Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0226 AM CST SUN JAN 08 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST
   INTO CENTRAL AR/FAR NORTHWEST LA/FAR SOUTHEAST OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
   OK/SOUTHERN MO/MUCH OF AR/NORTHWEST MS/NORTHERN LA/CENTRAL TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE/LOW AMPLITUDE MID AND UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE
   ACROSS THE CONUS TODAY. SURFACE LOW INITIALLY ACROSS THE MISSOURI
   VALLEY WILL PROGRESS NORTHEAST TO THE GREAT LAKES VICINITY BY THE
   END OF THE PERIOD...WHILE WEAK COLD FRONT/WIND SHIFT MOVES SOUTHEAST
   ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ARKLATEX.
   ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS A LARGE PORTION
   OF THE ARKLATEX AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NORTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST
   INTO CENTRAL AR/FAR NORTHWEST LA/FAR SOUTHEAST OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY SW WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW
   RH
   
   COMBINED WITH EXTREME/EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT...STRONG/GUSTY SW WINDS
   AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH VALUES WILL LEAD TO AN EXTREMELY
   CRITICAL FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION TODAY. THE STRONGEST
   WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SHOULD GENERALLY OCCUR ALONG/EAST OF
   INTERSTATE 35 IN CENTRAL/EASTERN TX...AND ALONG/SOUTHEAST OF THE
   INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHEAST TX AND AR. SUSTAINED SW
   WINDS MAY REACH 20-30 MPH BY LATE MORNING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR 35
   MPH GUSTS.
   
   WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES FROM THE MIDDLE 70S TO LOWER 80S...WELL
   MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES. RH
   RECOVERIES THROUGH THE EVENING WILL BE FAIRLY POOR...BUT WIND SPEEDS
   OVER MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY AFTER DARK.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
   OK/SOUTHERN MO/MUCH OF AR/NORTHWEST MS/NORTHERN LA/CENTRAL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...ALTHOUGH HEIGHTENED...THE
   OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD BE COMPARATIVELY LESS THAN ACROSS
   THE IMMEDIATE ARKLATEX CORRIDOR...ATTRIBUTABLE TO RELATIVELY LIGHTER
   WIND SPEEDS AND/OR HIGHER RH VALUES.
   
   ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN/SOUTH CENTRAL OK...RH RECOVERY HAS BEEN
   EXTREMELY POOR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY BREEZY SW/W WINDS
   THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO NW THIS AFTERNOON IN WAKE OF
   PREFRONTAL WIND SHIFT. ALTHOUGH THEY SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN INTO
   MIDDAY...THE ONGOING GUSTY WINDS AND WIND SHIFT TO NW MAY ADVERSELY
   IMPACT ONGOING FIRES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 3 - EASTERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   
   WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND MODERATE WINDS ALOFT SHOULD YIELD
   20-30 MPH SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ THIS
   AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE NM HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EASTERN SLOPES
   OF THE CENTRAL NM MOUNTAINS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM
   WITH MIDDLE 60S TO MIDDLE 70S ACROSS THE PLAINS...IN ADDITION TO
   CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS/LOWER TEENS.
   
   ...NORTHWEST/WEST TX INTO NORTHWEST OK...
   OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHWEST/WEST TX
   INTO NORTHWEST OK WILL BE IMPROVED FROM SATURDAY...LARGELY DUE TO
   WEAKER WIND SPEEDS. NEVERTHELESS...DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND
   MODEST BREEZES /GENERALLY 15-20 MPH/ WILL MAINTAIN A SOMEWHAT
   HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER ACROSS NORTHWEST/WEST TX INTO NORTHWEST OK.
   
   ...FL PENINSULA...
   ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE DURING THE
   LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD...SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE
   AGAIN EXPECTED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RH
   VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE INTERIOR. WINDS
   SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AT 5-10 MPH OR LESS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CST SUN JAN 08 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL/WEST TX INTO
   SOUTHEAST NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE/LOW AMPLITUDE FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS
   ON MONDAY. PRIMARY FEATURE OF NOTE WILL BE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   PROGRESSING EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
   PLAINS/ARKLATEX...WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND A COOLER AIRMASS SPREADING
   SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS.
   
