When will the first named storm (Alberto) form?

[cycloneye]

Yes this poll was up in January but in that poll the vast majority voted for the January option.Now I am doing this new fresh poll to see how the thinking is about when Alberto will form being only 3 months before the official date to begin the season June 1.This is the last poll that I will make before the big one.

I go with June 11-20.





A reminder that on March 15 the most important poll,the official forecast numbers poll will be up.All the members from the experts,pro mets,amateours to those who may not know much about tropical weather can participate.It's not a done deal yet but maybe I may come with something like a prize for those who may get the most closest to the numbers that the 2006 will get to.

[JtSmarts]

June 1-10

[skysummit]

May....last 2 weeks.

[Audrey2Katrina]

Well, if I remember right, my original vote was early may; but maybe I'll change that to 2nd to 3rd week of June...

Now watch everything change again

A2K

[Hurricanehink]

My original vote was for mid-July, and I stand by that. Every other year since 1998 (probably coincentally), the first storm doesn't occur until July. We might see a depression or two before Alberto, but I'm thinking around July 13 we will see Alberto.

[JonathanBelles]

late off season: late april or may

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

June 1-10
I think we will start on time.. but some of the storms during august/sept could
get very intense according to my own little intensity theories...which state
that intensity increases but frequency does not.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I think we will see it in the beginning of June. It will probably be weak (winds below 80mph), and it will probably make landfall along FL or the gulf coast.

[SamSagnella]

The first advisory will be issued at 21z May 12, which happens to be when my last final exam will be complete.

[WindRunner]

June 11-20

After a slow start, the season will kick into gear even morso than last June.

[HURAKAN]

May....last 2 weeks.

I will second that!

[cheezyWXguy]

May....last 2 weeks.

I will second that!

me too

[ROCK]

3rd week in June.

EWG- thinking the same. Maybe a BOC storm into NW FL...

[cheezyWXguy]

Im thinking 3rd week of May...with the warm temps already coming into the Atlantic...thats just one of the things that will help promote an earlier forming storm

[MiamiensisWx]

At first I thought April, but I am now thinking and voting for May as the most likely month.

[Extremeweatherguy]

3rd week in June.

EWG- thinking the same. Maybe a BOC storm into NW FL...

that sounds very possible. I am hoping it hits the east coast of Florida though as I am planning to be out there for a good portion of June. A nice *weak* system would be fun to watch with may be a few 55-70mph gusts (but nothing too severe), and some good thunderstorm feeder bands. Weak systems I like and are exciting (especially right on the coast where I will be). With a weaker system you can usually get some good outdoor film as well (without being afraid for your life). After going through 5 systems in the last 2 years...I could not imagine a season without a storm. All I hope is that if I do go through one this season that it is not a catastrophic storm and that it causes minimal damage to wherever I may be at the time.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Some time in May. I think the latter half most likely.

[Weather Watcher]

I would have to say May.

Look at all the warm water yipes

Steve

[Coredesat]

I'm thinking April as well. Definitely not this month unless the shear pattern weakens quite a bit.

[mike815]

im still thinking early to late may