solar flare forecast

[gigabite]

Venus and Mercury align

[Aslkahuna]

Better hope for a Hyder Flare. BTW, Mercury is in the evening sky right now and Venus in the morning so I guess you are saying that they are on opposite sides of the Sun.

Steve

[JonathanBelles]

will this cause an eclipse, if not when will the next one be for florida?

[gigabite]

Better hope for a Hyder Flare. BTW, Mercury is in the evening sky right now and Venus in the morning so I guess you are saying that they are on opposite sides of the Sun.

Steve

Try it your self

2006 03 28 12:00
Interior planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar/

Perigee
Mar 28 7:14 359169 km N-1d 3h
New Moon
2006 Mar 29 10:18
Sun and moon align
Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Mar 29 at 10:33:15 UT
Object GHA Dec
SUN 337 06.5 N 3 24.5
MOON 337 06.5 N 3 51.2

This is going to be over land with plenty of land south and north
So that is a negative for April’s rain, but the AO index could drop.

[gigabite]

will this cause an eclipse, if not when will the next one be for florida?

The Eclipse on the 2006 March 29th will be visible over Africa

[Aslkahuna]

Try August 2017 for the next Solar Eclipse in FL. The Annular in 2012 will be a western US event. So just how big of a Solar Flare are we expecting-going to have to be a biggee to have any Geophysical effects given the orientation of the vector connecting the Sun and Planets with relation to the Earth.

Steve

[gigabite]

Sir:

I just found these simulators recently before that I deduced positions graphically from conjunctions. I was expecting a mid june 2005 event, but in a different quadrant. It turns out that my graphic was orbiting in the wrong direction. That must have been why I had to adjust it so much, but I probably would not have notice the event at all if I hadn’t adjusted up for Jupiter in April 2005 while I was reading one of Jim’s threads. I tossed out a projection and it hit for date any way. This is a hypothesis I am testing. I appreciate your interest. It might hit.

Space Weather Highlights SWO PRF 1555
13 – 19 June 2005 21 June 2005
Solar activity ranged from very low on 13 June to moderate on 16 June. Low levels were observed on the remaining days
of the summary period. Just prior to rotating around the west limb on 16 June, Region 775 (N08, L=054, class/area,
Dkc/360 on 09 June) produced the largest event of the period, an M4.0/Sf at 16/2022 UTC with associated Type II (989
km/s) and Type IV radio sweeps. A 170 sfu proton flare Tenflare and a CME were also associated with this event. Early
on 14 June, at 0730 UTC, the same region produced a C4.2/1f flare with an associated asymmetrical, full halo CME. Other
regions of interest on the visible disk included Region 779 (S18, L=335, class/area, Eki/460 on 18 June) which formed near
disk center on 15 June and became the largest spotted region on the visible disk. Though the region exhibited steady
growth in both area and complexity, only low-level C-class activity was observed. New Region 780 (S08, L=251,
class/area, Dao/070 on 18 June) rotated onto the disk on the 17th and produced several low-level C-class flares. The
remainder of the disk and limb were quiet and stable.

[JonathanBelles]

Try August 2017 for the next Solar Eclipse in FL. The Annular in 2012 will be a western US event. So just how big of a Solar Flare are we expecting-going to have to be a biggee to have any Geophysical effects given the orientation of the vector connecting the Sun and Planets with relation to the Earth.

Steve

when in august

[Aslkahuna]

August 21,2017. FL will have a deep Partial with the path of Totality running diagonally across the US from OR to the SC/NC stateline. In July 2045, FL will have a 6 minute Total Solar along a path from about Fort Walton Beach to Miami.

Steve

[gigabite]

http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa_archive/20 ... satenv.gif

[gigabite]

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/quar_DSD.txt

------------------- Flares ---
---------------X-Ray-Optical
---------------C M X S 1 2 3
2006 03 20 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
2006 03 21 6 0 0 4 0 0 0
2006 03 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 23 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
2006 03 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 03 30 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
2006 03 31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 04 01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 mercury, venus align
2006 04 02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 04 03 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 04 04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 04 05 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 04 06 0 2 0 0 1 1 0
2006 04 07 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

[gigabite]

Venus and Mercury

2006 04 01 12:00
Interior planets.
from above 2 degree field of view
http://space.jpl.nasa.gov/

Mar 28 7:14 359169 km N-1d 3h
New Moon
2006 Mar 29 10:18
Sun and moon align
Celestial Navigation Data for 2006 Mar 29 at 10:33:15 UT
Object GHA Dec
SUN 337 06.5 N 3 24.5
MOON 337 06.5 N 3 51.2

This is going to be over land with plenty of land south and north
So that is a negative for April’s rain, but the AO index could drop.

[gigabite]

[gigabite]

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/rea ... me-c2.html

http://home.att.net/~gigabite/flare.gif

[gigabite]

http://home.att.net/~gigabite/MVflare.gif

Purpose:
The purpose of these images are to show the relationship between gravity and the interaction of the atmosphere of a celestial body. This series which runs between the first and second of April 2006 occurs at the alignment of Venus and Mercury with the Sun.

Effect:
Because gravity is associative. That is that the force of gravity accumulates as planetary masses align. The atmospheres of all the bodies in the alignment deform along the axis of the alignment. The lasco C2 image of the Sun shows that there is a front side effect and a rear side effect.

Conclusion:
This improves my evidence that there is a New Moon/Full Moon effect on rain.


History:
I just found these simulators recently before that I deduced positions graphically from conjunctions. I was expecting a mid June 2005 event, but in a different quadrant. It turns out that my graphic was orbiting in the wrong direction. That must have been why I had to adjust it so much, but I probably would not have notice the event at all if I hadn’t adjusted up for Jupiter in April 2005 while I was reading one of Jim’s threads. I tossed out a projection and it hit for date any way. This is a hypothesis I am testing. I appreciate your interest. It might hit.