If Katrinas Effects on New Orleans were minimal.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Would Katrina pass Andrew with minimal effects on New Orleans?

Yes
15
68%
No
6
27%
About a tie
1
5%
 
Total votes: 22

Message
Author
facemane
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 117
Joined: Tue Jul 12, 2005 1:36 pm

#21 Postby facemane » Sat Dec 10, 2005 9:17 am

The answer to the poll is yes. The losses of the Casino and related
industries on the Ms. coast would still have Katrina surpassing
Andrew. Derrick is also correct,had it hit farther east, the complete
destruction of Mobile and beachfront properties to it's east would
have to be figured into the monetary damages.
0 likes   

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#22 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Dec 10, 2005 10:29 am

facemane wrote:The answer to the poll is yes. The losses of the Casino and related
industries on the Ms. coast would still have Katrina surpassing
Andrew. Derrick is also correct,had it hit farther east, the complete
destruction of Mobile and beachfront properties to it's east would
have to be figured into the monetary damages.


The waterfront in Mobile was devastated. Dauphin Island was wiped out as was Bayou La Batre, Alabama.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#23 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Dec 10, 2005 12:54 pm

what I meant was instead of just the waster front, all of Mobile would have been devastated
0 likes   

f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#24 Postby f5 » Sat Dec 10, 2005 4:17 pm

if i were in a surge prone area a Katrina type storm would have me worried day and night
0 likes   

DoctorHurricane2003

#25 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Sat Dec 10, 2005 4:36 pm

Derek is right, Mobile Bay acts like a funnel for all the water...that is why we saw such high surges in Downtown even though Katrina was well west of there

Some of the highest potential storm surge values along the gulf coast lie at the tip of Mobile Bay.
0 likes   

User avatar
TS Zack
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 925
Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2004 6:23 pm
Location: Louisiana
Contact:

#26 Postby TS Zack » Sat Dec 10, 2005 4:45 pm

Katrina is the big one until another one comes along and does worse.

I highly doubt a storm could come and take out everything in Louisiana. Going to the West probably wouldn't have broken the Ms River Levee because at some point the winds turned around and the angle wasn't the Up the Mouth Scenario.

It could have been worse but a storm could always be worse, you try to find the good out of a bad situation. In this case, it is the Westbank/River Parishes. I hope this was the Big One, I couldn't picture what worse would be.

I went to Christmas In The Oaks last nigth at City Park and drove down Canal. There is no more Orleans Parish, almost every home has to be gutted or torn down. The best part of town is the French Quarter. City Park is pitch dark unless you are around the Botanical Gardens where they tried their best in lighting with no plants.
0 likes   

f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#27 Postby f5 » Sat Dec 10, 2005 5:03 pm

LSU has studied this for yrs the absolute worst case scenario for NO would be for a CAT 5 coming up the river from a SE or ESE direction.Katrina was about to do that exact scenario but thank god it didn't or otherwise it would of been a nightmere beyond anyone imagination with 10s of thousands dead
0 likes   

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5907
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

#28 Postby MGC » Sat Dec 10, 2005 5:39 pm

Yes, this was the big one for New Orleans. Sure, it could have been worst but Katrina did enough to qualify as "the big one." How could it have been worst? Katrina track 30 miles futher west and the wind not die off as much as they did. Put Katrina's 35 foot surge up Barataria Bay instead of the Mississippi Coast and see the damage that would have come of that track. Mississippi would have still gotten a 20 foot surge from that track. Any place you put Katrina it is still a mega disaster. The 150 mile wide storm surge did way more damage than isolated Cat-5 or Cat-4 winds....MGC
0 likes   

User avatar
StrongWind
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 240
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:02 pm
Location: Deerfield Beach, FL

#29 Postby StrongWind » Sun Dec 11, 2005 3:55 pm

WindRunner wrote:I think we can all safely call Katrina "the big one" for NO, a storm of that magnitude will only affect the city once in our lifetime, probably once every couple hundred years. A direct Cat 5 hit on NO is one of the more unlikely things to happen in the next century, barring significant climate change or other unforseen occurances, now that we have experienced such a close call.

Sounds like a gambler's statement. What happens this year has no bearing on the probability of what happens next year. Same as with a coin toss - getting heads doesn't mean you're more likely to get tails next time. One could even argue that the recent rash of strong GOM storms portends an increased likelyhood of such a hit.
0 likes   

f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#30 Postby f5 » Sun Dec 11, 2005 4:04 pm

Katrina was a wakeup call .Fix the levees PROPERLY or else.there won't be a NO including Burbon st which was spared all the catastrophic flooding other parts of the city experienced
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 77 guests