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TexasStooge
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#241 Postby TexasStooge » Sat Apr 15, 2006 8:36 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
450 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006
...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TODAY...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TODAY WILL CAUSE A DRYLINE TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS... BEFORE REACHING CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON. WEST OF THE DRYLINE... WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL GUST TO 35 TO 45 MPH... WHILE TO THE EAST... SOUTH WINDS OF 25
TO 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON. MEANWHILE... AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL AGAIN BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL... WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
THE WINDS AND EXTREMELY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH LOW
HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT TO PRODUCE AN EXTREME FIRE
DANGER OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS IN AREAS
THAT STILL HAVE ANY SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DORMANT OR DEAD
VEGETATION. THE FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE VERY HIGH
CATEGORY OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY...AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION
OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
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#242 Postby TexasStooge » Sat Apr 15, 2006 8:36 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
412 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-160200-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
412 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006
...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.
IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL
DEVELOP TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM.
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S ALONG WITH
THE WIND WILL LEAD TO INCREASINGLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 40 PERCENT OVER MOST
OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES EAST
OF A DRY LINE...WHICH WILL PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE DRY LINE MAY PUSH INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING AND CAUSE HUMIDITIES TO DROP
TO CRITICAL LEVELS.
A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
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#243 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 16, 2006 10:58 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0427 AM CDT SUN APR 16 2006
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MO VALLEY WILL WEAKEN AND
BECOME ABSORBED BY A LARGER TROUGH OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST BY MONDAY
MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE E/SEWD FROM SRN IA
TOWARDS THE OH RIVER VALLEY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS ERN CONUS
SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING SUBSTANTIALLY LIGHTER
WINDS TO MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS REGION. FURTHER WEST...AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INLAND FROM THE W COAST.
...PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND SERN KS INTO EXTREME NERN OK...
A NARROW NW TO SE AXIS OF SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH COMBINED
WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND RH VALUES AROUND 20
PERCENT WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ENHANCED W/NW WINDS
AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ALONG AND JUST BEHIND A
PACIFIC COOL FRONT/DRY LINE THROUGH AROUND NOON. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
A BRIEF PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...A SUBSTANTIAL DECREASE IN LOW-LEVEL WIND SPEEDS
IS EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER SRN IA ALONG WITH INCREASED RIDGING OVER THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES. THIS WILL PROVIDE FOR A DIMINISHING OF WINDS BELOW 20 MPH
DURING MOST OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
...COASTAL PLAINS OF SC INTO ERN GA...
SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN...HOWEVER
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE A BIT WEAKER. NEAR-RECORD TO RECORD HEAT WILL BE
IN PLACE ACROSS THIS REGION WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REACH THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. UPSTREAM MOISTURE IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY MORNING ATTM. DEW POINTS SHOULD STILL MIX OUT INTO THE
UPPER 40S TO MIDDLE 50S...PROVIDING RH VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE A BIT
WEAKER COMPARED TO SATURDAY...THUS MUCH OF THE AREA SHOULD HAVE
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS JUST BELOW 20 MPH.
..GRAMS.. 04/16/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 AM CDT SUN APR 16 2006
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN AZ/NRN NM/SERN
CO/SWRN KS/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS WILL MOVE EWD AND INDUCE LOW
PRESSURE OVER NERN CO ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG MID-LEVEL WIND
SPEED MAX WILL DIVE INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH FROM THE SRN GREAT
BASIN INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. VERY DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE OUT AHEAD OF THIS SPEED MAX AND FROM AN INCREASING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING NERN CO LOW.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN AZ/NRN NM/SERN
CO/SWRN KS/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
STRONG W WINDS ALONG WITH VERY DRY AIR SHOULD PROVIDE WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS
IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND
THIS WILL BE FURTHER STRENGTHENED BY WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND
STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE
80S TO LOWER 90S...RH VALUES OF 5 TO 12 PERCENT ARE FORECAST ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS E OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS
WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 MPH. FURTHER W...WIND SPEEDS WILL
LIKELY BE STRONGER OWING TO CLOSER PROXIMITY TO MID-LEVEL JET MAX.
