This is amazing a tropical storm appears to have formed in
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This is amazing a tropical storm appears to have formed in
south Atlantic at 4 south/20 west. At first on this loop it shows a spining system with outflow from the wave that crossed the equater. It is moving westward at this hour. In there doe's appear that the system is becoming exposed. The quickscat shown a closed LLC with a area of 35 knot winds. This is amazing holy mother of god wow wow wow!!!
Loop of the cyclone...
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... LATEST.jpg
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds39.png
Loop of the cyclone...
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... LATEST.jpg
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds39.png
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Tue Feb 21, 2006 2:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- senorpepr
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Okay... looking at satellite... nothing but cirrus at 4S/20W. This pepper is still without a clue.
However... if you are talking about the waves along the equator... they are not tropical cyclones whatsoever.
Breathe. Repeat.
However... if you are talking about the waves along the equator... they are not tropical cyclones whatsoever.
Breathe. Repeat.
Last edited by senorpepr on Tue Feb 21, 2006 2:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Ok around 4 south/0 west in there appears to be a cirualation on quickscats with the winds blowing out of east to west on the buttom with a hook into the center. 35 knots is shown near the center. The satellite appears to show a spin...But with the eastly shear exposing the system.
I see what I see...Not sure how long its going to last.
I see what I see...Not sure how long its going to last.
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- senorpepr
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Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The south Atlantic not supposed to have a Itcz at all.
Actually, in my several years of operationally forecasting for that part of the world, I can tell you that the ITCZ does go to the South Atlantic during the Southern Hemispheric "summer" or December through March. This is nothing unusual.
By spring, the ITCZ will transition back north into other hemisphere and hundreds of people will post blob watches.
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senorpepr wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The south Atlantic not supposed to have a Itcz at all.
Actually, in my several years of operationally forecasting for that part of the world, I can tell you that the ITCZ does go to the South Atlantic during the Southern Hemispheric "summer" or December through March. This is nothing unusual.
By spring, the ITCZ will transition back north into other hemisphere and hundreds of people will post blob watches.
another quastion...The quickscat missed the LLC on storms like Irene,Charley, in under doe's it some times. With the winds appearly blowing into the center. Even so under 5 knots on the south side would that not mean we got something interesting to watch? Its hard not to jump the gun on these kind of systems.
I will slow down it most likely is nothing.

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Looking at the latest satelllite shows it developing convection over The "LLC". At the rate of the formation we could very well see a tropical cyclone out of this. Can't rule it out.
https://afweather.afwa.af.mil/images/sa ... 19IR_L.GIF
https://afweather.afwa.af.mil/images/sa ... 19IR_L.GIF
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