Possible tropical System Forming in the Bahamas?

MiamiensisWx · #41 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 11:52 am

Storms going through eastern Palm Beach County...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=amx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no

#42 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 11:57 am

ACCUWEATHER SAYS A LOW WILL STAY FOR A FEW MORE DAYS OVER THE BAHAMAS. RIGHT NOW THE WINDSHEAR IS VERY STRONG, BUT IT'S FORECASTED TO DECREASE, AND YOU NEVER KNOW WHAT COULD HAPPEN. JUST SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE. NOT TO PANIC BUT JUST TO BE CAUTIOUS.

jrod · #43 Postby **jrod** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 11:58 am

HURAKAN wrote:I SEE NO RAINA AROUND HERE!

Not yet. I would be suprised if more thunderstorms dont form down there, given daytime heating and the right atmosphere for thunderstorms.

CHRISTY · #44 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:01 pm

HURAKAN wrote:

ACCUWEATHER SAYS A LOW WILL STAY FOR A FEW MORE DAYS OVER THE BAHAMAS. RIGHT NOW THE WINDSHEAR IS VERY STRONG, BUT IT'S FORECASTED TO DECREASE, AND YOU NEVER KNOW WHAT COULD HAPPEN. JUST SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE. NOT TO PANIC BUT JUST TO BE CAUTIOUS.

u gotta be kiding me!

jrod · #45 Postby **jrod** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:03 pm

When did accuweather put that together?

Scorpion · #46 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:14 pm

Hoping we don't get much rain out of this. I like it nice and dry 8-)

.

#47 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:21 pm

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... =Animation

Right now there is no need to overreact with this, but just be open to the idea that something may try to get going in the Bahamas early this week.

#48 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:22 pm

it is pooring here in East Boca Raton right now! It's great.

weatherwoman132 · #49 Postby **weatherwoman132** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:28 pm

we havent gotten a mite of rain.....haha, just used one of my voacb words.

#50 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:35 pm

Here we are using the state's nickname, because the sun is shining pretty good with temperatures close to 90 degrees. I hope that with all this heat that is being tranfered to the atmosphere we will get some frontal and/or convectional showers this afternoon.

benny · #51 Postby **benny** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:47 pm

severe tstm warning in broward.. maybe we will luck out today with the rain and get some

weatherwoman132 · #52 Postby **weatherwoman132** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:57 pm

wow....the SKY IS BLACK. holy moly.

#53 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 2:19 pm

#54 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 3:51 pm

BY THE WAY, NOT EVEN THE HINT OF A COOL BREEZE THAT ANNOUNCES A SHOWER HAS BEEN ABLE TO PASS THROUGH HERE!

Rainband · #55 Postby **Rainband** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:27 pm

we got over an inch in some spots here 8-)

#56 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:31 pm

Rainband wrote:we got over an inch in some spots here

Lucky you!!! My hopes of having a nice shower during the afternoon are disintegrating as the afternoon itself!

CHRISTY · #57 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:37 pm

IAM NOT EXPECTING IN RAIN DOWNHERE EVERYTHING HAS STAYED OFFSHORE!

RAIN WHY ARE U RUNNING AWAY?

000
FXUS62 KMFL 092043 CCA
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
341 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2006

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT...CONTINUING TO
PROVIDE SOME SURFACE CONVERGENCE. IT WILL TAKE TIME FOR THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE...NOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF...TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
AREA. THUS...GOOD VENTILATION WILL CONTINUE ALOFT WELL INTO THE
EVENING HOURS ACROSS SOUTH FL...AND POSSIBLY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS...AM EXPECTING COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO DECREASE...THOUGH CANNOT DISCOUNT EVEN ISOLATED
STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL INCREASE POPS FOR TONIGHT SINCE IT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL TAKE AWHILE FOR THE SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH. SO FAR
STORMS HAVE NOT DEVELOPED FROM COLLIER THROUGH A LARGE PORTION OF
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY. OUTFLOWS ARE SEEN ON RADAR BEGINNING TO MOVE
SOUTH...SO AM STILL FORECASTING THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AREAS
FURTHER SOUTH...WHERE THE AIRMASS CONTINUES RIPE FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT.

spinfan4eva · #58 Postby **spinfan4eva** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 5:17 pm

Looks like some sort of Sub Tropical low May form and Drift back west. Lucky its April cause If this were Hurricane season, this could be trouble!

NWS Jax mentions it in this afternoons Discussion:

BY WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE TN VALLEY WITH
ASSOCIATED SHORT WAVE DIVING INTO NORTHERN AL/GA. ALSO A LOW IS
EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR THE BAHAMAS ON THE TAIL END OF THIS
WEEKEND'S COLD FRONT. THESE FEATURES WILL PUSH THE SFC HIGH INTO
THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND SHIFTING THE FLOW TO ELY. EXPECT INCREASING
CLOUDS AND MAX TEMPS IN THE 80S INLAND NEAR THE I-75 CORRIDOR.

.LONG TERM...WILL LEAN TO THE GFS SCENARIO WHICH BRINGS THE SUB-
TROPICAL LOW WWD INTO SOUTH FL. ALSO THE SHORT WAVES PASS BY NORTH
OF THE AREA. THIS KEEPS A NARROW RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND
WE WILL REMAIN WARM AND DRY.

#59 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 5:20 pm

This are getting interesting. :uarrow:

JamesFromMaine2 · #60 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 5:31 pm

any chance it could turn tropical in the gulf?

Possible tropical System Forming in the Bahamas?

Who is online