Official GA/AL/TN/NC/SC Cold Winter Rain Thread.
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Brent wrote:8-)
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-
BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-
CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-
TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-
JASPER-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE...
ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...CONYERS...
COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN
No Cobb?

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JenyEliza wrote:Brent wrote:8-)
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-
BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-
CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-
TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-
JASPER-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE...
ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...CONYERS...
COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN
No Cobb?

Maybe it doesn't like you.

It doesn't have North Fulton either...
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#neversummer
Brent wrote:JenyEliza wrote:Brent wrote:8-)
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-
BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-
CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-
TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-
JASPER-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE...
ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...CONYERS...
COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN
No Cobb?
![]()
Maybe it doesn't like you.
It doesn't have North Fulton either...
Well, being I am in a tri-county border situation, I usually look for Cobb, since that dictates school issues.

Jen
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- storms in NC
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Brent wrote:8-)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ifps/MapClick.p ... &map.y=171
That is just across the stateline from me. Just north of that in the same county(Heard), it's got rain/snow mix for this afternoon.![]()
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ001>005-011-012-019-020-030-031-036>039-041>044-046>060-150845-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-
BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-
CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-
TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-
JASPER-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE...
ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...CONYERS...
COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
...BRIEF WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA...
A WEDGE OF COLD DRY AIR HAS BUILT INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. AS
MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THIS WARM AND MOIST AIR
WILL RIDE UP OVER THE COLD DOME. RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH LIGHT
SLEET...SNOW FLURRIES...OR PERHAPS SOME FREEZING RAIN...BUT NO
IMPACTS SHOULD BE FELT AS ANY FREEZING OR FROZEN PRECIPITATION
THAT FALLS SHOULD QUICKLY MELT. WHILE WINTRY PRECIPITATION CANNOT
BE RULED OUT THROUGH THIS EVENT...MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN LIQUID.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
154 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ042-048-049-052>062-066>076-078>084-089>091-093>095-142100-
BALDWIN-BIBB-BUTTS-CARROLL-CHATTAHOOCHEE-CLAYTON-COWETA-CRAWFORD-
FAYETTE-GLASCOCK-HANCOCK-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-
JONES-LAMAR-MACON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MORGAN-MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-
PEACH-PIKE-PUTNAM-SPALDING-TALBOT-TAYLOR-TROUP-TWIGGS-UPSON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WILKINSON-
154 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
.NOW...
AN AREA OF LIGHT RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTH GEORGIA AND WILL AFFECT THE AREAS FROM FRANKLIN TO
CARROLLTON TO ATLANTA...AND FROM COVINGTON TO ATHENS. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 400 PM EST...HOWEVER THERE MAY BE
A FEW ICY PATCHES...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. DRIVERS
ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION.
Just not fair. I want some tooo


