Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0359 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN VA AND MUCH OF NC/SC...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   OVERALL LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS HIGHLIGHTED BY BROAD
   UPPER TROUGHS OVER THE WEST AND EAST COASTS...AS UPPER RIDGE
   REINTENSIFIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INITIALLY ACROSS THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS
   WILL RACE EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES
   TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND POST-COLD FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO A
   DIMINISHED FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
   PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHERN VA AND MUCH OF NC/SC...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SW/W WINDS AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
   
   STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
   FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN VA INTO NC/SC TODAY. SCENARIO IS
   ATTRIBUTABLE TO QUICK EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
   AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WITH DEEP MIXING AND STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL
   DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF THE APPALACHIANS. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS TRANSITION
   FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST DURING THE DAY...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
   20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH GUSTS TO 35-40 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
   VA/NC. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 70S TO LOWER 80S
   FROM THE VA PIEDMONT INTO SC. POST-COLD FRONTAL SUBSIDENCE/MOMENTUM
   TRANSFER WILL CONTINUE THE GUSTY WINDS INTO THE EVENING.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0402 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL FLUCTUATE LITTLE ON
   FRIDAY. WITH PERSISTENT DEEP TROUGH ANCHORED OVER EASTERN CANADA AND
   THE NORTHEAST STATES...GRADUAL EASTWARD SHIFT OF CENTRAL CONUS UPPER
   RIDGE WILL OCCUR DOWNSTREAM OF BROAD UPPER TROUGH FROM THE EASTERN
   PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN STATES. WITHIN THE MEAN WESTERN
   TROUGH...LEADING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
   PROGRESS EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN
   REGION.
   
   ...NORTHERN AND EASTERN AZ/WESTERN NM/SOUTHEAST UT/FAR SOUTHWEST
   CO...
   AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT
   BASIN...STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
   ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON FRIDAY.
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES MAY TEND TO BE MARGINAL...HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE
   OF THE WIND SPEEDS IN PRESENCE OF DRY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A
   HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN KS/SOUTHWEST NEB...
   AS CYCLOGENESIS BEGINS TO OCCUR IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...GUSTY
   SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
   ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY /WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS/ BY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN
   KS/SOUTHWEST NEB. CLOUD COVER MAY TEND TO HINDER DEEP
   MIXING...HOWEVER MILD TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL REACH THE MIDDLE 50S
   TO LOWER 60S.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/02/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CST THU MAR 02 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...

NORTH TEXAS AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL EXPERIENCE VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING 65 TO
70...ALONG WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING TO NEAR 20 PERCENT OVER
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...TO NEAR 30 PERCENT IN DUNCAN...ARDMORE...
AND WICHITA FALLS...AND 35 PERCENT AT OKLAHOMA CITY AND DURANT.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 25.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND ALL OF
OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0344 AM CST FRI MAR 03 2006
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
   CONUS TODAY. OVERALL PATTERN IS CHARACTERIZED BY LONGWAVE TROUGH
   ANCHORED OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST STATES...WITH
   EASTWARD TRANSITIONING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. WITHIN
   MEAN EASTERN PACIFIC/WESTERN STATES UPPER TROUGH...LEADING SHORTWAVE
   IMPULSE WILL PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CA AND THE GREAT
   BASIN...BRINGING GUSTY WINDS TO MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN/LOWER CO
   RIVER VALLEY AND FOUR CORNERS AREA TODAY.
   
   ...EASTERN GREAT BASIN/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHERN UT/MUCH OF
   AZ INTO WESTERN NM...
   AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET CROSSES CA INTO THE GREAT
   BASIN...STRONG/GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE EASTERN GREAT
   BASIN/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. AFTERNOON
   RH VALUES WILL TEND TO BE MARGINAL...HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE OF THE
   WIND SPEEDS IN PRESENCE OF DRY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED
   FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN KS/SOUTHWEST NEB...
   GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS TODAY AS CYCLOGENESIS BEGINS TO OCCUR IN THE LEE OF THE
   ROCKIES. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY /WITH
   GUSTS TO 40 MPH/ BY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN CO/FAR WESTERN
   KS/SOUTHWEST NEB. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM
   THE MIDDLE 50S TO LOWER 60S...WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES TENDING TO
   REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY HIGH.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/03/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 AM CST FRI MAR 03 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BETWEEN UPPER TROUGHS OVER BOTH THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND EASTERN
   NORTH AMERICA...UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OVER THE CENTRAL STATES AS
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE AND A
   DRY AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY.
   
   ...NM/SOUTHEAST CO INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
   IN WAKE OF LEE TROUGH...WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL LEAD TO
   WARM/BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NM AND THE ADJACENT SOUTHERN
   HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   APPEAR LIKELY...WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 60S TO
   LOWER 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. PENDING DEGREE OF HIGHER CLOUD
   COVER/MIXING AND EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS...PORTIONS OF THE REGION MAY
   BE UPGRADED TO CRITICAL IN SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 OUTLOOK.
   
