Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0238 AM CST THU MAR 23 2006
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE ERN
   2/3RDS OF THE CONUS TODAY. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND/OR COOL
   TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS IN THIS
   AREA. THE ONLY AREA OF FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE ON THE WRN EDGE
   OF THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER SRN AZ...WHERE ELY WINDS WILL BE
   MODERATE /15-25 MPH/ THIS MORNING. A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE WILL ALLOW
   FOR WARMING TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S/LOWER 80S AND LOW RH READINGS
   AROUND 15 PERCENT IN THIS. HOWEVER WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN
   15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0238 AM CST THU MAR 23 2006
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DEEPENING UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION...AND BROAD UPPER
   TROUGHING OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION WILL SUPPORT COOLER THAN
   NORMAL TEMPERATURES TOMORROW. BEHIND A COLD FRONT...MODERATE NWLY
   WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SERN STATES/FL. ELSEWHERE...UPPER RIDGING
   WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST PROVIDING FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   AND LOW RH READINGS IN THE SWRN STATES.
   
   ...SRN GA/SRN AL...AND FL...
   DESPITE COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S/LOWER 70S ...DRY
   AIR WITH DWPTS IN THE 30S/40S ALONG WILL SUPPORT LOW RH READINGS
   AROUND 25 PERCENT. GUSTY NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WILL AID IN
   INCREASING FIRE DANGER WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED WINDS. UNCERTAINTY IN
   THE AMT OF RAINFALL OVER THE AREA ON DAY ONE WILL PRECLUDE ANY
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUANCE AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1259 AM CST FRI MAR 24 2006
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NRN/CENTRAL ALA...FAR SRN
   AL/SRN GA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND BROAD TROUGH OVER THE ERN
   CONUS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD THROUGH THE PERIOD. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/ERN PORTION OF THE NATION
   PROVIDING FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MODERATE NWLY WINDS WILL
   OCCUR OVER THE SERN STATES IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT/LOW PRESSURE
   CENTER MOVING OFF THE SERN COAST THIS MORNING. DRY AIR AND MILD
   TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS TO PROVIDE FOR CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF NRN/CENTRAL ALA AND FAR SRN AL.
   
   
   FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL PROVIDE FOR ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES TO MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS AREA/DESERT SW. RELATIVELY
   LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN THIS REGION.
   MEANWHILE...THE LEE TROUGH WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
   ALLOWING FOR SLY WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH OVER WRN
   TX/ERN NM THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - FAR SRN AL/SRN GA...MUCH OF
   NRN/CENTRAL FL...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 25 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 30-35 PERCENT...SHORT TERM
   DROUGHT
   
   STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE WIND FIELDS IN THE LOW
   LEVELS WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH. DRY AIR
   WITH DEWPTS IN THE 30S AND 40S /AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST/
   WILL COUNTERACT COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S/LOWER 70S
   TO ALLOW FOR MIN RH READINGS TO FALL TO BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.
   ALTHOUGH DRY AIR WILL REACH SRN FL...MUCH OF SRN FL RECEIVED 0.5 TO
   1 INCH OF RAINFALL LAST NIGHT. THIS SHOULD BE A SUFFICIENT WETTING
   RAINFALL TO PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THIS AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/24/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0102 AM CST FRI MAR 24 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN CONUS THROUGH
   TOMORROW. NWLY WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE SERN
   STATES...BUT CONDITIONS WILL STILL BE CLOSE TO CRITICAL WHERE DRY
   AIR RESIDES OVER FLA...SRN AL/SRN GA. FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER RIDGE
   THAT WAS PRESENT OVER THE WEST ON DAY ONE WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE
   PLAINS AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE GREAT BASIN.
   INCREASING SURFACE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN/LOWER
   COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM. COMBINED WITH LOW
   RH READINGS...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS
   IN THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.
   
   ...FLA...SRN AL/GA...
   A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS/PRESSURE GRADIENT IS
   ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR BETWEEN DAY ONE AND DAY TWO OVER THE SERN
   STATES AS THE UPPER SYSTEM SLOWLY LOSES STRENGTH. THE NET RESULT
   WILL BE SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS RANGING FROM 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
   TO 20 MPH. DESPITE ANOTHER DAY OF EXPECTED MIN RH READINGS BELOW 35
   PERCENT...THESE WEAKER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   OUTLOOK ISSUANCE.
   