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Jeny... here 'ya go, they put out 2:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ006>009-013-021-025-027-032>035-045-150845-
FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-CHEROKEE-JACKSON-MADISON-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-DEKALB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...LAWRENCEVILLE...
DECATUR
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
...MIXED PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...
A WEDGE OF COLD DRY AIR HAS BUILT INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. AS
MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THIS WARMER AND MOIST AIR
WILL RIDE UP OVER THE COLD DOME. AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO FALL
INTO THE COLD AIR...RAIN MAY INITIALLY MIX WITH LIGHT SLEET OR
SNOW FLURRIES THIS EVENING...OR PERHAPS CHANGE OVER BRIEFLY TO
FREEZING RAIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THROUGH MOST OF
THE EVENT...THE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIQUID.
WITH PRE-EXISTING WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES...AND FREEZING OR FROZEN
PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON ROAD
SURFACES...ALTHOUGH SOME ICE MAY ACCUMULATE AT TREETOP LEVEL.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ006>009-013-021-025-027-032>035-045-150845-
FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-CHEROKEE-JACKSON-MADISON-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-DEKALB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...LAWRENCEVILLE...
DECATUR
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
...MIXED PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...
A WEDGE OF COLD DRY AIR HAS BUILT INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. AS
MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THIS WARMER AND MOIST AIR
WILL RIDE UP OVER THE COLD DOME. AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO FALL
INTO THE COLD AIR...RAIN MAY INITIALLY MIX WITH LIGHT SLEET OR
SNOW FLURRIES THIS EVENING...OR PERHAPS CHANGE OVER BRIEFLY TO
FREEZING RAIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THROUGH MOST OF
THE EVENT...THE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIQUID.
WITH PRE-EXISTING WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES...AND FREEZING OR FROZEN
PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON ROAD
SURFACES...ALTHOUGH SOME ICE MAY ACCUMULATE AT TREETOP LEVEL.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
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#neversummer
Not sure if this has already been posted.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
241 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
CAD WEDGE HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE DAY AS LOWER DEWPOINTS HAVE FILTERED IN FROM THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS UPSTREAM ARE A BIT WORRISOME...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR EVAPORATIVE COOLING. SOME PRECIPITATION HAS ALREADY BEGUN ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...WE HAVE RECEIVED SCATTERED REPORTS OF LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW FLURRIES THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS...NOT SURPRISING GIVEN THE PROFILE AND THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF THE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...WITH TEMPERATURES STEADY FOR A WHILE THEN SLOWLY DECREASING.
DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA ARE HIGH ENOUGH THAT EVAPORATIVE COOLING MAY QUICKLY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO THE FREEZING MARK AGAIN. TEMPS SHOULD THEN HOVER NEAR THE FREEZING LEVEL MOST OF THE NIGHT IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS...WHILE FOR MOST OF THE REST OF THE AREA TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING. EXACT TEMPERATURES WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT AND WILL DEPEND ON ONSET OF PRECIPITATION...HOW LONG IT TAKES TO REACH SATURATION...AND HOW WARM TEMPERATURES ACTUALLY GET TODAY...AMONG OTHER THINGS. MEANWHILE...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN IN EARNEST THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT. OF COURSE...THE FIRST BIT OF QPF /PERHAPS NOT QUITE THE TYPICAL QUARTER OF AN INCH OR SO/ WILL GO INTO EVAPORATIVE COOLING. MOST OF THE PRECIP SHOULD BE RAIN...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A CONTINUED MIX ACROSS THE AREA...BUT ANYTHING THAT DOES FALL AS FREEZING OR FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL MELT AND NO IMPACTS WILL BE FELT...EXCEPT IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA. AN UPDATED SPS WILL BE ISSUED TO DISCUSS THE SITUATION.
ALSO...WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A FEW COUNTIES IN THE CLIMATOLOGICALLY PREFERRED CAD AREA. WITH TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR FREEZING...AND WBZ`S BELOW FREEZING UNTIL NEAR 12Z THURSDAY... THE GRADIENT OF WBZ`S BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND TREETOP LEVEL WOULD BE PLENTY TO ALLOW FOR SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ON TREES AND
POWERLINES. PRE-EXISTING WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WOULD PRECLUDE ANY ROAD OR TRAVEL PROBLEMS FOR THE MOST PART...EXCEPT PERHAPS ON A FEW EXPOSED BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. NOMOGRAM THICKNESSES FOR THE GVL AREA /AND NATURALLY AREAS NORTH AND EAST WOULD BE COOLER/ BEGIN IN THE "WINTRY MIXTURE" AREA...CROSS INTO FREEZING RAIN/RAIN...AND
FINALLY INTO RAIN BY THURSDAY MORNING. WBZ`S ARE USED TO DELINEATE BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN AND THESE ARE BELOW FREEZING FOR THE MOST PART OVERNIGHT...HENCE THE NEED FOR A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AGAIN...ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ONLY AT NUISANCE LEVELS...BELOW 1/4 INCH.
