Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0439 AM CST SAT MAR 11 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   CORRECTED FOR NUMBERED AREAS ON GRAPHIC
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W
   TX/WRN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WRN CONUS...WHICH
   WILL ALLOW A SERIES OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAKS TO MOVE ACROSS
   THE SW AND GREAT PLAINS. THE NEXT JET MAX SHOULD REACH ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HELP INDUCE A LEE SURFACE
   TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW CENTERED OVER SE CO. STRONG SFC WINDS AND
   ASSOCIATED LOW RH WILL BE PRESENT TO THE SOUTH OF THIS LOW.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM
   DROUGHT
   
   A CONTINUATION OF EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS FROM FRIDAY
   AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED IN AN AXIS OF VERY STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH
   VERY LOW RH. MIN RH VALUES SHOULD ONCE AGAIN APPROACH 8-10 PERCENT
   WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. WIND PROFILER
   DATA ALREADY INDICATE 50 KT WINDS OVER SRN NM AROUND 6000
   FEET...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX. THE TIMING
   OF THIS JET STREAK WILL ENHANCE WIND POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
   THE STRONGEST CORE OF WINDS ACROSS FAR ERN NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.
   STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT MIXING OF THE HIGHER
   MOMENTUM AIR TO THE SURFACE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 30
   MPH...AND HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 40 TO 45 MPH. WHILE THE MOST
   CRITICAL FIRE THREAT WILL BE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON...CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LAST INTO EARLY EVENING. POOR RH RECOVERY IS
   FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH MAX RH VALUES OF 25 TO 35 PERCENT. WINDS
   SHOULD ALSO REMAIN BRISK OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FROM 15 TO 25 MPH.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W
   TX/WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE PRESENT WITH SPEEDS OF 20
   TO 25 MPH LIKELY BY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. MINIMUM RH
   VALUES SHOULD REACH THE TEENS WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 60S
   AND 70S. THIS COMBINED WITH LONG-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS SUPPORTS A
   CRITICAL FIRE THREAT. FAVORED LOCATIONS IN HIGHER TERRAIN OVER THE
   SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WILL SEE EVEN STRONGER WINDS...BUT HIGHER MIN
   RH VALUES.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0433 AM CST SAT MAR 11 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN NM/NW TX/SW
   KS/CNTRL OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO LIFT EAST OUT OF THE WRN
   CONUS. A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK IS FORECAST TO BE
   CENTERED OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO CNTRL KS ON SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS SE CO AND LIFT NE INTO
   NE KS. VERY STRONG AND DRY W/SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH OF
   THIS LOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM
   DROUGHT
   
   ANOTHER DAY IN A SERIES OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW RH EVENTS
   IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK...AS
   THE WRN CONUS UPPER TROUGH LIFTS EAST. VERY STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL
   WINDS WILL LIKELY MIX INTO THE LOW LEVELS AS STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO
   35 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS APPROACHING 45 MPH. MIN RH
   VALUES WILL REACH 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO
   LOWER 70S. CRITICAL CONDITIONS SHOULD EXIST THROUGH THE EARLY
   EVENING BEFORE TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY COOL AND RH VALUES INCREASE WITH
   THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL SWITCH WINDS TO THE
   NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM/NW TX/SW
   KS/CNTRL OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG W/SW WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RH WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS IN THIS AREA ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS IN THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   AREA...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS FROM 25 TO 30 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS TO
   AROUND 40 MPH. HOWEVER...MIN RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE NOT QUITE
   AS LOW...WITH READINGS FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT. THIS WILL STILL
   SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY EVENING...A
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND CAUSE WINDS TO SWITCH TO THE
   NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL RAPIDLY COOL WITH RH LEVELS INCREASING
   ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0350 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE/WRN
   OK/SW KS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN NM/SE CO/SRN
   KS/CNTRL OK/WRN AND N-CNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT EAST OUT OF THE WRN CONUS INTO
   THE UPPER MIDWEST BY MONDAY MORNING. A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET
   STREAK IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED FROM ERN NM NEWD THROUGH THE TX/OK
   PANHANDLES INTO CNTRL KS THIS AFTERNOON. A SURFACE LOW WILL RAPIDLY
   DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO AND LIFT ENE INTO NE KS BY THIS EVENING. VERY
   STRONG AND DRY W/SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP TO THE S OF THIS LOW ACROSS A
   LARGE PORTION OF THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE/WRN
   OK/SW KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   A VERY STRONG WIND EVENT COMBINED WITH LOW RH WILL LEAD TO EXTREMELY
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT WIND PROFILER DATA OVER
   ERN NM ALREADY SHOW 60 MPH WINDS AT AROUND 3000 FEET JUST AHEAD OF
   AN APPROACHING SPEED MAX. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TOWARDS
   THE SURFACE LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS STEEP
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES DEVELOP. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
   LIKELY WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. THE DRYLINE WILL QUICKLY SURGE EAST
   OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR SETTING THE STAGE FOR LOWERING DEW
   POINTS BY MID-MORNING. MIN RH VALUES WILL REACH 10 TO 20 PERCENT AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 50S TO MIDDLE 70S THIS AFTERNOON.
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
   TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY COOL AND RH VALUES INCREASE WITH THE PASSAGE OF
   A COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL SWITCH WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM/SE CO/SRN
   KS/CNTRL OK/WRN AND N-CNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG W/SW WINDS COMBINED WITH THESE LOW RH VALUES WILL CAUSE
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WINDS IN
   THIS AREA SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS IN THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   AREA...SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL STILL REACH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. MIN RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 10
   PERCENT IN THE ERN NM/WRN TX AREA...WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20
   PERCENT FROM SRN KS INTO CNTRL OK. DURING THE EVENING HOURS...A COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE SE AND CAUSE WINDS TO SWITCH TO THE NW. TEMPERATURES
   WILL RAPIDLY COOL WITH RH LEVELS INCREASING ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0416 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST OVER THE
   GREAT LAKES...WHILE THE SOUTHERN CONUS WILL EXPERIENCE ZONAL FLOW
   ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
   ALLOWING WINDS TO DECREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
   MITIGATING THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OF THE PAST SEVERAL
   DAYS.
   
