Upcoming cold for the South (Models, Maps, Discussions)

[Tyler]

I'm trying to decide if Tyler and Extremeweatherguy are having a posting contest in this thread!

What?

[Brent]

Temps for Houston may barely make the freezing mark if lucky.....However if Extreme and Tyler keep wishing hard enough who knows?

Sorry but that was funny...

[Tyler]

Temps for Houston may barely make the freezing mark if lucky.....However if Extreme and Tyler keep wishing hard enough who knows?

Sorry but that was funny...

Thats really not that funny. Burn, do you work for the NWS? You'd make a great employee.

[Extremeweatherguy]

One thing to remember is that the air temp cannot fall below the dew point. That's what will ultimately keep us from going below the 30F range IMO. Also, with the brunt of the cold air to the east, that's why College Station won't be as cold as usual.[/img]

dew points will be at least to the upper teens to lower 20s. Also..latest models (for about the last 24+ hrs.) have been showing the brunt of the air not going east, but rather toward SE Texas.

From the Houston AFD:

..MODELS HAVE
BEEN CONSISTENT IN ADVERTISING THAT DEW POINTS WILL SLAM DOWN INTO
THE LOWER 20S TO UPPER TEENS..

and since this was written...the models have become even colder.

[gboudx]

Tyler, it's obvious Burn was kidding with you and EWG. Why so uptight?

[PTPatrick]

The models giveth and the models taketh away...looks like all of the moisture will be gone from here in the Mobile area before it is cold enough for snow on saturday afternoon:(

Guess this isnt my year....

[jasons2k]

In the meantime, I'm getting pretty stoked about my chances of seeing a good snow while in NYC over the weekend

Still holding out hope I won't see a hard freeze at the house (28 or below).

[Tyler]

In the meantime, I'm getting pretty stoked about my chances of seeing a good snow while in NYC over the weekend

Still holding out hope I won't see a hard freeze at the house (28 or below).

schlitz, might want to stay tuned to the weather for up there. A major blizzard is possible, at least according to the GFS. Euro a bit out to sea, but continues to trend west. They haven't had much snow up there yet, you must be really lucky or something. Everything is coming together for a very good snow storm. Lucky you!

[Tyler]

Tyler, it's obvious Burn was kidding with you and EWG. Why so uptight?

When I post so many models, and give out my own analysis of the situation, I am not wishing. For him to call my forecasting "wishing" is not very respectable, and its not very funny.

[Extremeweatherguy]

In the meantime, I'm getting pretty stoked about my chances of seeing a good snow while in NYC over the weekend

Still holding out hope I won't see a hard freeze at the house (28 or below).

schlitz, might want to stay tuned to the weather for up there. A major blizzard is possible, at least according to the GFS. Euro a bit out to sea, but continues to trend west. They haven't had much snow up there yet, you must be really lucky or something. Everything is coming together for a very good snow storm. Lucky you!

yeah...but you might want to protect all your plants before you leave...because chances are that we will be below 28F.

[Tyler]

0z GFS, high at 30 hours AGAIN 2MB stronger than 18z. We've gone from a 1036 high yesterday to a 1050 high today on the GFS. Cold air coming at a a better angle yet again, here we go...

[Extremeweatherguy]

0z GFS, high at 30 hours AGAIN 2MB stronger than 18z. We've gone from a 1036 high yesterday to a 1050 high today on the GFS. Cold air coming at a a better angle yet again, here we go...

yeah, I am seeing it too. I still don't understand why people and the NWS are not getting it yet. At least Ch. 9 FINALLY forecasted a high below 60 for Saturday and a low below 40. They are now down to 56/32...which will still bust by a lot (but is better than yesterday's 64/43).

[Extremeweatherguy]

at 54hrs...the high is stronger than 1054mb! this is exactly the right set up too. A 1050mb+ high right down the rockies is probably one of the worst case scenarios for Houston.

[PTPatrick]

is it just me is does 0Z GFS show a deepening low over mobile saturday morning

[Tyler]

Looks like a cold rain friday a good bet now...

[Tyler]

is it just me is does 0Z GFS show a deepening low over mobile saturday morning

You are correct sir.

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

Anyone betting this thread gets to 100 pages by the end of the weekend?

[PTPatrick]

maybe with the deepening dystem I have some chance at some wrap around flurries saturday evening...

[LAwxrgal]

Okay....Link???

[Extremeweatherguy]

Looks like latest GFS is still showing -7C to -9C 850mb temps. from this system in Houston. This should now be enough consistancy for the NWS to lower forecasts.