   ....LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...
   AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM...SSWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
   SRN GREAT BASIN AND LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RELATIVELY WARM
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S WILL COMBINE WITH DWPTS IN THE 20S TO
   PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
   CLOUDS SEVERAL HUNDREDS OF MILES OFF THE SRN CA COAST IS ANTICIPATED
   TO BE DRAWN NEWD INTO THE REGION TOMORROW IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER
   SYSTEM. THE AMT OF HIGH CLOUD COVER COULD BE SUFFICIENT TO REDUCE
   LOW LEVEL MIXING AND THUS YIELD WEAKER THAN CRITICAL WINDS.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   INCREASING WLY MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AHEAD OF THE
   GREAT BASIN UPPER TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN THE LEE TROUGH OVER THE
   HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM. THE RESULTANT INCREASE IN PRESSURE GRADIENT
   BETWEEN THE LEE TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER ERN TX WILL AID IN
   SUSTAINED SELY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH. DESPITE WARMING TEMPERATURES
   INTO THE 60S/LOWER 70S...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 20 PERCENT WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/24/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0403 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NEAR
   42N/130W...OR ABOUT 300 NM WEST OF EUREKA CA. THIS STORM WILL MOVE
   ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN BY TONIGHT...WITH MID LEVEL WINDS INCREASING
   TO 70-80 KT ACROSS CA AND NV THIS AFTN. AT LOWER LEVELS...COLD FRONT
   WILL EXTEND FROM CNTRL NV THROUGH SRN CA BY EARLY EVENING.
   
   ...LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY/SRN NV/NW AZ/SW UT...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...AS SFC
   WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S AND
   80S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 20S WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO RH VALUES AT OR JUST BELOW 15 PERCENT. RECENT
   PRECIPITATION AND MARGINAL RH VALUES WILL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ...FL...
   RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTN
   ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE IN THE WAKE OF RECENT FRONTAL PASSAGE.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES COULD RANGE FROM 20-25
   PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE 60S NORTH AND 70S SOUTH. RECENT KBDI
   OBSERVATIONS RANGE FROM 400-600.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0411 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE CO/CNTRL AND ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STORM SYSTEM WHICH IS NOW APPROACHING WEST COAST WILL MOVE FROM THE
   NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BY LATE SUNDAY AFTN. LARGE
   SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL INDUCE SFC CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE
   DAKOTAS...WITH A LEE TROUGH WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS. STRONG SLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS IN RESPONSE
   TO THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL BE THE FIRST WARM AND
   WINDY DAY AFTER A RECENT PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPS /INCLUDING
   RECORD LOW TEMPS FOR SOME LOCATIONS ON FRIDAY MORNING/.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE CO/CNTRL AND ERN NM/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15-20 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   BOTH NAM AND GFS DEPICT A RATHER POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO
   THE CNTRL PLAINS BY SUNDAY AFTN...WITH A 40-45 KT LOW LEVEL JET
   EXTENDING FROM CNTRL TX THROUGH THE DAKOTAS. EXTREMELY WINDY
   CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY...AS NOCTURNAL
   INVERSION DISSIPATES DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING. THE WINDIEST CONDITIONS
   WILL BE NEAR THE LLJ AXIS /FROM NCNTRL TX THROUGH CNTRL KS/...WHERE
   SFC WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING/AFTN. HIGHER
   GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOME AREAS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
   BE RATHER HIGH ACROSS NCNTRL TX/OK/KS...GENERALLY ABOVE 30 PERCENT.
   HOWEVER...THE STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN
   FIRE ESPECIALLY AMONG FINE FUELS.
   
