Official S2K 2006 Forecast Numbers Poll starts on March 15

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #21 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Jan 16, 2006 9:59 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The SST's are cooling off in it appears we don't have the same set up. Even so we got a weak La nina which would make the central to eastern Atlantic more faverable. I'm no longer going to forecast a season any higher then maybe 1995.

Because of the cooling SST's I'v droped my forecast to 18/10/6.

Actually sstas jumped upward from december to january

but we have to see if this continues in order to make any
definitive predictions imo

HurricaneJoe22 · #22 Postby **HurricaneJoe22** » Mon Jan 16, 2006 10:51 pm

Christy, is that Jeanne in your avatar?

#23 Postby **angelwing** » Tue Jan 17, 2006 10:34 am

20-15-12

#24 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Feb 14, 2006 8:20 pm

Ok folks ever closer now the official storm2k forecast poll to be up as it's only one full month away.This poll will run from March 15 thru May 31 at midnight EDT.If it's your desire you can post inicially preliminary numbers and as the days go by you can then post your final set of numbers.

MiamiensisWx · #25 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue Feb 14, 2006 9:26 pm

Here are my prediction numbers for 2006 so far...

16 named storms
9 hurricanes
6 major hurricanes

16/9/6

Out of the storms that form, I think five will be Cape Verde systems.

#26 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Mar 06, 2006 2:48 pm

Only a few days left for this poll to start running.Haved you made your mind already about what numbers the 2006 season will have in terms of number of named storms,number of hurricanes and number of major hurricanes? All can participate from the most experts,Pro Mets,Amateours and those who many not know a lot about tropical weather.This poll will run from March 15 thru May 31 and the time to close it will be at midnight EDT.So get ready folks and participate in this poll and let's see how many members get the most close in the numbers to what the season will have.Last year a total of 118 members participated.Let's see if this 2006 poll surpasses by much that number.

Last years members who were the most close were:

Marcus= (19/11/6) Valkhorn=(17/10/7) and wayne56=(18/10/7)

DoctorHurricane2003 · #27 Postby **DoctorHurricane2003** » Mon Mar 06, 2006 2:56 pm

I'm starting to get an idea.... right now I'm thinking between 15-16 Named Storms, 8-9 Hurricanes, and 4-5 Major Hurricanes. Like previous years though, my final pre-season forecast (and the one I will use for this contest) will not come out until the end of May as I will be one of the very last people entered into the contest.

MiamiensisWx · #28 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Mon Mar 06, 2006 2:59 pm

I've decided to lower the number of major hurricanes in my numbers now; otherwise, they stay the same as previously.

Here are my new numbers...

16 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 major hurricanes

16/9/5

#29 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Mar 06, 2006 3:01 pm

I will be one of the very last people entered into the contest.

That's ok Doc.

I forgot to say that you can post preliminary numbers in the poll by letting me know typing (preliminary numbers) and changing them to final numbers later or you can post your numbers close to the end of the date of the poll so that's your choice.

#30 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Mar 06, 2006 3:29 pm

This is just the Pre-Poll right?

#31 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Mar 06, 2006 3:40 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:This is just the Pre-Poll right?

Pre-poll no,this will be the ultimate official storm2k forecast numbers poll.As I said if you want to post preliminary numbers you can let me know by typing (Preliminary Numbers) besides those numbers and later you then can post your final set of them.

#32 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 3:54 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:I've decided to lower the number of major hurricanes in my numbers now; otherwise, they stay the same as previously.

Here are my new numbers...

16 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 major hurricanes

16/9/5

If you want to change them again you can post these ones at the poll and say preliminary numbers and later you can post your final numbers.

By the way only 7 days left for the poll to be up.

Weatherfreak000 · #33 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:14 pm

If I had to estimate now i'd guess 22/12/7

storm4u · #34 Postby **storm4u** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 5:00 pm

27/16/9

#35 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 5:01 pm

28/16/8

Scorpion · #36 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 7:07 pm

Some unrealistic numbers im seeing IMO. I am expecting a similar amount of majors to 04 and 05, but more 04 numbers total.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #37 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 7:30 pm

I'v down graded to a 1998/1999 like hurricane season with 16 named storms/6-7 hurricanes. 2-3 maj hurricanes. Stronger Cape verde season.

#38 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Mar 08, 2006 7:57 pm

i dont think the atlantic basin will win the title of most hurricanes again this year i will have to say 20/12/6/2

#39 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Mar 11, 2006 4:41 pm

Next Wednesday is the day that the official storm2k poll will be up so think of a set of numbers those who haven't done so yet and from March 15 thru May 31 you have that time to post your numbers.

HurricaneHunter914 · #40 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Mar 11, 2006 7:00 pm

I'm guessing 18/7/4 these will change later.

Official S2K 2006 Forecast Numbers Poll starts on March 15

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