hey not sure if anyone seen this graphic?but check it out..
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
hey not sure if anyone seen this graphic?but check it out..
SE FLORIDA SEEMS TO BE RIGHT AT THE TOP IN EVERY LIST! Tropical Cyclones (including Tropical Depressions): 20-22
Named Storms: 19-21
Hurricanes: 10-12
Major Hurricanes: 4-6
Category 4-5 Hurricanes: 2-4
Probability of Above Average Activity (115% of Norm): 90%
Probability of Hyperactive Season (150% of Norm): 80%
ACE Index Outlook: 155-245
Probability of a Tropical Cyclone making landfall in U.S: 96%
Probability of a Named Storm making landfall in U.S: 95%
Probability of a Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 90%
Probability of a Major Hurricane making landfall in U.S 75%
Probability of a Category 4-5 Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 45%
Probability of a Category 5 Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 30%
Major Areas of Concern: (+ indicated at least the strength of that category, for example T STM+ means probability of at least 1 Tropical Storm strength storm or higher striking that area)
Area: T STM+ HURRC+ MJ HR+ CAT 4+
NE FL 35% 25% 10% 5%
SE FL 70% 55% 35% 20%
NW FL 60% 45% 30% 15%
SW FL 65% 50% 40% 20%
AL 30% 20% 10% 5%
MS 30% 20% 10% 5%
SE LA 40% 25% 15% 5%
SW LA 35% 25% 10% 5%
N TX 25% 15% 5% <5%
C TX 40% 25% 15% 10%
S TX 45% 35% 25% 15%
GA 20% 10% 5% <5%
SC 30% 15% 10% 5%
NC 45% 30% 20% 10%
Other 25% 15% 5% <5%
Most Likely Landfalling Storms for U.S:
Most likely number of landfalling storms in U.S: 7
Most likely number of landfalling Hurricanes in U.S: 4
Most likely number of landfalling Major Hurricanes in U.S: 2
Most likely months for landfalling storms: late-July, late-August, late-September
Four most likely areas to recieve storms: SE FL, SW FL, NW FL, NC
Three most likely areas to recieve hurricanes: SE FL, LA, NW FL
Two most likely areas to receive major hurricanes: SE FL, SW FL
Named Storms: 19-21
Hurricanes: 10-12
Major Hurricanes: 4-6
Category 4-5 Hurricanes: 2-4
Probability of Above Average Activity (115% of Norm): 90%
Probability of Hyperactive Season (150% of Norm): 80%
ACE Index Outlook: 155-245
Probability of a Tropical Cyclone making landfall in U.S: 96%
Probability of a Named Storm making landfall in U.S: 95%
Probability of a Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 90%
Probability of a Major Hurricane making landfall in U.S 75%
Probability of a Category 4-5 Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 45%
Probability of a Category 5 Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 30%
Major Areas of Concern: (+ indicated at least the strength of that category, for example T STM+ means probability of at least 1 Tropical Storm strength storm or higher striking that area)
Area: T STM+ HURRC+ MJ HR+ CAT 4+
NE FL 35% 25% 10% 5%
SE FL 70% 55% 35% 20%
NW FL 60% 45% 30% 15%
SW FL 65% 50% 40% 20%
AL 30% 20% 10% 5%
MS 30% 20% 10% 5%
SE LA 40% 25% 15% 5%
SW LA 35% 25% 10% 5%
N TX 25% 15% 5% <5%
C TX 40% 25% 15% 10%
S TX 45% 35% 25% 15%
GA 20% 10% 5% <5%
SC 30% 15% 10% 5%
NC 45% 30% 20% 10%
Other 25% 15% 5% <5%
Most Likely Landfalling Storms for U.S:
Most likely number of landfalling storms in U.S: 7
Most likely number of landfalling Hurricanes in U.S: 4
Most likely number of landfalling Major Hurricanes in U.S: 2
Most likely months for landfalling storms: late-July, late-August, late-September
Four most likely areas to recieve storms: SE FL, SW FL, NW FL, NC
Three most likely areas to recieve hurricanes: SE FL, LA, NW FL
Two most likely areas to receive major hurricanes: SE FL, SW FL
0 likes
- SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
- SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
I agree.windycity wrote:hum, we will see, wont we? Im not surprised to see W.Fl. as high risk. The SSTs in the GOM are up there.I pray this isnt Tampas year, even a minimal cane would cause alot of damage.

0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1750
- Joined: Wed Feb 26, 2003 10:53 am
- Location: Nags Head, NC
- Contact:
- Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2813
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Heretoserve, NotSparta, wwizard and 71 guests