SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

MiamiensisWx · #681 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 8:19 pm

The La Nina looks MUCH weaker. Waters are warming quickly in many areas of the Pacific. Waters of Africa are warming rapidly - even in the western Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico are waters starting to warm up!

MiamiensisWx · #682 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 8:20 pm

benny, that is very interesting on the wind anomalies... looks like an active Cape Verde season is shaping up!

MiamiensisWx · #683 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 8:22 pm

Warm waters are forming off the western coast of South America...

Scorpion · #684 Postby **Scorpion** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 8:57 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Warm waters are forming off the western coast of South America...

So?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #685 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 9:10 pm

It looks more like 2004. A strong Bermuda high to steer storms to the west. Possibly into eastern Florida? Then Charley and Ivan like storms steered through the caribbean then north into the Gulf. Also a weaker Azores high for your Lisa and Karl like storms. Yeah I would say a 2004 like pattern. Still sticking with my 13 named storms.

Weatherfreak000 · #686 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 10:06 pm

I still don't very much see ANY factors showing a season like 2004 or a Cape Verde Season. :roll:

It'd make you think by how you guys are talking it still isn't in April and we're about Mid-July.

However, I suppose patterns are worth looking for. If anything more for conversation effects.

#687 Postby **windycity** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 10:52 pm

Looks like 2004 to me! Weve had this persistent ridge almost all winter JUST like 2004! The difference this year will be the weak LaNina/neg,ENSO conditions,2004 was actually a weak ElNino year.We shall see.Either way,i think the east coast,and very well Fl. will see a hit. I hope some of us are wrong. Sorry,Scorpion but i want a break. :cheesy:

meteorologyman · #688 Postby **meteorologyman** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 11:15 pm

I Agree

All the patterns seem to = 2004, including dry weather in Florida. I hear their is a research going on with dry weather, one of the meteorologist stated that "if Florida ever has a dry season I'm gone b/c it will be hurricane city for them." Though scientists can't prove that theory yet.

On the weather blogs at weather channel, Dr. Steve Lyons said that FL should not be looking out at sea, they; should be building thier homes hurricane proof, I dont think thats a good sign for us at all :eek:

#689 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 11:49 pm

yep it's similar to 2004 - the pattern CAN change, however - we are still a good 4 months or so until the real action gets going...HOPEFULLY we will see some troughiness replace this long wave pattern we have been seeing.

I'd say if it is still June and we are seeing it....then we should really watch the East along the FL east coast.

Weatherfreak000 · #690 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 11:55 pm

There is only one year where you can truly give me a pattern on this. And no year after it with almsot identical qualities with heavy Florida landfalls?

Sounds like a whole lot of nothing if you ask me :roll:

#691 Postby **windycity** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 9:13 am

A whole lot of nothing, or a whole lot of something!!!! You have to look at the indications that ARE there that point to a active season. :lol:

#692 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 9:24 am

Scorpion · #693 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 9:28 am

Wow, big cool down in the Caribbean and GOM.

#694 Postby **windycity** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 11:02 am

Youre right!! Im afraid it will be short lived, though.

Weatherfreak000 · #695 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 11:05 am

Pretty interesting, but this shows how things fluctuate. In only a week's time this whole situation unfolded.

Let's keep that in mind before we jump to conclusions :wink:

#696 Postby **drezee** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 12:33 pm

Buoy and ship data are not showing the drop at all...quite the opposite...

#697 Postby **tailgater** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 5:13 pm

tailgater wrote:
cycloneye wrote:

David disturbing the word that you used is the right one to describe how the GOM is right now in terms of the sst's and ssta's.

bump

bump
Temps cooled a little this week and last but warming again in N. gulf.

#698 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 5:59 pm

cooling was due to the large trough we had a little over a week ago.. AS I EXPECTED would happen as the 30s and 40s pushed down into the Northern and central GOM. Sat pics showed cold air clouds behind the front as a result of the relatively cooler air over the warmer GOM - a few degrees of cooling that's it.

Another powerful trough will hold the warming in check. Let's hope for it.

NONAME · #699 Postby **NONAME** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 6:05 pm

the trough wont be getting into the gulf and not very cold behind it

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #700 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Apr 01, 2006 6:18 pm

Wow that is a amazing... :eek:

SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

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