   ...FL PENINSULA AND AL/GA/SC...
   WITH A DRIER AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE REGION TODAY IN WAKE OF COLD
   FRONT...SEVERAL HOURS OF RATHER LOW RH VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED
   SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AND ADJACENT SE STATES.
   RH VALUES AS LOW AS 20-25 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS INTERIOR
   NORTHERN FL AND ADJACENT AL/GA/SC...RANGING TO 35-40 PERCENT ACROSS
   THE INTERIOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA. HOWEVER...WIND
   SPEEDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT /5-10 MPH/ OWING TO WEAK
   PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE HIGH.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/03/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CST FRI MAR 03 2006

HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

LOW HUMIDITIES...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND STEADY EASTERLY WINDS WILL
RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 PERCENT...WITH THE LOWEST VALUES DEVELOPING
IN THE WARMEST AIR SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WHERE HIGHS WILL BE IN
THE 60S TO NEAR 70 DEGREES. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG THIS AFTERNOON...EASTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH SOME
GUSTS OVER 20 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE
THE WORST FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING LAWTON...HOBART...DUNCAN...ARDMORE...
PAULS VALLEY...AND CHICKASHA...WHERE HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOWEST...AND
TEMPERATURES THE HIGHEST.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND ALL OF
OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0247 AM CST SAT MAR 04 2006
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
   STATES WHILE FLATTENING THE UPPER RIDGE. DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
   OCCUR OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND FRONT RANGE IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS UPPER SYSTEM. FURTHER EAST...A DEEP UPPER
   TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN STATES. COOL/DRY NWLY FLOW WILL
   OCCUR AS A RESULT OVER THIS REGION. AN ACTIVE/WET PATTERN WILL
   CONTINUE IN THE WRN STATES...AS YET ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES
   THE WEST COAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND FRONT RANGE...
   SFC LOW PRESSURE/LEE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH
   PLAINS EARLY TODAY IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.
   COMBINED WITH STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SWLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15-25 MPH BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE
   WEAKER WINDS OVER ERN CO NEARER TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALTHOUGH SFC
   TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE SFC
   DEWPTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE APPRECIABLY LOW /20S-30S OVER NM AND
   TEENS OVER CO/ AND THUS MIN RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL
   MUCH BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER NM AND AROUND 15 PERCENT OVER CO.
   CONDITIONS WILL THUS FALL SHY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA AND
   AREA WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN A CRITICAL OUTLOOK.
   
   ...MID ATLANTIC/SERN STATES...
   COOL NWLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD
   THE AREA TODAY. NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH OVER VA TO AROUND 10 MPH
   OVER GA/SC/FL WILL OCCUR AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SEWD FROM
   THE MS VALLEY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S IN
   VA...50S IN NC/SC AND THE 60S ELSEWHERE. LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS IN
   THE MID ATLANTIC TO THE 30S IN THE SERN STATES WILL SUPPORT MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. THE COMBINATION OF COOL TEMPERATURES IN
   THE MID-ATLANTIC AND LIGHT WINDS IN THE SERN STATES WILL PRECLUDE A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN BOTH THESE REGIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/04/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0248 AM CST SAT MAR 04 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ON DAY 2. ANOTHER
   UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONTO THE WEST COAST. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS
   SYSTEM...UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER THE PLAINS...WHILE UPPER
   TROUGHING IS REINFORCED OVER THE ERN STATES. RELATIVELY WEAK SURFACE
   WINDS NATIONWIDE WILL LIMIT ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
   
   ...PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   A RELATIVELY WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT SWD ACROSS NRN/WRN OK
   AND THE TX PANHANDLE THROUGH THE DAY. NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY ENOUGH
   OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST TO SUPPORT NNELY WINDS FROM 15-20
   MPH. MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 65-75 DEGREE RANGE WITH DEWPTS IN THE
   20S/30S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT. LACK OF
   STRONGER WINDS WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SERN/MID ATLANTIC STATES...
   WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT WSWLY DURING THE DAY AS SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE SHIFTS SWD INTO THE FL. LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO 30S WILL
   COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S/60S TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS
   FROM 25-35 PERCENT /LOWEST IN NC/.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/04/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0257 AM CST SUN MAR 05 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST WILL BECOME REINFORCED THROUGH DAY
   ONE AS AN UPPER SYSTEM MOVES SEWD FROM THE CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS INTO
   THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS UPPER
   TROUGH...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT SWD THROUGH THE SRN
   PLAINS. DRY AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY...BUT WINDS WILL
   BE RELATIVELY LIGHT. ADDITIONALLY A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   MOVE THROUGH THE SERN STATES...PROVIDING FOR LOW RH READINGS.
   FURTHER WEST...A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST
   TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...SWLY
   WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER AZ...BUT SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
   CRITICAL CRITERIA.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS RANGING FROM THE TEENS IN THE CAROLINAS TO THE
   30S IN FLORIDA WILL SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT
   TODAY. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION...WINDS
   WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT /LESS THAN 10 MPH/ PRECLUDING A CRITICAL
   OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   NNWLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL OCCUR BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   THAT MOVES SWD THROUGH OK/NRN TX THROUGH THE PERIOD. DRIER AIR WITH
   DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL
   SUPPORT AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.
   HOWEVER...WEAKER WINDS AND RECENT RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL
   LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...AZ/WRN NM...
   DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS/TEENS WILL COMBINE WITH
   MILD TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 8-15 PERCENT. SWLY
   WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE
   TO APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST. HOWEVER WINDS ARE
   FCST TO REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0259 AM CST SUN MAR 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CONUS ON DAY TWO. A
   COMPACT UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SEWD FROM OHIO VALLEY INTO THE SERN
   STATES. AN INCREASE IN WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM OVER THE
   SERN STATES. FURTHER WEST...A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE
   WEST COAST INTO THE ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A SURFACE LOW
   PRESSURE AREA WILL DEEPEN OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL SUPPORT
   INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS/SRN ROCKIES REGION.
   
