Possible Eastern NC Snow Event 3/5-7/06

[brunota2003]

my NWS forecast office in Newport is getting somewhat excited about this...as we havent had any snow all winter...here is the long range discussion:

.LONG TERM (FRI-TUE)...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN FRI THROUGH SUN WITH
GRADUALLY COOLING TEMPS. HIGHS FRI WILL STILL BE IN THE 60S MOST
SPOTS FALLING TO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S ON SUN. GFS CONTS TO SHOW
SFC LOW DEVELOPING S OF REGION SUN NIGHT THEN MOVING ENE OFF THE CST
MON INTO TUE. THIS WOULD BE A COLD PATTERN WITH POSS FRZN PRECIP
POTENTIAL. FOR NOW KEPT LOW CHC POPS IN FCST WITH ONLY A MIX OF
RA/SN INLAND MON NIGHT...HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO FINE TUNE THIS
FCST BUT THIS COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM. WENT CLOSE TO HPC
TEMPS FOR MON AND TUE HOWEVER IF GFS THICKNESS/LOW LVL TEMPS PROGS
ARE RIGHT THESE MAY NEED TO BE LOWERED IN LATER FCSTS.

I hope it comes true as I want some snow...hope NC gets dumped on...you northerns have gotten enough snow...I WANT SOME and its MY turn...stop hogging all the snow...

[WindRunner]

Well, while Sterling isn't making it into a huge storm, and actually indicates some rain/snow mix at the beginning early on Monday, they still have a good bit of snow in the forecast for Monday night and Tuesday and onward - so looks like all of us up here around DC will be getting some snow as well

.LONG TERM /WED NGT-TUE/...

SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PROGGED TO MOVE FROM THE MID MS VALLEY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THE NJ COAST BY LATE THURSDAY. WARM FRONT SHOULD
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LIMITED MOISTURE
AND WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT. HIGHS THURSDAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 AHEAD OF COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCES FOR UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS THURSDAY NIGHT. LARGE H5 RIDGE EXPECTED TO
BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. FRIDAY AND SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE
EASTERN U.S. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT
IN DRY CONDTIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL. BIG QUESTION STILL IN THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...AS SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP INTO A COASTAL LOW
AS IT MOVES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. MODELS SHOWING GREAT VARIANCE
IN TRACK OF THIS LOW FROM MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN...SO HAVE
CHANCES OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW. WITH H5 TROUGH
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WENT WITH
BELOW NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

[NCWisher]

Its so hard to be optimistic about any possible winter weather events after the way this winter and last winter have gone...but, there is always hope!

[tk]

It's March. Anything that falls in the daytime is going to melt

[Lowpressure]

NWS Charlotte has jumped on this as well, introducing rain/snow Sunday night and especially into Monday. NCEP agrees pretty well with the 12Z GFS. Storm track appears to be favorable for winter precip, thicknesses will be in range as well. Going for 72-75 today, hard to believe it could snow in 5 days, but as posted, it is March.

[Lowpressure]

So much for that hoopla, as usual-hype from local NWS.