SE Indian Ocean: Severe TC Floyd

#1 Postby **P.K.** » Sun Mar 19, 2006 10:12 am

Can't see any other threads on this, another possible TC in 12 to 24 hours.

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1307UTC 19 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
Tropical low with central pressure 1000 hpa located at 1200UTC within 30
nautical miles of
Latitude eleven decimal four degrees South [11.4S]
Longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal five degrees East [118.3E]
moving west at 3 knots.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles
in northern quadrants.

FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate
swell.

At 0000UTC 20 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 11.5 South 117.6 East
Central pressure 998 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 20 March: Within 90 nautical miles of 12.0 South 116.9 East
Central pressure 996 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 19 March 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

#2 Postby **P.K.** » Sun Mar 19, 2006 1:42 pm

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1823UTC 19 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
Tropical low with central pressure 1000 hpa located at 1800UTC within 30
nautical miles of
Latitude eleven decimal seven degrees South [11.7S]
Longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal zero degrees East [118.0E]
moving south southwest at 3 knots.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles
in northern quadrants.

FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate
swell.

At 0600UTC 20 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 11.7 South 117.2 East
Central pressure 998 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 20 March: Within 90 nautical miles of 12.2 South 116.5 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 20 March 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

#3 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 3:51 am

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0641UTC 20 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude eleven decimal four degrees South [11.4S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal seven East [116.7E]
Recent movement : west at 5 knots
Maximum winds : 25 knots
Central pressure : 1000 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing
clockwise winds 30/35 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

At 1800UTC 20 March: 11.6 south 115.9 east
Central pressure 994 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 21 March: 11.8 south 115.3 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 20 March 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

#4 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 8:03 am

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1221UTC 20 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude eleven decimal five degrees South [11.5S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal five East [116.5E]
Recent movement : west at 5 knots
Maximum winds : 25 knots
Central pressure : 1000 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing
clockwise winds 30/35 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

At 0000UTC 21 March: 11.8 south 115.8 east
Central pressure 996 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 21 March: 12.0 south 115.1 east
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 20 March 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #5 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 2:44 pm

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1918UTC 20 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude eleven decimal seven degrees South [11.7S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal four East [116.4E]
Recent movement : west southwest at 4 knots
Maximum winds : 30 knots
Central pressure : 998 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 24 hours causing
clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

At 0600UTC 21 March: 11.9 south 115.8 east
Central pressure 994 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 21 March: 12.1 south 115.1 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0300 UTC 20 March 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

#6 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 4:30 pm

The pressure is down 2hPa then. The next name on the list is Floyd.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #7 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:00 pm

Up 5 knots to...I hope Floyd is another Catrina... :cheesy:

#8 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:01 pm

We're having a lot of common names.

Larry, 2003 - 2006

Floyd, 1999 - 2006?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #9 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:03 pm

Its moving away from the coast so come on Floyd!

The same looks better then Witi.

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:05 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its moving away from the coast so come on Floyd!

The same looks better then Witi.

20/2033 UTC 12.4S 115.8E T2.5/2.5 96S -- South Indian Ocean

Don't hesitate, it's getting there!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #11 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:10 pm

Heck with a 2.5t I would expect it to have been upgraded.

#12 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:11 pm

There were two storms with the name Harvey last year as well.

#13 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 5:12 pm

Our friends from the JTWC are slow to react. BoM will probably upgrade it in the next advisory.

#14 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 6:54 pm

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 2303UTC 20 MARCH 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 2100UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude eleven decimal nine degrees South [11.9S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal three East [116.3E]
Recent movement : west southwest at 5 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure : 994 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Within 90 nautical miles of centre: Winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas
and moderate increasing swell.

At 0900UTC 21 March: 12.2 south 114.4 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 2100UTC 21 March: 12.5 south 112.2 east
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 45 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 20 March 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

#15 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:08 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Our friends from the JTWC are slow to react. BoM will probably upgrade it in the next advisory.

I nailed it!!!!

weatherwoman132 · #16 Postby **weatherwoman132** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:28 pm

anyone ahve a link to a pic. of this storm?

Weatherfreak000 · #17 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:39 pm

^^^

Yeah, ditto.

weatherwoman132 · #18 Postby **weatherwoman132** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:40 pm

#19 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:52 pm

The convection that you see almost at the center of pic is the area of concern.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #20 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Mar 20, 2006 7:55 pm

That looks very good...I think it has a fair chance to become fairly strong.

SE Indian Ocean: Severe TC Floyd

SE Indian Ocean: Severe TC Floyd

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