Official GA/AL/TN/NC/SC Cold Winter Rain Thread.

Winter Weather Discussion

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JenyEliza
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#381 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 2:27 pm

fact789 wrote:send some this way


I don't think there's much to spare.

It's basically like the quick little rain showers that pop up out of nowhere down there in FL. They start and stop in just a few minutes.

And there isn't even enough to stick either.

Still, it *is* pretty.
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#382 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 2:37 pm

Sun's back behind the clouds...and they're dark. Very light flurries fluttering down. They're not really big, but they're not small either. Has the look of another shower coming on. We'll see. ;)

I'm just really enjoying seeing snow fall from the sky today. :D
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#383 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Feb 12, 2006 3:00 pm

JenyEliza wrote:Sun's back behind the clouds...and they're dark. Very light flurries fluttering down. They're not really big, but they're not small either. Has the look of another shower coming on. We'll see. ;)

I'm just really enjoying seeing snow fall from the sky today. :D
sounds exciting. FINALLY Atlanta gets some snow! Hopefully you guys will get a good snow shower soon that will actually stick. I am just hoping Houston can get some of what you are getting before the winter is through...but time is slowly running out for us. :roll:
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#384 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 3:07 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Sun's back behind the clouds...and they're dark. Very light flurries fluttering down. They're not really big, but they're not small either. Has the look of another shower coming on. We'll see. ;)

I'm just really enjoying seeing snow fall from the sky today. :D
sounds exciting. FINALLY Atlanta gets some snow! Hopefully you guys will get a good snow shower soon that will actually stick. I am just hoping Houston can get some of what you are getting before the winter is through...but time is slowly running out for us. :roll:


I hope so too. I also hope the Houston area gets in on the action. My sister's family is up near Navasota/CLL. I know my 5 year old nephew would enjoy some wintery precip.

Here's the latest from NWS Peachtree City, GA:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
250 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
IMMEDIATE PROBLEM IS CHC FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS HAVE DECREASED IN INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON BUT FLURRIES STILL BEING REPORTED ACROSS MANY AREAS. RADAR IMAGERY CONFIRMS THIS. S/W TO ROTATE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH -13C 850MB TEMPS AND RESULTING STRONG LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY SKIRTING N GA. HOWEVER ...WITH DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR IN PLACE ANY NEW SNOW TONIGHT SHOULD NOT ACCUMULATE MORE THAN 1/2 INCH. TRAVEL MAY STILL BE IMPACTED...ESP HIGHER ELEVATIONS OR WHERE REFREEZING OCCURS. SPS ISSUED EARLIER DESCRIBES THIS WELL.


I guess we'll have to see how things play out tonight. The sun's back and looks like our showers are all but over for the afternoon. Still a few flurries flying around...but nothing like earlier today.
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#385 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:11 pm

Hmmm. Wonder if we'll see any more snow/showers tonight?

Tonight: Scattered snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 25. West wind between 5 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible


While I don't hold much hope for it--I'd love to see even an inch accumulate overnight. Haven't had accumulating snow in 2 years. :(

Here's what they're saying will happen between now and 8pm.

Image
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#386 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:13 pm

There will be another round, but it probably won't be as widespread as last night. I don't think you'll hear of many spots seeing accumulation, though I guess a dusting can't be ruled out in a few areas.

Still have a tiny bit of snow on tops of the cars and patches on the roofs as well. We made it to 39.7. Currently 36.3, after a low of 30.7.
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#387 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:29 pm

Brent wrote:There will be another round, but it probably won't be as widespread as last night. I don't think you'll hear of many spots seeing accumulation, though I guess a dusting can't be ruled out in a few areas.

Still have a tiny bit of snow on tops of the cars and patches on the roofs as well. We made it to 39.7. Currently 36.3, after a low of 30.7.


I stayed up until 1:30 am waiting for snow showers. Finally gave up and went to bed...with no showers and nothing on the ground or cars.