   ...S-CNTRL TX...
   A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH CNTRL/SRN TX
   EARLY MONDAY. DRY AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY DROP DEW
   POINTS OVER THIS AREA THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. MIN RH VALUES ARE
   FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW
   STRONG THE SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SPEEDS
   AROUND 20 MPH ARE MOST LIKELY IN THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE RH VALUES
   FALL TO CRITICAL VALUES. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON
   AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES OVER THE AREA.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/12/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
531 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...BREEZY CONDITIONS... RAPIDLY FALLING HUMIDITIES...AND ABUNDANT DRY
FUELS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED RISK OF GRASS FIRES ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...

A DRY LINE WILL SWEEP ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TODAY AND BRING MUCH
DRIER AIR TO LOCATIONS GENERALLY WEST OF A GAINESVILLE...FORT
WORTH...TO KILLEEN LINE. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL
BELOW 30 PERCENT AND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BETWEEN 15
AND 25 MPH. THESE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS COUPLED WITH ABUNDANT DRY
FUELS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF GRASS FIRES.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A MAJORITY OF THE AREA. AVOID
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR
WELDING OR TOSSING LIT CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY
OR CARELESSLY SET.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
422 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-073>076-130100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
422 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S COMBINED WITH
SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR WILL RESULT IN A HIGH FIRE
DANGER BY THIS AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST OVER THE
   GREAT LAKES. A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MARCH ESE ACROSS THE
   PLAINS INTO THE ERN CONUS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE
   ALLOWING WINDS TO DECREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS
   WILL MITIGATE THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OF THE PAST SEVERAL
   DAYS IN THIS REGION.
   
   ...NW THROUGH S-CNTRL TX...
   A SHARP COLD FRONT/DRY LINE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH SRN/ERN TX
   THIS MORNING. VERY DRY AIR BEHIND THE BOUNDARY WILL SIGNIFICANTLY
   DROP DEW POINTS INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. AS TEMPERATURES
   WARM INTO THE 50S ACROSS NW TX TO THE 70S IN S-CNTRL TX...MIN RH
   VALUES WILL PLUMMET TO BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
   HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE STRONGEST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
   SUSTAINED VALUES OF 20 TO 25 MPH. THESE WINDS MAY SUPPORT A BRIEF
   WINDOW FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS. BUT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WEAKENS...SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 20 MPH BY MID-LATE
   MORNING. THUS ANY CRITICAL THREAT SHOULD BE ISOLATED AND SHORT-LIVED
   THIS MORNING. WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE DURING THE
   AFTERNOON TO AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/13/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0402 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NEWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO SERN
   CANADA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE E COAST...WHILE HIGH
   PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY. STRONG WINDS WILL EXIST
   IN BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS...ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO NEW ENGLAND
   AND THE MID-ATLANTIC. A LOW-PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
   LEE OF THE ROCKIES WITH S WINDS INCREASING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...ERN NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
   RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW WITH VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT BY
   AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S AND 60S. S WINDS
   WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE PULLS
   EAST OF THE AREA AND A LOW-PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS IN THE LEE OF
   THE ROCKIES. SUSTAINED SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW CRITICAL
   LEVELS...FROM 15 TO 20 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/13/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
656 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER DUE TO VERY LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY...ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

