Powerful Extratropical Low near the Azores

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#41 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 11, 2005 7:26 pm

Image

Image

THE POWER OF NATURE!
0 likes   

whereverwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1109
Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm

#42 Postby whereverwx » Sun Dec 11, 2005 7:37 pm

Is it me, or is the storm drifting north?

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#43 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 11, 2005 7:37 pm

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

It looks like!
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#44 Postby WindRunner » Sun Dec 11, 2005 8:02 pm

I think the center may be shifting north, but the overall circulation appears to be stationary, maybe headed a little south.
0 likes   

quandary
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 362
Joined: Thu Sep 16, 2004 4:04 pm

#45 Postby quandary » Sun Dec 11, 2005 8:26 pm

2 things... if this becomes 97L I will say that it will not form. Invests numbered 97L are always a big disappointment (based on a few significant examples). Also, Epsilon didn't really have all that long to form. It formed fast and stay furious for a long time disregarding conditions.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#46 Postby senorpepr » Sun Dec 11, 2005 8:42 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Holy Smoke-o-roni you bet it would be a busy january you
bet.... :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

I say be get 3 storms/day in january finish the 2006
english abcs go into 2006 greek and then when we finish the
greek WE GO INTO THE ITALIAN ABCs-a local
met said we go italian when the greek runs out....


There is no official plan after the Greek Alphabet other than to use numbers. For instance, following a Tropical Storm Omega would be Tropical Storm Forty-Six. Of course, we won't have to worry about that. We would need at least one named storm to form each day between now and the 31st.

Anyway... why would we use the Italian Alphabet? It isn't distinctive like Greek. Tropical Storm A? or would you say Tropical Storm Ahh? He/She must have been joking and/or doping when he/she made that comment about the Italian alphabet.
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5597
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#47 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 11, 2005 9:12 pm

senorpepr wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Holy Smoke-o-roni you bet it would be a busy january you
bet.... :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

I say be get 3 storms/day in january finish the 2006
english abcs go into 2006 greek and then when we finish the
greek WE GO INTO THE ITALIAN ABCs-a local
met said we go italian when the greek runs out....


There is no official plan after the Greek Alphabet other than to use numbers. For instance, following a Tropical Storm Omega would be Tropical Storm Forty-Six. Of course, we won't have to worry about that. We would need at least one named storm to form each day between now and the 31st.

Anyway... why would we use the Italian Alphabet? It isn't distinctive like Greek. Tropical Storm A? or would you say Tropical Storm Ahh? He/She must have been joking and/or doping when he/she made that comment about the Italian alphabet.


Yeah he was probably joking- I just couldn't tell he was joking given
the gravity behind how the season has been- but yes he was most
likely joking :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#48 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 11, 2005 10:03 pm

Image

THE LOW SEEMS TO BE DEPARTING!
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#49 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 11, 2005 10:07 pm

Image

A LOOP OF THIS INTERESTING LOW!
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#50 Postby mtm4319 » Mon Dec 12, 2005 4:48 am

1:05 AM Tropical Weather Discussion:

Deep layered trough is over the e atlc
extending from an upper low near 33n28w and a 992 mb surface low
near 32n29w. The upper trough covers the area n of 18n from 19w-43w.
An occluded front extends from the surface low n then e to a triple
point near 31n21w with the cold front continuing s along 25n20w to
18n24w then dissipating to 16n28w. Scattered showers/thunderstorms
surround the lows in a band within 45/60 nm of line 30n33w along
29n29w to beyond 32n25w and a broad area of similar activity is
between the lines 26n23w-32n22w and 25n15w-32n18w including the
canary islands.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#51 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 12, 2005 7:21 am

LOOKING A LITTLE MORE INTERESTING:

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image
Last edited by HURAKAN on Mon Dec 12, 2005 7:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#52 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 12, 2005 7:29 am

THANKS CANADA:

Image

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145608
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#53 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 12, 2005 7:37 am

DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IS OVER THE E ATLC EXTENDING FROM AN
UPPER LOW NEAR 34N30W AND A 993 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 33N29W. THE
UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE AREA N OF 16N FROM 19W-45W. AN OCCLUDED
FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SURFACE LOW N THEN E TO A TRIPLE POINT NEAR
32N21W WITH THE COLD FRONT CONTINUING S ALONG 25N19W TO 20N20W THEN
DISSIPATES TO 16N24W IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.



It looks like NHC is not too enthusiastic about it if you read this mornings 7 AM EST discussion.And also GFS 00z run was less bullish.

Sandy I reposted as my post was like a sandwitch between pics. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HurricaneGirl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5839
Age: 60
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Clare, Michigan
Contact:

#54 Postby HurricaneGirl » Mon Dec 12, 2005 8:07 am

:eek: What in the world is going on???
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#55 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 12, 2005 8:17 am

HurricaneGirl wrote::eek: What in the world is going on???


IT SEEMS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS TRYING TO BECOME "ZETA". WILL THE NHC ALLOW IT?
0 likes   

flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#56 Postby flhurricaneguy » Mon Dec 12, 2005 10:17 am

i think the NHC went home for the holidays
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145608
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#57 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 12, 2005 12:27 pm

Image

12z GFS at 36 hours has the low but more weaker then what it is now.

Image

12z GFS at 72 hours loses the low. In other words this model is not bullish at all with it.By the way look at that very strong azores high that GFS is showing.
0 likes   

Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#58 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Dec 12, 2005 12:39 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
HurricaneGirl wrote::eek: What in the world is going on???


IT SEEMS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS TRYING TO BECOME "ZETA". WILL THE NHC ALLOW IT?


It's not a matter of the NHC allowing it. This is an extra-tropical low that is right now a deep cold core system and no where close to being tropical. Nicely occluded. ATM its not trying to do anything but be extratropical with that classic look of an extratropical system. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
terstorm1012
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1314
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:36 pm
Location: Millersburg, PA

#59 Postby terstorm1012 » Mon Dec 12, 2005 12:52 pm

It almost looks like a polar low to me

beautiful system btw. very nice.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145608
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#60 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 12, 2005 1:04 pm

A 993 MB STORM CENTER IS LOCATED IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 34N31W
MOVING TO THE WEST 10 KT. NEAR THE LOW, THERE ARE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
ROTATING AROUND IT, WITH SOME ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS WITHIN 90NM
IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND EXTENDING OUT TO 270 NM IN THE
NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.


:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

1 PM EST Discussion doesn't say much about the low.This has cold all around it and it's more north in latitud than what Epsilon was when it developed so the chances to see Zeta from this are very slim unless it moves south and begins to transition to warm core.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: BobHarlem, Cpv17, Javlin, Kohlecane, ouragans, South Texas Storms, Steve, TheBurn, TomballEd, zzzh and 351 guests