Got up around 9:30...to some nice looking snow showers, and had them on and off today--although no accumulation whatsoever. Was really hoping the stuff up in middle TN/N AL would work its way down this way for an encore (and secretly hoping it would be more impressive than what we've seen so far).

From what I'm seeing in the last hour or so, chances don't look all that great for accumulation. As per usual.

But at least it hasn't been the dreaded Cold Winter Rain. :D
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#388 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 12, 2006 5:41 pm

JenyEliza wrote:
Brent wrote:There will be another round, but it probably won't be as widespread as last night. I don't think you'll hear of many spots seeing accumulation, though I guess a dusting can't be ruled out in a few areas.

Still have a tiny bit of snow on tops of the cars and patches on the roofs as well. We made it to 39.7. Currently 36.3, after a low of 30.7.


I stayed up until 1:30 am waiting for snow showers. Finally gave up and went to bed...with no showers and nothing on the ground or cars.

Got up around 9:30...to some nice looking snow showers, and had them on and off today--although no accumulation whatsoever. Was really hoping the stuff up in middle TN/N AL would work its way down this way for an encore (and secretly hoping it would be more impressive than what we've seen so far).

From what I'm seeing in the last hour or so, chances don't look all that great for accumulation. As per usual.

But at least it hasn't been the dreaded Cold Winter Rain. :D


I was up til 3am Central(4am Eastern). Went out at 3:05am Eastern because they were echoes on radar here, and saw tiny flakes flying around with some light accumulations on the car tops and roofs. I think that accumulation may have occurred earlier though(most likely around 7-8pm) because the snow that was falling when I went out wouldn't accumulate if it had done that all day.
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#389 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:36 pm

Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:
Brent wrote:There will be another round, but it probably won't be as widespread as last night. I don't think you'll hear of many spots seeing accumulation, though I guess a dusting can't be ruled out in a few areas.

Still have a tiny bit of snow on tops of the cars and patches on the roofs as well. We made it to 39.7. Currently 36.3, after a low of 30.7.


I stayed up until 1:30 am waiting for snow showers. Finally gave up and went to bed...with no showers and nothing on the ground or cars.

Got up around 9:30...to some nice looking snow showers, and had them on and off today--although no accumulation whatsoever. Was really hoping the stuff up in middle TN/N AL would work its way down this way for an encore (and secretly hoping it would be more impressive than what we've seen so far).

From what I'm seeing in the last hour or so, chances don't look all that great for accumulation. As per usual.

But at least it hasn't been the dreaded Cold Winter Rain. :D


I was up til 3am Central(4am Eastern). Went out at 3:05am Eastern because they were echoes on radar here, and saw tiny flakes flying around with some light accumulations on the car tops and roofs. I think that accumulation may have occurred earlier though(most likely around 7-8pm) because the snow that was falling when I went out wouldn't accumulate if it had done that all day.


Well, if we had any showers or minor accumulations on cars and whatnot at that time of night, I slept right through, since I went to bed at 1:30 am EST didn't get up until 9:30 am today. ;)

What do you think chances are for snow showers/minor accumulations tonight are?
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#390 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 12, 2006 11:10 pm

Very very light flurries right now here.
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#391 Postby JenyEliza » Sun Feb 12, 2006 11:42 pm

Brent wrote:Very very light flurries right now here.


Nothing here at the moment, but radar shows something moving towards us.

Looks to be going S/SE, and I'm holding my breath it won't miss us. After this patch, I'm hitting the sack--flurries/snow showers or not.
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#392 Postby JenyEliza » Mon Feb 13, 2006 4:13 pm

Oh my...what's this? :eek:

:think:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
330 PM EST MON FEB 13 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
NO MAJOR CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM. AS DISCUSSED PREVIOUSLY...TEMPS
SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY WARMER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT AS WARM ADVECTION
AT 850MB CONTINUES. TEMPS REBOUNDING NICELY THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD
RISE EVEN MORE TUESDAY. BIAS-ADJUSTED MAV TEMPS GENERALLY ACCEPTED.

