SW Pacific: Severe TC Larry (Ex TD 15)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1437
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

#201 Postby JtSmarts » Sun Mar 19, 2006 10:31 pm

Note: The videos in the above link are from Cairns, Australia. They only experienced the outer edge of Larry, so the damage is not truly representative of how places near the core faired.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#202 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Mar 19, 2006 10:51 pm

The videos from Cairns and Townsville show damage that is comparable to what I saw during Katrina here in South Florida. I fear very badly that the damage in Innisfail is something inconceivable.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#203 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Mar 19, 2006 10:51 pm

HURAKAN wrote:The videos from Cairns and Townsville show damage that is comparable to what I saw during Katrina here in South Florida. I fear very badly that the damage in Innisfail is something inconceivable.


i know i can't wait to see footage out of there.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dr. Jonah Rainwater
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 569
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:45 pm
Location: Frisco, Texas
Contact:

#204 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Sun Mar 19, 2006 11:07 pm

Were there any Australian news reporters standing out there in the rain?
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#205 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Mar 19, 2006 11:08 pm

they probaly arent like us amreicans
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#206 Postby HurricaneBill » Mon Mar 20, 2006 12:48 am

News reports saying Australia's banana and sugar cane crop was nearly wiped out by Larry.

Damages may be around $350 million.
0 likes   

User avatar
stormtruth
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 651
Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:15 pm

Innisfall devastated

#207 Postby stormtruth » Mon Mar 20, 2006 2:26 am

It doesn't look like the town made it. This article says Innisfall is devastated and over half the homes have been destroyed. :eek:

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/20 ... 596381.htm
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#208 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Mar 20, 2006 2:33 am

No shoot they just got hit with a hurricane stronger then katrina. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#209 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Mar 20, 2006 2:40 am

Now let's not jump on the gun. Damage pics don't look too bad and remember the irony I talked about earlier in the thread... damage IMO should be comparable to the damage from Wilma in the Yucatan last year.
0 likes   

User avatar
stormtruth
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 651
Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:15 pm

#210 Postby stormtruth » Mon Mar 20, 2006 2:45 am

wxmann_91 wrote:Now let's not jump on the gun. Damage pics don't look too bad and remember the irony I talked about earlier in the thread... damage IMO should be comparable to the damage from Wilma in the Yucatan last year.


Tell that to the Innisfall police. They are the ones who reported half the homes are destroyed.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#211 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Mar 20, 2006 2:56 am

stormtruth wrote:
wxmann_91 wrote:Now let's not jump on the gun. Damage pics don't look too bad and remember the irony I talked about earlier in the thread... damage IMO should be comparable to the damage from Wilma in the Yucatan last year.


Tell that to the Innisfall police. They are the ones who reported half the homes are destroyed.


After Katrina the mayor said there were 10,000 dead in NOLA.

Police may be exaggerating the reports. Then again I guess we will see, eh? :)
0 likes   

Rod Hagen
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 237
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland

#212 Postby Rod Hagen » Mon Mar 20, 2006 3:24 am

wxmann_91 wrote:Now let's not jump on the gun. Damage pics don't look too bad and remember the irony I talked about earlier in the thread... damage IMO should be comparable to the damage from Wilma in the Yucatan last year.


The pics available so far have almost all been from Cairns and Townsville, which were really only on the fringe. The latest aerial shots from Innisfail etc, show a LOT of serious damage.

Most of the area is without communication. Its not densely settled, but there are a lot of small towns which have barely been heard from yet.

Reports of casualties are fortunately low, but there is increasing concern about many people who have not been heard from. The police are now warning that the possibility of fatalities are still high.

Like Rita, this cyclone fortunately fell in between the worst landfalls. Innisfail has a population of 9000. Townsville and Cairns are both an order of magnitude bigger. Lets hope Wati doesn't hit either of them.

The cyclone is now down to Cat 2, but its heading for an area with a large Aboriginal settlement at Doomadgee which is just starting to recover from major flooding last week.

The coastal area produces half of Australia's sugar crop (Australia is the world's 4th largest sugar producer, after Brasil, India and China) . Estimated damage to this alone is about $400M . It is also a major fruitgrowing area. THere isn't much doubt that the damage bill will easily exceed $1b.