A STRONG COLD FRONT AND DRY LINE LOCATED EARLY THIS MORNING...FROM
COLLEGE STATION TEXAS THROUGH SHREVEPORT TO LITTLE ROCK
ARKANSAS...WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION
TODAY. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT...MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO
THE REGION. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO
THE MID 70S. THESE WARM TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH VERY DRY
AIR...SHOULD RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES GENERALLY
AROUND 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN
10 AND 15 MPH...COMBINED WITH THESE VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...WILL
MAKE FOR AN INCREASED RISK OF FIRE DANGER TODAY.

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
425 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

...ELEVATED GRASS FIRE DANGER WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 THROUGH MIDDAY DUE
TO VERY DRY AIR AND NORTHWEST WINDS...

A STRONG COLD FRONT AND DRY LINE PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
OVERNIGHT WITH VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS SPREADING
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS. BY EARLY THIS MORNING...
HUMIDITY LEVELS HAD FALLEN INTO THE TEENS WEST OF A GAINESVILLE TO
COMANCHE LINE. DUE TO THE VERY DRY AIR...LACK OF RAINFALL OVERNIGHT
WEST OF I 35...AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...THERE IS AN
INCREASED RISK OF GRASS FIRES THROUGH MIDDAY.

PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT GRASS FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURNING BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS. AVOID
ANY ACTIVITY THAT COULD START A GRASS FIRE. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES
ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
411 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-140000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
411 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR COMBINED WITH RELATIVE
HUMDITIES IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE WILL RESULT IN A HIGH FIRE
DANGER TODAY.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
910 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...

ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE 15 TO 25 DEGREES COOLER THAN
YESTERDAY...DRY AND DORMANT VEGETATION...COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN THE VERY HIGH CATEGORY AT MOST LOCATIONS. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING...BUT THEN BEGIN
A SLOW DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND BECOME MORE NORTHERLY...
BEFORE TURNING NORTHEAST AND EAST THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS...IN THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH...WILL BE
SEEN OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA...WITH SLIGHTLY
LIGHTER WINDS ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL AVERAGE 20 TO 30 PERCENT AT MOST
LOCATIONS.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1015 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-131800-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WASHITA-WICHITA-
WILBARGER-WOODS-WOODWARD-
1015 AM CST MON MAR 13 2006

.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S...NORTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25
MPH...WITH GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING HOURS ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
ALTHOUGH THE TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY COOL...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. THE DECREASING
HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS ARE CREATING A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
ACROSS THE REGION. YOU ARE URGED TO BE VERY CAUTIOUS AND PREVENT THE
STARTING OF WILDFIRES...WHICH INCLUDES THE PROPER DISPOSAL OF USED
CIGARETTES.

SEVERAL INTENSE WILD FIRES CONTINUE TO BURN ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE. WIND CONTINUE TO CARRY THE SMELL OF SMOKE INTO SOUTHWEST
PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THERE IS NO
IMMEDIATE THREAT TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA OR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS FROM
THESE FIRES...BUT TRAVELERS HEADING WEST ON OR NEAR INTERSTATE 40
MAY ENCOUNTER DENSE SMOKE AND POSSIBLE DETOURS OR DELAYS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0256 AM CST WED MAR 15 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN CO / KS / OK / NWRN TX / CNTRL
   & ERN NM...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN SC / NC / VA / SRN MD...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FL PANHANDLE AND INTERIOR FL
   PENINSULA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES
   AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL INDUCE LOW
   PRESSURE TO FORM OVER WRN KS AND WILL CAUSE STRONG SLY WINDS ACROSS
   THE PLAINS. THE LOW WILL MOVE EWD INTO IOWA OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING
   COLDER AIR TO FILTER SWD BEHIND A COLD FRONT. TO THE EAST...LARGE
   LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES. IN BETWEEN THE TWO...A STRONG
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST AND WILL CAUSE STRONG WLY WINDS ACROSS
   THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP RH VALUES LOW
   ACROSS THE SERN STATES AS WELL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN CO / KS / OK / NWRN TX / CNTRL
   & ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / WIND SHIFT LATE
   