OF THE GFS AND THE NAM...THE GFS IS THE MORE PREFERRED TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST /NAM HAS A LOT OF CONVECTIVE PRECIP ALONG THE COAST THAT HAS YET TO MATERIALIZE/...BUT HAVE STILL OPTED TO SLOW IT DOWN SOMEWHAT AND ADJUST THE CIRCULATION CENTER FURTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE BAROCLINICITY OF THE COASTAL AREAS /A MORE TYPICALLY PREFERRED TRACK OF COASTAL LOWS/. EROSION
SEEMS TO BE TOO FAST...SO HAVE KEPT POPS IN FOR MOST OF THE DAY
THURSDAY. HOWEVER... MOSTLY CLEAR FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE TOTALLY DEPENDENT UPON HOW QUICKLY THE PARENT HIGH MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST...HOW QUICKLY THEN THE CAD WEDGE ERODES...AND IF THERE IS ANY WRAPAROUND PRECIPITATION. FOR NOW...UPPER 30S NORTHEAST...AND POTENTIAL FOR NEAR 60 SOUTHERN ZONES. NEAR FREEZING THURSDAY NIGHT. 40S AND 50S FOR FRIDAY...AND COOLING AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT WITH 20S AND 30S.
THANKS MRX/GSP/CAE/CHS FOR COLLABORATION WITH THIS EVENT.
.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST WHILE ANOTHER COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE GULF COAST. IT SPREADS PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY ON SUNDAY...PARTS OF NORTH GEORGIA MAY SEE SOME SNOW EARLY THAT MORNING. FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE EAST COAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WHILE YET MORE MOISTURE IS PULLED INTO THE AREA FROM ANOTHER GULF COAST SYSTEM. STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW
BEHIND THIS MAY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO COOL ENOUGH TO BRING SNOW AGAIN TO NORTHERN GEORGIA...BUT FOR NOW ONLY RAIN IN THE FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGHS 40S AND 50S...LOWS 20S AND 30S.
&&
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Brent wrote:Jeny... here 'ya go, they put out 2:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ006>009-013-021-025-027-032>035-045-150845-
FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-CHEROKEE-JACKSON-MADISON-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-DEKALB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...LAWRENCEVILLE...
DECATUR
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
...MIXED PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...
A WEDGE OF COLD DRY AIR HAS BUILT INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. AS
MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THIS WARMER AND MOIST AIR
WILL RIDE UP OVER THE COLD DOME. AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO FALL
INTO THE COLD AIR...RAIN MAY INITIALLY MIX WITH LIGHT SLEET OR
SNOW FLURRIES THIS EVENING...OR PERHAPS CHANGE OVER BRIEFLY TO
FREEZING RAIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THROUGH MOST OF
THE EVENT...THE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIQUID.
WITH PRE-EXISTING WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES...AND FREEZING OR FROZEN
PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON ROAD
SURFACES...ALTHOUGH SOME ICE MAY ACCUMULATE AT TREETOP LEVEL.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
Let's hope we don't have ice in treetops. Last time it happed, the large pines in our yard lost their tops on our house (while we were asleep--but quickly awakened me).
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storms in NC wrote:Brent wrote:8-)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ifps/MapClick.p ... &map.y=171
That is just across the stateline from me. Just north of that in the same county(Heard), it's got rain/snow mix for this afternoon.![]()
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ001>005-011-012-019-020-030-031-036>039-041>044-046>060-150845-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-
BARTOW-POLK-PAULDING-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-
CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-
TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-
JASPER-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE...
ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...CONYERS...
COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN
335 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
...BRIEF WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA...
A WEDGE OF COLD DRY AIR HAS BUILT INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. AS
MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THIS WARM AND MOIST AIR
WILL RIDE UP OVER THE COLD DOME. RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH LIGHT
SLEET...SNOW FLURRIES...OR PERHAPS SOME FREEZING RAIN...BUT NO
IMPACTS SHOULD BE FELT AS ANY FREEZING OR FROZEN PRECIPITATION
THAT FALLS SHOULD QUICKLY MELT. WHILE WINTRY PRECIPITATION CANNOT
BE RULED OUT THROUGH THIS EVENT...MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN LIQUID.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
154 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
GAZ042-048-049-052>062-066>076-078>084-089>091-093>095-142100-
BALDWIN-BIBB-BUTTS-CARROLL-CHATTAHOOCHEE-CLAYTON-COWETA-CRAWFORD-
FAYETTE-GLASCOCK-HANCOCK-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-
JONES-LAMAR-MACON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MORGAN-MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-
PEACH-PIKE-PUTNAM-SPALDING-TALBOT-TAYLOR-TROUP-TWIGGS-UPSON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WILKINSON-
154 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
.NOW...
AN AREA OF LIGHT RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTH GEORGIA AND WILL AFFECT THE AREAS FROM FRANKLIN TO
CARROLLTON TO ATLANTA...AND FROM COVINGTON TO ATHENS. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 400 PM EST...HOWEVER THERE MAY BE
A FEW ICY PATCHES...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. DRIVERS
ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION.
Just not fair. I want some tooo![]()
I feel your pain. Normally, we sit underneath a dome that shields us from wintry precip. It goes north, south, west or east of us. But never on us.