SUSTAINED WINDS FROM ERN AZ INTO WRN NM SHOULD REACH 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER IN THIS
REGION /MAINLY IN THE 70S/ AS A COLD FRONT DIVES SEWD. MIN RH VALUES
SHOULD STILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
...SRN NM INTO PORTIONS OF NW TX...
FURTHER S OF THE CRITICAL AREA...HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY OCCUR...HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY WITH TIMING OF INCREASING W/SW
WINDS PRECLUDES A CRITICAL AREA ISSUANCE ATTM. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REACH THE 90S TO AROUND 100 MONDAY AFTERNOON...SUPPORTING MIN RH
VALUES FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT. HOWEVER...THE AXIS OF STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR FURTHER N AND SUSTAINED WINDS MAY NOT BE ABOVE 20 MPH
FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME...EXCEPT OVER THE GUADALUPE MTNS.
THIS AREA MAY BE UPGRADED IN THE DAY 1 OUTLOOK IF WIND SPEEDS ABOVE
20 MPH LOOK TO BE MORE CERTAIN.
..GRAMS.. 04/16/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
- Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
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#244 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Apr 17, 2006 6:56 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 AM CDT MON APR 17 2006
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CO AND NM/NERN AZ/SERN
UT/FAR SERN WY/FAR WRN TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM ERN WA TO NRN NV WILL MOVE EWD AND INDUCE
LOW PRESSURE OVER ERN WY THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG MID-LEVEL WIND
SPEED MAX IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRY W/SW FLOW WILL INCREASE OUT
AHEAD OF THIS SPEED MAX. FURTHER EAST...A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO WY LOW WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS ACROSS
THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY. IN THE MID-ATLANTIC...A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BRING INCREASING WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTHEAST.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF CO AND NM/NERN AZ/SERN
UT/FAR SERN WY/FAR WRN TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
STRONG W/SW WINDS ALONG WITH VERY DRY AIR SHOULD PROVIDE WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE NERN PORTION
OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR HERE OWING TO A
STRONG MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX PUSHING EWD. AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
STEEPEN LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...MIXING OF THE
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL OCCUR. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
APPEAR LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH...AS EVIDENCED BY
RECENT SURFACE OBS ACROSS SRN NV INTO SWRN UT. AS TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO THE 60S AND 70S IN LOWER ELEVATION AREAS...MIN RH VALUES WILL
REACH 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
IN THE SWRN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MORE
MARGINAL FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...A VERY WARM AND DRY AIR
MASS IS ALREADY IN PLACE ALONG WITH LONG-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
WITH DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 80S AND
90S WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
SHOULD REACH CRITICAL VALUES AROUND 20 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. POOR RH RECOVERY IS ALSO EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS
DOWNSLOPE W WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH CONTINUE.
...PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL MN...
A NNW TO SSE AXIS OF MARGINALLY LOW RH COMBINED WITH STRENGTHENING
WINDS MAY LEAD TO BRIEF CRITICAL CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS OVER THE AREA IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING
LOW OVER WY...SUSTAINED S/SE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. A FETCH OF DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR FROM NRN WI/ERN MN WILL
SUPPORT DEW POINTS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S...MIN RH VALUES WILL REACH 20
TO 25 PERCENT.
...PORTIONS OF NERN AND E-CNTRL FL...
