Snow for NC Sunday and Monday?

[storms in NC]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
357 PM EST THU DEC 15 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...LARGE SHIELD OF RAINFALL...SOME OF IT
HEAVY MOVING INTO OUR SRN AND WRN CWA AND WILL CONTINUE
CATEGORICAL POPS THRU MUCH OF THE EVENING HOURS. SFC LOW PRES
DEVELOPING S OF MACON GEORGIA AND SHOULD SHIFT EAST TO NEAR THE
COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WEDGE OF COLD AIR STILL HOLDING
TOUGH OVER THE WRN PIEDMONT WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE WESTERN EXTENT
OF THE LOW TRACK. BEST TRACK LOOKS TO BE ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR
OR JUST EAST OF THERE ALONG THE AXIS OF BEST PRES FALLS. WINDS ARE
INCREASING OFF OUR SRN COAST AND SHOULD SEE SOME LOCALIZED GUSTS
TO PERHAPS 40 MPH ALONG THE SRN COAST AND 45 MPH NEAR
HATTERAS...SO WILL CONTINUE WIND ADVISORY MAINLY FOR THE GUST
POTENTIAL. BULK OF PRECIP SHOULD END BY 06Z OR SO WITH WINDS
GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE WESTERLY TOWARD MORNING WITH RAPID DRYING
EXPECTED. CLOUDS AND RAINFALL SHOULD LIMIT MIN TEMPS TO THE MIDDLE
40S.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...ACTIVE PATTERN OVER THE
NEXT WEEK WITH GENERAL TROFFINESS OVER THE ERN US. NEXT IN THE
SERIES OF SYSTEMS TO AFFECT US LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. INTERESTING THERMAL PROFILE AS H8 TEMPS WILL BE IN
THE -1 TO -2C RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA AROUND 12Z SUNDAY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE BEST DEEP OMEGA AND MOISTURE. HOWEVER...THE
LOW LEVEL CRITICAL THICKNESS VALUES ARE QUITE HIGH WHICH WOULD
IMPLY MORE RAIN PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME WET SNOW. WILL HAVE THIS
IN THE FCST FOR THE PERIOD LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL KEEP TEMPS QUITE CHILLY SUNDAY
WITH MAXES STRUGGLE TO GET MUCH ABOVE 40 IN MOST AREAS. NEXT
SYSTEM WILL BE A STRONG NW FLOW H5 SHORTWAVE MONDAY NIGHT.
COMBINATION OF STRONG LIFT AND DYNAMICAL COOLING...H8 TEMPS AND
LOWERING THICKNESS COULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF SNOW LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SCENARIO HAS LED TO SEVERAL MINOR
SNOW EVENTS OVER THE PAST FEW YEARS AND WILL BEAR WATCHING. FOR
NOW...WILL FCST RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FOR MON NIGHT. REMAINDER OF
NEXT WEEK SHOULD BE DRY WITH UPPER FLOW BECOMING A BIT MORE ZONAL.

[coolwater]

Chances for snow here in the Asheboro area?

[Brent]

If it does happen, it's going to be closer to the coast. Not in the mountains.

[WindRunner]

I've been watching this, looks like another good storm for you guys. Nothing but "heavy" clouds up here, though.

[Lowpressure]

Focus can shift to the new system now that the ice storm is over. We will have a lot of ice here in the morning with temps around 28 and ice/water everywhere. To make it worse, dense fog forming.

Looks like we will have two chances at winter weather in the next 5 days.

[storms in NC]

Well it looks like the warm will win out here. But still have frezzening rain sat night and than rain on Sunday.

[coolwater]

Well it looks like the warm will win out here. But still have frezzening rain sat night and than rain on Sunday.

Not so fast my friend.

[txwatcher91]

Well it looks like the warm will win out here. But still have frezzening rain sat night and than rain on Sunday.

Read this.

FXUS62 KILM 161523
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1020 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY)...
LOW CLOUDS HAVE SCOURED OUT/DISSIPATED AND EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY FOR
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. TEMPS ON TARGET TO REACH LOWER TO MID 50S AS
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY)...
AFTER LOOKING AT PARTIAL THICKNESS SCHEMES...I DECIDED TO INCLUDE AT
LEAST A CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND/OR SLEET FOR NW AND
N PORTIONS OF THE CWA OVERNIGHT SATURDAY AND INTO FIRST PART OF
SUNDAY MORNING. WILL BE LOOKING AT THIS MORE CLOSELY AS THE NEW
GUIDANCE COMES IN...AT THIS POINT GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE TRENDING
COLDER.

[coolwater]

This one reminds me of the Jan. 2000 storm.

Central N.C. is going to get a nice stowstorm out of this one.

[txwatcher91]

This one reminds me of the Jan. 2000 storm.

Central N.C. is going to get a nice stowstorm out of this one.

What about Greenville,N.C.? I hope we get some snow here.

[Brent]

As of now... the only chance of snow(and it is small and brief) will be during the very early hours Sunday... you might get lucky and get enough to cover the ground for a short time before the rain melts it. After that... as of now, looks dry.

Saturday Night: A chance of sprinkles and snow after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low near 33. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow and freezing rain before 9am, then rain likely and possibly mixed with freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

[coolwater]

As of now... the only chance of snow(and it is small and brief) will be during the very early hours Sunday... you might get lucky and get enough to cover the ground for a short time before the rain melts it. After that... as of now, looks dry.

Saturday Night: A chance of sprinkles and snow after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low near 33. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow and freezing rain before 9am, then rain likely and possibly mixed with freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Brent, that's not for Central NC I hope, because if so you are way off. The Traid region(Greensboro, High Point) are looking at a nice set up.

[txwatcher91]

As of now... the only chance of snow(and it is small and brief) will be during the very early hours Sunday... you might get lucky and get enough to cover the ground for a short time before the rain melts it. After that... as of now, looks dry.

Saturday Night: A chance of sprinkles and snow after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low near 33. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow and freezing rain before 9am, then rain likely and possibly mixed with freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Yeah, that may be true, but are local met said that the models are trending colder as of now and he said that we would probably get all snow or a mix. Also, it has snowed here when it has been as warm as 39F, so with a high of 35F, we could possibly get all snow.

[Skywatch_NC]

At least for Raleigh as it stands for right now accdg to NWS:

Saturday Night:

Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 20 percent.

Sunday:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

[JETSTREAM BOB]

It says that Brent is in Alabama----------that's along way from central N.C........................JSB

[Skywatch_NC]

Update from NWS for Raleigh:

Saturday Night:

Cloudy. A slight chance of rain in the evening...then a chance of rain and snow. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Sunday:

Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs around 40. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

[truballer#1]

some models are starting to trend north with this storm now.

[brunota2003]

that would mean more of a chance of snow for me, right???

[storms in NC]

It will not go North. It will go as far as Va. and out to sea. Just wait and see.

[truballer#1]

this model shows 8+" for mid atlantic