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TexasStooge
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#221 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 02, 2006 10:32 am
Code: Select all
GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
830 AM CST SUN APR 2 2006
...FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON...
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TODAY. TO ITS WEST...GUSTY
WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT.
AS A RESULT...THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED TODAY...EVEN IN AREAS
THAT RECENTLY RECEIVED RAINFALL. THE PRIMARY AREA OF INTEREST IS
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE...TO GRANBURY...TO
GAINESVILLE. ALTHOUGH SPRING VEGETATION IS GREEN...THERE IS STILL
ABUNDANT FUEL.
AVOID OUTSIDE BURNING ON WINDY DAYS. BURN BANS CONTINUE IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...COMANCHE...EASTLAND...JACK...
PALO PINTO...PARKER...STEPHENS...AND YOUNG.
REPORT WILDFIRES OR SMOKE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR
FIRE DEPARTMENT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING THE EVENING AS WINDS DECREASE AND THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY INCREASES.
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
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#222 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 02, 2006 10:33 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT SUN APR 02 2006
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL ADVANCE EWD FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE MS
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH...A
DRYLINE WILL MOVE INTO ERN KS/OK DURING THE AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST
OF THE DRYLINE...WARM/DRY AIR AND MODERATE WINDS WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL/NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF WRN
TX/ERN NM...OK AND SRN KS.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
OVER NEW ENGLAND IN THE WAKE OF AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES. UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER THE SWRN STATES
LEADING TO A WARMING TREND...BUT LIGHT WINDS WILL BE PREVALENT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM...WRN TX...SWRN
KS...WRN/CENTRAL AND ERN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: WLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH THROUGH
MID-AFTERNOON...MIN RH READINGS 15-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE EWD THROUGH ERN OK/KS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH NEB INTO NRN KS.
SOUTH OF THE COLD FRONT AND TO THE WEST OF THE DRYLINE...LOW RH
READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT WILL OCCUR AS DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MOVES
INTO THE REGION AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW AIDS IN TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEG
ABOVE NORMAL. MUCH OF SCENTRAL/SERN KS AND PORTIONS OF SWRN THROUGH
NERN OK RECEIVED ANYWHERE FROM 0.50 TO MORE THAN 1 INCH OF RAINFALL
LAST NIGHT. WITH THE PRESENCE OF HIGH DWPTS OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING INITIALLY LIMITING EVAPORATION AND LACK OF STRONG WINDS
TODAY...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THESE AREAS WILL NOT SEE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF AREAS THAT RECEIVED WETTING
RAINS...SUSTAINED WLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH COMBINED WITH LOW RH
READINGS WILL AID IN A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT. WITH THE WEAKENING LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELDS THROUGH THE DAY AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES AWAY
FROM THE REGION...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR BEFORE 21Z WITH A
WEAKENING TREND THEREAFTER.
...SRN NEW ENGLAND...
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER SYSTEM INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...NWLY WINDS WILL BRING IN DRIER AIR /DWPTS IN THE 20S/
FROM SRN QUEBEC. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
WITH READINGS IN THE 60S. THIS COMBINATION WILL LEAD TO MIN RH
READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. SFC WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THIS
MORNING WITH WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN OVER THE AREA
YESTERDAY ALONG WITH MARGINAL WINDS DURING PEAK HEATING /15-20 MPH/
ARE ANTICIPATED TO PRECLUDE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
..CROSBIE.. 04/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 AM CDT SUN APR 02 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST TOMORROW.
DOWNSTREAM OF THIS SYSTEM...UPPER RIDGING WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD
ACROSS THE ROCKIES. UNDER THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE...ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE SWRN/ROCKIES STATES.
SWLY SFC WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE UPPER TROUGH...BUT RH READINGS WILL NOT BE
SUFFICIENTLY LOW FOR ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN THIS REGION.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SWRN STATES...WINDS WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN 15
MPH PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. FURTHER EAST...A STRONG
UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD TOWARDS THE ERN SEABOARD. BEHIND
AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...MODERATE NE-NWLY WINDS AND MILD
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE LOWER
MS VALLEY/SERN STATES.
...SWRN TX...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD THROUGH MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS EARLY IN
THE DAY AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE ERN SEABOARD. IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...ENELY WINDS FROM 10-20 MPH WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE MORNING HRS. DEWPTS IN THE 20S AND MILD TEMPERATURES IN
THE 70S/80S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT. LACK OF
STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...LOWER MS VALLEY...
MODERATE NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA AS
STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOP
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. MIN RH READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MARGINALLY LOW /30-40 PERCENT/. COMBINED WITH RECENT
RAINFALL...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..CROSBIE.. 04/02/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
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#223 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:53 am
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DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 AM CDT MON APR 03 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND
APPALACHIANS TODAY WITH SEVERE WEATHER ALONG AND AHEAD OF SURFACE
COLD FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS WRN NY/PA INTO VA AND THE CAROLINAS.
BEHIND THIS FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND WILL ALLOW DRIER AIR TO INFILTRATE INTO MUCH OF
THE MS VALLEY AND SRN STATES.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER STRONG TROUGH WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TO THE PACIFIC COASTAL STATES WITH TROUGH AXIS JUST
STILL OFFSHORE AT THE END OF THE PERIOD TUE MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS
TROUGH...SWLY FLOW WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE DESERT SW BUT
SPEEDS WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG TODAY...ALTHOUGH RH WILL REMAIN LOW.
...SRN MS/AL/GA AND NRN FL...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE W AND NW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD INTO
THE AREA. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE LIKELY...WHILE
TEMPERATURES WARM AND RH DROPS TO 35-40 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH RH LEVELS
WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW...VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION HAS FALLEN OVER
THE PAST MONTH ALONG THE GULF COAST AND OVER FL. THUS...WITH WARM
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED WIND SPEEDS...A MARGINAL FIRE
THREAT WILL EXIST.
...CENTRAL AND WRN TX...
MARGINALLY DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TODAY BEHIND A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY TODAY. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
NE AT AROUND 15-20 MPH WITH MIN RH DROPPING TO NEAR 25 PERCENT.
ALTHOUGH DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST...SOME RECENT RAINFALL AS WELL
AS ONLY MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE THREAT
TODAY.
..JEWELL.. 04/03/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0436 AM CDT MON APR 03 2006
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH TROUGHS
ALONG THE W AND E COASTS. STRONG SWLY WINDS WILL MATERIALIZE ACROSS
THE DESERT SW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WHICH WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER.
FARTHER E...SLY FLOW WILL BE STRONG THROUGH THE PLAINS IN BETWEEN
NRN HIGH PLAINS LEE TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO CAUSE LOW RH VALUES
OVER THE SERN STATES...INCREASING THREAT OF FIRES THERE AS WELL.
...ERN AZ INTO NM...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES...WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH OUT OF THE SW...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN REGARD TO THE HUMIDITY FORECAST
FOR DAY 2 GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR CLOUD COVER...BUT VALUES OF 15-20
PERCENT APPEAR LIKELY. THUS...A CRITICAL AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT
THIS TIME...BUT COULD BE IN NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IF HUMIDITY IS LOWER
THAN EXPECTED.
...SRN GA/AL AND NRN FL...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TUE...WHICH WILL ALLOW RH
LEVELS TO LOWER INTO THE 25-35 PERCENT RANGE. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS SUSTAINED NWLY WIND SPEEDS WILL BE NEAR 10 MPH. GIVEN
INCREASING KBDI VALUES AND RECENT DROUGHT...THIS AREA COULD BE
UPGRADED TO CRITICAL IN NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK ESPECIALLY IF WINDS ARE
STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
...ERN CO / WRN KS / WRN TX PANHANDLE...
IT WILL BECOME WINDY AT TIMES TUE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FORECAST WIND SPEEDS FROM GUIDANCE VARY...BUT
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ERN CO ALONG
WITH MIN RH NEAR 20 PERCENT. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE FARTHER E INTO KS
AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...BUT RH LEVELS WILL BE HIGHER AND ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS. STILL...STRONG WINDS NEAR 25 MPH FROM WRN KS INTO
WRN OK AND NWRN TX WILL INCREASE FIRE THREAT COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
DAY.
...VA / NC...
STRONG WLY WINDS BEHIND DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING IN DRIER
AIR TUE. MIN RH LEVELS NEAR 20 PERCENT APPEAR LIKELY...ALONG WITH
SUSTAINED WLY SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS KIND OF
WIND AND RH COMBINATION USUALLY WOULD WARRANT A CRITICAL AREA GIVEN
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...BUT ACTUAL FIRE THREAT WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON
HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS ON MONDAY...WHICH COULD BE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS.
..JEWELL.. 04/03/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
- Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
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#224 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Apr 04, 2006 7:05 am
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DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 AM CDT TUE APR 04 2006
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
UNITED STATES THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...BRINGING
SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT SURFACE WINDS TO A LARGE PART
OF THE REGION. THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE NEW ENGLAND AREA WILL PRODUCE
SOME RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF TUESDAY...WHILE A UPPER LEVEL STORM DEVELOPING NEAR
THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS...PRODUCING
RAIN AND SNOW IN THAT AREA. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THIS STORM WILL
HAVE MOVED INTO THE WESTERN STATES...AND A LEE CYCLONE WILL BE
DEVELOPING IN THE GREAT PLAINS.
...FOUR CORNERS REGION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
TWENTIES ACROSS MOST OF ARIZONA...NEW MEXICO...AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MOST OF THIS AREA REMAINS IN A PROLONGED
DROUGHT...AND WITH RELATIVELY WARM AFTERNOON SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AND DRY FUELS...A FIRE WEATHER THREAT DOES EXIST. HOWEVER...OVERALL
SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...THOUGH SOME ISOLATED AREAS COULD SEE SPEEDS APPROACHING
TWENTY TO TWENTY-FIVE KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS...THE LACK OF SUSTAINED
STRONG WIND SPEEDS WILL LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER RISK IN THIS AREA.
...NRN FL...MOST OF AL AND GA...EAST NC/SC...
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION WILL
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 70 DEGREES F...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BRIEFLY FALL INTO THE LOW TO UPPER TWENTIES. THIS AREA WILL
HAVE VERY LIGHT SURFACE WIND SPEEDS...MOST AREAS WILL SEE SPEEDS
FROM FIVE TO TEN KTS. THE LACK OF STRONG WIND SPEED VALUES
MAINTAINS THAT THE FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE
REGION.
..LEVIT.. 04/04/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 AM CDT TUE APR 04 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN AZ...ALL OF
NM...SOUTHEASTERN CO...WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST KS...OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT DOMINATED THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF THE UNITED STATES WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE EAST...WHILE
A NEW STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE WESTERN COAST
INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW
TO THE AREA...AS A STRONG LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS. THE SURFACE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CYCLONE WILL BE QUITE
STRONG...AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A FIRE WEATHER RISK FOR A PORTION OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EASTERN AZ...ALL OF
NM...SOUTHEASTERN CO...WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...SOUTHWEST KS...OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...CONTINUED DROUGHT
A VIGOROUS SPRINGTIME UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...BRINGING VERY STRONG SURFACE
WIND SPEEDS. A LARGE PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA COULD SEE SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS AROUND THIRTY TO THIRTY-FIVE KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
NEAR FORTY TO FIFTY KTS. THIS REGION REMAINS IN A SUSTAINED DROUGHT
WITH DRY SURFACE FUELS...AND COUPLED WITH WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK EXISTS. ANY FIRES THAT
DO DEVELOP IN THE REGION WILL BE ESPECIALLY ENHANCED BY THE VERY
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS.
...MOST OF AL/GA...NORTHWEST SC...WESTERN NC...NORTHERN FL...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THIS AREA DURING THE
FORECAST PERIOD...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL AGAIN DIP INTO
THE TWENTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN LIGHT...FROM FIVE TO TEN KTS...SO THE FIRE WEATHER RISK
WILL BE FAIRLY MINIMAL...BUT THE FUELS IN THE REGION CONTINUE TO BE
RELATIVELY DRY DUE TO A CONTINUED DROUGHT...SO SOME RISK DOES EXIST.
..LEVIT.. 04/04/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
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#225 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Apr 06, 2006 7:40 am
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DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 AM CDT THU APR 06 2006
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL OK
AND PORTIONS OF WRN TX/ERN NM...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE SRN PLAINS
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF SRN KS...ERN OK...SERN CO AND SWRN TX/SERN
NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS TODAY. AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS OF NEB. STRONG MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS
COMBINED WITH AN INCREASINGLY STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LOW RH
READINGS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER A LARGE
PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS REGION. WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE
OVER 35 MPH...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
OVER PORTIONS OF OK...ERN NM AND WRN TX. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
NATION...UPPER RIDGING WILL PROVIDE FOR TRANQUIL WEATHER OVER THE
SERN STATES/MID ATLANTIC AND SWRN STATES/GREAT BASIN. DESPITE LOW RH
READINGS IN THE SERN STATES...LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL OK
AND PORTIONS OF WRN TX/ERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 60 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 8-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
BEHIND AN ADVANCING DRYLINE...WHICH WILL BE LOCATED FROM ERN OK INTO
CENTRAL TX BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS WILL OCCUR IN THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...ALONG AND JUST
NORTH OF THE MID LEVEL JET AXIS. STRONG COLD ADVECTION IN THE MID
LEVELS IN THIS REGION WILL SUPPORT NEAR DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES
FROM THE SFC UP TO 500 MB /15000 FT/...AIDING IN MOMENTUM TRANSFER
OF THE STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. THIS COMBINED WITH A
STRENGTHENING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE SRN PLAINS IN RESPONSE
TO A DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER NEB...WILL LEAD TO VERY STRONG SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...RH VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 8-15 PERCENT OVER ERN NM/WRN
TX AND BETWEEN 10-20 PERCENT OVER CENTRAL AND WRN OK...AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 70S/80S AND DEWPTS FALL INTO THE
TEENS/20S. THIS COMBINATION OF LOW RH READINGS WITH THE STRONG WINDS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION IN THE
EXTREMELY CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA. COUPLED WITH A CONTINUED DROUGHT IN
THE REGION AND VERY DRY SURFACE FUELS...ANY FIRES THAT MIGHT DEVELOP
WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER AREA INCLUDING THE REMAINDER OF ERN NM/WRN
TX...WRN/CENTRAL OK AND PORTIONS OF NCENTRAL TX...ERN OK...SRN
KS/SERN CO...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH...WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 8-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA IS A CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER AREA...WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL STILL BE RELATIVELY
STRONG /SUSTAINED 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH/...BUT NOT QUITE
AS INTENSE AS THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...DUE TO FARTHER PROXIMITY
FROM THE MID LEVEL JET. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE OUTLOOK AREA /ERN OK SWD INTO NCENTRAL TX/ WILL BE SOMEWHAT
HIGHER THAN FARTHER WEST...AND WILL NOT FALL TO CRITICAL LEVELS
UNTIL MID-LATE AFTERNOON WITH PASSAGE OF THE DRYLINE. HOWEVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL SEE MIN RH READINGS FROM 8-20 PERCENT
/LOWEST OVER SWRN TX AND SERN NM/ THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS/LOW RH READINGS...ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AXIS OVER THE NRN TX PANHANDLE/OK PANHANDLE AND FAR NRN
OK/SRN KS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
...SERN STATES...
LOW RH READINGS /20-30 PERCENT/ WILL ACCOMPANY AN AREA OF SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE AREA THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY.
RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS IN THE 5-10 MPH WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT.
..CROSBIE.. 04/06/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 AM CDT THU APR 06 2006
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS WILL MOVE
EWD WHILE PHASING WITH A NRN STREAM SYSTEM MOVING SEWD FROM CANADA.
THIS PHASING OF THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION BY THE END OF DAY
TWO. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR BEHIND AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT OVER MUCH OF THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES REGIONS.
ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS BEHIND A DRYLINE AND AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF SERN NM...SRN/ERN
OK...MUCH OF NRN/WRN AND CENTRAL TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WNWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT
AN AREA OF SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SEWD FROM KS TO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY TOMORROW. ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW...A DRYLINE WILL MOVE EWD
INTO WRN AR AND ERN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST OF THE
DRYLINE...LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT /HIGHEST FARTHER EAST/
WILL DEVELOP. MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH
OK/TX PANHANDLE DURING THE MORNING LEADING TO A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW
AND INCREASE IN WINDS SPEEDS TO OVER 35 MPH AND HIGHER RH READINGS.
FARTHER SOUTH...WLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WILL PREVAIL MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT. COMBINED WITH THE LOW RH
READINGS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE MID LEVEL JET AXIS FROM SWRN
TX INTO CENTRAL TX WHERE WINDS WILL LIKELY GUST OVER TO 40 MPH.
...REST OF OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE/ERN NM...
LOW RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT WILL BE LIKELY FOR A FEW HR
PERIOD DURING THE MID-LATE MORNING OVER MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL OK AHEAD
OF A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT. GIVEN EXPECTED COOLER TEMPERATURES IN
THE 50S/60S WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...MIN RH READINGS ARE EXPECTED
TO RISE TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE HIGHER RH
READINGS...SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 20-35 MPH WILL LEAD TO VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER /ALBEIT NOT CRITICAL CONDITIONS/ AND HAMPER
POTENTIAL FIRE CONTAINMENT EFFORTS.
...WRN AR AND SWRN MO...
SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH AND LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF A DRYLINE. EXPECTED WETTING RAINS ON DAY ONE
WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON DAY TWO.
..CROSBIE.. 04/06/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#226 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Apr 07, 2006 8:42 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 AM CDT FRI APR 07 2006
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SRN
PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE SEWD TOWARDS
THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH TODAY. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH SWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
SYSTEM. AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WEST OF A DRYLINE...WARM...DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT
OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS. FURTHER EAST AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC/CAROLINAS.
THIS INCREASE IN WINDS WILL SUPPORT HIGH FIRE DANGER...BUT MODERATE
RH READINGS DUE TO HIGHER DEWPTS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN/NRN AND CENTRAL
TX...PORTIONS OF ERN NM...SRN/ERN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WNWLY WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 8-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS
MORNING...STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE WINDS ALOFT
WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER WINDY AND DRY DAY TO MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS.
THE NWD EXTENT OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS DELINEATED
ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-40 CORRIDOR WHICH IS WHERE THE COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 18Z. SOUTH OF THIS LINE...AT LEAST 3-4 HRS OF
VERY LOW RH /10-20 PERCENT/ WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE
DEEPLY MIXED AIRMASS. THE LOW RH READINGS/MODERATE WINDS WILL SPREAD
WELL SOUTH INTO SCENTRAL TX DURING THE AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WINDS WILL AVERAGE 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT IN SRN OK/NRN TX LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A NWLY DIRECTION. ANY ONGOING FIRES
WILL ACCORDINGLY SHIFT TO A SELY DIRECTION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT. HOWEVER...INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/COOLER TEMPERATURES
WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS RISING ABOVE 35 PERCENT WITHIN AN HOUR
OR TWO OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
...MID ATLANTIC/CAROLINAS AND ERN GA...
SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WITH
SPEEDS AVERAGING 15-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH SURFACE DEWPTS
EARLY THIS MORNING WERE RELATIVELY LOW /30S-40S/...SLY WINDS WILL
AID IN HIGHER MOISTURE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. IT IS ANTICIPATED
THAT DESPITE LOW SOIL MOISTURE...ADVECTIVE PROCESSES WILL SUPPORT
INCREASE IN DEWPTS TO THE 50S OVER MOST OF THE AREA TODAY. WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S-MID 80S...MIN RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE
FROM 30-40 PERCENT...OR JUST BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.
...SWRN MO/WRN AR/SERN OK...
THE DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD INTO WRN AR AND SWRN MO THIS MORNING.
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY. MILD
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL LEAD TO LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30
PERCENT. YESTERDAYS WETTING RAINFALL WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT.
...NRN OK/TX PANHANDLE...
LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS MORNING
BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE MID-LATE
MORNING HRS. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 50S
AND RH READINGS WILL RISE ABOVE 40 PERCENT. STRONG NWLY WINDS FROM
20-30 MPH WILL LEAD TO HIGH FIRE DANGER NONETHELESS.
..CROSBIE.. 04/07/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 AM CDT FRI APR 07 2006
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ERN STATES TOMORROW. IN IT/S
WAKE...SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE ERN HALF OF THE
NATION. AS A RESULT...COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR
ALONG WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
FURTHER WEST...UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER ROCKIES AHEAD OF
ANOTHER WRN TROUGH. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS OVER THE SWRN STATES WILL
PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THIS REGION.
..CROSBIE.. 04/07/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#227 Postby TexasStooge » Sat Apr 08, 2006 10:20 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0432 AM CDT SAT APR 08 2006
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL TRANSITION OVER THE EASTERN CONUS TODAY...WITH LOW
PRESSURE/COLD FRONT AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE MIDDLE OF THE
COUNTRY IN PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGING...DOWNSTREAM OF UPPER TROUGH
OFF THE PACIFIC WEST COAST.
...SOUTH TX...
IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT...BREEZY N/NW WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS FAR
SOUTH TX. WIND SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE COMMON THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S.
..GUYER.. 04/08/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 AM CDT SAT APR 08 2006
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD EARLY
SUNDAY...WITH SUBTLE UPPER RIDGING PREVALENT OVER THE MAJORITY OF
THE CONUS DOWNSTREAM OF WEST COAST TROUGH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY...WITH LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING LATE IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN
ROCKIES.
...SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
AS LEADING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE ADVANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
STATES...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-30 MPH /WITH SOME
HIGHER GUSTS/ ARE EXPECTED. MILD 70S AND 80S WILL BE COMMON IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS...ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL TEND TO BE
MARGINAL.
..GUYER.. 04/08/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#228 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 09, 2006 10:13 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0403 AM CDT SUN APR 09 2006
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENCOMPASS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE CONUS TODAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS PREDOMINANT. IN THE
WEST...BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARD THE PACIFIC
COAST...WITH LEADING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE CROSSING THE SOUTHWEST
STATES.
...SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
AREA...
AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSES EASTWARD...GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN OF NV AND THE
LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY INTO MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 15-25 MPH /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY
FROM SOUTHERN NV INTO SOUTHERN UT/NORTHERN AZ AND WESTERN NM. IN
SPITE OF THE GUSTY WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY...AFTERNOON
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL TEND TO BE MARGINAL.
..GUYER.. 04/09/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0506 AM CDT SUN APR 09 2006
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM/FAR WEST TX/OK
PANHANDLE/SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY...WHILE SHORTWAVE TROUGH ADVANCES EASTWARD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES DOWNSTREAM OF SECONDARY TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. LEE
CYCLOGENESIS WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...WITH LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE SHARPENING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF NM/FAR WEST TX/OK
PANHANDLE/SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SW WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES
IN WAKE OF DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND
LOW RH VALUES WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER MONDAY ACROSS
MUCH OF NM INTO WEST TX/OK PANHANDLE/SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS. WITH
A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25-30 MPH /WITH
GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH/ ARE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM THE
EASTERN NM PLAINS INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...NORTHWEST OK...AND
WESTERN/CENTRAL KS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER
80S WILL BE COMMON...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 8-15 PERCENT.
..GUYER.. 04/09/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#229 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 09, 2006 10:13 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
306 AM CDT SUN APR 9 2006
...HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...
THE FORECAST OF INCREASED SOUTH WINDS...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LEAD TO
A HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND TEMPERATURES HIGHER ACROSS
THE WESTERN ONE-QUARTER OF OKLAHOMA DOWN INTO A SMALL PORTION OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY...AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION
OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
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TexasStooge
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#230 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Apr 10, 2006 10:54 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 AM CDT MON APR 10 2006
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AS AN UPPER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE SWRN STATES TODAY...INCREASING
WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS. LOW RH
READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
OF WRN TX...CENTRAL/ERN NM NWD INTO ERN CO/WRN KS. THE COMBINATION
OF LOW RH READINGS AND WINDS WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THREAT IN THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE PLAINS THE LACK OF LOW
RH READINGS DUE TO COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER DEWPTS WILL PRECLUDE A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. FURTHER EAST...A BROAD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER THE ERN SEABOARD. AS A RESULT...LOW RH
READINGS WILL BE PREVALENT OVER MUCH OF THIS REGION. THE EXCEPTION
WILL BE OVER FLA...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-15
MPH...AND ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL LEAD TO MIN RH
READINGS FROM 35-45 PERCENT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN NM...ERN
CO/WRN KS...WRN TX...THE OK PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT.
AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE FROM SRN CA INTO THE SRN
ROCKIES...A LEE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THE LEE
TROUGH/DRYLINE IS ANTICIPATED TO EXTEND FROM A SURFACE LOW OVER WRN
NEB SWD INTO THE ERN TX PANHANDLE/SWRN TX BY AFTERNOON. TO THE WEST
OF THIS DRYLINE ...LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS/20S COMBINED WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S/80S WILL AID IN MIN RH READINGS FROM
10-15 PERCENT. NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES FROM THE SFC UP TO
10 KFT AGL ALONG WITH MODERATE MID LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT WINDS AT
THE SURFACE FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING OVER MOST OF THE AREA...BUT REMAIN MODERATE
OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
STRONGEST.
...GA/CAROLINAS/VA...
LOW DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S IN ASSOCIATION WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC ALONG WITH MILD TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. NELY WINDS AVERAGING
5-10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
..CROSBIE.. 04/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CDT MON APR 10 2006
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE NEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE GREAT
LAKES ON DAY TWO. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WLY WINDS
WILL OCCUR BEHIND A DRYLINE OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. LOW RH
READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS SUPPORTING ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. BREEZY SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL U.S...BUT RH READINGS
WILL BE TOO HIGH TO PRODUCE ANY ADDITIONAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THREAT AREAS. FURTHER EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN
SEABOARD...PROVIDING FOR DRY AIR AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. AGAIN
THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE OVER FLA...WHERE SUSTAINED NELY WINDS
WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. HOWEVER DEWPTS WITH
THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE HIGHER THAN AREAS FURTHER NORTH...LIMITING
ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT AS WELL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM....WRN TX/WRN
OK/OK PANHANDLE...SERN CO/SWRN KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 35 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...AND BEHIND A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/SFC
DRYLINE...DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S WILL
PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT. PROXIMITY OF A MODERATE
LOW LEVEL JET...MID LEVEL COOLING AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT
MODERATE SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35
MPH. WITH THE NEWD MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER SYSTEM...THE DRYLINE SHOULD
MIX INTO WRN OK ALLOWING FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP INTO
THIS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES WITH APPROACH OF A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
AND AS UPPER SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION.
...SERN STATES...
A BROAD AREA OF MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT WILL EXIST ON DAY
TWO AS DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE AREA IN PROXIMITY TO A LARGE SFC
HIGH PRESSURE AREA. AS ON DAY ONE...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..CROSBIE.. 04/10/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#231 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Apr 10, 2006 10:55 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
441 AM CDT MON APR 10 2006
...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGERS TODAY...
A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL
RESULT IN STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION...ESPECIALLY WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS.
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS A
LARGE PART OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...WITH PEAK GUSTS
AROUND 40 MPH OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
PRODUCE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGERS IN AREAS THAT STILL HAVE
DORMANT VEGETATION.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY...AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION
OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
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TexasStooge
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#232 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:39 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1219 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2006
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE NEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE GREAT
LAKES TODAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WLY WINDS WILL
OCCUR BEHIND A DRYLINE OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. LOW RH READINGS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS SUPPORTING ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THIS REGION. BREEZY SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL U.S...BUT RH READINGS
WILL BE TOO HIGH TO PRODUCE ANY ADDITIONAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THREAT AREAS. FURTHER EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN
SEABOARD...PROVIDING FOR DRY AIR AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS FOR MUCH
OF THE NATION EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. AGAIN THE EXCEPTION TO THIS
WILL BE OVER FLA...WHERE SUSTAINED NELY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. HOWEVER DEWPTS WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE
HIGHER THAN AREAS FURTHER NORTH...LIMITING ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THREAT AS WELL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF ERN NM....WRN TX/WRN OK/OK
PANHANDLE...SERN CO/SWRN KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 35 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT...AND BEHIND A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/SFC
DRYLINE...DEWPTS GENERALLY IN THE 20S/30S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 70S TO 80S WILL PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20 PERCENT.
PROXIMITY OF A MODERATE LOW LEVEL JET...MID LEVEL COOLING AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE WILL SUPPORT
MODERATE SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35
MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG THE LOW LEVEL JET
AXIS FROM THE NRN TX PANHANDLE NEW INTO SWRN KS. WITH THE NEWD
MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER SYSTEM...THE DRYLINE SHOULD MIX INTO WRN OK
ALLOWING FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP INTO THIS AREA DURING
THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON. FURTHER EAST...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE EAST OF THE DRYLINE LIMITING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER CENTRAL/ERN OK AND SCENTRAL KS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES AND WITH APPROACH OF A
WEAK SURFACE FRONT.
...SERN STATES...
A BROAD AREA OF MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT WILL EXIST TODAY
AS DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE AREA IN PROXIMITY TO A LARGE SFC HIGH
PRESSURE AREA OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED CRITICAL THRESHOLDS /15 MPH/ FOR AN HR OR TWO DURING
THE AFTERNOON...BUT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER AREA.
...MID-ATLANTIC NWD INTO NRN NEW ENGLAND...
AS IN THE SE...THE AREA WILL RESIDE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD
SFC HIGH PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S/70S ALONG WITH DWPTS IN THE 30S WILL PRODUCE
MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35 PERCENT. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS /LESS THAN
10 MPH/ WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...CENTRAL/ERN OK AND SCENTRAL KS...
EAST OF THE DRYLINE /WHICH IS FCST TO MOVE TO THE POSITION OF U.S
HWY 183 BY THE LATE-AFTERNOON/ STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
EXIST. WITH DEWPTS IN THE 50S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S /LIKELY
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY DUE TO THE COPIOUS MID-HIGH CLOUD COVER
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE SWRN STATES/ MIN RH
READINGS WILL LIKELY NOT FALL BELOW 40 PERCENT. THIS WILL PRECLUDE A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER WINDS GUSTY OVER 35 MPH WILL
CREATE HIGH FIRE DANGER.
...REMAINDER OF ERN CO/WRN KS AND SWRN NEB...
BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT NWLY EARLY IN THE DAY.
BEING NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...AND RELATIVELY WEAK PRESSURE
RISES...SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS LESS THAN 20 MPH SHOULD OCCUR FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE DAY. MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S-MID 70S WILL
KEEP RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED MAINLY
DRY TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..CROSBIE.. 04/11/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 AM CDT TUE APR 11 2006
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE
GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE PERIOD...SSWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
ERN GREAT LAKES AND MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 60S TO 70S...INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD
OFFSET THE WARMING AND KEEP MIN RH READINGS ABOVE 30 PERCENT. IN
ADDITION...SCT PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE/LIKELY OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS. THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR OVER THIS REGION. IN THE
WAKE OF A DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH...UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE
ROCKIES/PLAINS STATES. WHERE THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE
STRONGEST /OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND THE GREAT LAKES/ MIN RH READINGS
WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED CRITICAL LEVELS FROM MN INTO NRN WI /25-35
PERCENT/. HOWEVER WETTING RAINS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL
LIMIT THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE HIGH PLAINS/SWRN STATES WHERE RH
READINGS WILL AGAIN BE LOW.
...NEW ENGLAND...
INCREASING SFC SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF AN
UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE
PERIOD AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INTENSIFIES. WHERE THE WINDS ARE
FCST TO BE STRONGEST...NRN/ERN NY AND VT...CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE
DURING THE AFTERNOON /WITH THE CHANCE OF RAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON/.
THIS SHOULD INCREASE RH READINGS DURING THIS PERIOD. THUS CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR FOR POSSIBLY A COUPLE HR PERIOD
AROUND MIDDAY...NOT SUFFICIENT FOR AN OUTLOOK AREA.
...SERN/MID ATLANTIC STATES...
ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SLOWLY BETWEEN TODAY AND
TOMORROW...RH READINGS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED TO BE LOW /30-35
PERCENT/. HOWEVER...UNLIKE FURTHER NORTH WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
GET ABOVE 15 MPH.
...SRN GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...
SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH OVER THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS/SRN ROCKIES TO BETWEEN 20-30 MPH OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN.
MIN RH READINGS WILL BE LOWEST WHERE THE WINDS ARE WEAKEST...WITH
MIN RH READINGS EXPECTED TO BETWEEN 15-25 PERCENT OVER THE SRN GREAT
BASIN/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. THUS NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.
..CROSBIE.. 04/11/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#233 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Apr 11, 2006 10:42 am
Code: Select all
GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
800 AM CST SUN APR 11 2006
...FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON...
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL
OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL ALSO FALL BELOW 45 PERCENT ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT WEST
OF INTERSTATE 35.
DESPITE THE RAINFALL THIS SPRING...RECENT DRY WEATHER THE LAST
COUPLE WEEKS HAS ALLOWED FUELS TO DRY OUT AND BECOME VULNERABLE ONCE
AGAIN FOR WILDFIRES.
AVOID OUTSIDE BURNING TODAY...USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN WELDING...AND
DO NOT TOSS LIT CIGARETTE BUTTS OUTSIDE. REPORT WILDFIRES TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE DURING THE EVENING AS WINDS DECREASE AND THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY INCREASES.
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TexasStooge
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#234 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Apr 12, 2006 10:43 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0459 AM CDT WED APR 12 2006
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NY/SRN VT/SWRN NH/MA/CT/NW
RI...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER STORM SYSTEM OVER UPPER MIDWEST EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE
INTO THE OH VALLEY REGION BY LATE AFTN/EVENING.
MEANWHILE...MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN CONUS...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE
CNTRL/SRN CONUS AND NEW ENGLAND. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY...IN ADVANCE OF
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NY/SRN VT/SWRN NH/MA/CT/NW
RI...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SLY WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES 20-30 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/DRY FUELS
STRONG SLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP FROM OH/PA EWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
AND NEW ENGLAND TODAY...WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM. VERY LOW RH VALUES /15-20 PERCENT/ WERE OBSERVED ON
TUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF PA AND WCNTRL NY...AND A VERY DRY AIRMASS
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND PER 00Z/12 SOUNDINGS WHICH
INDICATED DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 20S ACROSS ME/PA/NY. MINIMUM RH
VALUES THIS AFTN WILL LIKELY FALL IN THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE WITH
SLIGHTLY LOWER VALUES POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15-25 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS
TO 35+ POSSIBLE. OBSERVATIONS FROM 10HR FUELS SUGGEST MOISTURE IS
LESS THAN 10 PERCENT AMONG FINE FUELS...SO THE COMBINATION OF WINDY
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES.
...PORTIONS OF MN/WI...
TEMPS WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 70S...WITH STRONG WLY SFC
WINDS. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 20-30 PERCENT WITH SUSTAINED 15-25 MPH WINDS. RECENT FIRE
DANGER OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE HIGH/VERY HIGH RANGE. THE WARM AND
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
..TAYLOR.. 04/12/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT WED APR 12 2006
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
NRN STREAM WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE AS SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVE EWD
ACROSS THE NRN TIER. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
GULF COAST AND SRN PLAINS STATES ON THU. SFC TROUGH WILL FORM ACROSS
THE NRN PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO MODEST LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS. SFC
WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH THE
LOWER MS VALLEY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...WITH RECORD HIGH
TEMPS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF KS AND OK.
...SRN PLAINS...
STRENGTHENING SFC WINDS INVOF LEE TROUGH IN THE PLAINS WILL INCREASE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES. TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE 80S/90S COMBINED WITH S/SWLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT...AND THE
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE NOT IMPROVED. A CRITICAL AREA MAY BE
ISSUED IN THE NEXT OUTLOOK.
..TAYLOR.. 04/12/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#235 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Apr 13, 2006 6:43 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0411 AM CDT THU APR 13 2006
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE WY/WRN NEB/ERN CO/WRN KS/NE
NM/OK AND TX PANHANDLES...
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE RIDGE ALOFT WILL REMAIN CENTERED ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...WITH
SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVING EWD ACROSS THE NRN STATES. MID LEVEL SPEED
MAX OF 60-70 KT WILL EXTEND FROM SRN MN THROUGH WY BY LATE AFTN.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL /15-20 DEGREES/ ACROSS THE
PLAINS...WITH MORE RECORD HIGH TEMPS LIKELY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS WHERE HOT
AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP IN CONJUNCTION WITH LOW RH VALUES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE WY/WRN NEB/ERN CO/WRN KS/NE
NM/OK AND TX PANHANDLES...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TO RECORD HIGH
TEMPS/LONG TERM DROUGHT
TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL...WITH RECORD HIGHS
POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SFC DEWPOINTS
WILL BE IN THE TEENS ACROSS SE WY/ERN CO/WRN NEB WHICH WILL ALLOW
MINIMUM RH VALUES TO FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT. STEEP LAPSE RATES ON THE
ORDER OF 9 C/KM WILL ALLOW THE BOUNDARY LAYER TO BE MIXED TO NEARLY
500MB ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS. HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR WILL
BE MIXED TO LOWER LEVELS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS DEVELOPING BY AFTN.
LATEST 10 HR FUEL OBSERVATIONS ARE LESS THAN 5 PERCENT ACROSS THE
CRITICAL AREA. WIND CRITERIA MAY NOT BE MET ACROSS ALL OF THE
AREA...BUT THE COMBINATION OF VERY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL
INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES.
...SRN PLAINS...
ABOVE NORMAL TO RECORD HIGH TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH LOW
HUMIDITY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM BELOW 10 PERCENT WEST OF
THE DRYLINE TO 20-30 PERCENT ACROSS ERN OK/NCNTRL TX. THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT OF WILDFIRE GIVEN THE DRY FUELS AND
FAVORABLE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL TEND TO
DISCOURAGE STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS.
..TAYLOR.. 04/13/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 AM CDT THU APR 13 2006
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR AZ/NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW OFF WEST COAST IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INLAND ACROSS CA AND THE GREAT BASIN ON FRIDAY. WINDS ALOFT WILL
INCREASE TO 80-90 KT ACROSS SRN CA/AZ BY AFTN. ASSOCIATED SFC TROUGH
WILL DEEPEN OVER SRN GREAT BASIN IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE HEIGHT
FALLS...WHILE LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS. INCREASING
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INDUCE STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON
FRIDAY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - AZ/NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS OF 20-35 MPH/ LOW RH VALUES /
LONG TERM DROUGHT
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-35 MPH WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF A VERY
STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
15 PERCENT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND DESERTS WHERE
TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 80S/90S. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS ALOFT
AND TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN HIGHER SFC WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 40-50 MPH. RECENT FIRE DANGER OBSERVATIONS RANGE FROM HIGH
TO EXTREME.
...SRN PLAINS...
TEMPS IN THE 90S COMBINED WITH LOW RH VALUES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN
INCREASING FIRE WEATHER THREAT WHICH WILL BE EVEN MORE ENHANCED ON
SATURDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 20-25
PERCENT EVEN WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S/50S.
..TAYLOR.. 04/13/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#236 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Apr 13, 2006 6:43 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
441 AM CDT THU APR 13 2006
...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...
A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS... AND AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TODAY. THE WINDS AND
EXTREMELY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
ACROSS THE REGION.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOW TO MID 90S...
WHICH IS FAR ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGE OF APPROXIMATELY 70
DEGREES. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15
TO 20 MPH TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IN AREAS THAT STILL HAVE
ANY SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DORMANT OR DEAD VEGETATION.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY...AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION
OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
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TexasStooge
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#237 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Apr 14, 2006 6:49 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0511 AM CDT FRI APR 14 2006
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE CA/SRN AND CNTRL AZ/NM/TX
PANHANDLE...
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW WEST COAST UPPER LOW STILL
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE. CLOSED MID/UPPER CIRCULATION IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SRN CA BY AFTN WITH ASSOCIATED 100 KT JET. AT
LOWER LEVELS...LEE TROUGH WILL SET UP IN THE PLAINS WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY BY EVENING. VERY
STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS AZ/NM TODAY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE CA/SRN AND CNTRL AZ/NM/TX
PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/RH
VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LONG TERM DROUGHT
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST LOCATIONS WITH MORE RECORD
HIGHS POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE 60S/70S IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS TO 80S/90S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES
WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS SE AZ AND PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN
NM. LAPSE RATES WILL BE DRY ADIABATIC WHICH WILL FACILITATE STRONG
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING. SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE 20-30 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 45-55 MPH.
...SRN PLAINS...
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT DAYTIME WINDS WILL
STILL INCREASE INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. IN ADDITION...WITH TEMPS IN
THE UPPER 80S/90S...DEWPOINT DEPRESSION VALUES WILL BE 30-40
DEGREES. SMOKE PLUMES OBSERVED DAILY ON VISIBLE SATELLITE SUGGEST
FIRES ARE OCCURRING EVEN IN THE RELATIVELY MOIST AIR. THREAT FOR
WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL INCREASE TODAY AND EVEN MORE SO ON SATURDAY
AS WEST COAST TROUGH APPROACHES.
..TAYLOR.. 04/14/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0514 AM CDT FRI APR 14 2006
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN KS/SE CO/ERN NM/WRN
OK/NW AND W TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/ERN CO/SRN NEB/KS/WRN AND
CNTRL OK/WRN AND NCNTRL TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY AFTN. AT MID LEVELS...WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 70-80 KT WITH JET MAX EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS ERN NM
INTO THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK. SFC LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT
MOVES E/NEWD FROM CO INTO SCNTRL NEB BY 16/00Z. DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD
INTO CNTRL OK...AND THE MOST EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
OCCUR ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF THIS BOUNDARY.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SWRN KS/SE CO/ERN NM/WRN
OK/NW AND W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 25-40 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY...AS SUSTAINED VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 25-40 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 90S EXCEPT OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ERN NM/W TX. WEST OF THE DRYLINE...RH VALUES
WILL DROP INTO THE 5-15 PERCENT RANGE...WITH TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS
OF 50-60 DEGREES LIKELY. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE HIGH TO EXTREME VALUES...AND 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE IS LESS
THAN 5 PERCENT. WINDS WILL ALSO SHIFT FROM A MORE SLY DIRECTION TO
WLY INVOF OF THE DRYLINE.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NM/ERN CO/SRN NEB/KS/WRN AND
CNTRL OK/WRN AND NCNTRL TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-35 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH ERN CO/NM ON SATURDAY...SO TEMPS
WILL BE COOLER /IN THE 60S AND 70S/. DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS WILL STILL
ALLOW STRONG MIXING TO OCCUR AND WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-35 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH VALUES WILL BE VERY LOW ACROSS THE CO/NM/W TX
PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL AREA. HOWEVER...DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY BE IN
THE 50S/60S ACROSS NCNTRL TX/ERN OK...OR EAST OF THE DRYLINE. THREAT
FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL BE INCREASED GIVEN THE EXTREME LONG TERM
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
..TAYLOR.. 04/14/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#238 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Apr 14, 2006 6:50 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
435 AM CDT FRI APR 14 2006
...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING EAST ACROSS KANSAS TODAY WILL CAUSE
MODERATELY STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE WINDS AND EXTREMELY WARM TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE REGION.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOW TO MID 90S...
WHICH IS NEARLY 20 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. THE WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IN AREAS THAT STILL HAVE ANY
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DORMANT OR DEAD VEGETATION.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY...AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION
OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
FIRE DANGER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EXTREME CATEGORY ACROSS
WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY AS WINDS
INCREASE AND HUMIDITIES FALL BEHIND A DRYLINE THAT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.
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#239 Postby TexasStooge » Sat Apr 15, 2006 8:35 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0451 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR ERN NM/FAR SERN
CO/SWRN KS/WRN OK/NWRN TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SERN CO/WRN AND CNTRL
KS/CNTRL OK/N-CNTRL AND FAR WEST TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SW MN...
...SYNOPSIS...
VIGOROUS UPR LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL LIFT NEWD
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY SUNDAY MORNING. AN 80-90 MPH MID-LEVEL JET
MAX WILL SHIFT NE FROM ERN NM INTO S-CNTRL KS/WRN OK THIS AFTN. A
SFC LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AHEAD OF THIS SPEED MAX...FROM ERN CO
INTO CNTRL NEB BY THIS EVENING. THE DRYLINE WILL SURGE EWD INTO
CNTRL KS AND CNTRL OK...WITH THE MOST EXTREME FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THE WEST OF THIS BOUNDARY.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - FAR ERN NM/FAR SERN
CO/SWRN KS/WRN OK/NWRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM
DROUGHT
VERY STRONG W/SW WINDS AND VERY LOW RH WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND
PROFILERS OVER CNTRL/ERN NM ALREADY INDICATE 50 MPH WINDS AROUND
3000 FEET AGL. AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN LATER THIS
MORNING...THESE WINDS WILL MIX TOWARDS THE SURFACE AND CREATE
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. DEW
POINTS WILL DROP INTO THE 20S AS THE DRYLINE MIXES EWD INTO CNTRL KS
AND CNTRL OK BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH TEMPERATURES SOARING INTO
THE 80S AND 90S...RH VALUES WILL PLUMMET INTO THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT
RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LAST
THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING BEFORE WIND SPEEDS DIMINISH TO BELOW 20
MPH OVERNIGHT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NM/SERN CO/WRN AND CNTRL
KS/CNTRL OK/N-CNTRL AND FAR WEST TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH ERN CO BEHIND THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LIFTING INTO NEB THIS AFTN. TEMPERATURES IN ERN CO WILL BE COOLER
THAN FRIDAY /IN THE 60S AND 70S/. DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS WILL PROMOTE
STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG MIXING TO ALLOW WINDS TO
REACH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. RH VALUES WILL DIP
INTO THE TEENS. FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S AND 90S COMBINED WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE
DRYLINE...WILL PROMOTE RH VALUES OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT FROM FAR W TX TO
15 TO 20 PERCENT IN CNTRL OK.
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH FROM SW TO NE DURING THE EVENING
AS THE UPPER MIDWEST LOW LIFTS FURTHER NEWD. W/NW WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH
WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING ACROSS WRN/CNTRL KS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 3 - PORTIONS OF SW MN...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE WINDS / LOW RH / SHORT-TERM DRYNESS
A SMALL AREA OF MODERATE WINDS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING CO/NEB LOW
WILL COMBINE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH AND RECENT DRYNESS TO
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE NE OF THE
BUFFALO RIDGE ALONG THE MN RIVER VALLEY. HERE AN INCREASING PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. AN ANTECEDENT DRY AIR MASS WILL KEEP DEW POINTS IN THE
30S THROUGH AT LEAST MID-AFTERNOON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S...RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 15 TO 20
PERCENT. THE CRITICAL THREAT WILL NOT BE LONG-LIVED...AS MOISTURE
SURGES NWD THIS EVENING AND RH VALUES SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE.
..GRAMS.. 04/15/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME
ABSORBED BY A LARGER TROUGH OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST BY MONDAY
MORNING. IN RESPONSE AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE E/SEWD
FROM IA TOWARDS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY SUNDAY NIGHT. IN THE WAKE
OF THIS ERN CONUS SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
SUBSTANTIALLY LIGHTER WINDS TO MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS REGION.
FURTHER W...ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INLAND FROM THE W
COAST.
...ERN NM/SERN CO/SW KS/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND MIN RH VALUES IN THE TEENS. HOWEVER
WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN ON SATURDAY. A BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DURING THE MORNING HOURS WILL GIVE WAY TO WEAK
LEE-TROUGHING BY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW 20 MPH TO PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..GRAMS.. 04/15/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#240 Postby TexasStooge » Sat Apr 15, 2006 8:35 am
Code: Select all
GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
528 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006
...FIRE DANGER WILL BE ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON...
STRONG SOUTH WINDS...WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH...AND AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 40 PERCENT OR LOWER WILL CREATE AN
ELEVATED GRASS FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON. THE DANGER WILL BE
HIGHEST ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS WHERE HUMIDITY VALUES
BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE FORECAST BY LATE AFTERNOON.
EXTREME CARE IS RECOMMENDED DURING ALL OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WHERE
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR GRASS FIRES TO GET STARTED.
THE FIRE DANGER SHOULD EASE THIS EVENING AS WINDS GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RECOVER IN MOST AREAS.
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