INCREASING WINDS IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE IN THE
CAROLINAS ALONG WITH A WARM AND RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS MAY LEAD TO
BRIEF CRITICAL CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED W/SW WINDS WILL
INCREASE TODAY TO NEAR 20 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE
LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS HAS MOISTENED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...A
POCKET OF DEW POINTS FROM 55 TO 60 DEGREES SHOULD REMAIN IN INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF CNTRL FL. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S...MIN
RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 35 PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 04/17/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 AM CDT MON APR 17 2006
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WRN KS/NWRN OK/FAR SERN
CO/PORTIONS OF OK AND TX PANHANDLES...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON
TUESDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVE SEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN
PLAINS...BRINGING GUSTY N/NW WINDS IN ITS WAKE. ELSEWHERE...HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGING IN BOTH THE WRN AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS WILL
PRODUCE GENERALLY MODEST WIND SPEEDS IN THESE AREAS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - WRN KS/NWRN OK/FAR SERN
CO/PORTIONS OF OK AND TX PANHANDLES...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
STRONG POST-FRONTAL N/NW WINDS COMBINED WITH A DRY AIR MASS SHOULD
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM N TO S ON
TUESDAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE TIED TO AN INCREASING PRESSURE
GRADIENT WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING EWD TOWARDS THE MS RIVER VALLEY
AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NWRN CONUS. AN AXIS OF ENHANCED
LOW-LEVEL N/NW WINDS IS FORECAST ALONG AND JUST BEHIND A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL DIVE SEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS /FROM THE 60S
NORTH TO 80S SOUTH/ ...MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT APPEAR LIKELY
GIVEN A VERY DRY AIR MASS ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES.
...ERN NM INTO PORTIONS OF NW TX...
POOR RH RECOVERY FROM DAY 1 ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS DURING PASSAGE OF
A COLD FRONT DURING THE MORNING MAY PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE EFFECTS OF A VERY DRY AIR MASS OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL SUPPORT RH VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT FROM
LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE AXIS OF STRONGEST
LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL OCCUR FURTHER N/NE OF THIS AREA...SUSTAINED
SPEEDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH ARE FORECAST TO BRIEFLY OCCUR IN THE LATE
MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING INCREASES ALONG THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES.
..GRAMS.. 04/17/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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- Posts: 38127
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#245 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Apr 17, 2006 6:56 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
505 AM CDT MON APR 17 2006
...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TODAY...
UNSEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH DRY AIR ACROSS THE
REGION WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 90S THIS AFTERNOON WHILE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM JUST UNDER 10 PERCENT IN FAR
WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS... TO NEAR 35 PERCENT
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SOUTH WINDS WILL BE MODERATE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND 10 TO 15 MPH ELSEWHERE. DESPITE THE FORECAST OF ONLY MODERATE
WINDS... THE COMBINATION OF SUMMER-LIKE HEAT AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY
WILL RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS AND VERY HIGH LEVELS IN
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY... AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
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TexasStooge
- Category 5

- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
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#246 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Apr 18, 2006 6:50 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 AM CDT TUE APR 18 2006
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM / SERN CO / SWRN KS /
CNTRL AND WRN OK / NWRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OUT OF THE CNTRL/NRN ROCKIES INTO
THE PLAINS STATES TODAY. ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE
SEWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE SRN
PLAINS DURING THE EVENING. WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BE STRONG
OUT OF THE NW WITH LOW RH. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A SURFACE LOW/TROUGH
WILL STRETCH FROM ERN KS/WRN MO ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND INTO NW TX BY
AFTERNOON...WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH FROM CENTRAL OK
WWD. LOW RH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE DESERT SW BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
WITH SHORT TERM RIDGING.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NERN NM / SERN CO / SWRN KS /
CNTRL AND WRN OK / NWRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOCALLY STRONG AND SHIFTING WINDS / LOW RH
WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY IN THE DAY WITH SPEEDS
OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS SERN CO/WRN KS AS WELL AS NERN
NM...THE TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAY BEHIND THE FRONT...RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM
10-15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON WITH LOCAL VALUES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ESPECIALLY OVER ERN NM AND WRN TX. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HOT
TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED WITHIN A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WHICH WILL
LIE ACROSS CNTRL/ERN OK INTO NWRN TX. HIGHS IN THE 90S WILL BE
LIKELY BEFORE WINDS SHIFT DURING THE AFTERNOON. RH WILL BE VERY LOW
AND IN THE TEENS. LATER IN THE EVENING...SHIFTING WINDS WILL MOVE
SWD INTO THE SRN PORTIONS OF CRITICAL AREA/NRN TX WHERE RH RECOVERY
WILL BE POOR.
