SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

CHRISTY · #881 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 12:15 pm

IF THIS IS RIGHT LOOK HOW THE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO GET WARNER AND ALSO OF THE EAST COAST ITS ALSO GETTING WARMER!
THIS IS FOR APRIL 16... :eek:

#882 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:48 pm

Has anybody seen what is going on off the coast of Africa? Look how much hit has warmed - and now the SSTs are above normal off the entire northwestern coast :eek:

HurricaneHunter914 · #883 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:40 pm

2006 is getting back on track.

#884 Postby **GeneratorPower** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:42 pm

With high pressure firmly in control of the Gulf of Mexico for the next week or so we should see plenty of Gulf warming.

#885 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:42 pm

Looks like neutral to me those pacific waters as the data shows.

KWT · #886 Postby **KWT** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:45 pm

Wow, yes the La Nina is gone it seems, back to nuetral condtions for the time being.
Just proves how fast things can change in terms of SSTA. Also that goes for the anomalies in eastern Atlantic, things at this stage will change and to jump to conclusions about SSTA in March/April isn't very good.

HurricaneHunter914 · #887 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 3:04 pm

IF THIS IS RIGHT LOOK HOW THE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO GET WARNER AND ALSO OF THE EAST COAST ITS ALSO GETTING WARMER!
THIS IS FOR APRIL 16...

That is a HOT lava lamp.

#888 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 3:05 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:With high pressure firmly in control of the Gulf of Mexico for the next week or so we should see plenty of Gulf warming.

I wouldn't be surprised if we saw areas rise 5 degrees over the next 2 weeks.

Weatherfreak000 · #889 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 3:15 pm

yeah for sure, SST's are gonna start rising QUICK.

CHRISTY · #890 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 3:26 pm

meteorologyman · #891 Postby **meteorologyman** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 4:09 pm

some of the 70's are pushing further in to Atlantic by GA, and SC

Scorpion · #892 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 4:37 pm

In 2 weeks time, areas in the mid 70's now will be in the 80's.

benny · #893 Postby **benny** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 5:24 pm

KWT wrote:Wow, yes the La Nina is gone it seems, back to nuetral condtions for the time being.
Just proves how fast things can change in terms of SSTA. Also that goes for the anomalies in eastern Atlantic, things at this stage will change and to jump to conclusions about SSTA in March/April isn't very good.

The trades have died in the equatorial Pacific in the east. This is common to get a lot of warming/temperature variations this time of year before the subtropical ridges build for the summertime. Any warming is very shallow-based.. a result of little mixing. A week of enhanced trades could bring cold water back again.

About the only thing I am sure of is that it will be warm this summer in the tropical Atlantic. How warm? That's anyones guess.

benny · #894 Postby **benny** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 5:27 pm

This is a good map for viewing the trades. Of course it is 850 mb and not the surface but the two are closely related. Right now there is a local anomalous westerly wind (this is an average of 5n-5s in the globe) maximum around 120w (meaning instead of ely trades they are weak) that is causing the ssts to warm. but it is very small scale and the rest of the central/w pac has a lot of easterlies... no sign of any dramatic circulation changes.

CHRISTY · #895 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Apr 13, 2006 2:46 pm

we are approaching 80 DEGREES in alot places in the ATLANTIC things seem to be changeing fast...

#896 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Apr 13, 2006 3:08 pm

Christy the above graphic is already posted on this page.

x-y-no · #897 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Apr 13, 2006 3:25 pm

benny wrote:The trades have died in the equatorial Pacific in the east. This is common to get a lot of warming/temperature variations this time of year before the subtropical ridges build for the summertime. Any warming is very shallow-based.. a result of little mixing. A week of enhanced trades could bring cold water back again.

Yes, the thermocline is very shallow in the Nino1/2 area - anomalously so.

The MJO has been very weak the last few months, which is why we've not had any significant kelvin wave event like the one we were all obsessing over last year. However while the MJO is weak it's not non-existent, and the recent weakness in the EPac trades is associated with MJO phase. I expect some surface cooling to return within a couple of weeks.

#898 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Apr 13, 2006 5:07 pm

Jan look how el nino 1-2 looks like,coolish waters there.But warmer waters at el nino 3 and 4.But as you said no kelvin waves are in sight.

benny · #899 Postby **benny** » Thu Apr 13, 2006 7:09 pm

cycloneye wrote:

There has been a building of the warm pool in a significant way between 100-250 meters from 180-140w since the first of the year... it is interesting to watch. I wonder what would happen if we did have a huge westerly wind burst.. it would likely have a strong effect on the thermocline. Problem is that the trades really have to die and stay dead cuz then the 15 kt trades just erode the water.. similar to what happened last year. We know so little about Nino this time of year...

#900 Postby **windycity** » Thu Apr 13, 2006 8:27 pm

these SSTs are impressive. im interested in seeing what they will look like in a couple of weeks. I think we will see the gun pointed in the GOM. Just a feeling. :roll:

SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

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