NWS MIA Confirms a Strong Bermuda High, a Precursor?

[gatorcane]

major weather pattern changes are on the way starting today (Wed.). I think I'll hear people complaining about the heat and humidity in a few days

[boca]

I'm not ready for that yet lets hold off until June for the humidity.

[MiamiensisWx]

Any new Miami NWS updates, boca_chris?

[MiamiensisWx]

000
FLUS42 KMFL 081417 AAA
HWOMFL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
917 AM EST WED MAR 8 2006

FLZ063-066>075-091430-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
917 AM EST WED MAR 8 2006

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THE COMBINATION OF A 2 TO 4 FOOT NORTH NORTHEAST SWELL
AND WINDS BECOMING EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES.

WAVES: GULF STREAM SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED TODAY,
SUBSIDING THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, SINCE THE EASTERLY FLOW
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT http://WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.

$$

DG

[MiamiensisWx]

000
FXUS62 KMFL 081331
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
831 AM EST WED MAR 8 2006

.UPDATE...ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR COLLIER COUNTY NOON TO 5
PM THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST RUNS OF THE WRF AND HIGHER RES ETA BOTH
SHOW RH`S FALLING BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOUR DURATION OVER
WESTERN AND CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY. IT IS A TOUGH CALL...GIVEN THE
FACT THAT THERE WILL BE SLOW MOISTURE RECOVERY ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE CAROLINAS
SHIFTS EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. DECIDED ON THE RED FLAG WARNING BASED
ON CURRENT DEWPOINTS...A MORNING LAND BREEZE WHICH WILL DELAY THE
EAST FLOW...AND THE TENDENCY FOR MODELS TO BE SOMEWHAT TOO
AGGRESSIVE ON MOISTURE RECOVERY IN EASTERLY FLOW REGIME FOR WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. /DG

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE FORECAST THIS
MORNING.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
DISCUSSION...EXPECT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE CURRENT
CONDITIONS...EXCEPT FOR A TASTE OF SUMMER LATER THIS WEEKEND AND
NEXT WEEK. WHY? WELL...DEEP LAYER LARGE AMPLITUDE RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM GULF OF MEX NORTH TO GREAT LAKES/SOUTHEAST CANADA WILL SHIFT
EAST AND WILL EXTEND OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF U.S. BY TONIGHT.
THIS WILL ACT AS A POWERFUL BLOCKING PATTERN KEEPING ANY SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER FEATURE FROM APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE
WEST/NORTHWEST THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
RIDGE WILL THEN WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD AND THE LONG RANGE GFS
HINTS AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA
BEFORE DISSIPATING OR RECEDING NORTH. NOW THIS DOES NOT MEAN ZERO
PRECIP. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AS SURFACE RIDGE
NOW OVER ERN U.S. MOVES SOUTHEAST TO WESTERN ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE
BAHAMAS AND ADVECTS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WESTWARD OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
BY THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

[gatorcane]

WOW it's going to be like summer this weekend! Small pop ocean showers moving in from the Atlantic.....

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AS SURFACE RIDGE
NOW OVER ERN U.S. MOVES SOUTHEAST TO WESTERN ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE
BAHAMAS AND ADVECTS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WESTWARD OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
BY THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK

[SouthFloridawx]

yayyyy!!! i'm sick of boring weather. Hope we get some showers here.

[gatorcane]

[SouthFloridawx]

at hour 144 the ridge is still hanging tough out there sending us in south florida some warm humid weather.

[gatorcane]

bump

[skysummit]

Why bump it? It's still toward the top.

[MiamiensisWx]

Uh-oh... did I spread the "bump fever"?

[mike815]

lol what a ridge just scary to think about down the road

[gatorcane]

yes if there is already a nice ridge now then it is not looking good. 90s for inland south FL is rare for early March also....hmmm....could there be a strong bermuda ridge this year? It's early to say but so far indications are looking good. Of course we need to see how the next few months play out.

[MiamiensisWx]

Winds are now blowing straight out of the east to east-northeast now. They have also picked up over the day.

[gatorcane]

check out the first page of this topic. I posted many images showing how the ridge will hold strong over the next 7 days.

[MiamiensisWx]

Wow, boca_chris!

[gatorcane]

easterly flow has entrenched itself now over South Florida:

NAPLES SUNNY 74 46 37 SE13 30.15F
W PALM BEACH MOSUNNY 71 46 41 E14 30.19F
FT LAUDER-EXEC LGT RAIN 72 45 37 E14G21 30.17F
FT LAUDERDALE MOSUNNY 71 45 38 E10 30.17F
POMPANO BEACH SUNNY 71 46 41 E12 30.18F
PEMBROKE PINES MOSUNNY 72 46 40 E14 30.19F
OPA LOCKA MOSUNNY 71 48 44 [b]E12G21 [/b]30.17F
MIAMI MOSUNNY 72 48 42 E13G20 30.17F
MIAMI BEACH N/A 70 52 51 E13 30.16F
WEST KENDALL MOSUNNY 72 48 42 E13 30.17F
HOMESTEAD MOSUNNY 72 52 49 E10G18 30.17F

[Scorpion]

It was in the low-mid 90's in early March 2003. Extremely early spring that year. The ridge did not end up that strong during hurricane season, however.

[gatorcane]

well obviously a strong Bermuda High is not everything but certainly so far going into spring of 2006, we are seeing a far different weather pattern from 2005 and it's more like 2004.