NORTHWEST LA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE CONUS ON
   SUNDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
   MISSOURI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...WHILE COLD FRONT GRADUALLY
   STALLS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTH CENTRAL/EASTERN OK AND
   CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX INTO AR/NORTHWEST LA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SW WINDS AND/OR WIND SHIFT WITH WARM
   TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   
   AS COLD FRONT MOVES E/SE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX...GUSTY
   WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES/LOW RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE A HEIGHTENED
   FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. OWING TO THE COLD FRONTAL
   PASSAGE...WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE NW DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
   MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...GUSTY SW WINDS OF
   15-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST TX
   INTO AR/NORTHERN LA...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER GUSTS.
   
   RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF THE FRONT...WITH
   70S/LOWER 80S COMMON. ALTHOUGH WARM SECTOR RH VALUES WILL BE
   CRITICALLY LOW...RELATIVELY RICHER BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD
   PROGRESSIVELY HIGHER RH VALUES WITH EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD EXTENT ACROSS
   AR AND NORTHERN LA.
   
   GIVEN THE GUSTY WINDS/WARM TEMPERATURES AND ANTECEDENT DRY
   CONDITIONS...PORTIONS OF THIS REGION MAY REQUIRE AN UPGRADE TO
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL IN SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 FIRE OUTLOOK.
   
   ...EASTERN NM/NORTHWEST TX/WESTERN OK...
   IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION...RELATIVELY
   IMPROVED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD GENERALLY BE
   AROUND 8-10 DEGREES COOLER IN COMPARISON TO SATURDAY...WITH SOMEWHAT
   HIGHER RH VALUES AS WELL. ALSO CONSIDERABLY DIMINISHED...WESTERLY
   WINDS OF 10-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
830 AM CST TUE JAN 3 2006

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE HAS DECLARED A HIGH RISK OF ACCIDENTAL WILD
FIRES BECAUSE OF THE EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
STATE.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS AND MORE THAN 75
PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP DISASTROUS
WILD FIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE GOVERNORS DIVISION OF
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE FOLLOWING:

IT HAS BEEN UNSEASONABLY DRY...WARM AND WINDY. HELP PREVENT DEADLY
WILD FIRES. DONT BURN TRASH. DONT THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE
GROUND. REMEMBER ALSO THAT ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY
AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO
EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES
HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
520 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2006

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-080315-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
520 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2006

.NOW...
A RED FLAG WARNING...FOR VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS...REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY.

STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST SURFACE WIND WILL DECREASE ONLY SLIGHTLY
THIS EVENING BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN OVERNIGHT.  SPEEDS WILL STAY IN
THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.  THE WINDS WILL
BE TURNING SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT BEFORE TURNING BACK TO
THE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES CURRENTLY RANGE FROM
THE SINGLE DIGITS WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 TO JUST UNDER 15% TO THE
EAST.  HUMIDITIES WILL REBOUND ONLY SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT TO NEAR 25%...
BEFORE DROPPING AGAIN TO NEAR 10% OR BELOW ON SUNDAY.

OUTSIDE BURNING BANS EXIST FOR ALL NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.  REPORT ALL WILDFIRES AND SMOKE TO THE NEAR LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICE.