Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - April 3

[brunota2003]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
NCC049-040045-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SV.W.0025.060404T0012Z-060404T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
812 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT
HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CRAVEN COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT

* AT 806 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HAVELOCK...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HAVELOCK AROUND 820 PM EDT...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE UNTIL IT PASSES.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PUT YOUR
CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-800-889-6889...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3485 7675 3484 7695 3494 7698 3496 7690
3494 7689 3493 7679 3491 7676 3495 7671
3495 7669 3494 7667 3491 7667 3489 7663

I had my "fun" watching hail a little larger than pea sized fall for about 3 mins, did report it to the NWS via e-mail I am in the clear and safe for the time being...

[Stephanie]

I'm gald you'r safe!

[Skywatch_NC]

Looks now like Wake Co (Raleigh) is in the clear...wouldn't be surprised to see the SPC trim back the tornado watch soon at least for us here in central NC before too much longer.

Eric

[brunota2003]

Well, its over...nothing but rain maybe a weak t-storm for me...yay and boo at the same time...I was expecting more than what we got...but am happy no true outbreak happened...my county, since 1:40 PM, has gone under a severe t-storm warning 3 times, once with 1.75" hail, second with 1" hail, and third with .88" hail to the east of me...my friend and I got hail a little larger than pea, like small marble...and MAYBE 25-30 MPH winds at best...

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC/SERN U.S...

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS
IT SPREADS ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION THIS EVENING. 00Z
SOUNDING FROM WAL WAS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE WITH ONLY 300 J/KG
MUCAPE...ALTHOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR WAS MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR
SUSTAINING ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. PROXIMITY TO COOLER MARINE LAYER
NEAR THE COAST DOES NOT FAVOR STRENGTHENING OF SQUALL LINE...THUS A
GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

FARTHER SOUTH...VEERED FLOW ACROSS GA INTO THE CAROLINAS HAS AIDED
STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT THAT ENHANCED TEMP/DEW POINT
DEPRESSIONS AHEAD OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WITH LOSS OF HEATING
INSTABILITY HAS DECREASED AND THIS SHOULD FACILITATE CONTINUED
WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY ONGOING ACTIVITY UNTIL THIS TRANSITION OCCURS.

..DARROW.. 04/04/2006

[Skywatch_NC]

Not too bad for a first severe system of the 2006 Spring season here in Raleigh either. 2 severe t-storm warnings...one late this morning and another this evening. Morning one produced some pea to nickel sized hail through Wake Co NC (including Raleigh which got some penny sized hail). Also this morning my gauge picked up a half inch of rain. Just some wind (non-damaging) as the evening area came through.

Next chance of showers/t-storms for here in NC...Friday night and Saturday!

Eric

[george_r_1961]

I think its over for me. We had winds to maybe 45 mph and moderate rain as well as a few vivid lightning strikes. Judging from the bow echoes to my north and west I have no doubt there is some wind damage there. Thankfully there were no reported tornadoes associated with this event.

[brunota2003]

well...time to change the title...as new severe wx is popping up for tonight/tomorrow...

[brunota2003]

for tomorrow for NC/VA and rest of Southeast:

SPC AC 071711

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CDT FRI APR 07 2006

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SERN GULF
COAST STATES AND CAROLINAS...

...NERN GULF COAST STATES...
A LARGE MCS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH AND DESTABILIZATION AROUND MID-DAY SHOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS SRN/ERN AL...CNTRL/SRN
GA AND NRN FL. STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
AND SFC LOW MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOW MOIST
PROFILES WITH STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY. IN
ADDITION...AS THE TROUGH DIGS SEWD...TEMPS ALOFT WILL COOL AS THE
CORE OF THE UPPER-TROUGH PASSES. THIS WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES FROM
NW TO SE ACROSS THE REGION WHICH COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY AND
STRONG SHEAR SUGGESTS DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE HAIL. IF STORMS ORGANIZE INTO A LINEAR ORIENTATION DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS SOME OF THE MODELS SUGGEST...THEN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE
WOULD ALSO BE LIKELY DUE TO ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND STEEP LAPSE RATES
AT LOW-LEVELS. IF THE CELLS TEND TO REMAIN DISCRETE THROUGH EARLY
EVENING AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS SRN AND
CNTRL GA TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
TRANSITION EWD INTO NRN FL AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE
REGION WITH THE THREAT SLOWLY DECREASING DURING THE EVENING HOURS
DUE TO WEAKENING INSTABILITY.

...CAROLINAS...
A POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL LOW/TROUGH OVER THE OZARKS TONIGHT
WILL OPEN AND DIG SEWD INTO THE GULF COAST STATES. WIDESPREAD
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL SPREAD EWD INTO THE SRN
APPALACHIAN MTNS AND CNTRL CAROLINAS DURING THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ALONG A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING SWWD FROM A SFC LOW IN VA ACROSS THE WRN
CAROLINAS. WARMING SFC TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S F MAY RESULT
IN POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS BY
AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
(0-6 KM SHEAR 55-65 KT) WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS. IF
MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN ERN NC/ERN SC AS
SUGGESTED BY NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS...SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS ESPECIALLY WITH
SHORT-LINES AND BOW ECHOES THAT DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WHEN LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE STEEPEST. AS THE
UPPER-TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...THE ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EWD
INTO THE ATLANTIC DURING THE EVENING HOURS ALLOWING THE SEVERE
THREAT TO DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 04/07/2006