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if another hurricane center was build where would it be?

Poll ended at Sat Dec 31, 2005 9:59 pm

tampa
3
9%
new orleans
5
14%
new york
0
No votes
dc
11
31%
houston
7
20%
biloxi
3
9%
cape hatteras
6
17%
 
Total votes: 35

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JonathanBelles
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National Hurricane Center

#1 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:59 pm

any opinions?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Dec 24, 2005 10:12 pm

If a Katrina like cat5 moved right over the NHC. In flaten it the safest bet would be DC. Reason is the hurricane would not be that strong once it made it to DC. So thats the best choice on there.
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#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Dec 24, 2005 11:21 pm

Yea New York sounds good.

Tampa Bay is not a place to build an NHC center. Man this
place is sooo prone to surge- a strong thunderstorm
or line of storms can push a big surge up Tampa Bay.
You don't even need a hurricane to send tidal flooding.

In 1998, a big squall moved in, gusty 60-70 mph winds ahead of
the squall pushed a surge of 6-8 foot rise in tides IT WAS DEADLY!!!
I was 10 Years old my dad was driving on a road at 6 feet above
sea level- the road was quickly inundated with surge and
water pushed the car and it was really unbelievable seeing
everything go underwater.
Anyway...Tampa Bay...is so prone to surge, a big thunderstorm
in 2004 made the tides rise 3-4 feet in 90 minutes. FLooded
all the mobile homes in this one neighborhood in NE St.Pete.

So even a Cat 1-2 coming in at the nightmare angle (just north
of tampa landfall) would create DISASTER in terms of surge.
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#4 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:18 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:If a Katrina like cat5 moved right over the NHC. In flaten it the safest bet would be DC. Reason is the hurricane would not be that strong once it made it to DC. So thats the best choice on there.


yes but many strong storms like andrew have moved over miami where the current NHC is
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#5 Postby george_r_1961 » Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:57 am

One place I would NOT put it is at Cape Hatteras. Its a barrier island off the NC coast, not a good place. In fact there used to be an NWS office at Hatteras; it was closed during the reorganization in the mid 90's
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#6 Postby senorpepr » Sun Dec 25, 2005 4:40 am

Personally, I would never expect it to leave Miami. It's a public reception issue.

An NHC office in Washington or in New York would not get any respect because they are not a "tropical" area. Yeah, they may get some tropical cyclones, but it doesn't make since to build a national center there. The Storm Prediction Center is in the heart of the action--Oklahoma. It makes sense. The National Hurricane Center makes sense to remain where it is in Florida.

Cape Hatteras wouldn't fly either. You need a staff to run the office and the local community really wouldn't support such an office. Same goes for Biloxi. Hell... where in Biloxi would you put an NHC office--top floor of the Beau Rivage?

As for the other three locations (Tampa, New Orleans, and Houston), while you have the aforementioned issues accounted for, you don't serve a purpose for a move. Why move from Miami to Tampa? ...to New Orleans? ...to Houston? Even if the office was destroyed, it would be cheaper to rebuilt on location than to move to another location. Remember, if they move from Miami to another place, they have to pay to move all the employees. That alone would cost more that the building itself.
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#7 Postby x-y-no » Sun Dec 25, 2005 11:06 am

I agree with senorpepr, I sse no sense in moving from Miami.
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#8 Postby Pearl River » Sun Dec 25, 2005 3:52 pm

Back in the 60's, when a storm entered a certain area of the Atlantic, GOM or Carribbean, certain weather services took over from the NHC and issued advisories. Example; west of 85 and north of 20, New Orleans took over issuing advisories. I believe Boston and San Juan were the others.
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#9 Postby Aslkahuna » Sun Dec 25, 2005 4:46 pm

San Francisco also used to put out the EPAC advisories. However, the backup NHC is in Camp Springs MD at the NCEP so that's where it would be located until a new one could be built-most likely again in the Miami area (if Miami still existed since if the current NHC bulding were to go then nothing else would be left in the city). The 1993 Superstorm also brought a substantial (and fatal) storm surge to the west coast of FL.

Steve
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#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Dec 25, 2005 4:54 pm

A 1935 hurricane which go's north into the nhc would do it. :eek:

Lets say its August of 2006 theres a tropical depression forming near 20 north/60 west. It moves westward for about two days. The system is upgraded to a tropical storm the next day. In strengthings into a hurricane at 22 north/74 west. The storm then pulls a Wilma but this time it heads west-northwestward. It hits Miami,Nhc as a storm ever bit as powerful as the 1935 hurricane. In with how fast it bombed like Wilma but this is small in tight. There was no time to get our forecasters out of the nhc.
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Jim Cantore

#11 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Dec 25, 2005 6:48 pm

Well one Hurricane Magnet deserves another

New Orleans
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#12 Postby george_r_1961 » Sun Dec 25, 2005 7:45 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:A 1935 hurricane which go's north into the nhc would do it. :eek:

Lets say its August of 2006 theres a tropical depression forming near 20 north/60 west. It moves westward for about two days. The system is upgraded to a tropical storm the next day. In strengthings into a hurricane at 22 north/74 west. The storm then pulls a Wilma but this time it heads west-northwestward. It hits Miami,Nhc as a storm ever bit as powerful as the 1935 hurricane. In with how fast it bombed like Wilma but this is small in tight. There was no time to get our forecasters out of the nhc.


The buildiing housing NHC is a concrete reinforced bunker type structure built to take anything Mother Nature can throw at it. The forecasters would be the safest people in Florida.
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#13 Postby WindRunner » Sun Dec 25, 2005 8:52 pm

If we had to move it for safety issues, DC. However, either Savannah, Charleston, or maybe Pensacola would probably be a better choice.
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Jim Cantore

#14 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Dec 25, 2005 9:40 pm

How about New Jersey? It would be our only claim to fame
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#15 Postby joe_koehle » Sun Dec 25, 2005 10:10 pm

you forgot camden.
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#16 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Dec 25, 2005 10:23 pm

camden? as in the nastiest, dirtiest, ugliest, most drug and crime filled town in america?
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#17 Postby joe_koehle » Sun Dec 25, 2005 10:24 pm

exactly.
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Jim Cantore

#18 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Dec 25, 2005 10:27 pm

its worse then they say trust me
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#19 Postby yzerfan » Mon Dec 26, 2005 11:54 am

Pensacola actually wouldn't be bad since you can go about 10-20 miles inland and be 100 feet above mean sea level.
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#20 Postby EDR1222 » Mon Dec 26, 2005 12:05 pm

I would think D.C.
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