   ...SRN ROCKIES/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW AND DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER THE FRONT RANGE
   OF CO WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF AZ/NM AND WRN
   TX. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH CLOUDS PRESENTLY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF
   THE BAJA CA COAST WILL BE DRAWN NEWD AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND
   SHOULD BE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION ON DAY 2. THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD
   AID IN SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER RH READINGS AND WEAKER
   WINDS DUE TO DIMINISHED MIXING POTENTIAL. ATTM...EXPECT SWLY WINDS
   FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. AREA MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED
   IN TOMORROW/S OUTLOOK.
   
   ...FLA/SERN GA...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH AHEAD OF SEWD MOVING
   UPPER SYSTEM. LOW DEWPTS ON DAY ONE WILL BE REPLACED WITH INCREASING
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A
   FEW HOURS WHERE MIN RH READINGS ARE BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER ERN
   FL/SERN GA.
   
   ...OK...
   WINDS WILL BECOME SELY AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH DURING THE
   AFTERNOON AS SFC LOW DEEPENS OVER ERN CO. WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE
   70S WILL COMBINE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 30S/40S TO PRODUCE MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1000 AM CST SUN MAR 5 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

LOW HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND WEST OF A
LINE FROM ENID TO LAWTON TO WICHITA FALLS. THE REMAINDER OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS WILL EXPERIENCE HIGH FIRE DANGER.

CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH 75 TO 80 DEGREES IN
MOST LOCATIONS. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 20 PERCENT
IN THE WEST TO 30 PERCENT ALONG INTERSTATE 35...TO 40 PERCENT EAST
OF INTERSTATE 35. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1150 PM CST SUN MAR 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD
   AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN STATES...AND ANOTHER
   UPPER TROUGH DIGS SEWD TOWARDS THE ERN SEABOARD. AHEAD OF THE WRN
   TROUGH...INCREASING SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND DEEPENING SFC LEE TROUGH
   WILL PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE SWRN
   PLATEAU/SRN ROCKIES AND THE PORTIONS OF SRN PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE ERN
   TROUGH...INCREASING SWLY WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS WILL PRODUCE NEAR
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER ERN FLA.
   
   ...AZ/NM...
   INCREASING MID LEVEL SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH
   WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SWLY SURFACE WINDS. SEASONABLY LOW DEWPTS IN
   THE SINGLE DIGITS/TEENS WILL COMBINE WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT. MOST OF THE REGION
   WILL SEE SUBSTANTIAL HIGH CLOUD COVER MOVING IN FROM THE SUBTROPICAL
   PACIFIC DURING THE DAY. THIS SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT FULL MIXING
   POTENTIAL. THUS SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR
   MOST OF THE AFTERNOON LIMITING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...ERN FLA...
   AHEAD OF DIGGING SERN CONUS UPPER TROUGH...SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
   INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS FLOW
   INCREASES OFF THE ERN GULF. MIN RH READINGS FROM 30-35 PERCENT WILL
   BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HR PERIOD DURING THE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOISTURE
   INCREASES SUFFICIENTLY TO RAISE RH READINGS ABOVE 35 PERCENT.
   