   COMPARED TO THIS WEEKEND...THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS
   THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LESS ON MONDAY GIVEN
   LIGHTER WINDS AND/OR HIGHER RH VALUES OVER MUCH OVER THE REGION.
   THIS SHOULD BE THE CASE INTO TUESDAY AS WELL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL/WEST TX INTO
   SOUTHEAST NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WINDS/WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH WITH PASSAGE
   OF COLD FRONT
   
   WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
   SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL/WEST TX AND EASTERN NM ON MONDAY. ALTHOUGH
   INCREASED CLOUD COVER/COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RH VALUES ARE
   EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT...THE WIND SHIFT AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS
   OF 15-25 MPH MAY BE PROBLEMATIC WITH POTENTIAL FOR FAST FIRE SPREAD
   WITH ANY ONGOING FIRES. ALTHOUGH OVERALL CONDITIONS MAY TEND TO BE
   MARGINAL...A CRITICAL OUTLOOK APPEARS WARRANTED GIVEN THE GUSTY
   WINDS AND WIND SHIFT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
545 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2006

...DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS HAVE REMAINED EXTREME OVERNIGHT...AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITY HAS STAYED IN THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE OVER MOST OF
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS AND WINDS HAVE REMAINED STRONG AND
GUSTY. WINDS WILL DECREASE GRADUALLY DURING THE DAY AND TURN
GRADUALLY FROM THE CURRENT SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY DIRECTION TO A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION BY EARLY AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS...AVERAGING
10 TO 20 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH...WILL DROP TO AROUND 8 TO 15 MPH IN MOST AREAS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE DECREASE IN WINDS...THE WARM AND DRY START TO
THE DAY WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY RISE INTO THE 70S IN MOST
AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN IN THE 10 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE IN MOST AREAS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THESE
CONDITIONS... COMBINED WITH THE EXISTING VERY DRY GROUND AND AN
ABUNDANCE OF DORMANT VEGETATION AND OTHER FUELS... WILL RESULT IN
EXTREME TO CRITICAL FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ALL DAY TODAY.

COOLER CONDITIONS AND RISING HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN FIRE
DANGER DECREASING AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.

WILDFIRES HAVE BEEN ONGOING OVERNIGHT IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS... MAINLY
IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH
COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...
FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. THE BURN BAN NOW PROHIBITS CAMPFIRES AND CHARCOAL
GRILLING IN ADDITION TO TRASH BURNING... AND IMPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON
OUTDOOR WELDING. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA IN.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
445 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2006

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
TODAY...

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH...
WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AGAIN TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF THE WIND...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXTREMELY DRY FUEL AND THE ONGOING DROUGHT.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING LIT
CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
345 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2006

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-090000-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
345 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2006

.NOW...
A RED FLAG WARNING...FOR VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS...REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 6 PM TONIGHT.

SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON EAST OF
THE METROPLEX...WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE WESTERLY WEST OF THE
METROPLEX.  SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.

ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES CURRENTLY RANGE FROM
LESS THAN 15% WEST OF THE DALLAS FORT WORTH METROPLEX...TO 30% IN
THE SOUTHEAST NEAR ROCKDALE...CENTERVILLE...AND PALESTINE.

OUTSIDE BURNING BANS EXIST FOR ALL NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.  REPORT ALL WILDFIRES AND SMOKE TO THE NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICE.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1258 AM CST MON JAN 09 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF WESTERN/CENTRAL TX AND
   SOUTHEAST NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY LOW AMPLITUDE/PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST
   OVER THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
   ADVANCE EAST-SOUTHEAST FROM SOUTHERN CO INTO THE SOUTHERN
   PLAINS...AS COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
   AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS. AFTER AN ACTIVE FIRE
   WEATHER PATTERN THIS PAST WEEKEND...OVERALL CONDITIONS WILL BE
   RELATIVELY IMPROVED OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES EARLY THIS WEEK.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WESTERN/CENTRAL TX AND
   SOUTHEAST NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY WINDS/WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH WITH COLD
   FRONT
   
   AS COLD FRONT SURGES SOUTH ACROSS WEST/CENTRAL TX AND EASTERN NM
   TODAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE ACROSS THE
   REGION. ALTHOUGH CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES
   AND HIGHER RH VALUES BEHIND THE FRONT...THE WIND SHIFT AND ENSUING
   GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH /SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH/ MAY BE
   PROBLEMATIC FOR FAST FIRE SPREAD WITH ANY ONGOING FIRES. OVERALL
   RH/TEMPERATURE CRITERIA WILL TEND TO BE MARGINAL...HOWEVER THE GUSTY
   WINDS AND WIND SHIFT APPEAR TO WARRANT A CRITICAL FIRE OUTLOOK
   ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN/CENTRAL TX INTO SOUTHEAST NM.
   