   IT WILL BECOME VERY WINDY OVER THE REGION TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE
   DEEPENS OVER ERN CO/WRN KS. STRONG WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL OCCUR BY
   MID MORNING...INCREASING TO 25-40 MPH BY AFTERNOON. RH LEVELS WILL
   RANGE FROM THE TEENS ACROSS CO / WRN KS / WRN OK / TX PANHANDLE AND
   NM...TO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS ERN KS AND ERN OK.
   TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY WARM...DUE TO SOME HIGH LEVEL
   CLOUDINESS. REGARDLESS...COMBINATION OF HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH WILL
   CAUSE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY IN VICINITY OF ONGOING FIRES.
   
   WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY FIRST OVER ERN CO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT WITH SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH. BY MIDNIGHT...THE
   FRONT WILL BE ALONG A HUTCHINSON KS TO AMARILLO TX LINE. ALTHOUGH
   SPEEDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS COLD FRONT WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 15
   MPH...IT WILL STILL POSE A HAZARD. CREWS IN THE FIELD SHOULD REMAIN
   ALERT FOR SHIFTING WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NRN SC / NC / VA / SRN MD...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WLY WINDS / VERY LOW RH / DROUGHT
   
   STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY...STRENGTHENING TO 15-25
   MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUING
   THROUGH THE DAY. RH LEVELS WILL BE EXTREMELY LOW FROM 10-20 PERCENT.
   COMBINATION OF LOW RH AND HIGH WINDS...ALONG WITH RECENT DROUGHT
   WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH TO LOCALLY EXTREME FIRE DANGERS. WINDS WILL
   DIE DOWN QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET WITH GRADUAL RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 3 - FL PANHANDLE AND INTERIOR FL
   PENINSULA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / SUSTAINED NELY WINDS / LOCALLY HIGH
   KBDI VALUES
   
   HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL REMAIN N OF THE AREA TODAY...WHICH WILL
   BOTH CAUSE A CONTINUATION OF VERY LOW RH AND NELY WINDS. VERY LOW RH
   VALUES IN THE TEENS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS
   INTO INTERIOR NRN FL...WHILE LOCATIONS FARTHER SOUTH WILL SEE
   MINIMUM RH VALUES MAINLY IN THE 20-35 PERCENT RANGE. IN
   ADDITION...SUSTAINED NELY WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL OCCUR
   ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND SRN FL...WHERE KBDI VALUES ARE LOWEST.
   THESE WINDS...ALTHOUGH NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...MAY BE SUFFICIENT
   TO CAUSE RAPID FIRE SPREAD GIVEN RECENT DROUGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0257 AM CST WED MAR 15 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PHASE WITH STAGNANT UPPER LOW OVER
   SERN CANADA...WITH INTERMEDIATE SHORTWAVE RIDGING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER
   MUCH OF THE CENTRAL STATES WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...OK INTO NWRN TX...
   IT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY IN POST FRONTAL REGIME WITH AFTERNOON
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND MIN RH VALUES OF 20-25 PERCENT.
   SUSTAINED NLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL OCCUR SHORTLY AFTER
   SUNRISE...BUT WILL DECREASE DURING THE DAY TO NEAR 15 MPH WHEN RH IS
   LOWEST. THEREFORE...ONLY A MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS
   ANTICIPATED THURSDAY.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY LATE IN THE DAY.
   THIS WILL CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SW DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...MAINLY BELOW 15 MPH. RH WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW AT 25-30
   PERCENT IN GENERAL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
420 AM CST WED MAR 15 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TODAY...

STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S...
WILL COMBINE WITH DRY... DORMANT VEGETATION AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES... TO PUSH THE FIRE DANGER INTO THE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
CATEGORIES TODAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...
WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS OF 45 MPH OR MORE... OCCURRING OVER
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. OTHER LOCATIONS WILL SEE GUSTS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH. MEANWHILE... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL AVERAGE 20 TO 25 PERCENT ACROSS THE REGION.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
840 AM CST WED MAR 15 2006

...INCREASED GRASS FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
DUE TO LOW HUMIDITIES AND STRONG SOUTH WINDS...

