SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
windycity
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 461
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:45 pm
Location: P.B.county,Fl.
Contact:

#521 Postby windycity » Wed Mar 22, 2006 6:01 pm

:( :( :( i knew the E.Atl. would warm,but the cooling was nice while it lasted.
0 likes   

CHRISTY

THE ATLANTIC IS SLOWLY WARMING TAKE A LOOK!

#522 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Mar 22, 2006 7:28 pm

Here is a loop of the very warm gulf of mexico=http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/SST_GMex_ENH/GOES_SST_Analysis_14_Day.shtml



Here's another view of tempertures in the atlantic=http://www.weather.com/images/maps/tropical/atl_sst_720x486.jpg


Here's another view of tempertures in the atlantic=https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/NCODA/US058VMET-GIFwxg.NCODA.glbl_sst.gif


NOTE: I have noticed that the cool pocket of water that is located near africa is getting smaller everyday lets see if it continues threw the coming months.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#523 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Mar 22, 2006 7:32 pm

1998 through 2004 where all above normal. Those years avged with 12 to 15 named storms.
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#524 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Mar 22, 2006 7:35 pm

i know but to me if the bermuda high holds strong and weak windshear way may have alot of US landsfalls. LA NINA.
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

#525 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Mar 22, 2006 7:35 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:1998 through 2004 where all above normal. Those years avged with 12 to 15 named storms.


:roll:


Yeah yeah we get it man.
0 likes   

User avatar
windycity
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 461
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:45 pm
Location: P.B.county,Fl.
Contact:

#526 Postby windycity » Thu Mar 23, 2006 8:59 am

wow,the NOAA site is nuts for the loop current and GOMEX.SSTs in that area will be boiling by summer.You would think that last years storms would of brought those temps down,all i can say is wow. :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#527 Postby KWT » Thu Mar 23, 2006 11:29 am

Well the atlantic is really warming up now. As I said about a week ago, we are still 3 months away from the start of the hurricane season and things can change in a matter of days out there and the fairly rapid warm-up in the atlantic presently is proving this very well.

As for the gulf, its really quite amazing how warm it is in the southern section already, now upto 26-27c, already warm enough to sustain tropical development if the shear let up and something got into the area.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#528 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Mar 23, 2006 11:33 am

The cool spots off of africa are not as cool as they were a week ago.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9490
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#529 Postby ROCK » Thu Mar 23, 2006 5:44 pm

With the latest frontal passage through the GOM, expect temps to fall some.
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

#530 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Mar 23, 2006 5:53 pm

ROCK wrote:With the latest frontal passage through the GOM, expect temps to fall some.


Yeah, I would like to wish that was gonna really happen but it's only a little flesh wound in the long run cause it doesn't look like the GOM will be penetrated by much of anything anymore.


Here's hoping though heh.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146204
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#531 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 23, 2006 6:01 pm

Image

The northen Gulf is still relativly cool while the Bay of Campeche and the SE Gulf are warmer.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
windycity
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 461
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:45 pm
Location: P.B.county,Fl.
Contact:

#532 Postby windycity » Thu Mar 23, 2006 9:27 pm

i dont think this last cold front will do anything to bring down SSTs in the GOM.We have run out of time,its sping,and temps will only go higher. I wonder if this will effect sealife ? :(
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#533 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:08 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#534 Postby gatorcane » Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:26 pm

I don't understand the argument that temps are so warm in the GOM, based on the latest maps, they are warm only around the loop current - which is just a current emanating from the Caribbean anyway, elsewhere they are a bit above normal but nothing to worry about. Come July - Sept, the GOM will be a bathtub each year regardless of these anomalies now. I would argue that the water temps are warm enough each year in the GOM to support up to a CAT 5 hurricane anyway.
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9490
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#535 Postby ROCK » Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:35 pm

windycity wrote:i dont think this last cold front will do anything to bring down SSTs in the GOM.We have run out of time,its sping,and temps will only go higher. I wonder if this will effect sealife ? :(



The lastest cold front has progressed half way through the GOM thus the interesting blob people were barking about earlier. It will drop the temps. Now how much and how long is another question.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146204
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#536 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 24, 2006 4:19 pm

Image

This is the old graphic of TWC of the Atlantic sst's which updates every day.
0 likes   

User avatar
weatherwoman132
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 305
Joined: Wed Mar 08, 2006 7:26 pm

#537 Postby weatherwoman132 » Fri Mar 24, 2006 7:36 pm

wow. that's really warm.
0 likes   

User avatar
benny
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:09 am
Location: Miami

#538 Postby benny » Fri Mar 24, 2006 7:59 pm

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/HistDat ... reate+Plot

There has been a very weak ridge in the subtropical Atlantic for the whole month of March. Very favorable for warming and more hurricanes (the old March ridge parameter of Dr. Gray's. How do you post the actual image?
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#539 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Mar 24, 2006 8:06 pm

Image
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#540 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 24, 2006 8:47 pm

It would not suprize me if that loop current got into the mid 90s this summer.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2000, NingNing and 43 guests