   ...OK...
   IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT...NORTH WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT 15-25 MPH
   THROUGH THE DAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN/SOUTH CENTRAL OK.
   ALTHOUGH THESE WINDS MAY POSE DIFFICULTIES WITH CONTROL OF ONGOING
   FIRES...POST-FRONTAL CLOUD COVER/SUFFICIENTLY HIGH RH VALUES AND
   TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO REACH THE UPPER 40S/50S SHOULD
   CONSIDERABLY LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS OK.
   
   ...SOUTHERN CA...
   WITH 1040 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...EXISTING
   MODERATE OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL YIELD LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS EARLY
   TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN CA...IN ADDITION TO MILD 70S TEMPERATURES AND
   REDUCED AFTERNOON RH VALUES ACROSS THE COASTAL VALLEYS. GRADUAL
   WEAKENING OF THE HIGH/PRESSURE GRADIENT LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY WILL
   LEAD TO DIMINISHING PROSPECTS FOR OFFSHORE GUSTY WINDS WITH TIME.
   RECENT WET PATTERN AND MARGINAL CONDITIONS SUGGESTS THE FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LIMITED.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1259 AM CST MON JAN 09 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY TUESDAY...IN
   ADDITION TO DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT...WILL PROGRESS
   EASTWARD INTO THE LOWER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RELATIVELY FAST
   ZONAL WESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL BE PREVALENT OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
   THE COUNTRY.
   
   ...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NM INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND
   SOUTHEAST CO...
   WITH FAST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...CYCLOGENESIS WILL GRADUALLY OCCUR
   ACROSS THE PLAINS ON TUESDAY. MODESTLY GUSTY SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP
   IN VICINITY OF SHARPENING LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE...WITH 15-20 MPH
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER GIVEN LITTLE AIRMASS
   MODIFICATION SINCE MONDAYS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...AFTERNOON
   TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY
   COOL /50S OR PERHAPS LOWER 60S/ WITH MARGINAL AFTERNOON RH VALUES.
   THIS SUGGESTS THE THREAT FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
   BE LIMITED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON TUESDAY.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
450 AM CST MON JAN 9 2006

...FIRE DANGER LOWER TODAY BUT WILL STILL BE VERY HIGH...

THE FIRE DANGER LEVEL WILL BE LESS TODAY THAN IT HAS BEEN IN RECENT
DAYS... THANKS LARGELY TO MARKEDLY COOLER CONDITIONS AND MUCH HIGHER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY. HOWEVER...BLUSTERY WINDS ALONG WITH WITH
CONTINUED VERY DRY GROUND...AND AN ABUNDANCE OF DORMANT VEGETATION
AND OTHER FUELS...WILL PLACE THE FIRE DANGER IN THE VERY HIGH
CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

THE ARRIVAL OF A COOLER AIR MASS TODAY... ALONG WITH INCREASING
CLOUD COVER OVERSPREADING THE AREA FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...
WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S. COOLEST
READINGS WILL BE OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND SOME PARTS OF
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA MIGHT NOT GET OUT OF THE 30S. LOWEST RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM AROUND 35 TO 40 PERCENT IN
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...TO BETWEEN 45 AND 55 PERCENT ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

WIND WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM ELEMENT TODAY AS FAR AS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE CONCERNED. NORTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL AVERAGE
10 TO 15 MPH...BUT WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO
AVERAGE SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY. WINDS WILL DECREASE GRADUALLY
AND BACK TO THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.

THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA TODAY AND OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION TONIGHT.
THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW IN PARTS OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. AT THIS TIME...NO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS...IF ANY...ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN
1/4 INCH...AND IN MOST AREAS WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN 1/10 INCH.
THESE AMOUNTS WOULD HELP A LITTLE WITH THE ONGOING VERY DRY
CONDITIONS...BUT WILL NOT COME CLOSE TO BREAKING THE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS CURRENTLY BEING EXPERIENCED IN MANY AREAS.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
347 AM CST MON JAN 9 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-092200-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
347 AM CST MON JAN 9 2006

...ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGER ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY...