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE AT OR BELOW 30 PERCENT...EXCEPT FOR
FAR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE HUMIDITIES WILL BE
BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. BY SUNSET...HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE
AND WINDS WILL BECOME LESS GUSTY.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CST THU MAR 16 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN KS / CENTRAL AND WRN OK /
   PORTIONS OF NW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FAST MOVING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL
   MOVE RAPIDLY EWD FROM IA/MO BORDER AREA INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY
   AFTERNOON. BEHIND THIS FEATURE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SWD OUT OF
   CANADA WITH DRY AIR PUSHING SWD BEHIND A COLD FRONT INTO THE SRN
   PLAINS. FARTHER E...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES WILL WEAKEN
   AND ALLOW RH LEVELS TO RISE COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...WITH WEAKER
   WINDS OVER THE CAROLINAS AS PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. FARTHER
   WEST...A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...AND
   WILL BEGIN MOVING INLAND.
   
   LATE IN THE PERIOD...MOIST SELY FLOW WILL INITIATE MUCH NEEDED RAIN
   ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WRN TX...AS WELL AS NM. THERE COULD EVEN
   BE AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OVER SWRN NM LATE IN THE DAY...AS
   MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN KS / CENTRAL AND WRN OK /
   PORTIONS OF NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE NLY WINDS AND LOW RH WITH ONGOING FIRE
   - STRONG INSOLATION
   
   COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT ALONG WITH LOW RH
   VALUES AND STRONG INSOLATION WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
   TODAY...MAINLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
   
   A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM WRN MO SWWD THROUGH CENTRAL OK AND
   INTO NWRN TX EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE SEWD WITH WINDS
   SHIFTING TO THE N. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE
   THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY...WHEN SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE
   COMMON...WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH LIKELY ACROSS SRN KS AND OK.
   WINDS WILL BE A BIT WEAKER OVER THE ERN TX PANHANDLE...BUT SOME OF
   THE DRIEST AIR WILL RESIDE HERE...AND WITH STRONG HEATING...LOW
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE DRY ADIABATIC AND WILL FAVOR FIRE GROWTH.
   UPSTREAM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AS OF EARLY MORNING INDICATE AN
   EXTREMELY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. THUS...DESPITE TEMPERATURES ONLY IN
   THE 60S...RH LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS. IN ADDITION...STRONG
   SUNSHINE WILL HELP TO HEAT SURFACE FUELS.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   RH VALUES WILL INCREASE TODAY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAY WITH MIN
   VALUES MAINLY NEAR 20-25 PERCENT CAROLINAS TO 25-30 PERCENT NRN FL.
   WINDS WILL BE 10 MPH OR LESS.
   
   ...SWRN NM / SERN AZ...
   COOLING ALOFT WITH UPPER TROUGH AND STRONG HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR
   WEAK MOIST CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY.
   GENERAL SWLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED
   CONVECTION...WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES...TO DEVELOP OVER THE
   HIGH TERRAIN AND FAVORING S AND W FACING SLOPES. SURFACE RH VALUES
   WILL BE IN THE TEENS...AND FUELS ARE QUITE DRY...THUS ANY STRIKES
   MAY INITIATE A FIRE.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0301 AM CST THU MAR 16 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD...WHILE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST STRENGTHENS AND BEGINS
   TO ENTER THE GREAT BASIN. SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH WILL HELP
   INCREASE SWLY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS SRN AZ AND NM WHERE IT WILL
   REMAIN DRY...WHILE RAIN FALLS ACROSS MUCH OF TX AND OK.
   MEANWHILE...MODERATE NWLY WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SERN STATES
   WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW...AND WITH MODERATELY LOW
   RH VALUES.
   
   ...SRN AZ AND SWRN NM...
   APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE ON
   FRIDAY TO 15-20 MPH WHILE RH DROPS TO NEAR 15 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES
   WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 70S AND WITH A MODERATE HAINES INDEX AT
   BEST. THUS...FIRE WEATHER CONCERN SHOULD BE ELEVATED.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY ACROSS THE REGION WITH NWLY FLOW
   AT THE SURFACE. RH LEVELS WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 25-35 PERCENT IN
   GENERAL AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOWER 70S. SUSTAINED NWLY
   WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH DURING THE DAY BEFORE DYING DOWN IN THE
   EVENING.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
450 AM CST THU MAR 16 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TODAY...