...NERN CO / SERN WY / WRN NEB...
IT WILL BE EXTREMELY WINDY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SURGES IN FROM THE
W. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE
LIKELY. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW AT BEST
HOWEVER...GIVEN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S. MIN RH
VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 25 PERCENT FAR NRN CO TO 30-40 PERCENT WY AND
NEB.
...LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CAUSE NLY WINDS TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE RIVER VALLEY TODAY...WITH SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RH WILL REMAIN LOW AT 10-15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..JEWELL.. 04/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 AM CDT TUE APR 18 2006
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BECOME CUT OFF FROM NRN STREAM JET AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON WED. STRONG WLY SFC WINDS WILL
OCCUR ON SRN FRINGE OF THIS LOW ACROSS NEB AND KS. MEANWHILE...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE SRN PLAINS WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS BUT
LOW RH WILL REMAIN ESPECIALLY ACROSS W TX AND POINTS WEST. SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AS SURFACE LOW
MEANDERS JUST OFFSHORE...AND HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SWD OUT OF CANADA.
THIS WILL INCREASE N WINDS FOR A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT.
...SRN NEB / NRN KS / NERN CO...
WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG WED DUE TO STRONG SURFACE LOW TO THE
NORTH. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 25-35 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH HIGHER
GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. SRN FRINGE OF STRONG WIND SPEED AREA MAY SEE MIN
RH VALUES DECREASING TO AROUND 20 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. HOWEVER...CURRENT RH FORECAST IS
UNCERTAIN...BUT A SMALL CRITICAL AREA MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
KS/NEB IN NEXT DAY ONE IF RH REMAINS CRITICALLY LOW.
...DELMARVA / ERN PA / NJ / ERN NY / NEW ENGLAND...
WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WED WITH TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH APPEAR LIKELY FROM SERN PA/NJ
INTO MD AND DE...WHILE HIGHER SPEEDS NEAR 20-25 MPH OCCUR FARTHER N
INTO NEW ENGLAND. RH LEVELS WILL BE DOWN FROM PREVIOUS DAY AS WELL.
DUE TO WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70...MIN RH OF 25-35
PERCENT WILL BE WIDESPREAD. RECENT PRECIPITATION OVER ME WILL HELP
MITIGATE FIRE THREAT THERE...WHILE OTHER AREAS SUCH AS SRN NJ AND
DELMARVA AREA WILL HAVE A HIGHER THREAT WITH RECENT DROUGHT.
..JEWELL.. 04/18/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#247 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Apr 18, 2006 6:51 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
424 AM CDT TUE APR 18 2006
OKZ049-053>056-059>062-064>068-070-071-073>075-190200-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
MAYES-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
424 AM CDT TUE APR 18 2006
...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...
IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...PAWNEE...
TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
CHEROKEE...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL AND LATIMER.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 90S TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A DRYLINE
WILL PRECEDE THE COLD FRONT WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO
THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE BEHIND THE DRYLINE AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMDITIES WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN
RATHER BREEZY FOR A FEW HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS DANGEROUS INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE
WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE
INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.
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TexasStooge
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#248 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Apr 19, 2006 6:49 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 AM CDT WED APR 19 2006
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NY / NERN PA / NRN NJ / MUCH
OF NEW ENGLAND...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NEB / NRN KS / FAR NERN CO...
...SYNOPSIS...
OVERALL PATTERN WILL BE RATHER STAGNANT THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH CUT
OFF LOW OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND ANOTHER LOW/TROUGH JUST OFF THE E
COAST. FIRE THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WHERE SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE...AS WELL AS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WHERE IT WILL BE VERY WINDY. ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER
MUCH OF THE WRN STATES WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NY / NERN PA / NRN NJ / MUCH
OF NEW ENGLAND...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE WINDS / LOW RH
A STRONG UPPER JET WILL ROTATE AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LOW
OFF THE NE COAST...AND WILL HELP TIGHTEN SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
INCREASE WIND SPEEDS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS
NEAR 20 MPH WILL OCCUR...WITH NRN AREAS INTO ME NEARING 30 MPH.
GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER AREAWIDE. ALONG WITH THE INCREASED WINDS...RH
WILL REMAIN LOW...MAINLY BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT. COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TO
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED LITTLE RAIN RECENTLY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - SRN NEB / NRN KS / FAR NERN CO...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HIGH WINDS / LOW RH
WLY FLOW AROUND SRN EDGE OF LOW WILL INCREASE TO 30-40 MPH ACROSS
MUCH OF NEBRASKA AND NERN CO...WITH LESSER SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH
ACROSS NRN KS. RH LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM 15-20 PERCENT OVER MOST OF
THE AREA...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER VALUES INTO CENTRAL NEB. COMBINATION
OF WINDS AND LOW RH WILL CAUSE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
...MI...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND WILL ALLOW RH
LEVELS TO DROP TO 25-30 PERCENT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. WINDS
HOWEVER WILL BE LIGHT...MAINLY 10 MPH OR LESS.
..JEWELL.. 04/19/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0424 AM CDT WED APR 19 2006
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
FIRE THREAT WILL BE LESS ON THURSDAY AS WINDS DECREASE ACROSS THE
NERN STATES AND PRECIPITATION BREAKS OUT ALONG A WARM FRONT
STRETCHING FROM N TX EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. WINDS WILL
DECREASE OVER THE CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS AS WELL AS UPPER LOW WEAKENS
AND SHIFTS EWD BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO UPPER MS VALLEY.
MEANWHILE...BRIEF UPPER RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE OVER THE SERN STATES
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
WITH CORRESPONDINGLY LOW AFTERNOON RH. TO THE WEST...A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS NM INTO FAR W TX...CAUSING INCREASED WLY
WINDS OVER SRN NM AND SWRN TX WITH LOW RH. A WEAK THERMAL RIDGE WILL
FORM ACROSS CENTRAL OR INTO THE WRN GREAT BASIN WHERE TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARM BUT WINDS LIGHT.
...NERN STATES...
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX THU AS MAIN UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY
SHIFTS S OF THE AREA. STILL...RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW WITH VALUES
OF 20-25 PERCENT DURING PEAK HEATING. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE AT OR BELOW 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER
GUSTS.
...SRN NM / FAR SW TX...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST AT AROUND 15 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS TO 25 MPH. RH WILL REMAIN VERY LOW FROM THE UPPER SINGLE
DIGITS TO THE MID TEENS.
..JEWELL.. 04/19/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#249 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Apr 19, 2006 12:21 pm
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1135 AM CDT WED APR 19 2006
...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA FOR A FEW HOURS
THIS AFTERNOON...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CAUSE VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
PART OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE ABOUT
15 PERCENT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON
ALLOWING THE FIRE DANGER TO DECREASE.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS EXCEPT ARCHER
COUNTY... AND ALL OF OKLAHOMA EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE
STATE. EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES. REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...FORESTS...AND PROPERTY.
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TexasStooge
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#250 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Apr 20, 2006 7:27 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 AM CDT THU APR 20 2006
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS...ALLOWING RH LEVELS TO RISE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
AND ALSO DECREASING WINDS OVER SD AND NEB WHERE IT HAS BEEN
EXTREMELY WINDY. FARTHER E...WINDS WILL DECREASE OVER THE NERN
STATES AS PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES...BUT RH LEVELS WILL STILL
REMAIN LOW DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE. ELSEWHERE...WINDS WILL INCREASE
OVER SRN NM AND FAR SW TX WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHILE WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL BENEATH UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS.
...SRN NM / FAR SW TX...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE W TODAY IN RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH DURING THE DAY. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 15-20
MPH APPEAR LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG RIDGE TOPS. MIN RH VALUES
WILL BE VERY LOW FROM THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOWER TEENS.