WEAK S/W TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST TUES NIGHT AND WED. LIFT WILL
BE INSUFFICIENT TO GENERATE ANY SUBSTANTIAL CLOUDS OR FAVORABLE
ADVECTION PATTERNS FOR PRECIPITATION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
THINGS GET SOMEWHAT MORE INTERESTING AS FIRST MONSTER SFC HIGH IN AT LEAST A COUPLE YEARS PROGGED TO PLUNGE INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. LATE THIS WEEK. 12Z GFS CONTINUED TREND OF PREVIOUS RUNS OF 1055+ MB SFC HIGH AND BELOW ZERO SFC TEMPS INTO NRN PLAINS BY 12Z FRI. WHILE THIS WOULD NOT NECESSARILY CAUSE AN IMMEDIATE IMPACT TO THE SOUTHEAST...LARGE COLD ANTICYCLONES LIKE THIS OFTEN DOMINATE THE PATTERN OVER THE ERN 2/3RDS OF THE CONUS FOR QUITE A WHILE. COULD SEE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS BY THE WEEKEND AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND POSSIBLY A WINTER WEATHER WEDGE EVENT SUNDAY OR MONDAY AS SW FLOW TRIES TO OVERRUN STRONG COLD DOME. NOT JUMPING ON THIS YET BUT WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON.

SNELSON
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#393 Postby JenyEliza » Mon Feb 13, 2006 4:15 pm

JenyEliza wrote:
Brent wrote:Very very light flurries right now here.


Nothing here at the moment, but radar shows something moving towards us.

Looks to be going S/SE, and I'm holding my breath it won't miss us. After this patch, I'm hitting the sack--flurries/snow showers or not.


Believe it or not...right after I wrote that post, I went to bed. 1 hour later, the snow showers started up.

I awoke this morning to a light dusting on the yard, cars, rooftops--but not on the street. Kids had school. ;)

I *love* watching snow fall. It's such a calming, peaceful time for me. Can't believe I missed it last night. :cry:
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#394 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 13, 2006 5:55 pm

JenyEliza wrote:Believe it or not...right after I wrote that post, I went to bed. 1 hour later, the snow showers started up.

I awoke this morning to a light dusting on the yard, cars, rooftops--but not on the street. Kids had school. ;)

I *love* watching snow fall. It's such a calming, peaceful time for me. Can't believe I missed it last night. :cry:


Yep... someone was posting on another board that it was snowing heavily and accumulating rapidly in Midtown Atlanta around 3am ET... and I was thinking about you. I knew if you were up you'd be posting about it. :lol:

This weekend *could* be an ice threat... not favorable for snow, or it could just be a cold rain. Nothing to get overly concerned about right now.
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#395 Postby Tyler » Mon Feb 13, 2006 6:04 pm

Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Believe it or not...right after I wrote that post, I went to bed. 1 hour later, the snow showers started up.

I awoke this morning to a light dusting on the yard, cars, rooftops--but not on the street. Kids had school. ;)

I *love* watching snow fall. It's such a calming, peaceful time for me. Can't believe I missed it last night. :cry:


Yep... someone was posting on another board that it was snowing heavily and accumulating rapidly in Midtown Atlanta around 3am ET... and I was thinking about you. I knew if you were up you'd be posting about it. :lol:

This weekend *could* be an ice threat... not favorable for snow, or it could just be a cold rain. Nothing to get overly concerned about right now.


If I were you, I'd be paying close attention to the latest forecasts, major icing potential coming up with the upcoming pattern, I'm a bit concerned about it right now...
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#396 Postby JenyEliza » Mon Feb 13, 2006 9:48 pm

Tyler wrote:
Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Believe it or not...right after I wrote that post, I went to bed. 1 hour later, the snow showers started up.

I awoke this morning to a light dusting on the yard, cars, rooftops--but not on the street. Kids had school. ;)

I *love* watching snow fall. It's such a calming, peaceful time for me. Can't believe I missed it last night. :cry:


Yep... someone was posting on another board that it was snowing heavily and accumulating rapidly in Midtown Atlanta around 3am ET... and I was thinking about you. I knew if you were up you'd be posting about it. :lol:

This weekend *could* be an ice threat... not favorable for snow, or it could just be a cold rain. Nothing to get overly concerned about right now.