   WITHIN THE CRITICAL AREA...THE WINDIEST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR LATER
   IN THE DAY AFTER WINDS VEER TO MORE OF A WLY DIRECTION. MUCH DRIER
   AIR WILL BE IN PLACE...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT
   ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX PANHANDLES. IN
   THIS REGION...HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH WINDS
   IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND ERN NM/W TX THROUGH THE
   TX PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/SE CO/SW KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES
   THIS MORNING AND INTO THE NRN PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING. MID LEVEL
   FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50-60 KT ACROSS CO/KS...ASSOCIATED WITH JET
   STREAK NOW EXITING THE GREAT BASIN. AT THE SFC...LEE SIDE LOW WILL
   DEEPEN OVER THE TX PANHANDLE...WITH A DRYLINE MIXING EAST ACROSS ERN
   NM INTO TX. LOW LEVEL JET WILL REMAIN FOCUSED FROM TX/OK THROUGH THE
   ERN DAKOTAS THROUGH TONIGHT. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
   THE SRN/CNTRL PLAINS...BUT CRITICAL AREA WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS
   ACROSS NM/TX WHICH WILL HAVE THE DRIEST CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND ERN NM/W TX THROUGH THE
   TX PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE/SE CO/SW KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   DRYLINE WILL MIX EAST TODAY...EXTENDING EAST OF AMA/LBB/MRF LINE BY
   AFTN. WEST OF THE DRYLINE...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS COMBINED WITH
   MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S/LOWER 80S WILL YIELD MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE
   10-15 PERCENT RANGE. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   GUSTY SFC WINDS...WITH SUSTAINED VALUES NEAR 20-30 MPH. LONG TERM
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH RAIN DEFICITS
   ESPECIALLY NOTED ACROSS THE NM PLAINS.
   
   ...SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
   THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   TODAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 MPH LIKELY IN SOME LOCATIONS.
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE 20-30 PERCENT...BUT THE STRONG WINDS
   WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES GIVEN THE DRY FUELS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0349 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH /NOW OVER CNTRL
   ROCKIES/ EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BY
   MONDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES
   REGION BY TUE...AS RIDGE REDEVELOPS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. SHALLOW
   COLD FRONT WILL BE FORCED SWD ACROSS PARTS OF OK/TX/NM ON
   MONDAY...WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS TO E/NELY AND MITIGATE THE FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT. IN THE SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...WINDS WILL BE
   RELATIVELY LIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/26/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006

OKZ049-053>056-059>061-064>067-070-071-073>075-270400-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-PITTSBURG-
HASKELL-LATIMER-
355 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...PAWNEE...
TULSA...ROGERS...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL AND LATIMER.

WARMER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE AREA TODAY. AFTER A WEEK OR SO OF COOLER THAN NORMAL
WEATHER...TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE
60S. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE
AREA. ALTHOUGH THESE CONDITIONS WILL FALL SHORT OF RED FLAG
CRITERIA...FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
MAY ALSO BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH
AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CST MON MAR 27 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW NOW OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE MID MS VALLEY
   BY THIS EVENING AND INTO INDIANA BY EARLY TUE MORNING. IN THE
   WEST...NEXT UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE COAST BY TUE...WITH
   A RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. AT LOWER
   LEVELS...SFC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS...EVENTUALLY BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY.
   THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/TSTMS
   FROM NRN LA THROUGH CNTRL TX OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...
   WINDIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF KS...WHERE
   SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY. GUSTY WINDS WILL EXTEND
   AS FAR SOUTH AS WRN/NCNTRL OK. MAX TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
   COOLER THAN ON SUNDAY BUT MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL STILL GENERALLY
   RANGE FROM 25-30 PERCENT...GIVEN NO GULF MOISTURE RETURN. WIND SHIFT
   LINE MARKING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
   ACROSS OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 AM CST MON MAR 27 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SE CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WEST COAST STORM SYSTEM NOW AROUND 42N/138W WILL INCREASE FIRE
   WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER
   THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS AS EARLY AS TUE AFTN. BROAD SW FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS
   THE MID SECTION OF THE CONUS WITH EMBEDDED IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH
   THE SRN STREAM. LEE SIDE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO ON
   TUE AFTN. STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING
   PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE PLAINS...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE CO/SW KS/NM AND W TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SE CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE/TX
   PANHANDLE THROUGH FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   THE OPERATIONAL MODELS DIFFER ON SOME OF THE DETAILS OF THE WEST
   COAST SYSTEM. BOTH THE NAM/GFS SUGGEST LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS
   THE ERN CO PLAINS...AND THIS WILL INDUCE STRENGTHENING S/SELY FLOW
   ACROSS KS/TX PANHANDLE AND ERN NM. MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE
   60S/70S...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT. RECENT
   FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME RANGE
   AND NO SIGNIFICANT PCPN IS EXPECTED BEFORE TUE. FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE WORSE ON WED/THU AS THE WRN SYSTEM
   APPROACHES...WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL OUTLOOKS POSSIBLE LATER IN THE
   WEEK.
   
