Repeat of 2004 setup for Florida

[MiamiensisWx]

Yep... please post them for me, too, if anyone can! Thanks!

[CHRISTY]

[img]While I believe that La Nina has formed and will diminish by late May 9 (it is actually diminishing now), I believe we will see neutral conditions. Last year we saw neutral conditions and look what happened. However, we will not see as many canes as last year, I do believe this year will contain "whoppers." The environment is changing, climo is changing, and all these variables come to play to make a deadly mix. I believe we will see a 16/8/6 season. I will also predict that TPA will see a major heading their way (times up). I will also say that the east coast will finally see its share of canes. The Bermuda High will be in place for this to occur ( meaning the BH will be more towards the eastern Atlantic about 250-500 miles offshore from Florida.) This will allow the canes to spin up towards the east a la Bertha in 2003.this is what i think might happen.[img][/img]

[Camille_2_Katrina]

[img]While I believe that La Nina has formed and will diminish by late May 9 (it is actually diminishing now), I believe we will see neutral conditions. Last year we saw neutral conditions and look what happened. However, we will not see as many canes as last year, I do believe this year will contain "whoppers." The environment is changing, climo is changing, and all these variables come to play to make a deadly mix. I believe we will see a 16/8/6 season. I will also predict that TPA will see a major heading their way (times up). I will also say that the east coast will finally see its share of canes. The Bermuda High will be in place for this to occur ( meaning the BH will be more towards the eastern Atlantic about 250-500 miles offshore from Florida.) This will allow the canes to spin up towards the east a la Bertha in 2003.this is what i think might happen.[img][/img]

TMP is Tampa?
Major into Tampa?
Is that possible/probable?
statisticly speaking... not very likely.

[gatorcane]

statistically not very likely, yes, but last year showed statistics mean nothing.

[CHRISTY]

yea come to think about true but iam thinking florida is prime target this year...

[MiamiensisWx]

Huh? CHRISTY, I thought you just said that the Bermuda High would be farther east and that the eastern U.S. coast besides southeast Florida would see storms, not Florida! However, now you are saying that Florida will likely get hit, including southeast Florida. Can you explain better? Thanks!

[CHRISTY]

[MiamiensisWx]

NO THANKS!

[CHRISTY]

just having a lil fun but seriously iam thinking it will all depend on the famous bermuda high and of course alot of other factors that come with it.but all i can say cause its only march is that the southeast has been very lucky for a very long time but that luck is not going to last for ever.

[boca]

TEMPERATUREWISE...AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST OVER THE
ATLANTIC...LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER TO SOUTHEAST AND REMAIN
MOSTLY EAST/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP SOUTH FLORIDA MOSTLY CLOUD
FREE...SO WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND A WARM SOUTHEAST WIND
FLOW...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RISE ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES AS
EARLY AS FRIDAY WITH AFTERNOON MAX REACHING THE MID 80S ALONG THE
EAST COAST BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. INTERIOR SECTIONS AND WEST
COAST COULD EVEN SEE MID/UPPER 80S. WITH THIS SOUTHEAST FLOW ALSO
COMES AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. ADD THIS TO THE HEAT AND
WE COULD BE TALKING MUGGY...WITH APPARENT TEMPS IN THE MID/UPPER
80S POSSIBLY 90 INTERIOR FOR THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.

Here comes summer,lookout hurricane season.

[gatorcane]

that sounds alot like 2004. In fact we never saw such a forecast in 2005. The ridge had problems establishing itself for some reason.

[boca]

We still got nailed though from home grown systems like Katrina. I think long trakkers get more media hype.

[MiamiensisWx]

It feels very similar to 2004 outside...

[gatorcane]

just wait, tomorrow we will see SE winds at 15-20 mph from the ridge.

[MiamiensisWx]

Actually, I think 15KT to 20KT winds (20MPH to 25MPH) are forecast from the east tomorrow. Am I correct?

[gatorcane]

Some conditions across S. Florida right now. Notice the more easterly component:

South Florida Hourly Weather Roundup 1100 AM EST WED MAR 08 2006
City Sky & Wx Tmp DP RH Wind Pres Remarks
NAPLES FAIR 70 49 47 NE15G21 30.19F
W PALM BEACH FAIR 70 47 43 E8 30.22S
FT LAUDER-EXEC FAIR 70 44 39 NE15 30.21S
FT LAUDERDALE FAIR 70 46 42 NE15 30.20S
POMPANO BEACH PTSUNNY 68 47 46 E10 30.21S
PEMBROKE PINES FAIR 70 47 43 NE9 30.23S
OPA LOCKA FAIR 70 47 43 NE12 30.21R
MIAMI FAIR 71 47 42 E8G20 30.21R
MIAMI BEACH N/A 68 48 48 NE16 30.20S
WEST KENDALL PTSUNNY 72 50 45 E13G21 30.20S
HOMESTEAD MOSUNNY 72 54 53 E14 30.21S

[MiamiensisWx]

boca_chris, in my area I have been seeing winds shifting almost to due east. Have you noticed that?

[SouthFloridawx]

Seems like winds are out of the east here in boynton also. Hope to pick up some showers today.




Windspeed and direction here by 4PM today.

[weatherwoman132]

oy, I'm in south florida, just above miami. you guys are scaring me. p.m. me.

[ROCK]

oy, I'm in south florida, just above miami. you guys are scaring me. p.m. me.

they are just speculating. Nothing to worry about. I walked outside earlier today and it felt like 1900. Doesn't mean I going to get Issac this year....