Yes, this is not New Orleans revisited, thank goodness, because the population density is much lower, but it is going to have a HUGE impact on this region for years to come.

What now happens with Wati is really going to matter to these people.

Rod
0 likes   

User avatar
Dr. Jonah Rainwater
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 569
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:45 pm
Location: Frisco, Texas
Contact:

#213 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Mon Mar 20, 2006 3:31 am

Larry wasn't as big as Katrina, or as strong as Andrew. Damage might be Charley-like, or Ivan-like, or Tracy-like...or maybe the damage will just be Larry-like. I think it looks like Hugo.

Innisfall looks like it got brutalized. How wide was the extent of major-hurricane winds?
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

#214 Postby P.K. » Mon Mar 20, 2006 3:48 am

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 33
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 5:01pm on Monday the 20th of March 2006

A Tropical Cyclone WARNING is now current for inland areas over the Northern
Goldfields, extending west to the southern Gulf Country including the town of
Croydon.

Tropical Cyclone Larry still poses a threat to property in the warning area.

At 4.30 pm AEST Monday, Tropical Cyclone Larry, Category 2 with central pressure
975 hectopascals, was located over land near latitude 17.8 south and longitude
143.7 east, 55 km north northeast of Georgetown and 160 km east northeast of
Croydon.

The DESTRUCTIVE CORE of TROPICAL CYCLONE LARRY with GUSTS of approximately 150
km/h is affecting the Northern Goldfields and is expected to continue moving
west southwest at 25 to 30 km/h passing near Croydon at about 9pm this evening.

Tropical Cyclone Larry will move further inland this evening and overnight, with
winds gradually weakening.

A flood warning is current for coastal rivers and streams between Innisfail and
Townsville.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Larry, Category 2, for 4.30 pm AEST Monday
Central Pressure : 975 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 40 kilometres of
latitude 17.8 degrees south
longitude 143.7 degrees east
55 km north northeast of Georgetown
160 km east northeast of Croydon.
Recent Movement : West southwest at 30 kilometres per hour
Destructive winds : out to 40 kilometres from the centre
Maximum wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour, weakening

People in the warning area should continue preparations, especially protecting
property before nightfall. Follow the directions of Police or State Emergency
Service personnel.

The next warning will be issued at 8 pm AEST Monday.
0 likes   

Rod Hagen
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 237
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland

#215 Postby Rod Hagen » Mon Mar 20, 2006 4:04 am

Dr. Jonah Rainwater wrote:
Innisfall looks like it got brutalized. How wide was the extent of major-hurricane winds?


To gve you some idea, using the visual footage available, Innisfail is about 90 kilometres South from Cairns, and 250 kms North from Townsville.

Wati has now been given a track and threat map by the Australian B O M - see http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65004.shtml and http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65242.shtml

Cheers

Rod
0 likes   

Rod Hagen
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 237
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland

#216 Postby Rod Hagen » Mon Mar 20, 2006 4:18 am

0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#217 Postby AussieMark » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:24 am

Some damage photos I have found from Innisfail

Image

Image

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#218 Postby AussieMark » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:29 am

Larry wrecks half of town's homes

CYCLONE Larry had damaged more than half the houses in the northern Queensland town of Innisfail, Premier Peter Beattie said today.

Larry was a category-five cyclone when it slammed into the coast near Innisfail, south of Cairns, this morning, packing winds of up to 290km/h.
Mr Beattie, who was on his way to visit the devastated area, said the cyclone had left a trail of destruction in its wake.

He said 55 per cent of buildings in Innisfail were damaged.

"Some have been flattened, roofs have been taken off," Mr Beattie told Macquarie Radio.

"The property damage has been immense ... powerlines are down and it will take days to replace them because of the damage.

"We haven't had a cyclone like this for decades, if we've ever had one like it before."
Mr Beattie said the Government had launched a national appeal to support the affected communities.

"I urge people to donate to the appeal," he said.

Power would be returned to Townsville in 24 hours but it could take up to a week before the people of Innisfail had electricity, Mr Beattie said.
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#219 Postby AussieMark » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:48 am

Cairns

Image

Image

Image
0 likes   



Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: IsabelaWeather, LarryWx, WaveBreaking and 33 guests