   ...WRN TX/OK AND SRN KS...
   SSELY FLOW WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
   PRESSURE OVER SERN CO. A DRY AIRMASS WITH DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S
   ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S
   WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT. AVG WIND SPEEDS
   WILL BE FROM 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON. LACK OF STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1151 PM CST SUN MAR 05 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN ROCKIES/SRN
   HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL RESIDE OVER THE WRN CONUS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD FROM THE BASE OF
   THIS BROAD TROUGH AND MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE A
   DRYLINE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF WRN TX/ERN NM AT THE START OF THE
   DAY WILL MOVE INTO FAR WRN OK BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST
   OF THE DRYLINE...SUFFICIENTLY STRONG SWLY WINDS COMBINED WITH DRY
   AIR WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER THE SRN
   ROCKIES/SRN HIGH PLAINS. FURTHER EAST...AS THE UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE
   COLD FRONT MOVE OFF THE SERN COAST...NWLY WINDS WILL USHER IN
   COOLER/DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. NWLY WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST OVER
   FLA...WHERE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN NM...SERN
   CO/SWRN KS AND WRN TX/FAR WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 30 MPH...LONG TERM DROUGHT...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT
   
   A SHARPENING OF THE SURFACE DRYLINE WILL OCCUR ON DAY TWO AS MID
   LEVEL FLOW INCREASES OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
   LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL EJECT OUT OF THE DESERT SW. WELL
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S/80S WILL COMBINE WITH DEWPTS IN
   THE 20S/30S TO GENERATE MIN RH READINGS IN THE 10-20 PERCENT RANGE.
   IN ADDITION...THE PRESENCE OF THE EJECTING SHORTWAVE WILL SUPPORT
   STRONGER MID LEVEL WINDS AND DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER SERN CO.
   THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FACTORS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE SFC SWLY
   WINDS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN NM AND WRN TX...AND PORTIONS OF FAR
   SERN CO/SWRN KS AND FAR WRN OK. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH
   GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY.
   
   ...SRN SC...ERN GA AND MOST OF FLA...
   NLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE MORNING WILL OCCUR
   OVER THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. DRY AIR WITH DEWPTS IN
   THE 30S AND 40S ALONG WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE 65-75
   RANGE WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT.
   
   ...REST OF OK/NWRN TX...
   TO THE EAST OF THE DRYLINE...DEWPTS WILL RISE INTO THE 50S DURING
   THE DAY. THUS DESPITE MODERATE SLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH AND WARM
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S...MIN RH READINGS FROM 35-45 PERCENT WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
449 AM CST MON MAR 6 2006

...HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

LOW HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN A HIGH FIRE
DANGER ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED OVER
NORTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WHERE THE LOWEST AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 70S REGION-WIDE...
WITH A FEW 80S POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND EXTREME
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. MOST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL AVERAGE 25
TO 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...BUT HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND
25 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED WEST OF A CHEROKEE...TO WEATHERFORD...TO
HOLLIS LINE. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN THOSE SEEN ON SUNDAY
AS THEY BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE DAY.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CST TUE MAR 07 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/SERN CO/SRN KS/OK/W TX AND
   NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MID LEVEL WLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TO 50-60 KT TODAY ACROSS THE PLAINS
   AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. LEE TROUGH
   WILL DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS...WHILE DRYLINE
   BECOMES WELL DEFINED ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND A WARM FRONT LIFTS
   NWD INTO KS. VERY STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AS
   MIXED LAYER DEEPENS. DESPITE RETURNING BOUNDARY LAYER
   MOISTURE...WIDESPREAD WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS A LARGE AREA
   TODAY. IN ADDITION TO AN INCREASING THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRE...A
   CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY FOR TSTMS WILL ALSO EXIST FROM PORTIONS OF
   SW/CNTRL OK INTO KS BY LATE AFTN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NM/SERN CO/SRN KS/OK/W TX AND
   NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/EXTREME
   LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   EARLY MORNING SFC ANALYSIS SHOWED A TIGHTENING DEWPOINT GRADIENT
   RANGING FROM MID/UPPER 20S IN NE OK TO NEAR 60 IN SW OK.
   MEANWHILE...DEWPOINTS ACROSS FAR W TX AND PORTIONS OF NM WERE IN THE
   SINGLE DIGITS OR LOWER. ALTHOUGH ERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
   WILL HAVE HIGHER RH LEVELS DUE TO NWD MOVING WARM FRONT...SFC WINDS
   ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER...GIVEN PROXIMITY TO 50KT LOW LEVEL
   JET.
   
   DRYLINE WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM SW TX INTO EXTREME WRN OK BY AFTN.
   WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SWLY TO WLY BEHIND THE DRYLINE...WITH MINIMUM
   RH VALUES RANGING FROM 5-15 PERCENT AND WLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH.
   AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE...MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SFC WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TO 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ABOVE 35 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS
   WILL TEND TO VEER SLIGHTLY FROM SELY TO S/SWLY DURING THE DAY. IN
   ADDITION HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
   
   A LARGE NUMBER OF LARGE FIRES CONTINUE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...AND
   ANOTHER DAY OF WINDY/WARM WEATHER WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF ISOLD TSTMS DO FORM...THE MOST LIKELY
   LOCATION WOULD BE FROM NEAR LAWTON TO WICHITA BY LATE THIS AFTN. ANY
   TSTMS WOULD BRING A THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LIGHTNING.
   
