drought conditions in Florida and the southern states

boca · #1 Postby **boca** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 11:04 am

Here in South Florida its rained once in 3 months. Other then a spit here in there its been very dry probably caused by La Nina.The whole South from Southern California east towards Florida is dry the jet is running across the northern states and bypassing the south its normal for Florida to an extent, but 3000 miles of drought is not normal across the southern states.

#2 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 11:53 am

yes, I wonder what that means...? I've also noticed hints of a strong E wind pattern trying to set up down here. There have been a few strings of days where we have seen strong E winds (15-25mph)....based on the cyclonic flow of a high located in a near-Bermuda like position. Last year I don't remember any of that. In fact the E wind pattern was virtually non-existent last summer.

Strong E winds mean less rainfall for S. Florida

I'm curious how it sets up in the next couple of months (stronger E winds => I'll look to the Atlantic for storms, weaker E winds => I'll look to the South and GOM)

Examples

2004 => Strong E wind pattern => Frances and Jeanne hit from the East
2005 => Weak E wind pattern => Katrina from the E (wasn't that strong) but strong Wilma from the SW.

#3 Postby **JPmia** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 12:06 pm

I agree..very dry down here. This is much different than last year at this time. This winter and spring remind me of 2004...south florida was very dry during the early spring and summer timeframe..and then came Frances.

MiamiensisWx · #4 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 4:50 pm

The wind is blowing fairly good outside now generally from the east... very interesting...

MiamiensisWx · #5 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 4:55 pm

Also, has anyone noticed that the only rain we have had recently has been from showers coming onshore from the Atlantic? This is typical of a fairly strong ridge pattern.

#6 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:04 pm

Also, has anyone noticed that the only rain we have had recently has been from showers coming onshore from the Atlantic? This is typical of a fairly strong ridge pattern.

Yep, today (Sat.) saw a nice ENE wind at about 15-20 mph with scattered cumulous blowing in from the Atlantic. It looked alot like a summer-time ridge pattern setup today but with overall temps alot lower in the 70s. Up the temps about 15 degrees and it's August with a strong ridge in the Atlantic :eek:

Current wind at the Boca Raton Airport

E at 15

Extended forecast (notice the general E wind pattern tendency and no precip changes):

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low near 60. Northeast wind between 11 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 76. Northeast wind around 11 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58. East wind between 8 and 11 mph becoming calm.

Monday: Partly cloudy, with a high around 79. East wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. West wind around 9 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 79. North wind between 8 and 13 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low near 62. Northeast wind between 9 and 11 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high around 80. East wind between 6 and 13 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. East wind between 7 and 11 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 79.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 67.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 79.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 70.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 81.

MiamiensisWx · #7 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:15 pm

Wow... very interesting information, boca_chris! Can this be a potentially reliable sign of the upcoming ridge setup?

#8 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:34 pm

Yep it could be a sign

MiamiensisWx · #9 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:36 pm

boca_chris, did you get my PM? Can you reply to it?

#10 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:51 pm

just checking it out now...I'll reply in a bit :eek:

Audrey2Katrina · #11 Postby **Audrey2Katrina** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:55 pm

Well, I certainly hope the drought ends and y'all get much needed rainfall; I just won't be among any who want a tropical event to be that which ends it... just a nice influx of moister air

A2K

#12 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:57 pm

True I'm certain that most in Florida have had their fill of TCs in the last two years, and who can blame 'em.

#13 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 9:59 pm

just replied to your PM. Could this doomsday scenario be setting up for this year? It's difficult to say.

boca · #14 Postby **boca** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 10:40 pm

I was working all day since I made this post but an interesting scenario that the Miami discussion made yesterday was that after Wednesday next week high pressure at the mid and upper levels will build across the Caribbean, Southern Gulf and Central and South Florida which means temps in the mid to upper 80's with no rainfall in sight. No only difference now is its still dry but realatively mild not hot.

Ixolib · #15 Postby **Ixolib** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 10:58 pm

boca wrote:I was working all day since I made this post but an interesting scenario that the Miami discussion made yesterday was that after Wednesday next week high pressure at the mid and upper levels will build across the Caribbean, Southern Gulf and Central and South Florida which means temps in the mid to upper 80's with no rainfall in sight. No only difference now is its still dry but realatively mild not hot.

And THAT is but only one reason why they call it paradise!!

boca · #16 Postby **boca** » Sat Mar 04, 2006 11:01 pm

My ideas of paradise is 65° and no humidity during the day in March here in S FL. Yea I'm alittle warped.

drought conditions in Florida and the southern states

drought conditions in Florida and the southern states

Who is online