91W Invest at WPAC

[cycloneye]

It looks somewhat interesting on the pic.However still there is no word from JTWC about naming it poor,good or fair for development.

[HURAKAN]

Luis, 99w also caught my attention a few days ago but I was waiting for any official words to make any posts regarding this system.

[P.K.]

This area? (Sorry if there are latitude line numbers on that image above I can't read them)

WWJP25 RJTD 131800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800.
WARNING VALID 141800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 960 HPA
AT 48N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 55N 176W TO 58N 170W 58N 162W.
COLD FRONT FROM 55N 176W TO 50N 171W 40N 173W 32N 180E 28N 175E.
WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND
800 MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 56N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 64N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90
MILES RADIUS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA
AT 44N 155E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
400 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI.
SUMMARY.
LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 151E WSW 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 137E ESE 10 KT.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 153E EAST 20 KT.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[cycloneye]

This area? (Sorry if there are latitude line numbers on that image above I can't read them)

Yes P.K. is that area that you highlighted with black color.

[Coredesat]

It looks a lot better now than it did when it first went up on NRL, although it's still disorganized.

[HURAKAN]

I would say it's an equatorial system by its latitude!

[P.K.]

WWJP25 RJTD 140600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600.
WARNING VALID 150600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS
BOUNDED BY 58N 170E 56N 180E 37N 180E 37N 174E 46N 170E 58N 170E.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA
AT 41N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
400 MILES ELSEWHERE.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 47N 136E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 47N 136E TO 46N 139E 44N 142E.
COLD FRONT FROM 47N 136E TO 43N 134E 41N 130E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA.
SUMMARY.
LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 169E EAST 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 04N 143E WEST 10 KT.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 155E EAST 20 KT.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[cycloneye]

14/0833 UTC 3.4N 143.1E T1.0/1.0 99W -- West Pacific Ocean

[P.K.]

This isn't from the JMA though and the pressure has risen.

WWCI50 BABJ 141200
1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1530UTC FEB. 14 2006=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200UTC FEB. 14=
FORECAST VALID 1200UTC FEB. 15=
WARNING=
NIL=
SUMMARY=
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008HPA AT 5N 141E MOVING W
SLOWLY=
NW WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
BOHAI STRAIT=
S/SW WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA NEAR RYUKYU-GUNTO=
SW WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND SEA WEST OF JAPAN AND
SEA EAST OF JAPAN AND SEA OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA
EAST OF TAIWAN AND TAIWAN STRAIT=
NE/E WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF AND SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=
ESE WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER
SEA EAST OF AUSTRALIA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER YELLOW SEA
AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND BEIBU GULF AND SEA OF JAPAN AND
KOREA STRAIT AND SOUTH CHINA COASTAL WATERS AND PART
SEA NEAR PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN SEA
AND NORTH OF G. OF THAILAND AND LAUT BANDA AND PART OF
SEL. MAKASSRA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND LAUT JAWA AND
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND PART SEA NEAR KALIMANTAN AND PART
OF TIMOR SEA=
FORECAST=
NE WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER YELLOW SEA=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER EAST CHINA SEA
AND SEA WEST OF JAPAN AND SEA NEAR RYUKYU-GUNTO=
S/SE WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND BASHI CHANNEL=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA OF JAPAN
AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND SEA EAST OF JAPAN=
NE WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SEA
EAST OF PHILIPPINES=

[cycloneye]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.4N 143.2E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.5N 142.7E, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF
YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.

[P.K.]

WWCI50 BABJ 141800
1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 2215UTC FEB. 14 2006=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC FEB. 14=
FORECAST VALID 1800UTC FEB. 15=
WARNING=
NIL=
SUMMARY=
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008HPA AT 5N 140E MOVING W
SLOWLY=
NW WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
BOHAI STRAIT=
S/SW WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA NEAR RYUKYU-GUNTO=
SW WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND SEA WEST OF JAPAN AND
SEA EAST OF JAPAN AND SEA OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA
EAST OF TAIWAN AND TAIWAN STRAIT=
NE/E WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF AND SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=
ESE WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER
SEA EAST OF AUSTRALIA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER YELLOW SEA
AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND BEIBU GULF AND SEA OF JAPAN AND
KOREA STRAIT AND SOUTH CHINA COASTAL WATERS AND PART
SEA NEAR PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN SEA
AND NORTH OF G. OF THAILAND AND LAUT BANDA AND PART OF
SEL. MAKASSRA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND LAUT JAWA AND
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND PART SEA NEAR KALIMANTAN AND PART
OF TIMOR SEA=
FORECAST=
NE WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER YELLOW SEA=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER EAST CHINA SEA
AND SEA WEST OF JAPAN AND SEA NEAR RYUKYU-GUNTO=
S/SE WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND BASHI CHANNEL=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA OF JAPAN
AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND SEA EAST OF JAPAN=
NE WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SEA
EAST OF PHILIPPINES=

[Yarrah]

So it's a tropical despression right now. Doesn't that mean PAGASA is going to give it a name? Or is it still outside their AoR?

[cycloneye]

14/2033 UTC 3.3N 139.0E T1.0/1.0 99W -- West Pacific Ocean


It looks better now in sat pics than earlier today.

[P.K.]

So it's a tropical despression right now. Doesn't that mean PAGASA is going to give it a name? Or is it still outside their AoR?

I haven't seen anything from the JMA calling it a TD. When it moved into China's MetArea the pressure rose and the name changed from a low pressure area to a TD.

[JonathanBelles]

does ne one have a pacific tracking map for the west pacific?