   ...FL...
   POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-25 MPH TODAY...ALONG WITH
   DECREASING RH VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. RECENT KBDI VALUES ARE IN
   EXCESS OF 300 ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL AND SRN FL.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0449 AM CST TUE MAR 07 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE NM/FAR W TX INTO TX
   PANHANDLE/EXTREME WRN OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/CNTRL AND WRN OK/SRN KS/FAR W
   TX INTO NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN
   AND CNTRL PLAINS. THE EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS COMBINED
   WITH THE WINDY AND WARM WEATHER WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF NM/OK/TX. WRN UPPER TROUGH
   WILL CONTINUE TO DIG ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES WITH AN 80-90 KT JET MAX
   AT MID LEVELS ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH BY WED EVENING. AHEAD
   OF TROUGH...STRONG /60-70KT/ SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXTEND ACROSS MUCH
   OF TX INTO THE OH VALLEY. SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES
   EWD ALONG THE OK/KS BORDER. SFC DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD INTO CNTRL
   OK...WHILE COLD FRONT LAGS BEHIND ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE.
   STRONG/SVR TSTMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INVOF OF DRYLINE...BUT A
   CAPPING INVERSION WILL INHIBIT STORMS UNTIL LATE AFTN/EVENING.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE NM/FAR W TX INTO TX
   PANHANDLE/EXTREME WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-35 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS...WINDS WILL ALSO SHARPLY
   CHANGE DIRECTION FROM S/SWLY TO WLY AS DRYLINE MIXES EWD. MAX TEMPS
   ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID/UPPER 70S...WHICH IS MUCH
   ABOVE NORMAL. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES /NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC/ WILL
   DEVELOP ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/FAR W TX AND NM. THIS WILL ALLOW
   HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR ALOFT /IN THE 40-50KT RANGE/ TO MIX DOWN TO
   LOWER LEVELS...YIELDING VERY STRONG SFC WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NM/CNTRL AND WRN OK/SRN KS/FAR W
   TX INTO NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   IN THE REGION SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...WINDS WILL
   BE FROM THE WEST ACROSS NM. MAX TEMPS WILL BE COOLER ACROSS CNTRL
   AND NERN PORTIONS OF NM...GENERALLY IN THE 50S/LOWER 60S IN THE
   LOWER ELEVATIONS. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE VERY DRY /LESS THAN 15
   PERCENT/ WITH A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. FARTHER EAST...FROM THE
   TX HILL COUNTRY NWD INTO OK...MAX TEMPS WILL BE EVEN WARMER THAN TUE
   WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. THE DRYLINE SHOULD MIX FARTHER EWD THAN
   ON TUE DUE TO INCREASING WINDS ALOFT...WHICH WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO
   FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS THE WRN THIRD OF OK SWD TO ABI/SJT.
   WINDS ACROSS ERN OK AND THE REST OF NCNTRL TX WILL BE STRONG...BUT
   THIS REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE MOIST AIR SO DOMINANT WINDS WILL BE
   FROM THE SOUTH WITH RELATIVELY HIGH RH VALUES.
   
   ...ARKLATEX INTO THE OZARKS...
   STRONG SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 MPH ACROSS THE REGION THUS
   RAISING THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRE ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER SFC
   DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S/60S WILL RESULT IN A MOIST BOUNDARY
   LAYER. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE BY WED EVENING ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF OK AND ALL OF AR/NE TX.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/07/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
513 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