...NERN STATES...
RH WILL REMAIN LOW TODAY DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE AND TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE 60S AND 70S. VALUES IN THE UPPER TEENS TO TWENTIES
WILL BE COMMON...BUT WINDS WILL BE MUCH WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS
DAY...AROUND 10 MPH OUT OF THE N.
..JEWELL.. 04/20/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 AM CDT THU APR 20 2006
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN FROM THE WEST ACROSS THE WRN CONUS
FRI...ALLOWING WINDS TO INCREASE INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND DESERT SW.
MAIN RIDGE AXIS WILL EXIST OVER THE FOUR CORNERS STATES WHERE IT
WILL BE WARM AND DRY. TO THE E...A LARGE SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION
WILL EXTEND FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...WHILE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER THE
UPPER MS VALLEY WITH COOL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.
...SRN NV / WRN AZ / SERN CA...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES.
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH
OVER NV...AND SLIGHTLY WEAKER SPEEDS FARTHER S INTO WRN AZ AND SERN
CA WITH 15 MPH MORE LIKELY. RH LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE 15-20
PERCENT RANGE ACROSS CENTRAL NV...DECREASING TO NEAR 10 PERCENT
LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY.
..JEWELL.. 04/20/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#251 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:59 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 AM CDT FRI APR 21 2006
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE WEST. WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND DESERT SW
WITH LOW RH. TO THE EAST...LARGE SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION WILL EXTEND
FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY ACROSS MUCH OF THE APPALACHIAN STATES.
MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NERN STATES WITH LOW
RH DURING THE DAYTIME...BUT WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT.
...SRN NV SWD INTO THE CO RIVER VALLEY OF NWRN AZ / SERN CA...
NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TODAY AS WINDS INCREASE AND RH
REMAINS VERY LOW. SUSTAINED SLY WINDS OF 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
WILL BE COMMON...WITH THE HIGHEST SPEEDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NV
WHERE SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH MAY OCCUR. HIGHER GUSTS OF 20-30
MPH WILL OCCUR DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS WHEN MIXING IS
STRONGEST. RH WILL LIKELY REACH THE SINGLE DIGITS ESPECIALLY SRN
AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER INTO CENTRAL NV BUT RH WILL STILL
DROP TO NEAR 15 PERCENT. MITIGATING FACTORS TODAY INCLUDE AREAS
EXPERIENCING GREENUP/RECENT PRECIPITATION AS WELL AS SOME HIGH
CLOUDS.
..JEWELL.. 04/21/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 AM CDT FRI APR 21 2006
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN AZ / WRN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE ERN ROCKIES AND HIGH
PLAINS WHILE UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE SWRN CONUS...CAUSING AN
INCREASE IN WINDS AND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR AZ/NM. FARTHER E
INTO THE SRN PLAINS...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BENEATH RIDGE BUT RH
LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NRN AZ / WRN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / LOW RH
UPPER TROUGH WILL DRIFT EWD WITH INCREASING SURFACE WINDS NEAR 20
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH LIKELY. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE WITH MIN RH DROPPING EASILY INTO THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE
DURING THE DAYTIME. COMBINATION OF INCREASED WINDS AND LOW RH WILL
CAUSE CRITICAL CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS IN AREAS THAT
ARE NOT IN GREEN UP.
...CENTRAL NM / FAR SW TX...
NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST DUE TO INCREASING WINDS TO NEAR
15-20 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RH NEAR OF 10-15 PERCENT AS MAIN TROUGH
REMAINS A BIT FARTHER W OF THE AREA.