[P.K.]

WWCI50 BABJ 150600
1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC FEB. 15 2006=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC FEB. 15=
FORECAST VALID 0600UTC FEB. 16=
WARNING=
NIL=
SUMMARY=
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1005HPA NEAR 05N 137E MOVING WEST SLOWLY=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER BOHAI SEA AND BOHAI
STRAIT AND YELLOW SEA AND BASHI CHANNEL AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
S WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA NEAR
RYUKYU-GUNTO ISLANDS=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER EAST CHINA SEA AND
SOUTH CHINA SEA=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
JAPAN AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA OF JAPAN AND
KOREA STRAIT=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 10M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER PART OF BOHAI SEA
AND PART OF YELLOW SEA AND PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN
STRAIT AND SEA SOUTH OF TAIWAN AND BEIBU GULF AND PART OF
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND PART OF BASHI CHANNEL AND SEA OF JAPAN
AND PART OF SEA EAST OF JAPAN AND PART OF SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
AND KOREA STRAIT=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND
NORTH OF G. OF THAILAND AND LAUT JAWA AND LAUT MALUKU AND
LAUT BANDA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND PART OF SULAWESI SEA AND
ARAFURA SEA AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEL. MAKASSAR AND SEA WEST
OF SUMATERA=
FORECAST=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 20M/S SEAS UP TO 5.0M OVER BOHAI SEA AND
BOHAI STRAIT AND YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN
STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND KOREA STRAIT AND SEA NEAR
RYUKYU-GUNTO ISLANDS=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA
AND BASHI CHANNEL=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER BEIBU GULF=
WINDS FROM 10 TO 22M/S SEAS UP TO 6.0M OVER SEA OF JAPAN AND
SEA EAST OF JAPAN AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=

[P.K.]

WWCI50 BABJ 151200
1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1530UTC FEB. 15 2006=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200UTC FEB. 15=
FORECAST VALID 1200UTC FEB. 16=
WARNING=
NIL=
SUMMARY=
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1005HPA NEAR 05N 137E MOVING WEST
SLOWLY=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 10M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER YELLOW SEA
AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND EAST
CHINA SEA AND KOREA STRAIT AND SEA OF JAPAN AND
BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA NEAR
RYUKYU-GUNTO ISLANDS=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA
SOUTH OF JAPAN=
NE WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=
SE WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA
NORTHEAST OF AUSTRALIA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER PART OF
YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT
AND BEIBU GULF AND SOUTH CHINA COASTAL WATERS AND
SEA OF JAPAN SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND KOREA STRAIT AND
PART SEA NEAR LUZON=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND
NORTH OF G. OF THAILAND AND LAUT JAWA AND LAUT MALUKU AND
LAUT BANDA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND PART OF SULAWESI SEA AND
ARAFURA SEA AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEL. MAKASSAR AND SEA WEST
OF SUMATERA AND PART SEA NEAR KALIMANTAN=
FORECAST=
N/NE WINDS FROM 8 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER BOHAI SEA
AND BOHAI STRAIT AND YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA AND
TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND KOREA STRAIT
AND SEA NEAR RYUKYU-GUNTO ISLANDS=
NE/ENE WINDS FROM 8 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BASHI CHANNEL=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER BEIBU GULF=
NW WINDS FROM 8 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER SEA OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
JAPAN AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=

[P.K.]

WWCI50 BABJ 151800
1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 2215UTC FEB. 15 2006=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC FEB. 15=
FORECAST VALID 1800UTC FEB. 16=
WARNING=
NIL=
SUMMARY=
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1005HPA NEAR 05N 136E MOVING WEST
SLOWLY=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 10M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER YELLOW SEA
AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND EAST
CHINA SEA AND KOREA STRAIT AND SEA OF JAPAN AND
BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS FROM 6 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER SEA NEAR
RYUKYU-GUNTO ISLANDS=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA
SOUTH OF JAPAN=
NE WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=
SE WINDS FROM 8 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA
NORTHEAST OF AUSTRALIA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER PART OF
YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT
AND BEIBU GULF AND SOUTH CHINA COASTAL WATERS AND
SEA OF JAPAN SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN AND KOREA STRAIT AND
PART SEA NEAR LUZON=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND
NORTH OF G. OF THAILAND AND LAUT JAWA AND LAUT MALUKU AND
LAUT BANDA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND PART OF SULAWESI SEA AND
ARAFURA SEA AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEL. MAKASSAR AND SEA WEST
OF SUMATERA AND PART SEA NEAR KALIMANTAN=
FORECAST=
N/NE WINDS FROM 8 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER BOHAI SEA
AND BOHAI STRAIT AND YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA AND
TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND KOREA STRAIT
AND SEA NEAR RYUKYU-GUNTO ISLANDS=
NE/ENE WINDS FROM 8 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BASHI CHANNEL=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER BEIBU GULF=
NW WINDS FROM 8 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER SEA OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 8 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
JAPAN AND SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN=
WINDS FROM 6 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER SEA EAST OF
PHILIPPINES=

[Yarrah]

I see there's another invest: 91W.INVEST...only it looks a bit like 99W, I'd say they're almost identical. Did they make a mistake?

[RattleMan]

I see there's another invest: 91W.INVEST...only it looks a bit like 99W, I'd say they're almost identical. Did they make a mistake?

Most likely. They did this exact same thing with the Altantic Alpha (99L) and another invest (91L), skipping 90L just like this one. However, the image was centered further south in the Atlantic 91L. In this 91L, it's further east.