Weekend winter storm thread

[lester]

Most stations are saying 6-10 near my area

Now, if *I* were saying that about my area. . .

it wouldn't be this --->

it would be THIS ---->

[terstorm1012]

above freezing here in PA's state capital...but only expecting 6" at most...

I'm disappointed. I really wanted that class 3 Kill storm...

[Persepone]

Local NOAA: (Cape Cod)


BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
Tonight...Snow likely late this evening...Then snow after midnight. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Windy with lows in the mid 20s. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph...Increasing to 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph after midnight.

Sunday...Snow. Blowing snow. Snow heavy at Times. Visibility one quarter mile or less at Times. Additional snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches. Very windy with highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

Sunday Night...Mostly cloudy. Snow showers in the evening...Then a chance of snow after midnight. Total accumulation of 10 to 14 inches. Very windy with lows 16 to 21. Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph. Gusts up to 60 mph in the evening.

[weathermom]

WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST SUNDAY
Issue Time: 4:32PM EST, Saturday Feb 11, 2006
Valid Until: 12:45AM EST, Sunday Feb 12, 2006
Back to summary

WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST SUNDAY
UNTIL 12:45AM EST
Urgent - Winter Weather Message National Weather Service Upton Ny 432 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2006



Western Passaic-Bergen-Eastern Passaic-Essex-Hudson-Union-

... Winter Storm Warning Now In Effect From 9 PM This Evening To 3 PM EST Sunday...

The Winter Storm Warning Is Now In Effect From 9 PM This Evening To 3 PM EST Sunday.

Snow Will Become Heavy At Times Overnight And Continue Towards Midday On Sunday. Northeast Winds Will Increase To 15 To 25 Mph With Gusts Up To 35 Mph... Causing Blowing And Drifting Of Snow And Near Blizzard Conditions.

By The Time The Snow Ends Early Sunday Afternoon... Accumulations Should Average 10 To 16 Inches... With Locally Higher Amounts

A Winter Storm Warning Means Significant Amounts Of Snow Are Expected Or Occurring. Strong Winds Are Also Possible. This Will Make Travel Very Hazardous Or Impossible.

Stay Tuned To Noaa All Hazards Weather Radio Or Visit Our Web Site At Weather.Gov/Nyc For Further Details And Updates.

[btangy]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 432 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 3 INCHES PER HOUR. NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 60 MPH MAY PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 18 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ON NANTUCKET WHERE A MIX WITH RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SNOW TOTALS OF 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA FROM PROVIDENCE TO BOSTON AND SOUTHEAST TO THE UPPER CAPE.

They are looking at 15:1 to 20:1 ratios with this storm. NAM is bit closer to the coast and is a little wetter. Given the massive amount of moisture with this system and the SSTs above normal along the coast acting to enhance any bands of snow (much like a lake effect type scenario) along with the chance of convective thundersnow, the snow forecast for 1 to 2 feet seems reasonable despite the fast movement of the storm. Gust potential certainly is about 50-60mph given that the NAM has winds of 60-65knots at 900mb and pretty steep low level lapse rates.

[Weatherfreak14]

In Gatlingurg, TN looks to have near 10in of snow and even higher on mountains.