Models show development near azores

[JonathanBelles]

dvelopment now???

[Yarrah]

Nope, still a normal depression. I wouldn't count on any development

[ROCK]

if this low becomes tropical, I will make a donation to S2k of $5.00..If subtropical $2.50.......wait, I should do that anyway.....

[Ivanhater]

from jeff masters blog:



Alberto watch
A large cold-cored non-tropical low pressure system spinning off the coast of Africa near the Canary Islands has gained a bit of deep convection over the past 24 hours, and has about a 10% chance of becoming Subtropical Storm Alberto in the next few days. Waters temperatures are a cool 20 - 22 C over the region, and the low is forecast to drift towards the coast of Africa and gradually dissipate by the end of the week.

Jeff Masters

[JonathanBelles]

YES!!!!

[mike815]

whoa maybe lets see

[P.K.]

SECURITE ON METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE,

WARNING NR 76 , WEDNESDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2006 AT 2110 UTC

GENERAL SYNOPSIS, WEDNESDAY 8 AT 12 UTC
LOW 997 JUST WEST OF MADEIRA ISLAND, SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEAST AND
SLIGHTLY FILLING, EXPECTED 1001 JUST NORTH OF MADEIRA ISLAND BY
10/00UTC.
NEW LOW EXPECTED 1003 46N41W BY 09/00UTC, MOVING NORTHEAST AND
DEEPENING, EXPECTED 990 51N35W BY 09/12UTC, THEN 985 56N30W BY
10/00UTC.

WEST OF FARADAY
FROM 09/06UTC TO 09/15UTC.
IN WEST: SOUTHERLY INCREASING LOCALLY 8, OCCASIONALLY 9. SEVERE
GUSTS.

MADEIRA
CONTINUING TO 09/03UTC.
IN NORTHEAST: SOUTHEASTERLY OCCASIONALLY 8. SEVERE GUSTS.

EAST OF JOSEPHINE
IMMINENT OR CONTINUING TO 09/15UTC.
SOUTHEAST OR EAST 8. SEVERE GUSTS.

WEST OF JOSEPHINE
FROM 09/03UTC TO 10/00UTC AT LEAST.
EAST OR NORTHEAST 8. SEVERE GUSTS.

EAST OF ACORES, EAST OF IRVING
FROM 09/12UTC TO 10/00UTC AT LEAST.
NORTHERLY SOMETIMES 8. SEVERE GUSTS.

AGADIR, SOUTHWEST OF CASABLANCA.
FROM 09/06UTC TO 10/00UTC.
SOUTHERLY 8. SEVERE GUSTS.=

[mike815]

hmmmm.... interesting

[Epsilon_Fan]

seems extra-tropical still...

A BROAD UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 45W-75W. AT THE SFC...A 1022 MB
HIGH IS CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N47W. THE SFC
AND UPPER HIGH IS PRODUCING GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER AND DRY UPPER
AIR IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS
STREAMING NEWARD W OF 55W. FARTHER EAST...A DEEP LAYERED TROUGH
COVERS THE NE ATLC N OF 16N BETWEEN THE CANARY ISLANDS AND 45W.
AT THE SFC...A 995 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 32N21W. GALE FORCE
WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LOW. A
COLD FRONT WRAPS AROUND THE LOW AND EXTENDS ALONG 31N17W TO
21N24W THEN CONTINUES AS A DYING COLD FRONT TO 20N26W. LITTLE
MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT S OF 32N. A STRONG SW
JETSTREAM WITH WINDS OF 90 TO 110 KT IS ALONG THE N PERIPHERY OF
THE RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS WESTERN AFRICA. BOTH...THE JETSTREAM
AND THE DIFFLUENCE W OF THE RIDGE AXIS ARE PROVIDING SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SE OF A LINE FROM 12N32W TO 28N13W AND INLAND OVER
AFRICA INCLUDING THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

[Coredesat]

09/0222 UTC 15.4S 172.2W T1.0/1.5 93P

This was at 1.5 earlier, but it's now back to 1.0.

[KWT]

It doesn't actually look that bad at present bnut it doesn't look at all tropical, looks like a pure extra-tropical system.

[JamesFromMaine2]

09/0222 UTC 15.4S 172.2W T1.0/1.5 93P

This was at 1.5 earlier, but it's now back to 1.0.

this was posted in the wrong forum! lol This is for 93P and this thread is for the possible development in the atlantic.

[TheEuropean]

Here is the real low on the eastern atlantic near the Canary Island, today at 12:00 UTC:

[Weatherfreak000]

woah filling in a bit more looking better I think.

[TheEuropean]

Time for another update (Feb. 9th, 18:00 UTC):



It is still extratropical and it will stay extratropical.

[P.K.]

SECURITE ON METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE,

WARNING NR 77 , THURSDAY 9 FEBRUARY 2006 AT 0830 UTC

GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 9 AT 00 UTC
NEW LOW 1006 46N40W QUICKLY MOVING NORTHEAST AND DEEPENING,
EXPECTED 996 51N33W BY 09/12UTC, THEN 982 JUST SOUHWEST OF IRELAND
BY 10/12UTC.
THUNDERY LOW 997 IN WEST OF MADEIRA SLOWLY FILLING WITH LITTLE MOVE.


WEST OF FARADAY
CONTINUING TO 09/15UTC.
SOUTHERLY 8, OCCASIONALLY 9. SEVERE GUSTS.

JOSEPHINE
CONTINUING TO 09/18UTC.
EAST BACKING NORTHEAST 8. GUSTS.

EAST OF ACORES, EAST OF IRVING
IMMINENT AND CONTINUING TO 10/06UTC.
NORTHERLY SOMETIMES 8. SEVERE GUSTS.

AGADIR, CASABLANCA.
CONTINUING TO 10/00UTC.
SOUTHERLY 8. SEVERE GUSTS.=

[Yarrah]

It looks like there will be nothing left of this area of low pressure by Sunday...
Good...I don't want to see these kind of storms forming so close to Europe

[JonathanBelles]

It looks like there will be nothing left of this area of low pressure by Sunday...
Good...I don't want to see these kind of storms forming so close to Europe

but i wanna see some activity

[P.K.]

Good...I don't want to see these kind of storms forming so close to Europe

I need weather here though, anticyclonic gloom makes you go crazy after a while.

[Yarrah]

Good...I don't want to see these kind of storms forming so close to Europe

I need weather here though, anticyclonic gloom makes you go crazy after a while.

No kidding...this is really beginning to annoy me...all this sunshine
* tries to pull that nice deep depression near Iceland towards GB and the Netherlands, hoping it will give him some hurricane force winds*