STRONG WINDS WILL RETURN TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH ABILENE BY
MID MORNING...SAN ANGELO AND BROWNWOOD BY AROUND NOON...AND
JUNCTION AND SONORA BY MID AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT...NORTH
WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...WITH A FEW GUSTS
TO NEAR 35 MPH POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL FALL INTO THE 2O TO 25
PERCENT RANGE IN MANY LOCATIONS. THIS COMBINATION OF GUSTY
WINDS...LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS
WILL ENHANCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILDFIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE GOVERNORS
DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILDFIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO
EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES
HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A COMPACT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT
   LAKES/OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD. IN THE WAKE OF THIS
   SYSTEM...MAINLY ZONAL UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WRN
   HALF OF THE NATION. THIS PATTERN WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
   SURFACE LEE TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A
   WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SRN/CENTRAL
   HIGH PLAINS. ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL EXTEND WWD INTO THE SWRN
   STATES/GREAT BASIN. DESPITE LOW RH READINGS LIKELY AS A
   RESULT...WSWLY WINDS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND SRN/CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNDER 15 MPH PRECLUDING ANY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   WSWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-15 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON AS
   A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS. THE DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MILD
   TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE 60S OR ABOUT 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
   ALONG WITH SEASONABLY LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO 20S...THIS WILL
   SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS NEAR 15 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0303 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NRN AND CENTRAL
   TX...SRN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ZONAL UPPER FLOW ON DAY 1 WILL BE REPLACED BY A DEEPENING UPPER
   TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES ON DAY 2. AS A RESULT...THE SURFACE LEE
   TROUGH THAT DEVELOPS ON DAY ONE WILL INTENSIFY ON DAY 2. THIS WILL
   LEAD TO INCREASING SLY WINDS OVER THE SRN PLAINS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NRN TX INTO SRN OK WHERE WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
   AID IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WSWLY SURFACE WINDS WILL
   ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...BUT WIND SPEEDS
   DO NOT APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT
   AT THIS TIME. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SWRN
   STATES...BUT LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL TX AND SRN
   OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT.
   
   INTENSIFYING MID LEVEL WSWLY FLOW WILL AID IN INTENSIFICATION OF THE
   SURFACE LEE TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF WRN KS/TX THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY MOVES EWD INTO THE LOWER
   MS VALLEY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INTENSIFY OVER PORTIONS OF
   NRN/CENTRAL TX AND SRN OK. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED MODERATE RAINFALL HAS
   FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON MONDAY...MUCH OF THE AREA HAS
   SEEN LITTLE PRECIPITATION. COMBINED WITH MODERATE EVAPORATION ON DAY
   ONE AND INCREASING WINDS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ON DAY TWO...A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS LIKELY.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS/FRONT RANGE...
   INCREASING WLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL LEAD TO INCREASING SURFACE WLY
   WINDS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS ON DAY TWO. AT THE MOMENT...LACK OF
   STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW AND ONLY MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD LIMIT
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS TO LESS THAN 20 MPH FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD.
   THUS DESPITE MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT...AREA WILL NOT BE
   OUTLOOKED AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
405 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-102015-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
405 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2006

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...

STRONG WINDS WILL RETURN TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS AS SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY MOVES EAST ACROSS
OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY...FOR THE BIG
COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY...AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE HEARTLAND.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE IN
MANY LOCATIONS. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS...LACK
OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL ENHANCE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

THURSDAY MAY SEE EVEN GREATER FIRE WEATHER DANGER AS THE SURFACE
LOW MOVES ACROSS OKLAHOMA...BRINGING STRONG DRY SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WINDS.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILDFIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE GOVERNORS
DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILDFIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0125 AM CST WED JAN 11 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL TX AND SRN
   OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL BECOME MORE
   AMPLIFIED AS A UPPER SYSTEM DIGS SEWD THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND
   ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES THE PAC NW COAST. AS THE UPPER LEVEL
   FLOW BECOMES STRONGER OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES IN ADVANCE OF THE
   UPPER SYSTEM...THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE HIGH
   PLAINS. AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF TX
   AND PORTIONS OF OK...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER GRADUALLY
   SHIFTS EWD THROUGH THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO. THE RESULT WILL BE
   INCREASING SLY WINDS OVER THE SRN PLAINS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL RESULT OVER PORTIONS OF TX AND OK WHERE MILD
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS COMBINE WITH THE WINDS. A SECOND
   AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE SRN
   HIGH PLAINS OF WRN TX/ERN NM AS MODERATE WIND FIELDS COMBINE WITH
   STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS/WARM
   TEMPERATURES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL TX AND
   SCENTRAL/SERN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH...WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 25 MPH...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 20 PERCENT...LONG TERM
   DROUGHT.
   