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH DRY... DORMANT VEGETATION
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... TO PUSH THE FIRE DANGER INTO THE VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME CATEGORIES AGAIN TODAY. ALTHOUGH COOLER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT... THE AIR WAS ALSO
DRIER... WHICH WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 TO
25 PERCENT. MEANWHILE... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH... WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY EVENING AS THE WINDS DIMINISH.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AND
THE ENTIRE STATE OF OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
330 AM CST THU MAR 16 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-170230-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
330 AM CST THU MAR 16 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW DEW POINTS WILL LEAD TO RELTIVE HUMIDITIES
THIS AFTERNOON BELOW 25 PERCENT.  WINDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST
SHY OF RED FLAG CRITERIA BUT THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH
ANYWAY.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST FRI MAR 17 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SWD ACROSS THE MS
   VALLEY AND INTO THE APPALACHIAN STATES TODAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS
   DRY. TO THE WEST...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER
    THE SWRN U.S. AND WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO CA AND THE GREAT
   BASIN LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ALSO BRING GULF
   MOISTURE NWWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...WITH MUCH NEEDED RAIN OVER W
   TX...SPREADING INTO OK FRIDAY NIGHT.
   
   ...NRN FL / GA / CAROLINAS / VA / MD...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NW AND WILL KEEP CONDITIONS
   FAIRLY DRY. MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR 35 PERCENT OVER NRN FL
   AND BETWEEN 25-30 PERCENT POINTS N. WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...BUT
   WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   ALTHOUGH WIND AND RH WILL BE MARGINAL FOR A CRITICAL OUTLOOK...THERE
   WILL BE AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS.
   
   ...SWRN NM AND SERN AZ...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING UPPER TROUGH
   TO THE WEST. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...WHILE RH LEVELS DROP INTO THE 15-20 PERCENT RANGE. HIGH
   LEVEL CLOUDS WILL HELP KEEP LOW LEVELS FROM BECOMING TOO UNSTABLE
   WHICH WILL TEND TO REDUCE AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS...IN ADDITION TO
   KEEPING RH FROM BECOMING CRITICALLY LOW.
   
   ...OK / AR / N TX...
   IT WILL BE COOLER TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OUT OF
   THE N...PRODUCING ELY SURFACE WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL BE
   HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY AT 25-35 PERCENT. THUS...FIRE THREAT WILL BE
   REDUCED SIGNIFICANTLY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAY.
   
   ...PA AND NJ...
   STRONGER WINDS WILL EXIST HERE TODAY COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER
   S...WITH SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL AND
   IN THE 40S...RH WILL STILL DROP TO MARGINALLY LOW VALUES NEAR 25
   PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST FRI MAR 17 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM AND EL PASO AREA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF VA / NRN NC / SRN MD...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SWRN
   STATES WITH STRONG SWLY FLOW OVER NM WHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY. TO
   THE EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER MOST OF THE ERN HALF OF THE
   COUNTRY EXCEPT FOR NEW ENGLAND WHICH WILL BE UNDERNEATH LARGE UPPER
   LOW. LOW HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SE AND MID ATLANTIC...WITH
   INCREASED WINDS FROM MD INTO NC. IN THE MIDDLE OF THE
   COUNTRY...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EVENT SHOULD BE UNDERWAY FROM KS
   INTO TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN NM AND EL PASO AREA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH / EXTREME DROUGHT
   
   WINDS THROUGHOUT THE TROPOSPHERE WILL INCREASE AS UPPER JET
   STRENGTHENS OVERHEAD. SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE LIKELY DURING
   THE MORNING...BUT SKIES WILL CLEAR QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST AND BY
   AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASED SUNSHINE AND STRONGER WIND GUSTS.
   SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH RH LEVELS
   DROPPING TO NEAR 15 PERCENT. RH LEVELS MAY BE MARGINAL IN SOME
   AREAS...BUT GIVEN PERSISTENT DROUGHT...CRITICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
   LIKELY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - MUCH OF VA / NRN NC / SRN MD...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH / MODERATE WLY WINDS / DROUGHT
   
   LARGE UPPER LOW OVER SERN CANADA AND NEW ENGLAND WILL MAINTAIN WLY
   FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL HELP KEEP A DRY AIR MASS OVER THE REGION. RH
   LEVELS WILL DROP SIGNIFICANTLY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAY...WITH
   MINIMUM VALUES OF 15-20 PERCENT. FURTHER...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
   WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS RANGING FROM NEAR 20 MPH OVER MD TO 15 MPH
   OVER NRN NC. COMBINATION OF VERY LOW RH ALONG WITH THE WINDS AND
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE SPREAD
   SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
   
