Epsilon,Final Comments,Sat Pics

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JamesFromMaine2
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#541 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Dec 06, 2005 8:30 pm

it seems like the farther south it goes the more its starting to look like a Hurricane as far as developing deep convection. Now if it can just wrap the deep convection around the eye totally then it maybe able to get stronger if it can survive the shear which so far it has been able to do! lol
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#542 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Dec 06, 2005 8:35 pm

This hurricane rules!!! Yes it starting to become more compact like a hurricane. I'm watching if it can beat the record for strength! Then ACE!!!
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#543 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Dec 06, 2005 8:39 pm

It has 11.3 ACE rating as of 5pm. In which is high!!!

It has been a hurricane from 14 to 19 then again from 21 to 30. Which 14 Advisories!!!
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#544 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Dec 06, 2005 8:42 pm

Image
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coriolis
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#545 Postby coriolis » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:06 pm

What is the ACE now, about 240?

I believe 1950 was 243.
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#546 Postby coriolis » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:07 pm

As a minimal hurricane, it will accumulate about 1 point a day, right? So if my math is correct, Epsilon needs to hang on for 3 or 4 more days.
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#547 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:08 pm

Yes 1950 had 143 ace
This years I would guest around 135 ace so far. This needs to get another 8 points to beat the record. GO HURRICANE GO!!!
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#548 Postby coriolis » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:10 pm

According to this source, ACE was 236 as of Dec 2. I was figuring about 1 point a day to get to 240. I'm looking forward to something more official, though.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_Cyclone_Energy
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#549 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:13 pm

Senp in the pro forum said a few days Delta got things up to around 225 Ace. Then with the 11.3 as of 5pm est is around 236 Ace.
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#550 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:18 pm

Almost every storm in 2005 has set a record for rapid formation. The table shows the dates on which each storm formed, and the old record for earliest-forming storm of that number.


Storm # Formation Day Name Previous Record Difference
1 June 9 Arlene January 19, 1978 +141 days
2 June 28 Bret May 17, 1887 +42 days
3 July 5 Cindy June 11, 1887 +24 days
4 July 5 Dennis Cindy - July 7, 1959 -2 days
5 July 11 Emily Danny - July 16, 1997 -5 days
6 July 21 Franklin August 4, 1936 -14 days
7 July 24 Gert August 7, 1936 -14 days
8 August 3 Harvey August 15, 1936 -12 days
9 August 7 Irene August 20, 1936 -13 days
10 August 22 Jose Jerry - August 23, 1995 -1 day
11 August 24 Katrina August 28, 1933/1936/
Karen - 1995 -4 days
12 August 31 Lee Luis - August 29, 1995 +2 days
13 September 2 Maria September 8, 1936 -6 days
14 September 5 Nate September 10, 1936 -5 days
15 September 7 Ophelia September 16, 1933 -9 days
16 September 17 Philippe September 27, 1933 -10 days
17 September 18 Rita September 28, 1933 -10 days
18 October 2 Stan October 1, 1933 +1 day
19 October 5 Tammy October 25, 1933 -20 days
20 October 9 Vince October 26, 1933 -17 days
21 October 17 Wilma November 15, 1933 -29 days
22 October 22 Alpha none N/A
23 October 27 Beta none N/A
24 November 18 Gamma none N/A
25 November 23 Delta none N/A
26 November 29 Epsilon none N/A
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#551 Postby coriolis » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:18 pm

I'll defer to SenorPeper over Wikipedia, although the higher score there fuels our hopes!
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#552 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:20 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:Almost every storm in 2005 has set a record for rapid formation. The table shows the dates on which each storm formed, and the old record for earliest-forming storm of that number.


Storm # Formation Day Name Previous Record Difference
1 June 9 Arlene January 19, 1978 +141 days
2 June 28 Bret May 17, 1887 +42 days
3 July 5 Cindy June 11, 1887 +24 days
4 July 5 Dennis Cindy - July 7, 1959 -2 days
5 July 11 Emily Danny - July 16, 1997 -5 days
6 July 21 Franklin August 4, 1936 -14 days
7 July 24 Gert August 7, 1936 -14 days
8 August 3 Harvey August 15, 1936 -12 days
9 August 7 Irene August 20, 1936 -13 days
10 August 22 Jose Jerry - August 23, 1995 -1 day
11 August 24 Katrina August 28, 1933/1936/
Karen - 1995 -4 days
12 August 31 Lee Luis - August 29, 1995 +2 days
13 September 2 Maria September 8, 1936 -6 days
14 September 5 Nate September 10, 1936 -5 days
15 September 7 Ophelia September 16, 1933 -9 days
16 September 17 Philippe September 27, 1933 -10 days
17 September 18 Rita September 28, 1933 -10 days
18 October 2 Stan October 1, 1933 +1 day
19 October 5 Tammy October 25, 1933 -20 days
20 October 9 Vince October 26, 1933 -17 days
21 October 17 Wilma November 15, 1933 -29 days
22 October 22 Alpha none N/A
23 October 27 Beta none N/A
24 November 18 Gamma none N/A
25 November 23 Delta none N/A
26 November 29 Epsilon none N/A

Thanks, 2005 put it in overdrive and never looked back. :eek:
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#553 Postby danman » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:42 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

nuff said! :eek:
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#554 Postby cycloneye » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:43 pm

070237
TCDAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM EST TUE DEC 06 2005

THE END IS IN SIGHT. IT REALLY REALLY IS.

Look how Forecaster Franklin starts his 10 PM EST discussion. :)
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#555 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:45 pm

The NHC's forecasters have been a little bit sarcastic with Epsilon's discussions!!!
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#556 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:48 pm

cycloneye wrote:070237
TCDAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM EST TUE DEC 06 2005

THE END IS IN SIGHT. IT REALLY REALLY IS.

Look how Forecaster Franklin starts his 10 PM EST discussion. :)


:roflmao: :fools:
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#557 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:54 pm

danman wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

nuff said! :eek:


By the way, the pictures inside the letters. The top one is Katrina, the middle one is Wilma, and the bottom one is Rita. Nice right!
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#558 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:59 pm

Who think that the nhc will be tricked again in this storm will be here 5 days from now. I think so!
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#559 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Dec 06, 2005 10:01 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Who think that the nhc will be tricked again in this storm will be here 5 days from now. I think so!


If that happens, they would need psychological help to help them get through the hulk of hurricanes, Epsilon!
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#560 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Dec 06, 2005 10:16 pm

its developing a MUCH smaller eye now
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