This is probably all an elaborate joke on us anyway.

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JenyEliza wrote:Let's hope we don't have ice in treetops. Last time it happed, the large pines in our yard lost their tops on our house (while we were asleep--but quickly awakened me).
If they were expecting that much accumulation, there would be at least an advisory out... since that could cause power outages. Now that's subject to change obviously.
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#neversummer
- storms in NC
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- Contact:
FXUS62 KMHX 142121
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
421 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...WRN GULF SFC LOW
TAKING SHAPE OFF THE TX/LA COAST WITH STG/SVR CONVECTION NOW
OCCURRING OVER THAT REGION. DECENT AGREEMENT THRU THE FIRST 48
HOURS BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM REGARDING GENERAL TRACK OF LOW
INLAND ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR. DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY
QUITE LOW (IN THE TEENS AND 20S) ACROSS OUR CWA...SO IT WILL TAKE
QUITE A BIT OF SATURATION TONIGHT TO OVERCOME THIS DRY SFC AIR. DO
NOT REALLY EXPECT TO SEE MUCH OF A CHANCE OF RAIN BEFORE ABOUT 12Z
WITH POPS BECOMING NEAR 100 PERCENT THRU THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS ON THURSDAY THEN SHIFTING TO THE COAST AND OFFSHORE BETWEEN
00Z AND 06Z FRIDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO INCLUDE MENTION OF THUNDER
NEAR THE COAST WHERE BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SHOW SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY. MODEL QPF TOTALS STILL SHOW ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
MUCH OF THE CWA FOR THIS EVENT. TEMPS WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY TONIGHT
INTO THE 30S BEFORE SLOWLY RISING TOWARD MORNING. WITH PRETTY
MUCH THE ENTIRE CWA ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE LOW...TEMPS SHOULD
WARM WELL INTO THE 50S TOMORROW. PRECIP SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE
BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z FRIDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...FRIDAY WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY DRY AIR AND SUNSHINE BATTLING CAA. WITH A MILD
START DUE TO CLOUDS...TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO REACH WELL INTO THE
50S BEFORE DROPPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SATURDAY SHOULD BE DRY AND
COOLER WITH TEMPS REMAINING IN THE 40S. NEXT IN THE SERIES OF CSTL
LOWS TO AFFECT THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THERMAL PROFILE LOOKS A BIT
WARMER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF ANY WINTRY
PRECIP BEING A MIX OF RAIN AND WET SNOW OVER THE NRN TIER BASED ON
COLD H8 TEMPS. AFTER DRY WX MON AND TUE...WEDS LOOKS A BIT MORE
INTERESTING IN TERMS OF WINTRY WX AS CRITICAL THICKNESSES WILL BE
A BIT LOWER WITH H8 ZERO DEGREE ISOTHERM ON THE COAST AND A
STRONGER SFC A LTL FURTHER OFFSHORE. AT THIS POINT...WILL HAVE A
CHC OF RAIN OR SNOW AND NOT GET TOO CARRIED AWAY.
There is a little hope for next week
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
421 PM EST WED DEC 14 2005
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...WRN GULF SFC LOW
TAKING SHAPE OFF THE TX/LA COAST WITH STG/SVR CONVECTION NOW
OCCURRING OVER THAT REGION. DECENT AGREEMENT THRU THE FIRST 48
HOURS BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM REGARDING GENERAL TRACK OF LOW
INLAND ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR. DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY
QUITE LOW (IN THE TEENS AND 20S) ACROSS OUR CWA...SO IT WILL TAKE
QUITE A BIT OF SATURATION TONIGHT TO OVERCOME THIS DRY SFC AIR. DO
NOT REALLY EXPECT TO SEE MUCH OF A CHANCE OF RAIN BEFORE ABOUT 12Z
WITH POPS BECOMING NEAR 100 PERCENT THRU THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS ON THURSDAY THEN SHIFTING TO THE COAST AND OFFSHORE BETWEEN
00Z AND 06Z FRIDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO INCLUDE MENTION OF THUNDER
NEAR THE COAST WHERE BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SHOW SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY. MODEL QPF TOTALS STILL SHOW ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
MUCH OF THE CWA FOR THIS EVENT. TEMPS WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY TONIGHT
INTO THE 30S BEFORE SLOWLY RISING TOWARD MORNING. WITH PRETTY
MUCH THE ENTIRE CWA ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE LOW...TEMPS SHOULD
WARM WELL INTO THE 50S TOMORROW. PRECIP SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE
BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z FRIDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...FRIDAY WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY DRY AIR AND SUNSHINE BATTLING CAA. WITH A MILD
START DUE TO CLOUDS...TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO REACH WELL INTO THE
50S BEFORE DROPPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SATURDAY SHOULD BE DRY AND
COOLER WITH TEMPS REMAINING IN THE 40S. NEXT IN THE SERIES OF CSTL
LOWS TO AFFECT THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THERMAL PROFILE LOOKS A BIT
WARMER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF ANY WINTRY
PRECIP BEING A MIX OF RAIN AND WET SNOW OVER THE NRN TIER BASED ON
COLD H8 TEMPS. AFTER DRY WX MON AND TUE...WEDS LOOKS A BIT MORE
INTERESTING IN TERMS OF WINTRY WX AS CRITICAL THICKNESSES WILL BE
A BIT LOWER WITH H8 ZERO DEGREE ISOTHERM ON THE COAST AND A
STRONGER SFC A LTL FURTHER OFFSHORE. AT THIS POINT...WILL HAVE A
CHC OF RAIN OR SNOW AND NOT GET TOO CARRIED AWAY.
There is a little hope for next week

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Brent wrote:JenyEliza wrote:Let's hope we don't have ice in treetops. Last time it happed, the large pines in our yard lost their tops on our house (while we were asleep--but quickly awakened me).
If they were expecting that much accumulation, there would be at least an advisory out... since that could cause power outages. Now that's subject to change obviously.
Didn't have an advisory the night that happened to us. Came right out of the blue.

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Zone forecast for me... first time snow has been mentioned all season.

<snip> Nothing interesting before this.
Saturday Night...Cloudy. Rain likely...Possibly mixed with snow. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Tuesday Night...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain or snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
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#neversummer
Brent wrote::slime:
Zone forecast for me... first time snow has been mentioned all season.
<snip> Nothing interesting before this.
Saturday Night...Cloudy. Rain likely...Possibly mixed with snow. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Tuesday Night...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain or snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
It'll say cold rain before you know it.

(trying not to jinx your snow by getting excited for you)
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