   ...SC / GA / FL...
   WINDS WILL BE WEAKER OVER THE REGION WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
   OVERHEAD. IT WILL REMAIN DRY THOUGH WITH MIN RH VALUES FROM 25
   PERCENT OVER SC TO 30-35 PERCENT OVER INTERIOR FL. GIVEN DRY AIR
   MASS AND RECENT DROUGHT...A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT WILL EXIST DURING
   THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0253 AM CST MON MAR 20 2006
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTH
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
   TODAY...REACHING THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY TUESDAY
   MORNING. ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
   ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEYS THROUGH
   TONIGHT...WHILE SECONDARY COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
   SOUTHERN PLAINS. SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS SEEN THIS WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...PLENTIFUL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
   LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY/TONIGHT...WITH
   HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/PORTIONS OF THE MID MISSOURI
   VALLEY. IN THE WEST...NEXT IN SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL REACH THE
   WEST COAST...BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTH
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   STRONG/GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS A LARGE
   PORTION OF EASTERN NM AND WEST/CENTRAL TX TODAY IN WAKE OF LOW
   PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT/DRYLINE MOVING TOWARD THE ARKLATEX VICINITY.
   IN PRESENCE OF DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES/DRYING AIRMASS...SUSTAINED
   WIND SPEEDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE EXPECTED /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ ACROSS
   SOUTHWEST/WEST TX...WITH 15-25 MPH WIND SPEEDS ACROSS SOUTH
   CENTRAL/SOUTH TX. RELATIVELY LESSER AND/OR NO RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND
   ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTH TX SUGGESTS A FAVORED
   DELINEATION FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY...IN CONTRAST TO
   AREAS FURTHER NORTH THAT RECEIVED COPIOUS RAINFALL.
   
   ...EASTERN NM AND WEST/CENTRAL TX...
   IN A SCENARIO THAT WOULD OTHERWISE BE FAVORABLE FOR A SIGNIFICANT
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT...WEEKEND RAINFALL SHOULD TEND TO TEMPER THE
   CRITICAL FIRE POTENTIAL VIA MOIST FINE FUELS FROM EASTERN NM INTO
   NORTHWEST/CENTRAL TX. NEVERTHELESS...LOCALIZED AREAS THAT RECEIVED
   LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND WILL HAVE A HEIGHTENED FIRE
   DANGER IN PRESENCE OF VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AND DRYING AIRMASS.
   
   ...VA/MD/DE/NJ/SOUTHEAST PA/FAR SOUTHERN NY...
   A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
   STATES TODAY VIA A PERSISTENCE OF WEST-NORTHWEST DOWNSLOPE
   TRAJECTORIES. IN COMPARISON TO THIS PAST WEEKEND...SLIGHTER HIGHER
   DEWPOINTS/AFTERNOON RH VALUES AND MORE MODEST WINDS ACROSS VA/MD
   SHOULD KEEP THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT MARGINAL IN THESE AREAS.
   RELATIVELY STRONGER WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST PA/NJ AND FAR
   SOUTHERN NY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL IN THE 40S.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/20/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0255 AM CST MON MAR 20 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY TUESDAY WILL MOVE
   ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...PHASING WITH NORTHEAST
   STATES/EASTERN CANADA BROAD TROUGH. LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT WILL
   QUICKLY PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. IN THE WAKE OF
   THIS SYSTEM...BROAD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL YIELD COOL/DRY
   CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES.
   
   ...NORTHERN FL/AL/GA/SC...
   IN WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY IN
   THE DAY...ENSUING WESTERLY/CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES WILL RESULT IN A
   QUICKLY DRYING AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON MINIMUM
   RH VALUES MAY FLIRT WITH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN PRESENCE OF GUSTY
   WESTERLY WINDS /15-20 MPH/...PRECIPITATION TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY
   WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TUESDAY
   AFTERNOON.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/20/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 AM CST TUE MAR 21 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH DAY
   ONE...AS ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE WEST COAST INTO THE
   ROCKIES. MEANWHILE...THE LEAD UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SERN
   STATES AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. A COLD
   FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERN STATES SYSTEM WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR
   AND MODERATE WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY/GULF COAST.
   OVER THE SWRN STATES...MODERATE SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
   APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. HOWEVER RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
   APPRECIABLY LOW IN THIS AREA.
   
