Snow thread for Louisiana

[cajungal]

I did not mean to start a new thread, but everyone on this winter board seems to only be talking about Texas. I felt left out! If anything interesting may come to Louisiana- Please Post it here!

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

Anything that goes to Louisiana has to come from Texas. You can't have it any other way.

[Huckster]

Unfortunately, I haven't seen any serious talk about snow for you and me in southeast LA. There's not even a hint of it in the forecasts or forecast discussions from Lake Charles or Slidell. I hope that will change, but I doubt it.

[cajungal]

Unfortunately, I haven't seen any serious talk about snow for you and me in southeast LA. There's not even a hint of it in the forecasts or forecast discussions from Lake Charles or Slidell. I hope that will change, but I doubt it.

On channel 4 news New Orleans weather forum, they were really hyping it up yesterday. I do not see any talk about any chance of wintery weather on the news or anywhere else. I think it may happen for somebody, just not us. Not this week anyway. Maybe a better chance last week of December or January. And not always what happens to Texas first, happens to us next. There is plenty of times where stuff happened in Texas and died before it got to us.

[gboudx]

cajungal, it's still a week away for you. Don't get too up or down this far out. Let the models continue to show consistency for a few days, then you'll probably hear a lot more about it. Professional met, jeff, posted a forecast on page 20 of the "Snow for Texas" thread. He mentioned a possibility of wintry precip for SETX. Well, last year SETX got snow and so did parts of South La.

[LAwxrgal]

Hi gboudx,

We deserve something good weatherwise after what's happened this year...We can't possibly have ANOTHER White Christmas....can we? That too much to ask? I'm greedy, I want more snow! (Just don't ask me to travel in it. I have a horror story about that)

I still have my pics from the last one!

I can't say I've been following the models closely this year...

[gboudx]

Hi gboudx,

We deserve something good weatherwise after what's happened this year...We can't possibly have ANOTHER White Christmas....can we? That too much to ask?

I still have my pics from the last one!

I can't say I've been following the models closely this year...

I know all too well what's happened down there. I grew up on the Westbank and still have family in Lafitte. My parents home had wind damage from Katrina, but my in-laws home had wind damage from Katrina and flooded with 8" of water from Rita. And if that's not bad enough, my mother-in-law passed away at our house here in Rockwall the day before Thanksgiving. She never did go back to Lafitte after evacuating for Katrina. When we went back for her funeral, we spent 3 days in my father-in-laws house gutting out most of his sheetrock. So, yeah, it's been hell. Everyone could use a nice white Christmas and I sincerely hope all of SELA gets one this year. Maybe it would be enough to cover the blue tarps on the rooves and make things appear "normal".

[Steve]

It snowed last Christmas. Some posters (not I) discussed the possibility of Gulf snow years and hurricanes. Who knew?

Steve

[LAwxrgal]

For old times sake:





Now all these houses (including mine) are covered with blue tarps...I just want some snow to cover them up

[cajungal]

I wish I would of had my digital camera BEFORE Christmas instead of getting it after. Because I have no way to show you any pictures of last year. We had way more snow than that! We had over an inch. Total winter wonderland here. I just looked at a map that they put up in the channel 4 New Orleans weather forum. The freeze line is still north of New Orleans, but covers most of Texas almost to Houston. But, when will our 7-day outlook change if it is going to get that cold? It is still showing temps in the upper 50's for Monday-Tuesday. We won't have a chance in the world to get any frozen stuff with temps that high. I think I got totally spoiled with seeing snow last Christmas.

[Mattie]

I will be home in Texas for the "winter event" as predicted for the first part of the week and then traveling to Louisiana (Baton Rouge area) on the 22nd - so maybe I'll just bring whatever Texas gets with me. That should make us ALL happy!!

[f5]

should we have winter thread for all 50 states?

[PTrackerLA]

This is from NWS New Orleans, very interesting discussion.

NEXT SYSTEM IS VERY INTERESTING...BUT THIS IS THE FIRST RUN.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OR TROUGH HAS BEEN HANGING AROUND HUDSON BAY AND AN
ANOTHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ROTATE AROUND THE EDGE FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
ECMWF AND GFS SHOWED A 1034MB HIGH OVER OK AND NORTH TEXAS.
HOWEVER...GFS HANGS THE TROUGH BACK WEST WHILE ECMWF BRINGS A
SHORT WAVE ACROSS MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY. GFS THICKNESS
1000 TO 700MB SHOWS A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS
CONUS WITH THE 2840M LINE FROM LCH TO BTR TO JUST NORTH OF MOB BY
12Z. ANY THICKNESS VALUES LESS THAN 2800M WILL PROMOTE ALL SNOW
PRECIP...2800 TO 2840 IS MIXED PRECIP. ANOTHER LOW IS EXPECTED
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF LOW...SOMEWHAT SOUTH FOR PRECIP. ACCORDING
GFS MODEL SOUNDING...LOWER LEVELS WILL BE DRY. HOWEVER...PRECIP
THAT FALL INTO ATM COULD BRING DOWN TEMP TO FREEZING. THIS IS THE
FIRST RUN AND 7 DAYS OUT...WILL KEEP IT AS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN FOR WEDNESDAY FOR NOW.

[Kennethb]

General rules for sneaux in Louisiana:

Rarely in December, more likely in January and February.

Better chance of occurring if it is not predicted.

Most of the time, the lower the temperature falls, the more likely that the precipitation is moving out.

[cajungal]

Timing is everything for a gulf coast snowstorm. You are right. Usually by the time the temps even drop close to freezing, all the moisture is gone.

[WXextreme]

Day six is looking very interesting!

http://weather.unisys.com/mrf/6d/mrf_1000_6d.html

[canetracker]

Lets hope the models stay interesting. Here is the updated Area forecast discussion from the NWS - New Orleans:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
925 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2005

.UPDATED GRIDS TO ADD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY VALID TONIGHT.
.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS CENTER AROUND PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND AND AGAIN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS SIMILAR IN MOVING POTENT SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGIONSATURDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR A SOAKING OVERRUNNING RAIN EVENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS PROGD TO DEVELOP
WITH THIS SYSTEM TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH GULF SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. FORECAST STABILITY WOULD SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OUTER SECTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS IN THE OFFING FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MODELS FORECAST ANOTHER POTENT SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA BY WEDNESDAY WITH THE GFS
CLOSING OFF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GULF COAST REGION AND THE ECMWF ALSO SUGGESTING A CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. IN A MANNER SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM... A SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH GULF WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WELL. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO RESULT IN A LITTLE WINTRY WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS THIS SECOND SYSTEM.
___________________________________________

Happy Holidays!

[cajungal]

I will have to wait until at least January. I don't think the temperatures are going to produce anything other than plain rain here in Terrebonne Parish.