..JEWELL.. 04/21/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#252 Postby TexasStooge » Sat Apr 22, 2006 12:26 pm
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 AM CDT SAT APR 22 2006
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE UT/SW CO/NRN AZ/NWRN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
WEST COAST STORM SYSTEM WILL MAKE SOME EWD PROGRESS INLAND
TODAY...THOUGH MAIN UPPER LOW CIRCULATION WILL REMAIN MAINLY OVER
SCNTRL CA THROUGH SUNDAY. MODERATELY STRONG SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS. FARTHER EAST...LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS ALONG WITH STRONG SLY FLOW.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SE UT/SW CO/NRN AZ/NWRN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED 20-35 MPH WINDS/MINIMUM RH VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT/DRY FUELS
STRONG SWLY SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20-35 MPH BY AFTN AS
MID LEVEL SPEED MAX EMERGES FROM THE BASE OF APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THE
AIRMASS REMAINS CRITICALLY DRY WITH EARLY MORNING DEWPOINT
OBSERVATIONS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM
5-10 PERCENT...AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 60S/70S. TEMPS ACROSS
CNTRL AND SRN AZ WILL BE EVEN WARMER IN THE 80S/90S. LATEST OBSERVED
FIRE DANGER INDICES WERE HIGH/VERY HIGH AS LONG TERM DROUGHT
CONDITIONS PERSIST. HIGH BASED TSTMS ARE ALSO LIKELY AROUND THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING...SO VIRGA AND ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.
...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
WINDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THIS AREA TODAY...BUT
UPPER TROUGH IS NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE MUCH EASTWARD PROGRESS. THE
STRONGEST WINDS AT MID LEVELS WILL REMAIN ACROSS WRN/NRN AZ. RH
VALUES WILL BE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM
WITH DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 40S.
..TAYLOR.. 04/22/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0401 AM CDT SAT APR 22 2006
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/W TX/OK
PANHANDLE...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW NOW OFF CA COAST WILL WEAKEN ON SUNDAY AND EVOLVE INTO
MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE. FAVORABLE CONFIGURATION OF TROUGH WILL ALLOW
50-60 KT MID LEVEL FLOW TO SPREAD ACROSS AZ/NM ON SUNDAY. LEE SIDE
LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER SERN CO/SW KS WITH A DRYLINE MIXING EWD ACROSS
THE TX PANHANDLE TO FAR WRN OK.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/W TX/OK
PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SFC WINDS 20-30 MPH/LOW RH VALUES BELOW
15-20 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
ONCE AGAIN STRONG S/SWLY SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF ERN
AZ/NM ON SUNDAY...WITH 20-30 MPH WINDS LIKELY. MINIMUM RH VALUES
WILL FALL BELOW 10-15 PERCENT ACROSS ERN AZ AND NM WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER HUMIDITY FARTHER EAST. THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY BE ACROSS ERN NM AND THE TX HIGH PLAINS WHERE HIGH TEMPS WILL
BE IN THE MID/UPPER 80S WITH RH VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT. WHILE SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE TX SOUTH PLAINS RECEIVED RAIN RECENTLY...LITTLE OR
NO RAIN WAS OBSERVED NORTH OF I-40 OR WEST OF I-27.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S
ACROSS WRN/CNTRL OK AND THE ERN TX PANHANDLE WITH WINDS AT LEAST
15-25 MPH. THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THESE ERN AREAS WILL BE
MITIGATED ONLY BY THE HIGHER HUMIDITY. TSTMS ARE UNLIKELY ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CRITICAL AREA DUE TO A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION. ANY
SIGNIFICANT PCPN IS EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO KS/MO INVOF OF A
STATIONARY FRONT.
..TAYLOR.. 04/22/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#253 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 23, 2006 10:15 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0425 AM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/FAR W TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NOW MOVING INTO SRN CA WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EAST ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN BY EARLY MONDAY. MODERATELY STRONG
MID LEVEL FLOW /45-60 KT/ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WINDY SFC
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NM/AZ TODAY. SFC DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD
ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...WITH TSTMS LIKELY DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTN.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/FAR W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG S/SW WINDS 20-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LONG TERM DROUGHT
HIGH TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE ABOUT 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY...WITH TEMPS IN THE 70S/80S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND LOWER
90S ELSEWHERE. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW MIXING HEIGHTS TO
RISE TO NEARLY 500 MB...WITH SFC WINDS INCREASING INTO THE 20-30 MPH
RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS WHICH WILL FURTHER CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE VERY HIGH OR
EXTREME ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. RECENT RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE TX
PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTH PLAINS SHOULD REDUCE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT
IN ADDITION TO HIGHER RH VALUES EAST OF THE DRYLINE.
