New Invest 93B near Nicobar Islands

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TheEuropean
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New Invest 93B near Nicobar Islands

#1 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Mar 23, 2006 2:26 am

Image

We may see slowly development, but I don't expect a strong system at this time.
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#2 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Mar 23, 2006 2:58 am

Nothing organized at this time (23/0600 UTC):

Image
(by NEMOC)
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#3 Postby weatherwindow » Thu Mar 23, 2006 4:09 am

just what the nicobar islands need....post tsunami. what is the track forecast?. great image, link?......rich
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#4 Postby P.K. » Thu Mar 23, 2006 4:45 am

No track forecast as the IMD are not issuing advisores yet.
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#5 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Mar 23, 2006 5:36 am

This is what the JTWC says at 1030 UTC:

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.4N 91.4E, AP-
PROXIMATELY, 680 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTI-
SPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF VERY BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING WITH
CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS OF THE CIRCULATION. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW AND AN INCREASING 850 MB VORTICITY
SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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