   ...FL PANHANDLE...FAR SRN MS/SRN AL/SWRN GA...
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION. MIN RH
   READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 30-35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HRS THIS
   AFTERNOON. RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
   WILL OCCUR OVER THIS AREA THIS MORNING. GIVEN RECENT DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE FROM 10-15 MPH WILL LEAD TO
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FAR SOUTH TX....
   NLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA TODAY IN THE WAKE
   OF A COLD FRONT. LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST AND COMBINED
   WITH LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
   
   ...SRN NM/SERN AZ...
   AHEAD OF THE WRN UPPER TROUGH...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
   AREA TODAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
   WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING AOB NORMAL...MIN RH READINGS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0219 AM CST TUE MAR 21 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LESS PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL UNFOLD THROUGH DAY TWO...AS AN
   UPPER TROUGH MOVES FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS...AND UPPER
   RIDGING AMPLIFIES IN IT/S WAKE OVER THE WRN CONUS. A SMALL REGION OF
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR WRN
   TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE. MEANWHILE...NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER FLA...AS DRIER AIR
   FILTERS SWD IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT.
   
   ...FAR WRN TX...
   MODERATE WLY FLOW WILL MIX TO THE SFC DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS
   AMPLE HEATING WILL EXIST TO THE WEST OF A STATIONARY FRONTAL
   BOUNDARY. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR MODERATE SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM
   20-25 MPH WILL BE OVER THE DAVIS MTNS DURING THE AFTERNOON/PEAK
   MIXING. LOW DWPTS IN THE TEENS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE
   60S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. AREA WILL BE
   MONITORED FOR CONTINUED SUPPORTIVE CONDITIONS AND MAY NEED TO BE
   UPGRADED TO A CRITICAL AREA IN THE NEXT DAY ONE OUTLOOK.
   
   ...FL...
   ALTHOUGH LIGHT TO SCATTERED MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE ON DAY ONE...A RECENT DROUGHT COMBINED WITH
   DRY AIR /MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT/ WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. LACK OF SUSTAINED WINDS MUCH ABOVE
   10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL THREAT HOWEVER.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 AM CST TUE MAR 21 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH DAY
   ONE...AS ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE WEST COAST INTO THE
   ROCKIES. MEANWHILE...THE LEAD UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SERN
   STATES AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. A COLD
   FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERN STATES SYSTEM WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR
   AND MODERATE WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY/GULF COAST.
   OVER THE SWRN STATES...MODERATE SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
   APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. HOWEVER RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
   APPRECIABLY LOW IN THIS AREA.
   
   ...FL PANHANDLE...FAR SRN MS/SRN AL/SWRN GA...
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION. MIN RH
   READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 30-35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HRS THIS
   AFTERNOON. RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
   WILL OCCUR OVER THIS AREA THIS MORNING. GIVEN RECENT DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE FROM 10-15 MPH WILL LEAD TO
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FAR SOUTH TX....
   NLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA TODAY IN THE WAKE
   OF A COLD FRONT. LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST AND COMBINED
   WITH LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
   
   ...SRN NM/SERN AZ...
   AHEAD OF THE WRN UPPER TROUGH...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
   AREA TODAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
   WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING AOB NORMAL...MIN RH READINGS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0219 AM CST TUE MAR 21 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LESS PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL UNFOLD THROUGH DAY TWO...AS AN
   UPPER TROUGH MOVES FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS...AND UPPER
   RIDGING AMPLIFIES IN IT/S WAKE OVER THE WRN CONUS. A SMALL REGION OF
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR WRN
   TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE. MEANWHILE...NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER FLA...AS DRIER AIR
   FILTERS SWD IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT.
   
   ...FAR WRN TX...
   MODERATE WLY FLOW WILL MIX TO THE SFC DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS
   AMPLE HEATING WILL EXIST TO THE WEST OF A STATIONARY FRONTAL
   BOUNDARY. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR MODERATE SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM
   20-25 MPH WILL BE OVER THE DAVIS MTNS DURING THE AFTERNOON/PEAK
   MIXING. LOW DWPTS IN THE TEENS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE
   60S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. AREA WILL BE
   MONITORED FOR CONTINUED SUPPORTIVE CONDITIONS AND MAY NEED TO BE
   UPGRADED TO A CRITICAL AREA IN THE NEXT DAY ONE OUTLOOK.
   
   ...FL...
   ALTHOUGH LIGHT TO SCATTERED MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE ON DAY ONE...A RECENT DROUGHT COMBINED WITH
   DRY AIR /MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT/ WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. LACK OF SUSTAINED WINDS MUCH ABOVE
   10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL THREAT HOWEVER.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...