2005 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reports Discussion Thread

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cycloneye
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#161 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 13, 2006 1:32 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:there was also a 137KT dropsonde for Wilma when it hit the Yucatan, yet they only went at 130KT, which I would have perferred to be the peak intensity of Emily, since the mean boundary layer of the 137KT drop, yielded only 115KT, meaning that the 137 may have been a transient gust


Very interesting data Derek.
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#162 Postby ROCK » Mon Mar 13, 2006 1:43 pm

Way to go Emily.....she sure looked like a five...glad they upgraded...
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#163 Postby senorpepr » Mon Mar 13, 2006 2:38 pm

Emily's report is added with the other's on the S2K Worldwide Tropical Update's page at http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/reports.htm
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#164 Postby Andrew92 » Mon Mar 13, 2006 2:53 pm

Finally a new report is out!

I agree that Emily was very briefly a Category 5 hurricane. The data seemed to be there during one of the recon missions. However, it wasn't a C5 for very long.

Let's hope for no Cat. 5's this year, given that we had 1 in '03, 1 in '04, and 4 in '05 with Emily's upgrade.

-Andrew92
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#165 Postby whereverwx » Mon Mar 13, 2006 2:56 pm

WOW
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#166 Postby StormScanWx » Mon Mar 13, 2006 2:59 pm

This is an excellent decision by the National Hurricane Center to upgrade Hurricane Emily to Category 5. The data from all the resources pointed to this, and this was certainly the right judgement to upgrade.
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#167 Postby weatherwoman132 » Mon Mar 13, 2006 5:39 pm

I knew it was going to be a category 5.
wow. 4 category 5s.
last year was horrific.
hope this year isnt the same, not even close.
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#168 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Mon Mar 13, 2006 7:03 pm

Every month of the season featured a Cat5 except for June and November...and each one was stronger than the one before it, too.
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#169 Postby f5 » Mon Mar 13, 2006 7:45 pm

amazing how they all fell over each other
Emily-929mb July
Katrina-902mb August
Rita-897 September
Wilma-882mb October
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#170 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Mar 13, 2006 7:49 pm

I know this is off the topic, but has anyone noticed how similar Gilbert (1988) and Wilma (2005) are to eachother?

-Both had extremely low pressures
-Both formed in a similar favorable environment
-Both reached their peak intensities in nearly the same spot (Gilbert was a bit further north)
-Both were large storms
-Both had small eyes and similar eyewalls
-Both looked the same on radar imagery, with a "moat" surrounding the small eyes and eyewalls
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#171 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:13 pm

wow didnt think of that
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#172 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:28 pm

I need to quickly confirm an Emily fact. When was the last time, if ever, that two category 5 hurricanes attained such intensity in the Caribbean Sea?
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#173 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:31 pm

Furthermore, for the first time we have 4 category 5 hurricanes during 4 consecutive months, July - October. Just amazing!
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#174 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:32 pm

Wilma amd Gilbert are like sister and brother,husband and wife, soul mates, I am still suprised wilma became the strongest cyclone of 2005 out of all the oceans in OCTOBER. :eek:
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#175 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:38 pm

I am not surprised that the most intense hurricane occurred in October, as that is when the monsoon trough typically extends into the SW Caribbean. La Nina years typically feature major hurricanes in the W Carib in October, and we had la nina-like conditions last October
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#176 Postby gatorcane » Mon Mar 13, 2006 10:45 pm

La Nina, monsoon troughs, bermuda highs and longwave patterns, global warming, whatever caused last season I am honestly worried we are seeing a climatological shift in global atmospheric weather patterns that may cause many more years of intense Atlantic Basin hurricanes to come.

You ever wonder how there were so many records last hurricane season despite 150+ years of record keeping? Do you think it was just a one-year anomaly? Could last season be a typical season, say like 1000 years ago in the Atlantic Basin? It's possible but we just don't know. 2004 was the anomaly, then 2005, now we have 2006 where I would bet we could see similar landfalling activity to the previous two years.
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#177 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:29 pm

Was 2005 a La Nina year? I thought it was neutral.
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#178 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:32 pm

conditions were la nina-like at the end of last season
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#179 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Mar 13, 2006 11:37 pm

Yep... otherwise, they were mostly neutral at other times of the year.
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#180 Postby f5 » Tue Mar 14, 2006 12:04 pm

Kat and Rita looked like twins also they looked so identical
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