   IN RESPONSE TO A TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TODAY. COMBINED WITH A 20-25 KT LOW LEVEL SWLY JET
   DEVELOPMENT...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REACH 15-20 MPH WITH
   GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WARM LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
   MIX DOWNWARD THROUGH THE MORNING LEADING TO AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
   60S...OR 10-20 DEG ABOVE NORMAL. DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS IN THE 20S WILL
   LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS AROUND 20 PERCENT AS A RESULT. THE
   COMBINATION OF THESE DRY CONDITIONS WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED WINDS
   WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - FAR SWRN TX...WRN TX SOUTH
   PLAINS/SWRN TX PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT.
   
   WEST OF THE LEE TROUGH...INCREASING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS COUPLED
   WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL AID IN MODERATE WSWLY WINDS TO
   DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. VERY DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE
   DIGITS COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO
   LOWER 70S WILL LEAD TO VERY LOW RH READINGS FROM 5-10 PERCENT AND
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...REST OF WRN TX/TX PANHANDLE AND WRN/CENTRAL OK...
   
   BETWEEN THE TWO CRITICAL AREAS...SURFACE SSWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE
   AROUND 15 MPH. THUS DESPITE LOW RH READINGS FROM 10 PERCENT IN WRN
   TX TO AROUND 25 PERCENT IN CENTRAL OK...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0127 AM CST WED JAN 11 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER SYSTEM WILL UNDERGO A DEEPENING PHASE WHILE MOVING FROM THE
   ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES ON DAY TWO. THE CONSEQUENT
   FIRE WEATHER EFFECTS WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SURFACE WINDS AND MILD
   TEMPERATURES OVER THE SRN PLAINS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   SEWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS DURING
   THE AFTERNOON/OVERNIGHT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE
   EXPECTED AHEAD OF AN IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT AS WARM
   TEMPERATURES COMBINE WITH THE MODERATE WIND FIELDS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
   THE NATION...UPPER RIDGING WILL LEAD TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST. AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
   OVER THE ROCKIES WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT INCREASE AND SHIFT OF THE
   WINDS TO NNELY DIRECTION OVER THE DESERT SW AND SRN CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM...WRN/NRN AND
   CENTRAL TX AND SRN/CENTRAL/ERN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY-NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH
   GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...WIND SHIFT
   WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
   
   A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH THE PERIOD AND SHOULD
   REACH THE RED RIVER BY 13/00Z. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THE PRESENCE OF
   STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL AID IN THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF GUSTY SWLY SFC WINDS AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S FROM SERN NM/SWRN TX NEWD INTO NRN/CENTRAL
   TX. THE EWD EXTENT OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE
   NEAR THE DFW METRO AREA SWD THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY WHERE THE WRN
   EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL EXIST. FURTHER
   NORTH...INITIALLY WINDS WILL BE SWLY FROM 15-25 MPH OVER
   SRN/CENTRAL/ERN OK FROM MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. DURING
   THE AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH THIS AREA.
   COLDER AIR IS ANTICIPATED TO LAG THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THUS
   TEMPERATURES ARE FCST TO BE IN THE 60S ACROSS MOST OF SRN/CENTRAL
   INTO ERN OK DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW DEWPTS IN
   THE 20S AND MODERATE SUSTAINED/GUSTY NWLY WINDS...AIDED BY A
   MODERATE NLY LOW LEVEL JET AND PRESSURE GRADIENT...WILL SUPPORT A
   CONTINUATION OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF
   SRN/CENTRAL AND ERN OK BEHIND THE FRONT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
426 AM CST WED JAN 11 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-112200-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
426 AM CST WED JAN 11 2006

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER TODAY AND THURSDAY...

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY...AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS IN THE PANHANDLE.

FIRE WEATHER WATCHES HAS BEEN ISSUED TODAY AND THURSDAY...FOR THE
BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY...AND HEARTLAND. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE IN MANY
LOCATIONS. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS...LACK OF
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS...WILL ENHANCE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILD FIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE GOVERNORS
DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILD FIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
515 AM CST WED JAN 11 2006

...FIRE DANGER AGAIN CLIMBS TO EXTREME LEVELS TODAY...

