What Numbers Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray will have in April?
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- cycloneye
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What Numbers Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray will have in April?
At the December outlook for the 2006 season they had 17/9/5.Will they leave those numbers the same,up them or downgrade them?
I say they will leave them the same 17/9/5 of December outlook.
I say they will leave them the same 17/9/5 of December outlook.
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- Pearl River
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- wxman57
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I think 17 is too high. It's unlikely the same trof will set up over the western Caribbean in 2006. We may only have 1 or 2 named storms prior to August this season. I expect perhaps 5 in August and 5-6 in September and a few stragglers in Oct/Nov. With the cooling east Pacific, the Bermuda high may be a bit stronger this year, increasing the shear in the deep tropics - at least countering the enhancing factor of La Nina. Plus, the Atlantic SSTs are a little lower this year.
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wxman57 wrote:I think 17 is too high. It's unlikely the same trof will set up over the western Caribbean in 2006. We may only have 1 or 2 named storms prior to August this season. I expect perhaps 5 in August and 5-6 in September and a few stragglers in Oct/Nov. With the cooling east Pacific, the Bermuda high may be a bit stronger this year, increasing the shear in the deep tropics - at least countering the enhancing factor of La Nina. Plus, the Atlantic SSTs are a little lower this year.
Agree with that...I say 13 named storms this year. Last year was a event that may only happen once ever 500 years.
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