DESPITE AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER MOST OF THE
REGION...WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT
IN A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND
ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WITH
AN INCREASE IN GULF MOISTURE...MOST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STAY
FAIRLY HIGH...EXCEPT FOR FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME WESTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. OVER THESE AREAS...A DRY LINE WILL USHER
IN MUCH DRIER AIR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH
THE SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN HUMIDITIES WILL AGGRAVATE THE FIRE
DANGER...IT WILL BE OFFSET BY DECREASING WINDS NEAR THE DRY LINE.
THE FIRE DANGER WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET...AS TEMPERATURES COOL
AND WIND GUSTS DIMINISH.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0405 AM CST WED MAR 08 2006
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE NM/FAR W TX INTO TX
   PANHANDLE/EXTREME WRN OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/CNTRL AND WRN OK/SRN KS/FAR W
   TX INTO NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS DEPICT UPPER LOW WITH ASSOCIATED
   80KT SPEED MAX ACROSS NRN AZ. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE
   SRN HIGH PLAINS LATER TODAY...EXTREMELY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
   DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. SFC DRYLINE NOW EXTENDS FROM SW KS INTO
   WRN OK/W TX EAST OF A DDC/CDS/INK LINE. THE DRYLINE WILL BE AN
   IMPORTANT FACTOR AS IT MIXES EWD INTO CNTRL OK THIS AFTN BECAUSE OF
   THE ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT AND RAPIDLY FALLING DEWPOINTS. EXTREMELY
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN
   NM/FAR W TX THROUGH THE PANHANDLE AND INTO WRN PORTIONS OF OK BEHIND
   THE DRYLINE. FARTHER EAST...RH VALUES WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH...BUT
   THE COMBINATION OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND SEVERE/EXTREME LONG
   TERM DROUGHT WILL NEVERTHELESS COMPLICATE WILDFIRE SUPPRESSION
   EFFORTS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE NM/FAR W TX INTO TX
   PANHANDLE/EXTREME WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH/RH VALUES BELOW 15
   PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   RECORD HIGH TEMPS WERE OBSERVED IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS ON TUE. WHILE
   SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...VALUES WILL STILL BE
   15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. IN ADDITION...VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES
   WILL ALLOW THE TOP OF THE MIXED LAYER TO APPROACH 500 MB WHERE WIND
   SPEEDS WILL EXCEED 30-35KT. HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR WILL EASILY BE MIXED
   DOWN TO LOWER LEVELS RESULTING IN POSSIBLE WIND GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH.
   IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL VEER BEHIND THE DRY LINE TO SWLY AND THIS
   NARROW ZONE WILL MARK A DANGEROUS WIND SHIFT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NM/CNTRL AND WRN OK/SRN KS/FAR W
   TX INTO NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE
   WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/60S ARE EXPECTED...AND THE
   CRITICAL AREA WILL NOT BE EXTENDED FARTHER EAST. HOWEVER...LONG TERM
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE WORSE ACROSS ERN OK/NERN TX PER DATA FROM THE
   NATIONAL DROUGHT MONITOR...AND ONGOING FIRES ARE MORE NUMEROUS AS
   WELL.
   
   ...ARKLATEX INTO THE OZARKS...
   STRONG SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 MPH ACROSS THE REGION THUS
   RAISING THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRE TODAY. HOWEVER SFC
   DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S/60S WILL RESULT IN A MOIST BOUNDARY
   LAYER. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE BY WED EVENING ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF OK AND ALL OF AR/NE TX.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0428 AM CST WED MAR 08 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN AND ERN NM/FAR W INTO NW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER WAVE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS WRN OK/TX PANHANDLE AT THE START
   OF THE PERIOD...WITH ASSOCIATED 80-90 KT JET MAX EXTENDING FROM FAR
   W TX INTO NCNTRL TX. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY
   BY EVENING...BUT NEXT JET MAX WILL ARRIVE IN NM BY AFTN. THOUGH MAX
   TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN EARLIER IN THE WEEK...STRONG
   WLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA
   COINCIDENT WITH A VERY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN AND ERN NM/FAR W INTO NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WLY WINDS 15-25 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   SFC DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE
   ERN PLAINS OF NM/FAR W TX AND NOT MUCH HIGHER ACROSS THE TX
   PANHANDLE. THIS WILL YIELD MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 5-15 PERCENT
   RANGE. STRONG DIURNAL MIXING WILL OCCUR ALLOWING STRONG WLY WINDS TO
   DEVELOP DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTN. MAX WIND GUSTS ABOVE 30-35
   MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
   
   ...ERN KY/SW VA/ERN TN...
   STRONG SLY SFC WINDS /15-25 MPH/ WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
   AHEAD OF VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
   WILL MOVE ALONG THE OH RIVER FURTHER INCREASING THE SFC GRADIENT.
   TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70 WITH DEWPOINTS IN
   THE LOWER 40S WHICH WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING TO
   AROUND 35-40 PERCENT. SEVERAL LARGE FIRES HAVE BEEN ONGOING ACROSS
   THE AREA IN RECENT DAYS. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON THU NIGHT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/08/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
502 AM CST WED MAR 8 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...

DESPITE CONTINUED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE
AREA... UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS WILL
RESULT IN A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER ACROSS APPROXIMATELY
THE WESTERN TWO- THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. A DRY LINE WILL MOVE
THROUGH WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
EAST OF THE DRY LINE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER...TO THE WEST OF THE DRY LINE... HUMIDITIES
WILL FALL TO 15 TO 30 PERCENT AGGRAVATING THE ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER FROM WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS IN THIS AREA. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT SHIFTING WINDS TO
THE NORTHWEST WHICH COULD CAUSE PROBLEMS IN CONTAINING ANY
ONGOING FIRES.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
311 AM CST WED MAR 8 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-058-062-063-065>076-
090415-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OTTAWA-MAYES-DELAWARE-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-
WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-
HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
311 AM CST WED MAR 8 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OTTAWA...MAYES...DELAWARE...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S AND A DRY GROUND WILL CREATE AGGRESSIVE FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TODAY.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/TX/SW OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ANOTHER WINDY AND WARM DAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
   SRN PLAINS TODAY. UPPER TROUGH NOW ACROSS NW TX WILL MOVE QUICKLY
   INTO THE LOWER MS/OH VALLEYS BY TONIGHT...WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE
   DEVELOPING ACROSS NM/W TX. MODERATELY STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
   INCREASE ACROSS NM TO AROUND 70 KT BY LATE AFTN...WHICH WILL FURTHER
   ENHANCE SFC WINDS. FARTHER EAST...SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AS IT
   TRACKS FROM NEAR ST LOUIS TO CHICAGO. STRONG SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR
   WITHIN THE BROAD WARM SECTOR FROM THE GULF COAST TO OH VALLEY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NM/TX/SW OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG WLY SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING
   UPPER TROUGH/COLD FRONT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY
   WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...SFC
   DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM MAY FALL INTO THE SINGLE
   DIGITS RESULTING IN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT. FARTHER EAST...RH
   VALUES MAY BE EVEN LOWER AS TEMPS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER
   80S. ALTHOUGH A FEW AREAS RECEIVED RAIN ON WED...MOST OF THE AREA
   CONTINUES TO SUFFER FROM EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT.
   
