SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

HurricaneHunter914 · #541 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Mar 24, 2006 10:20 pm

Instead of la nina it looks more like an el nino. The Pacific is HOT.

whereverwx · #542 Postby **whereverwx** » Fri Mar 24, 2006 11:26 pm

march 23, 2005 and 2006

#543 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Mar 24, 2006 11:28 pm

yes it does,,,ah how things change...could el nino be forming now...how about the massive front pushing through the SE US....hmmm.....

Weatherfreak000 · #544 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Fri Mar 24, 2006 11:35 pm

Wow......but actually the SST's are still more bitter in the long run out there especially off the coast of Africa.

A surprise El Nino? I say we have a better chance of seeing one of the monthly "GOM Fire Ups" forming. :lol:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #545 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Mar 24, 2006 11:50 pm

2005 the central Atlatnic and eastern Caribbean was warmer then normal. This year the Gulf is much warmer then normal?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #546 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Mar 24, 2006 11:53 pm

Holy shoot the Gulf is like 3 degrees warm or more from last year. Where going to see some mid 90s to 100 there this summer. Also with a slightly cooler central Atlantic it should keep the storms weak even with the La nina intill they get into the Gulf. But the set up that made last year is gone...So I only expect 13 or so storms.

CHRISTY · #547 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 12:14 am

i think u maybe jumping the gun on sea surface temps its only march for gods sake if this were may or late june then i would probably have to agree with you.but its MARCH 25 so i cant agree with your early predictions right now.

whereverwx · #548 Postby **whereverwx** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 12:19 am

CHRISTY wrote:i think u maybe jumping the gun on sea surface temps its only march for gods sake if this were may or late june then i would probably have to agree with you.but its MARCH 25 so i cant agree with your early predictions right now.

I agree. Mid mid 90s to 100s are a bit too much...

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #549 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 12:21 am

Over the loop. It normally gets into the lower 90s in the gulf Anyways.

Website · #550 Postby **Brent** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 1:02 am

Season cancel. It's a dud.

AussieMark · #551 Postby **AussieMark** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 1:04 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Instead of la nina it looks more like an el nino. The Pacific is HOT.

Where is the Pacific hot. where is the el nino forming

I can't see it

CHRISTY · #552 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 1:11 am

so what are u saying?

AussieMark · #553 Postby **AussieMark** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 1:14 am

I don't see a El Nino on the horizon

Hurricaneman · #554 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 2:18 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Instead of la nina it looks more like an el nino. The Pacific is HOT.

Sorry, but it looks like a la nina to me

benny · #555 Postby **benny** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 2:36 am

Right now we are in a weak La Nina with the Atlantic SSTs warming up. This doesn't bode well if you are a property owner. Remember the main "ENSO" region is from 120w-165w.. the stuff closer to S America is mostly noise in the scheme of things.

benny · #556 Postby **benny** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 2:44 am

The other interesting thing to watch is the warm core eddy in the n central gulf. that should migrate a little to the west. It can be seen easily on:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/h ... week.shtml

KWT · #557 Postby **KWT** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 3:45 am

El nino?

Remember, the Pacific may wlel be hot at present but relative to normal, its actually a little below average thanks to La nina, no way in hell is that El nino!!!

It seems this year the waters are cooler out to the east but in Caribbean and also in the gulf they are warmer then last year!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #558 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 4:29 am

Thats whats to watch for 1# a strong Bermuda high 2# a tropical cyclone getting into the Gulf or western Caribbean. We won't have amazing numbers but we could have some amazing storms.

#559 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 7:32 am

Most of our storms were brewed in the caribean and the gulf of mexico and not the eastern atlantic. Just because the east atlantic is cooler now does not give a precursor to less storms for this season. As Matt pointed out we should watch for storms forming in the caribbean or in the GOM.

#560 Postby **webke** » Sat Mar 25, 2006 8:00 am

It has only been a week but according to these charts the Atlantic is heating back up, the question I have is will it keep fluctuating or continue to stay on the warming trend.

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 7.2006.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 5.2006.gif

SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

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