   ...ERN CAROLINAS/VA...
   COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST ASSOCIATED WITH OH
   VALLEY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND SFC WINDS WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
   SHOULD BE RELATIVELY STRONG /15-20 MPH/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.
   AIRMASS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN SHOULD BE RATHER
   DRY...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 35-40 PERCENT. GIVEN THE HIGH
   FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS...THE INCREASE IN WIND AND TEMP MAY
   INCREASE FIRE CONCERNS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
850 AM CST MAR MAR 27 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...

GUSTY NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BRING FIRE DANGER TO THE
VERY HIGH CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OKLAHOMA.
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS SOMETIMES TO 35 MPH WILL BE
COMMON THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD REACH 25 TO
35 PERCENT AT THE LOWER LIMIT TODAY.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS...LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0328 AM CST TUE MAR 28 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SW
   KS/SE CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS WITHIN
   LARGE CYCLONE OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE
   ONSHORE IN WAVES...WITH THE MAIN LARGE SCALE ASCENT FOCUSED ACROSS
   THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND WEST COAST THROUGH TUE EVENING. SFC COLD
   FRONT WHICH MOVED SWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/SW TX ON MONDAY WILL
   BEGIN TO RETURN NWD AS A WARM FRONT...WITH LEE SIDE TROUGH OVER THE
   HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SW
   KS/SE CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG SLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE NERN PLAINS OF
   NM...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES...AND SW KS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
   ASSOCIATED WITH WRN STORM CONVEYOR WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA
   TODAY...WHICH MAY LIMIT HEATING SOMEWHAT. MAX TEMPS ARE STILL
   EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S SOUTH. LIMITING FACTOR
   WILL BE MARGINAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AS BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
   MOISTENED OVER THE LAST 24-36 HOURS. RH VALUES WERE AS LOW AS 20
   PERCENT ACROSS THIS AREA YESTERDAY...AND TODAY WILL BE WINDIER AND
   WARMER. EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS ACROSS THE AREA...AND NO
   SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE TOMORROW EVENING AT THE
   EARLIEST.
   
   FARTHER SOUTH...ACROSS SERN NM AND FAR W TX...BOUNDARY LAYER
   DEWPOINTS SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY HIGH GIVEN SELY UPSLOPE FLOW.
   QPF GUIDANCE FROM SOME OF THE OPERATIONAL MODELS SEEMS
   OVERDONE...ESPECIALLY GIVEN LACK OF PCPN OVERNIGHT. CHANCE FOR
   WETTING RAIN WILL INCREASE AFTER 00Z...WHEN STRONGER LARGE SCALE
   FORCING ARRIVES.
   
