If Florida Gets Hit In 2006, Which Area Is Most Vulnerable?

[hookemfins]

last year really has no bearing on this year

I think what he means is just because last year had a flurry of S. FL hurricanes, it doesn't mean the trend will contiunue in 2006.

I say NO Hurricanes for FL

[MiamiensisWx]

True, hookemfins; however, I think that Florida (and southeast Florida) hits will strongly generally continue through the years through this active cycle. Also, it is too early to really be positive about what may happen. I am just basing my thoughts on information.

[ROCK]

True, hookemfins; however, I think that Florida (and southeast Florida) hits will strongly generally continue through the years through this active cycle. Also, it is too early to really be positive about what may happen. I am just basing my thoughts on information.

I can agree with that. FL just hang out there begging to be hit / brushed by a TS.

[f5]

of course Flordia is gonna get hit the state sticks out like a Hurricane's punching bag and 2004&2005 have proven that to be true

[gatorcane]

CAT 4 into Palm Beach County between Ft. Lauderdale and West. Palm

[tornadochaser1986]

the whole east coast is vulnerable this year LA ninas upon us

[MiamiensisWx]

*BUMP*

[windycity]

oh, i pray youre wrong, but not only do we stick out ,we seem to be making up for ALL the years we never got hit. Every single one.

[MiamiensisWx]

Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade or southern Monroe County (the Keys) has seen only one direct major hit besides Andrew - Betsy from 1965. This means that over 25 years has gone by and we have yet to see more than one major hit from the east.

[boca]

I think we'll get hit with a cat 3 boarderline 4 from the East between Ft lauderdale and West Palm and then after that I'm moving to Alaska to be an Eskimo.

[Scorpion]

Palm Beach County has not seen a major hurricane since 1949. That was the last time there was an active cycle of storms hitting South Florida. 2004 got oh so close with Frances and Jeanne, and 2005 of course with Wilma. Can we escape again in 2006?

[MiamiensisWx]

Here is some interesting information...

Last major hurricane to strike southeast Florida from the east in general: Betsy (1965)

Number of majors from east hitting southeast Florida since then: 1 (Andrew, 1992)

Number of years that has gone by since 1965 to the present with one major or less hitting southeast Florida from east: 41 years (and only Andrew has been a major southeast Florida hit from the east so far)

LAST MAJOR HURRICANE TO HIT SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COUNTY BY COUNTY...

Palm Beach County - last major hit from east: 1949



Broward County - last major hit from east: 1947



Miami-Dade County - last major hit from east: 1992 (Andrew)



This means that two out of the three southeast Florida counties have not seen a major hit from the east in over 40 years! Also, Andrew has been Miami-Dade County's only major hit/brush from the east so far since Betsy from 1965, which occurred over 40 years ago as well!

[MiamiensisWx]

*BUMP*

[MiamiensisWx]

*BUMP*

[gatorcane]

As Derek Ortt also mentions, South Florida's main threat is not from the east but from the south. Wilma was a great example of how little the Everglades weaken storms. Keep in mind Wilma came in as a CAT 3...if Wilma was a CAT 4/5 we would see CAT 3+ here in Southeast FL.

[Ivanhater]

Pensacola..... ...i doubt we would get hit yet again , but i dont have a clue

[senorpepr]

I personally think the corner of College Road and SW 27th Avenue in Ocala, FL is more vulnerable... but that's just me.

[Brent]

I personally think the corner of College Road and SW 27th Avenue in Ocala, FL is more vulnerable... but that's just me.

[wxman57]

The question was, "Which area is most VULNERABLE?", not which area is more likely to get hit in 2006. (vulnerable -- capable of being hurt/ susceptible to injury).

In that case, I think one could make a good argument for Tampa Bay. It has a great number of people living next to the worst surge location in Florida.

[MiamiensisWx]

Oh... sorry, wxman57...