   ...ERN KY/SW VA/ERN TN...
   STRONG SLY SFC WINDS /15-25 MPH/ WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
   AHEAD OF VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE
   NORMAL IN THE 60S/70S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 40S WHICH WILL
   RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 35-40 PERCENT. SHOWERS
   AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON THU
   NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD HELP MITIGATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0408 AM CST THU MAR 09 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/SE CO/SWRN KS/WRN AND CNTRL
   OK/FAR W THROUGH NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG WLY FLOW AT MID LEVELS AND ALOFT WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH
   FRIDAY...AS NEXT JET MAX ARRIVES IN NM/AZ. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL
   DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO/WRN KS WITH A DRYLINE REDEVELOPING OVER TX.
   EXTREMELY WINDY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
   RESULT IN A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF THE
   SRN/CNTRL PLAINS ON FRIDAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NM/SE CO/SWRN KS/WRN AND CNTRL
   OK/FAR W THROUGH NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   SFC WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH
   POSSIBLE. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW DEEP MIXING TO OCCUR AS
   TEMPS RISE INTO THE 60S/70S WITH HIGHER VALUES ACROSS CNTRL TX/CNTRL
   OK. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT WITH SLIGHTLY
   HIGHER VALUES EAST. MOST OF THIS AREA RECEIVED LITTLE OR NO RAIN
   WITH THE WEATHER SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY...SO EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   PERSISTS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/09/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
630 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...AN ELEVATED RISK OF GRASS FIRES TODAY FOR FAR EASTERN SECTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS...

A DYNAMIC STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY THIS EVENING.
LOOK FOR WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE DRAMATICALLY BY 9 TO 10
AM TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25...THEN INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH BY
MIDDAY AND AFTER. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM A SQUALL LINE THAT MOVE
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY UNDER 1/4 OF AN INCH...
THOUGH SOME ISOLATED AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1/2 AND 1 INCH LIKELY FELL.
HOWEVER...THE HEAVIER RAIN WAS NOT WIDESPREAD...AND WITH THE GUSTY...
DRY AND WARM WEST WINDS...THE WILDFIRE DANGER WILL INCREASING
RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AND HUMIDITIES SHOULD
QUICKLY RISE AFTER SUNSET.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A MAJORITY OF THE AREA. AVOID
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR
WELDING OR TOSSING LIT CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE
INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
530 AM CST THU MAR 9 2006

...HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

DESPITE RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING... THE
FIRE DANGER WILL INCREASE TO THE HIGH CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
WHICH RECEIVED LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARM TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH HUMIDITIES FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN THE
INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER ACROSS THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE... COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL HELP TO LIMIT THE
FIRE DANGER.