FIRE DANGER WILL INCREASE AGAIN TODAY AS TEMPERATURES WILL RISE BACK
INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S AND SOUTH WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
AND GUSTY. HUMIDITY WILL BE QUITE LOW WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES FORECAST TO BE 10 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA. THE WORST FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND FAR
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER IN THE
NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL STILL CREATE HIGH
FIRE DANGER... EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF WHERE SNOW IS ON
THE GROUND IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

THE PRECIPITATION THAT FELL OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY WAS
LIGHT ENOUGH THAT FINE FUELS WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME QUITE DRY BY
TOMORROW EXCEPT IN THE AREA OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE SNOW
REMAINS ON THE GROUND. BECAUSE OF THIS... EXTREME FIRE DANGER IS
AGAIN LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS AGAIN ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S NORTH
TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH HUMIDITY FALLING
INTO THE 10 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AS A COOL FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
510 AM CST WED JAN 11 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
TODAY...AS PRESSURE FALLS CONTINUE ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN INCREASING SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER A MAJORITY OF NORTH TEXAS.

THE COMBINATION OF THE INCREASING SOUTH WINDS...VERY LOW AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 25 PERCENT...AND EXISTING DRY FUELS ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS DUE TO THE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT ACROSS MOST AREA...WILL
RESULT IN A CRITICAL FIRE DANGER ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WINDY...WARMER AND EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY
JUST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT EXPECTED INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
THURSDAY EVENING. THUS...A CRITICAL FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE
THURSDAY. ISOLATED...STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF A
SHERMAN...ROCKWALL...CORSICANA...MARLIN...TEMPLE LINE...AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY FROM ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD
IGNITE WILDFIRES DUE TO RAINFALL BEING LIGHT AND VERY LOCALIZED.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING LIT
CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0237 AM CST THU JAN 12 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WRN/NWRN TX
   AND SWRN/SCENTRAL OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF ERN NM...REMAINDER OF WRN
   TX...PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL TX AND CENTRAL/SRN/ERN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL DIG SEWD THROUGH THE ROCKIES INTO THE
   PLAINS STATES TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SURFACE WINDS WILL
   INCREASE OVER THE SRN PLAINS. MILD TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES
   WEST OF A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS ERN TX INTO AR WILL ALLOW FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE SRN
   PLAINS. WHERE THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ALONG WITH VERY LOW RH
   READINGS...AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST OVER
   PORTIONS OF WRN/NRN TX AND SRN OK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   NATION...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR AGAIN OVER THE
   SOUTHWEST STATES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER RIDGE. GENERALLY
   LIGHT WINDS IN THIS AREA WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONCERNS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF WRN/NWRN TX
   AND SWRN/SCENTRAL OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
   35 MPH...WIND SHIFT WITH COLD FRONT LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
   EVENING...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-15 PERCENT.
   
   A VERY DRY AIRMASS EXISTS OVER THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH
   DEWPTS RANGING FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS IN WEST TX TO THE LOWER 20S IN
   SCENTRAL OK. AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...MODERATE LOW LEVEL JET
   WINDS WILL MIX DOWNWARD TO THE SURFACE BY MID-LATE MORNING AIDING IN
   MODERATE SURFACE WINDS AND A RAPID RISE IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH
   NOON. THE REGION WILL REMAIN ALONG THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS THROUGH
   EARLY AFTERNOON AND COMBINED WITH A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT SOUTH
   OF A COLD FRONT...  SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S...CONSEQUENT
   MIN RH READINGS WILL FALL TO AROUND 5 PERCENT IN THE SOUTH PLAINS OF
   WRN TX TO AROUND 15 PERCENT IN SCENTRAL OK. AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
   SWD THROUGH NRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...WINDS
   WILL INITIALLY BECOME LIGHT WEST NEAR THE FRONT...BEFORE SHIFTING TO
   A NWLY DIRECTION AND INCREASING. LIMITED COOLING INITIALLY BEHIND
   THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT AS SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS REACH 20-25 MPH AND RH READINGS
   REMAIN FROM 10-15 PERCENT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
   REMAIN THROUGH EARLY EVENING GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE NWLY
   WINDS...BEFORE COOL TEMPERATURES AND SUFFICIENTLY HIGHER RH READINGS
   ARE PRESENT BY MID EVENING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - MUCH OF ERN NM...REMAINDER OF WRN
   TX...PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL TX AND CENTRAL/SRN/ERN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY-NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WITH
   GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 5-25 PERCENT.
   