If I were you, I'd be paying close attention to the latest forecasts, major icing potential coming up with the upcoming pattern, I'm a bit concerned about it right now...


Yeah...I saw that, and I'm *not* thrilled about the possibility of ice.

Snow...I love. Ice...I detest.

I've told my story here a million times by now so I'll just hit the highlights for Tyler, but the ice storm here on January 23, 2000 nearly killed me and my kids when we had the tops of two ice laden 75ft tall pines land on our house as we slept. Those branches don't look all that big, heavy or dangerous way up high--but they're huge when they're on/in your house.

I dread, dread, dread ice storms.

If I can't have snow, and I had a choice between ice storm or cold winter rain--as much as I moan and complain here about cold winter rain--I'd rather have the rain.

Jen
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#397 Postby JenyEliza » Mon Feb 13, 2006 10:00 pm

Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:Believe it or not...right after I wrote that post, I went to bed. 1 hour later, the snow showers started up.

I awoke this morning to a light dusting on the yard, cars, rooftops--but not on the street. Kids had school. ;)

I *love* watching snow fall. It's such a calming, peaceful time for me. Can't believe I missed it last night. :cry:


Yep... someone was posting on another board that it was snowing heavily and accumulating rapidly in Midtown Atlanta around 3am ET... and I was thinking about you. I knew if you were up you'd be posting about it. :lol:

This weekend *could* be an ice threat... not favorable for snow, or it could just be a cold rain. Nothing to get overly concerned about right now.


Can you *believe* I missed that? By one hour. ONE stinking hour...and I could have seen snow accumulate on our yard? I just *had* to go to sleep. :roll:

As for the possible weather...you and I both know how I feel about ice. :grrr:
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#398 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 13, 2006 10:12 pm

JenyEliza wrote:As for the possible weather...you and I both know how I feel about ice. :grrr:


I don't like ice either.

Look at my forecast from the NWS:

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
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#399 Postby JenyEliza » Mon Feb 13, 2006 10:16 pm

Brent wrote:
JenyEliza wrote:As for the possible weather...you and I both know how I feel about ice. :grrr:


I don't like ice either.

Look at my forecast from the NWS:

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.


A 40% chance of snow is a good thing. ;)

Here's my current FFC forecast:

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 34.


From the AFD:

LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
THINGS GET SOMEWHAT MORE INTERESTING AS FIRST MONSTER SFC HIGH IN AT LEAST A COUPLE YEARS PROGGED TO PLUNGE INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. LATE THIS WEEK. 12Z GFS CONTINUED TREND OF PREVIOUS RUNS OF 1055+ MB SFC HIGH AND BELOW ZERO SFC TEMPS INTO NRN PLAINS BY 12Z FRI. WHILE THIS WOULD NOT NECESSARILY CAUSE AN IMMEDIATE IMPACT TO THE SOUTHEAST...LARGE COLD ANTICYCLONES LIKE THIS OFTEN DOMINATE THE PATTERN OVER THE ERN 2/3RDS OF THE CONUS FOR QUITE A WHILE. COULD SEE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS BY THE WEEKEND AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND POSSIBLY A WINTER WEATHER WEDGE EVENT SUNDAY OR MONDAY AS SW FLOW TRIES TO OVERRUN STRONG COLD DOME. NOT JUMPING ON THIS YET BUT WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON.


Conservatism from FFC. ;)
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#400 Postby Rieyeuxs » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:46 pm

Here in Birmingham, there's no mention of ice or snow. Even the local stations, who like to hype up any wintery percip only mention a cold rain. I think ALabama's stuck with the rain, except for Huntsville.

I can't believe it's been 10 years since we've had any accumulations of an inch or more. This past Sat had a couple of flurries, but nothing to mentions really. I'd like for my dogs to have something to play in. They were funny looking at the snow flakes. It's like they knew something was odd, but not quite sure what to do about it... :D
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