SE Indian Ocean: Severe TC Glenda

[HURAKAN]

GLENDA HAS OPENED HER EYE TO THE WORLD!

[HurricaneHunter914]

She is as beautiful as her deceased siblings.

[Weatherfreak000]

Yeah look's like we're gonna have to add this storm as one of the monster's of 06'. A better nice structure Glenda has to her too.

[HurricaneHunter914]

It almost reminds me of Wilma.

[HURAKAN]

WTXS31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GLENDA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 15.6S 121.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 121.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.0S 120.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.9S 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 17.9S 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 19.1S 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 22.0S 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7S 121.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GLENDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 20S IS TRACKING ON THE
NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A STEERING RIDGE OVER AUSTRALIA. THE
SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AND DEVELOPED A BANDING EYE IN MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS TC 20S IS LOCATED
IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z,
282100Z AND 290300Z.



GETTING BETTER BY THE MINUTE!

[HURAKAN]

Looking much better now!

[HURAKAN]

28/0233 UTC 16.0S 121.4E T5.0/5.0 GLENDA -- South Indian Ocean


1 ... 2 ... 3 ... KABOOM!!!

[JamesFromMaine2]

shes looking really nice right now! I wouldn't want to be in her path! lol

[I'm Watching You]

SHE IS NOW A CATERGORY 4

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 28
Issued at 11:55 am WST on Tuesday, 28 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for a CATEGORY 4 CYCLONE for coastal and island
areas between Cape Leveque and Bidyadanga. A CYCLONE WATCH extends along the
Northwest coast to Exmouth.

At 11am WST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA was estimated to be
180 kilometres west northwest of Cape Leveque and
260 kilometres north northwest of Broome
and was moving west southwest at 11 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are possible in coastal parts
between Cape Leveque and Beagle Bay for the next few hours.
Should the cyclone take a more southwesterly track then gales with gusts to 120
kilometres per hour may extend south to Bidyadanga during the day.

The cyclone is expected to move roughly parallel to the coast for the next 24 to
36 hours and continue to intensify. Communities in the central and western
Pilbara should be aware that SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA is likely to be near
the coast in 48 to 72 hours time.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE GLENDA at 11am WST Tuesday.
Location of centre : within 40 kilometres of
Latitude 15.8 South Longitude 121.4 East.
Recent movement : West southwest at 11 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 940 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 235 kilometres per hour.
Severity Category : 4

[Weatherfreak000]

My god....Wilma would be saluting this type of Intensification. What is Glenda up on the SS Scale now?


She's looking beautiful too, I think Glenda will be the best looking storm down there so far.

[I'm Watching You]

She has definately matured quite quickly. After being a lil baby from the Gulf to moving in the Indian Ocean just yesterday has grown into a Monster Catergory 4 in about 12 hours time she could be a 5.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Cat-5 could certainly be possible in the time she has. She now reminds me of Emily.

[Coredesat]

990 mb to 940 mb in 24 hours...very, very impressive.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Wilma's was over impressive, Glenda is like Wilma's younger sister.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Is this the third major storm for the Australia cyclone basin this Year? Is this a year of very intense cyclones? Just looking for some perspective here.

[HURAKAN]

LOOKING REALLY NICE WITH A TINY EYE!

[CHRISTY]

here's another image...

[I'm Watching You]

Is this the third major storm for the Australia cyclone basin this Year? Is this a year of very intense cyclones? Just looking for some perspective here.

Try this link http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/history.htm it has all the past tracks of Australian Cyclones. Look at the ones in the 70's as it was very busy.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It looks like a cat4 moving up to cat5...I don't get the JTWC 75 knots.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[James]

They are saying 115 knots now.