   ...ERN CAROLINAS/VA...
   SFC WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT SHOULD BE RELATIVELY
   STRONG TODAY /15-25 MPH/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.
   AIRMASS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN IS RATHER
   DRY...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35-40
   PERCENT. GIVEN THE HIGH FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS...THE
   INCREASE IN WIND AND TEMP MAY INCREASE FIRE CONCERNS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0330 AM CST TUE MAR 28 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SW KS/SE
   CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH W COAST STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
   TO MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. MID
   LEVEL WINDS ACROSS AZ/NM WILL INCREASE ACCORDINGLY TO AROUND 65 KT
   BY LATE AFTN/EVENING. IN ADDITION...A DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD ACROSS
   THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES AND INTO SW KS BY LATE AFTN...WITH WARM AND
   DRY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF ERN NM/SE CO INTO SW KS AND THE PANHANDLES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SW KS/SE
   CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP ON WED AS STRONG STORM
   SYSTEM NOW OFF THE WEST COAST APPROACHES THE AREA. SFC WINDS OF
   20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 40+ MPH. IN ADDITION..WITH
   TEMPS IN THE UPPER 60S THROUGH 70S...MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20
   PERCENT ARE LIKELY. ONE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS HOW MUCH PCPN MAY FALL ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE. BOTH THE ETA AND GFS SUGGEST THE
   TRANSPECOS REGION THROUGH NCNTRL TX/OK WILL RECEIVE SOME WETTING
   RAINS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. THIS WILL MITIGATE
   FIRE CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...LITTLE IF ANY PCPN IS EXPECTED ACROSS
   NERN NM/SE CO INTO KS. OUTLOOK AREA MAY BE ADJUSTED IN THE NEXT
   FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE UNCERTAINTIES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
404 AM CST TUE MAR 28 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-290100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
404 AM CST TUE MAR 28 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TODAY... AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES... DIPPING UNDER 30 PERCENT IN MANY
AREAS. WITH VEGETATION HAVING DRIED OUT AFTER THE RECENT RAINS...
THIS WILL PRESENT AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER SITUATION.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[JonathanBelles]

we had a brush fire yesturday in walsingham park (about 1.5 mile from here), but today they canceled or discontinued the Red Flag Warning, WHy?

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0406 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CNTRL AND ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME
   SWRN KS/WRN OK PANHANDLE/EXTREME NW TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE W COAST WILL MOVE EAST AND REACH THE
   ROCKIES BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL HELP STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW
   ACROSS NERN CO. A DRYLINE WILL MIX E ACROSS SW TX NWD THROUGH THE
   WRN TX AND OK PANHANDLES INTO SW KS BY LATE AFTN. WARM AND DRY WINDS
   WILL OCCUR BEHIND THIS FEATURE ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN NM AND SERN
   CO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CNTRL AND ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME
   SWRN KS/WRN OK PANHANDLE/EXTREME NW TX PANHANDLE AND FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
   UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS. AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
   STRENGTHENS OVER NERN CO...THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
   TIGHTEN TO ITS SOUTH AND INCREASE WIND SPEEDS. THE DRYLINE WILL MIX
   EWD AND ARC FROM THE SURFACE LOW INTO SW KS...THE OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES SWD INTO SW TX. SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP
   BEHIND THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM MAINLY INTO
   THE 70S...MIN RH VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT ARE LIKELY. CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AS THE DRY LINE RETREATS
   WWD. HOWEVER...SW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
   MUCH OF THE NIGHT IN THE SACRAMENTO MTNS OF NM.
   