   AROUND THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...THIS REGION WILL SEE SLIGHTLY
   LESS WIND STRENGTH AND/OR HIGHER RH READINGS. OVER ERN NM AND WRN
   TX...MIN RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 5-15 PERCENT WHILE SUSTAINED
   WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN
   HIGHER TERRAIN. OVER NRN AND CENTRAL TX AND CENTRAL/SRN/ERN OK...MIN
   RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-25 PERCENT WITH SUSTAINED SWLY
   WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH. THE ERN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA
   WILL BE ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR IN TX AND U.S HWY 75 IN SERN
   OK.
   
   EAST OF THIS LINE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE
   INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH DEWPTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
   ABOVE 40F. DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
   UPPER SYSTEM...TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL REMAIN MILD /60S/ OVER
   CENTRAL/SRN AND ERN OK AND PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM/WRN
   TX THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WINDS WILL SHIFT
   TO A NWLY DIRECTION...WHILE REMAINING IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. THUS
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THESE AREAS
   THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NERN TX AND SERN OK...
   EAST OF THE CRITICAL AREA...AND ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE MOISTURE
   AXIS...CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS. SSWLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15-25 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT INTENSIFIES AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. GIVEN DEWPTS
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 40S OR HIGHER...MIN RH READINGS WILL
   REMAIN ABOVE 30 PERCENT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
   IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...AND WITH THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE
   WINDS...MIN RH READINGS MAY REMAIN IN THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE
   OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...NRN OK...THE NRN TX/OK PANHANDLES...NERN NM/SERN CO...
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT...NWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 20-25 MPH.
   HOWEVER BEING LOCATED DEEPER IN THE COOL AIR...HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
   FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE 50S. WITH DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO 20S...MIN
   RH READINGS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE...PRECLUDING A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...LOWER ELEVATIONS OF CENTRAL AND WRN NM...
   TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE 50S TO LOWER 60S BELOW
   7000 FT. THE PRESENCE OF LOW DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL LEAD
   TO MIN RH READINGS AROUND 10 PERCENT. SUSTAINED WNWLY WINDS SHOULD
   REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH. THUS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT
   APPARENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0239 AM CST THU JAN 12 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL/SRN TX AND
   FAR SCENTRAL OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY WHILE MOVING FROM THE
   PLAINS INTO THE ERN STATES ON DAY TWO. BEHIND AN ASSOCIATED COLD
   FRONT...GUSTY NWLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE LOWER SRN/CENTRAL
   PLAINS INTO THE MS RIVER VALLEY. DRY AIR AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL
   BE PRESENT OVER THE SRN PLAINS LEADING TO ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST. LOW RH
   READINGS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE PRESENT OVER
   SOUTHWESTERN STATES WHERE UPPER RIDGING REMAINS IN CONTROL. HOWEVER
   LIGHT WINDS IN THIS AREA WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SCENTRAL/SERN OK SWD THROUGH
   PORTIONS OF SCENTRAL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WINDS WILL BECOME NWLY LATE ON DAY ONE INTO
   EARLY DAY TWO. DRY CONTINENTAL AIR WILL SPREAD SWD WITH DEWPTS IN
   THE 20S AND 30S REACHING THE TX COAST BY LATE MORNING. AS
   TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S...RH READINGS WILL FALL
   TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT OVER MOST OF ERN/CENTRAL TX AND SRN OK.
   SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH IN A REGION OF MODERATE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT WILL EXIST ROUGHLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-35 FROM SCENTRAL OK
   INTO SCENTRAL TX. WEST AND NORTH OF THIS AREA...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
   BE WEAKER. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS
   WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ...ERN OK SEWD INTO THE ARKLATEX...
   OVER MOST OF ERN OK...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID-UPPER
   50S...WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH
   TO AOB 15 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT
   RELAXES. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT. FARTHER SOUTH OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION... SUSTAINED NWLY
   WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS MODERATE IN
   THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. ALSO TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA WILL BE
   IN THE 60S WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT. EXPECTED
   MODERATE RAINS LATE ON DAY ONE WILL PRECLUDE THE AREA FROM BEING
   INCLUDED IN A CRITICAL OUTLOOK ATTM.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
355 AM CST THU JAN 12 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH 6 PM CST FRIDAY...

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...AS
WELL AS WESTERN KANSAS...WILL MOVE EAST INTO MISSOURI BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY AND WARM SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN
15 AND 25 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS BY THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED STORMS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT SOUTHEAST OF A SHERMAN...TERRELL...
CORSICANA...TEMPLE LINE. THE THREAT FOR DRY LIGHTNING WILL EXIST DUE
TO ONLY LOCALIZED...LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

LOWEST AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT WILL OCCUR OVER THE
NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA. AREAS NORTHWEST OF A CISCO...MINERAL
WELLS...DECATUR...GAINESVILLE LINE WILL BE CONSIDERED EXTREMELY
CRITICAL WITH REGARDS TO WILDFIRES TODAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER THE REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS...DESPITE
HIGHER AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES...AS AN EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES AND DRY
FUELS CONTINUE TO EXIST.

