Severe Weather Outbreak Monday

conestogo_flood · #1 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 8:12 am

I have just been put under a Moderate Risk. This rarely happens. What is coming, is this a potential tornado event for southwestern Ontario? People here don't take tornadoes seriously, and I have never seen a hatched area for us. Should I prepare a few things and put them in the basement incase of a tornado?

TexasStooge · #2 Postby **TexasStooge** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 8:13 am

That's odd. Hope you stay safe!

#3 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 9:36 am

Most importantly watch your weather all day long and be prepared to move to the basement.

This iw way early in the season for risks being posted for your area, but this has been a very potent system so far and continues to be. Be safe!

conestogo_flood · #4 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 9:52 am

Don't we need sunshine here for storms? Will it be sunny in southwestern Ontario at all today?

#5 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:44 am

No, but the sun is out farther south and east and the whole line will develop based on it. Plus the air mass is ripe for severe weather.

Slight risk all the way up here - I can't remember ever seeing that this early in the year.

conestogo_flood · #6 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:47 am

I've never seen severe weather in March while living here.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN INDIANA
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NORTHWEST OHIO
LAKE ERIE
LAKE HURON

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1040 AM UNTIL 400
PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF FLINT
MICHIGAN TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT WAYNE INDIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 83. WATCH NUMBER 83 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1040
AM EST. CONTINUE...WW 84...WW 85...WW 86...

DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE ACROSS WATCH AREA
AHEAD OF DEEPENING LOW AND COLD FRONT. AIRMASS DESTABILIZING
SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW REDEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NRN IN INTO SWRN LOWER. SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED AND GIVEN THE
POTENT SHEAR PROFILES TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.

#7 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:49 am

The earliest I remember seeing it this far north is March 28, 1998.

Environment Canada definitely should upgrade the SW Ontairo watch to a Tornado Watch.

conestogo_flood · #8 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:22 am

Environment Canada wouldn't issue a tornado watch if they had a gun to their head. 95% of the time, our tornado watches come after a tornado is reported.

#9 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:48 am

I know - the Ontario region is especially bad with that (the Prairie region issues them much more often). It became worse after they moved all their operations for the province to one office in Toronto, where most people don't know anything outside the city limits. There should be at least five regional offices in Ontario (in London, Toronto, Ottawa, Sudbury and Thunder Bay).

conestogo_flood · #10 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:49 am

Ok, what is going on. How come nothing is starting, and why is the new watch for the USA a large T-Storm watch? Is this a bust?

#11 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:52 am

It's not even noon yet - it took a while for the activity to start yesterday.

conestogo_flood · #12 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 12:25 pm

WWCN11 CWTO 131718
SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 12:18 PM EST MONDAY 13 MARCH 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

TORNADO WATCH FOR:
=NEW= WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
=NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON.

..LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON..RISK
FOR THESE STORMS TO PRODUCE A TORNADO..

THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES..TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR:
RODNEY - SHEDDEN - WESTERN ELGIN COUNTY
STRATHROY - KOMOKA - WESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY.

THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UPGRADED TO TORNADO WATCH FOR:
WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT
SARNIA - LAMBTON.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==DISCUSSION==
A DEEPENING COLORADO LOW FORECAST TO TRACK THROUGH SAULT STE MARIE
WILL DRAG A SHARP COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. AS THIS COLD FRONT COLLIDES WITH A NARROW WEDGE OF
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND UNSTABLE TROPICAL AIR IT WILL IGNITE A LINE OF
POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
TO DEVELOP IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MICHIGAN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS AND WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO NEAR MID
AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS WHICH DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 90 KM/H AND LARGE HAIL. AS WELL..GIVEN
THE STRENGTH OF THE VERTICAL WIND PROFILE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT..THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THE STORMS TO PRODUCE ROTATION AND POSSIBLY
AN ISOLATED TORNADO. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THIS IS A TORNADO
WATCH..MEANING THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO ALONG THIS LINE IF IT
DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON..THERE IS NO IMMEDIATE THREAT AT THIS TIME.
ENVIRONMENT CANADA CONTINUES TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND IF THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT OR THREAT OF TORNADOES APPROACHES ONTARIO..
WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED ACCORDINGLY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

END/TUGWOOD

conestogo_flood · #13 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 12:31 pm

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 12:20 PM EST MONDAY 13 MARCH 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR:
=NEW= LONDON - PARKHILL - EASTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY
=NEW= HURON - PERTH
RODNEY - SHEDDEN - WESTERN ELGIN COUNTY
STRATHROY - KOMOKA - WESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY.

THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

THIS IS AN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS.
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES TAKE IMMEDIATE SAFETY
PRECAUTIONS.

#14 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 12:52 pm

Wow, you know something is up if they upgraded it. IMO, the whole area should be under a tornado watch.

#15 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 1:00 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80 - now issued for a long area from Middle Tennessee to Lake Erie.

conestogo_flood · #16 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 1:30 pm

You know the situation may be bad when EC issues a tornado watch long before a storm, or tornado.

I don't know. Nothing for Waterloo Region yet.

WaitingForSiren · #17 Postby **WaitingForSiren** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 2:40 pm

I dont really expect a lot of tornaic activity this afternoon. I think most of the reports will be marginal wind damage over a fairly widespread region, though. I think maybe 10 tornado reports total if even that, with most short lived. Notice i say tornado REPORTS, not actual tornadoes.

#18 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:08 pm

Tornado Watch 89 - parts of Alabama and Mississippi and most of Tennessee - just issued.

Wow - from Georgian Bay to the Gulf of Mexico almost!!!

Skywatch_NC · #19 Postby **Skywatch_NC** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:29 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Tornado Watch 89 - parts of Alabama and Mississippi and most of Tennessee - just issued.

Wow - from Georgian Bay to the Gulf of Mexico almost!!!

I don't mean to sound silly...but where's Georgian Bay located?

#20 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Mar 13, 2006 3:32 pm

Georgian Bay - central Ontario off Lake Huron.

Severe Weather Outbreak Monday

Severe Weather Outbreak Monday

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