   ...SERN NM/PORTIONS OF WRN TX...
   ALTHOUGH THE DRY LINE WILL LIKELY MIX EAST AND BE NEAR THE CAP
   ROCK/TRANSPECOS REGION OF TX LATE THIS AFTERNOON...OVERNIGHT
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY PROVIDED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF
   SERN NM AND WRN TX. THE FEW AREAS WHICH DID NOT SEE SIGNIFICANT
   RAINFALL MAY BRIEFLY EXPERIENCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THE UPPER 70S TO
   MIDDLE 80S WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS WILL
   NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS THOSE FARTHER WEST...WITH VALUES AROUND 20
   MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES INTO FAR WRN OK AND NW TX....
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT NEWD FROM ERN CO INTO THE
   UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY BY THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT COMBINED WITH DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT IN THE WAKE OF
   THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND DRY W
   WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES INTO FAR WRN OK AND NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY
   MID TO LATE MORNING ON THURSDAY ACROSS ERN NM/SERN CO AND SPREAD EWD
   DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO PORTIONS OF WRN OK/NW TX. THE PASSAGE OF A
   MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN MID-LEVEL WIND SPEEDS TO
   BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH THURSDAY MORNING. DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF THESE
   WINDS THROUGH STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SERVE TO
   ENHANCE LOW-LEVEL WINDS. THIS IN CONCERT WITH A STRONG PRESSURE
   GRADIENT FROM A SURFACE LOW IN NEB...WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WIND
   SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH OVER MUCH OF THE CRITICAL AREA. THE DRY LINE
   WILL QUICKLY MIX EAST...AND AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S AND
   70S...RH VALUES SHOULD PLUMMET TO BETWEEN 10 TO 20 PERCENT. A COLD
   FRONT WILL PUSH SE SWITCHING THE STRONG W/SW WINDS TO THE NW DURING
   THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW 20
   MPH DURING THE EVENING AS THE UPPER MIDWEST STORM SYSTEM LIFTS
   FURTHER NE.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
406 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-300100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
406 AM CST WED MAR 29 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE A CONCERN ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION ONCE AGAIN TODAY. UNLIKE YESTERDAY HOWEVER... SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL PICK UP DURING THE MORNING AND BECOME RATHER STRONG
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA DURING THE DAY... AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AND AN
AREA OF RAINFALL MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES... LESSENING THE FIRE CONCERNS.
HOWEVER... AREAS THAT MISS OUT ON THE RAINFALL WILL BE LEFT WITH
CONTINUING DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME SW KS/OK
   AND TX PANHANDLES INTO WRN OK AND NW TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NEWD FROM ERN CO INTO THE UPPER MS RIVER
   VALLEY BY THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   COMBINED WITH DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT IN THE WAKE OF
   THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND DRY W
   WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS TODAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/SERN CO/EXTREME SW KS/OK
   AND TX PANHANDLES INTO WRN OK AND NW TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY
   LATE MORNING ACROSS ERN NM/SERN CO AND SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON INTO PORTIONS OF SWRN KS/WRN OK/NWRN TX. WIND PROFILER
   DATA ALREADY INDICATE SPEEDS AROUND 50 MPH NEAR 3000 FEET AGL OVER
   ERN NM THIS MORNING. DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF THESE WINDS THROUGH
   STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SERVE TO ENHANCE SURFACE
   WINDS. THIS COMBINED WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM A SURFACE
   LOW LIFTING NEWD FROM NERN CO...WILL CREATE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
   25 TO 35 MPH. AS THE DRY LINE MIXES EWD...TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY
   WARM INTO THE 70S TO MIDDLE 80S...ALLOWING RH VALUES TO PLUMMET TO
   BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE NW
   DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS FROM W TO E AS THE UPPER
   MIDWEST SYSTEM LIFTS NE.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE E
   OVER THE ERN GREAT LAKES. A STRENGTHENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   DOMINANT THE CNTRL CONUS WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...NEW ENGLAND...
   ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH INCREASING SURFACE WINDS MAY
   LEAD TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY OVER
   PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EWD FROM THE GREAT
   LAKES...SW WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. AT THIS TIME...SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST
   BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FROM 15 TO 20 MPH. IN ADDITION...A DRY AIR
   MASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE AND SOME LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING IS
   EXPECTED. HOWEVER...INTERIOR AREAS OF NEW ENGLAND WILL LIKELY SEE
   MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF ERN NM AND TX PANHANDLE...
   LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
   PRESSURE MOVES E AND S WINDS DEVELOP ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS.
   HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
   CONTINUE TO BE PRESENT WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT AS
   TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S AND 70S.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/30/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[Hurricaneman]

We had a brush fire near Fenway Park the other day, dont know if its still going

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CST FRI MAR 31 2006
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE E
   ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BY SATURDAY MORNING. A TRAILING COLD FRONT
   WILL HELP PRODUCE RAINFALL FROM THE MID-MS RIVER VALLEY INTO THE OH
   RIVER VALLEY. A STRENGTHENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE
   LOW WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. A RIDGE OF
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINANT THE HIGH PLAINS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
   WINDS.
   