THOUGH COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WILL USHER IN A DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT.
AGAIN...THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST
OVER THE WHOLE AREA.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING LIT
CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
212 AM CST THU JAN 12 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-121700-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
212 AM CST THU JAN 12 2006

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER TODAY...

GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS TODAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND A COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15
PERCENT RANGE IN MANY LOCATIONS. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS...LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...AND A VERY DRY
AIR MASS...WILL ENHANCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILD FIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE GOVERNORS
DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILD FIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
126 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-122030-
CHILDRESS-COTTLE-DICKENS-HALL-KENT-KING-MOTLEY-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASPERMONT...CHILDRESS...GUTHRIE...JAYTON...
MATADOR...MEMPHIS...PADUCAH...SPUR
126 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

.NOW...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
INCREASING UP TO 45 MPH THROUGH 230 PM.  PATCHY BLOWING DUST IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS
COUPLED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS HAVE CREATED AN
ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER.

MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ARE
URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1225 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-122100-
1225 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...

...DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS...AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

AT 1230 PM...THE MOST EXTREME WILDFIRE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35...WHERE THE WARMEST
AND DRIEST AIR WAS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RANGED FROM A LOW OF 10
PERCENT NEAR THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...INCLUDING CHEYENNE...
ERICK...AND HOLLIS...TO A HIGH OF 55 PERCENT AT DURANT. BETWEEN
THESE AREAS WAS A DRYLINE...SEPARATING MOIST AIR OVER SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...FROM EXTREMELY DRY AIR FARTHER WEST. TEMPERATURES
WERE ALSO STEADILY CLIMBING...RANGING FROM THE LOWER 70S IN THE RED
RIVER VALLEY...TO NEAR 50 OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. WINDS WERE
SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 30...EXCEPT FOR EXTREME
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...WHICH EXPERIENCED A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
EARLIER.

AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...THE COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY NEAR
WOODWARD...WILL ACCELERATE SOUTHWARD...REACHING MEDFORD...WATONGA
...AND ERICK BY 3 PM...STILLWATER...OKLAHOMA CITY...LAWTON...AND
VERNON BY 6...AND LAKE TEXOMA BY 9.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXTREME WILDFIRE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING TO LESS THAN 20 PERCENT MOST AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35...AND LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
NEAR WICHITA FALLS. THE HIGHEST HUMIDITIES WILL EXIST IN THE
MOISTURE AXIS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WITH AVERAGE VALUES NEAR 50
PERCENT AT ATOKA AND DURANT. TEMPERATURES IN THE THESE AREAS WILL
RANGE FROM 68 TO 78...ALONG WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 17 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 POSSIBLE.

AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES YOUR AREA...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH
POSSIBLE A FEW HOURS AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
911 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

TXZ092>094-130415-
COOKE-FANNIN-GRAYSON-
911 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

SMOKE IS SPREADING INTO NORTH TEXAS BETWEEN GAINESVILLE
AND BONHAM FROM A LARGE WILDFIRE IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWEST OF ARDMORE IN NORTHWEST CARTER COUNTY.

GRAYSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT THAT NO
WILDFIRES ARE BURNING IN GRAYSON COUNTY AS OF 900 PM.
GRAYSON COUNTY RESIDENTS ARE URGED NOT TO CALL EMERGENCY PHONE
OPERATORS UNLESS AN ACTUAL FIRE IS WITNESSED.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
612 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-131500-
612 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
SATELLITE CONTINUES TO INDICATE A LARGE WILDFIRE NORTHWEST OF
ARDMORE...NEAR GRAHAM AND RATLIFF CITY. THIS AND ANY OTHER FIRES
WILL BE AFFECTED BY WEST AND NORTHWEST WINDS AND WILL SPREAD
SOUTHEAST AND EAST DIRECTION. SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH
RANGE...WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH...WILL AFFECT OKLAHOMA AND PARTS
OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 9 AM. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING ACROSS
THE AREA... WITH SPEEDS RANGING FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN TO FALL AS TEMPERATURES WARM. MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT IN WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... AND 25 TO 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL THIRD OF OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.