THE FIRE DANGER MAY INCREASE TO VERY HIGH TO EXTREME LEVELS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES... GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS... AND LOW HUMIDITIES.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0323 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/SW KS/OK
   PANHANDLE/FAR W TX THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/SERN CO/WRN AND CNTRL KS/WRN
   AND CNTRL OK/FAR W TX THROUGH NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS A
   RATHER LARGE PORTION OF THE HIGH PLAINS. EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR
   IMAGERY AND WIND PROFILER DATA DEPICT A VIGOROUS JET STREAK NOW
   APPROACHING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. WINDS AT MID LEVELS WILL
   APPROACH 100 KT OVER NM AND AZ AS THIS JET ADVANCES EWD INTO THE
   HIGH PLAINS BY TONIGHT. FARTHER EAST...A JET STREAK /70-80KT/ WILL
   EXTEND FROM THE OH RIVER VALLEY EWD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.
   SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS SE CO TODAY...FURTHER INCREASING
   THE WINDS AT LOW LEVELS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SERN CO/SW KS/OK
   PANHANDLE/FAR W TX THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 25-40 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES 10-15 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   WIND PROFILER DATA ALREADY INDICATE 50 KT OF FLOW OVER AZ AT
   3000-4000 FEET...AHEAD OF APPROACHING SPEED MAX. ORIENTATION AND
   TIMING OF THIS JET STREAK WILL ENHANCE WIND POTENTIAL TODAY. LOW
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE DRY ADIABATIC...WITH MIXING LEVELS RANGING
   FROM 550-700MB...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF CO AND NM. THIS
   WILL ALLOW HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR TO BE MIXED TO THE SFC...SUPPORTING
   SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH. MUCH HIGHER GUSTS /NEAR 50-60 MPH/ ARE
   EXPECTED NEAR FAVORED TERRAIN AREAS SUCH AS MTN PASSES. WITHIN THE
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE
   FORECAST...WHICH WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE
   10-15 PERCENT RANGE. NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN HAS FALLEN IN SEVERAL
   MONTHS...AND EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST. DANGEROUS
   WILDFIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NM/SERN CO/WRN AND CNTRL KS/WRN
   AND CNTRL OK/FAR W TX THROUGH NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES 15-20 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   SFC WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND RH VALUES HIGHER THAN POINTS FARTHER
   WEST. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THIS REGION SUFFERS FROM EXTREME LONG TERM
   DROUGHT AS WELL...AND THE CONTINUED PATTERN OF WINDY AND DRY DAYS
   SUPPORTS A CRITICAL AREA TODAY. SFC WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-30 MPH
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE...IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING LEE SIDE LOW.
   RH VALUES WILL LIKELY BE HIGHEST IN CNTRL KS WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER
   MOISTURE IS DEEPER AND MAX TEMPS COOLER. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS
   CNTRL/WRN OK AND NCNTRL TX...MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S/80S
   WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 20S WITH MIN RH AROUND 15-20 PERCENT.
   THESE TEMPS ARE NEARLY 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
   NUMEROUS WILDFIRES ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE AREA...AND THE WINDY AND
   DRY CONDITIONS WILL COMPLICATE SUPPRESSION EFFORTS.
   
   ...NRN VA/WRN MD/PORTIONS OF PA...
   THE STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WHICH WAS OVER THE CUMBERLAND
   PLATEAU AND ERN KY/SWRN VA ON THU WILL BE OVER NRN VA/MD/PA TODAY.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO 30-35
   PERCENT TODAY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES TO NEARLY 700MB. WIND
   SPEEDS AT THIS LEVEL WILL BE 50-60 KT BY AFTERNOON...AND STRONG SFC
   WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY MID/LATE MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
   ARE FORECAST WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S ACROSS NRN VA/MD. RECENT FIRE
   DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE HIGH/VERY HIGH ACROSS THE REGION...AND
   THE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN
   FIRE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0324 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM/TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W
   TX/WRN OK/SW KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE WEST...WHICH
   WILL ALLOW SERIES OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST AND PLAINS. THE NEXT JET MAX IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE IN
   NM/AZ BY SAT AFTN AS ANOTHER SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE UPPER
   MIDWEST. AT LOWER LEVELS...SFC TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE HIGH
   PLAINS...WITH STRONG SFC WINDS ACROSS ERN NM/SW KS AND WRN OK.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM/TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W
   TX/WRN OK/SW KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   SFC TEMPS WILL BE COOLER ON SATURDAY ACROSS ERN NM...BEHIND A COLD
   FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SAT.
   HOWEVER...SFC WINDS WILL STILL BE QUITE STRONG WITH SUSTAINED VALUES
   OF 20-30 MPH IN ERN NM. ELSEWHERE SFC WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-25
   MPH. TEMPERATURES FARTHER EAST ACROSS SW PORTIONS OF TX AND WRN OK
   WILL BE WARMER /MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S AND 80S/. MINIMUM RH VALUES
   WILL AGAIN FALL INTO THE 15-20 PERCENT RANGE AS AIRMASS REMAINS
   QUITE DRY. CONDITIONS SHOULD BE LESS SEVERE THAN ON FRIDAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/10/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
445 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING...

DESPITE THE RECENT RAINS... VERY DRY AIR ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY
WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN A VERY HIGH
TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. A VERY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS
IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA TODAY WITH VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE 70S AND LOW 80S WITH AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES DROPPING INTO THE 10 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. THESE WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL BE USHERED IN BY STRONG SOUTH WINDS THAT WILL
INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 35
MPH POSSIBLE. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS... WARM
TEMPERATURES... LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DORMANT VEGETATION WILL
RESULT IN A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TODAY.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
434 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

...SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH ALONG WITH DRY FUELS WILL
CREATE AN ELEVATED RISK OF GRASS FIRES ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY AND
RESULT IN SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT AND ABUNDANT DRY FUELS WILL INCREASE
THE RISK OF GRASS FIRES THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND WEST OF A
SHERMAN...DALLAS...HILLSBORO...TO TEMPLE LINE.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A MAJORITY OF THE AREA. AVOID
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR
WELDING OR TOSSING LIT CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE
INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.