   ...NEW ENGLAND...
   INCREASING WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RH VALUES WILL LEAD TO
   NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS
   IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE WITH MINOR LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING EXPECTED
   TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TODAY COMPARED TO THURSDAY...AND
   WILL GENERALLY REACH THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. WITH DEW POINTS IN THE
   30S...MIN RH VALUES WILL BE CRITICALLY LOW AND RANGE FROM 20 TO 30
   PERCENT. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING GREAT
   LAKES LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CAUSING A TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT. HOWEVER...WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DEPTH OF THE ATMOSPHERE
   WILL REMAIN FAIRLY MODEST WITH RIDGING ALOFT. THIS WILL ALLOW
   SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS TO REMAIN JUST BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FROM
   15 TO 20 MPH.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF ERN NM AND OK/TX PANHANDLES...
   DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THIS REGION WITH MIN RH VALUES
   FROM 12 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE
   UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MODEST FROM 10 TO 15 MPH
   AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/31/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0409 AM CST FRI MAR 31 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/WRN PANHANDLES OF TX AND
   OK/EXTREME SERN CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NRN NEW ENGLAND AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
   WILL BRING RAINFALL TO MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC. AN
   UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE EAST AND INDUCE A
   LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE LEE OF THE CO ROCKIES ON SATURDAY. DEEP
   SW FLOW WILL CREATE WARM AND DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO THE S OF THIS
   LOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/WRN PANHANDLES OF TX AND
   OK/EXTREME SERN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH / WARM TEMPERATURES / STRONG WINDS /
   LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   A NORTH-TO-SOUTH AXIS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS
   EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM EXTREME SERN CO AND ERN
   NM INTO THE WRN PANHANDLES OF TX AND OK. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
   ACROSS E-CNTRL CO AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM
   THE WRN CONUS. A MODERATE MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX IS FORECAST TO BE
   CENTERED OVER ERN NM BY LATE MORNING ON SATURDAY. AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES STEEPEN WITH DOWNSLOPING SW WINDS...THIS WILL ALLOW THE
   STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO MIX TOWARDS THE SURFACE. SUSTAINED SURFACE
   WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH APPEAR LIKELY WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH.
   
   EARLY MORNING RH VALUES WILL BE MOIST AS GENERALLY S/SE SURFACE FLOW
   PREVAILS FRIDAY NIGHT. BUT AS THE DRYLINE MIXES EWD...TEMPERATURES
   WILL WARM INTO THE 70S AND 80S AND MIN RH VALUES WILL REACH 10 TO 20
   PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS WILL PROVIDE A
   FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TO THE WEST OF
   THE DRYLINE. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN STRONG DURING THE EVENING
   SUPPORTING POOR RH RECOVERY INITIALLY. AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS
   SLOWLY ENE OVERNIGHT AND A COLD FRONT DROPS SE...WINDS WILL BECOME
   MORE WNW.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/31/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1140 AM CST FRI MAR 31 2006

...HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...

A COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND BEFORE
NOON EXTENDS FROM ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
JUST NORTH OF THIS FRONT... NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE
OCCURRING AND HUMIDITY IS FALLING TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE TO CREATE HIGH FIRE DANGER... WITH
SMALL AREAS JUST NORTH OF THE FRONT REACHING VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON.

REMEMBER THAT BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE AREA AND
CAUTION SHOULD BE USED IN ANYTHING THAT COULD START OR SPREAD
WILDFIRES.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CST SAT APR 01 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
   REGION...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE SRN
   PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD. AN ASSOCIATED DRYLINE WILL SHIFT EWD FROM
   ERN NM AT THE START OF TODAY INTO WRN OK BY SUNDAY MORNING. TO THE
   WEST OF THE DRYLINE...MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS WILL LEAD
   TO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...WLY
   WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC/WRN NEW ENGLAND REGION
   BEHIND ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF MIN RH
   READINGS ABOVE 30 PERCENT AND PRECIP THIS MORNING WILL PRECLUDE ANY
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THESE REGIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF WRN TX...ERN NM...SERN
   CO AND THE WRN OK PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
   MPH...MIN RH READINGS 10-15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   AHEAD OF A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SWRN
   STATES...A SFC DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD TO A POSITION FROM SWRN KS TO
   THE CENTRAL OK/TX PANHANDLES SWD INTO SWRN TX BY MID-AFTERNOON. TO
   THE WEST OF THE DRYLINE...DRY AIR WITH DWPTS IN THE 20S/30S ALONG
   WITH WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S/80S...AIDED BY DOWNSLOPE
   FLOW...WILL GENERATE MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT. WEAK MID
   LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL AID IN STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
   THIS COUPLED WITH MODERATE WIND FIELDS AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES WILL GENERATE SUSTAINED SFC WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH...WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 40 MPH IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SWRN TX/SERN NM. WINDS WILL
   DIMINISH GRADUALLY IN LOWER ELEVATIONS OVERNIGHT...BUT SHOULD REMAIN
   ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS IN HIGHER TERRAIN LEADING TO POOR RH RECOVERY.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 AM CST SAT APR 01 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE MS
   VALLEY BY THE END OF DAY TWO. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM....A SFC
   DRYLINE WILL MOVE EWD INTO ERN KS/ERN OK BY THE AFTERNOON. TO THE
   WEST OF THE DRYLINE...MODERATE WLY SFC WINDS COUPLED WITH LOW RH
   READINGS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL/NEAR CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS OVER THE SRN PLAINS. FURTHER EAST...WLY WINDS WILL USHER
   IN DRY AIR TO NEW ENGLAND. DESPITE LOW RH READINGS FROM 25-35
   PERCENT IN THIS AREA...RAINFALL ON DAY ONE AND MARGINAL WINDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF WRN TX....FAR WRN
   OK...ERN NM AND SERN CO/SWRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: W-NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
   MPH....MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   A DRYLINE IS FCST TO MOVE WELL EAST INTO OK/KS DURING THE DAY IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE STRONG UPPER SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE
   SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. BEHIND THE DRYLINE...MODERATE WIND FIELDS AND
   STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER BREEZY DAY OVER PORTIONS OF
   THE SRN PLAINS. AS AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO IA...A
   COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SEWD THROUGH ERN CO/WRN KS DURING THE
   AFTERNOON. STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE DEEPEST LAYER WILL OCCUR IN
   THIS REGION SUPPORTING NWLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH. FURTHER
   SOUTH WIND FIELDS ARE LIKELY TO BE STRONGEST PRIOR TO 21Z...AS THE
   SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LOW LEVEL WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING
   THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...GIVEN A MILD/BREEZY START TO THE
   DAY...CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY BY 16Z OVER MUCH OF THE WRN
   TX/ERN NM AND FAR WRN OK.
   
   ...REST OF WRN AND CENTRAL OK...
   THE AREA WILL LIKELY SEE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HVY RAINFALL LATE ON DAY
   ONE. THUS DESPITE CRITICALLY LOW RH READINGS AND MODERATE WINDS IN
   THE WAKE OF A DRYLINE ON DAY TWO...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL NOT EXIST.
   
   ..SRN NEW ENGLAND...
   NWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15-20 MPH IN THE WAKE OF AN SFC-UPPER SYSTEM
   MOVING INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 55-65 DEG RANGE...DWPTS IN THE 20S WILL PRODUCE MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. LIGHT-MODERATE RAINFALL EXPECTED ON DAY
   ONE AND MARGINAL WINDS SHOULD PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[yzerfan]

Lots of little fires in NW Florida the past week- a couple hundred acres here and there on state forest lands or Eglin AFB reservation land. So far, they haven't come close to too many houses, but smoke caused the closure of I-10 for several hours a couple days back.

There's just so much fuel on the ground right now because of Ivan and Dennis that you just knew the fires were going to happen at the next drought spell.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
316 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006

...ENHANCED FIRE DANGERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

AS A DRY LINE PASSES ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...GUSTY WEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED. THESE WINDS WILL ALLOW MUCH DRIER AIR TO FILTER INTO
THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES... AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT FOR
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
855 AM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

...HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

AS A DRY LINE PASSES FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...GUSTY
WEST WINDS WILL USHER IN MUCH DRIER AIR. THESE WINDS AND DRY
AIR...WHEN COMBINED WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL LEAD TO A
HIGH FIRE DANGER. ALTHOUGH MANY AREAS SAW RAINFALL LAST NIGHT...IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW HOURS OF SUNSHINE AND WIND TO DRY OUT THE
REMAINING DORMANT VEGETATION. THE DRIEST AIR AND STRONGEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OKLAHOMA.