HIGH BASED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NE NM/EXTREME SE CO/SW KS.
IF STORMS DO FORM...LOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SUGGEST WETTING
RAIN WOULD BE UNLIKELY. MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF STORMS IS
EXPECTED EAST OF THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE.
...ERN CO/SW KS/OK PANHANDLE...
GUSTY WINDS NEARING 20-30 MPH WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE OK
PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF SE CO/SW KS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE
MODULATED BY THE DRYLINE...AND MAY RANGE FROM 15-25 PERCENT. HIGH
FIRE DANGER INDICES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH.
..TAYLOR.. 04/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0432 AM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM/FAR W TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
WEST COAST STORM SYSTEM WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SRN
GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON MONDAY.
HOWEVER...STRONG W/SW FLOW AT MID/UPPER LEVELS WILL EXTEND ACROSS
AZ/NM AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS BY MON EVENING. AT THE SFC...A COLD
FRONT WILL SURGE SWD ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLE DURING THE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. THE COOLER AIRMASS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
WETTING RAIN WILL MITIGATE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE TX PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA. WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF NM INTO FAR W TX.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN NM/FAR W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: W/SW WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MINIMUM
RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A VERY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PERSIST ON
MONDAY ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF NM...WHERE HIGHS WILL LIKELY CLIMB
INTO THE 80S/90S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
BE LOW /5-15 PERCENT/ COMBINED WITH GUSTY SFC WINDS. NO SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...AND THE
COOLER AIRMASS WILL NOT ARRIVE IN SRN PORTIONS OF NM UNTIL EARLY TUE
MORNING.
..TAYLOR.. 04/23/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#254 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 23, 2006 10:15 am
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
338 AM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240245-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
338 AM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.
IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. DESPITE AN INCREASE IN RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WILL
REPRESENT AN INCREASED DANGER AS FIRES WILL HAVE THE ABILITY TO
SPREAD QUICKLY.
A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.
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TexasStooge
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#255 Postby TexasStooge » Sun Apr 23, 2006 7:10 pm
Code: Select all
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
325 PM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240200-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
325 PM CDT SUN APR 23 2006
...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...
IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.
IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITES WILL REMAIN AROUND 40 TO 50
PERCENT...BUT SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO
AGGREVATE THE FIRE WEATHER SITUATION INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET AS TEMPERATURES COOL.
A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.
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TexasStooge
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#256 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Apr 24, 2006 7:29 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM/FAR W TX THROUGH THE TX S
PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED MAIN UPPER CIRCULATION OVER
NRN AZ/SRN UT. MID LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS
NM INTO CNTRL KS BY LATE AFTN. MID LEVEL /500MB-700MB/ FLOW WILL
RANGE FROM 45-65 KT...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN NM/W TX INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. SFC DRYLINE /NOW
NEAR TCC TO GDP LINE/ WILL MIX EWD TODAY INTO SW OK/NCNTRL TX AS A
COLD FRONT PLUNGES SWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. TO THE WEST OF THE
DRYLINE...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN NM/FAR W TX THROUGH THE TX S
PLAINS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED W/SW WINDS 15-25 MPH/LOW RH VALUES
BELOW 10-15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE 70S/80S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
SRN NM TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE ERN PORTION OF THE CRITICAL AREA.
AIRMASS REMAINS VERY DRY...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OR
TEENS IN NM. AS THE DRYLINE MIXES EWD...RH VALUES IN THE TX S PLAINS
AND SW TX WILL RAPIDLY LOWER. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE TOP OF
THE MIXED LAYER WILL REACH JUST ABOVE 700MB. THIS WILL ALLOW
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. LATEST FIRE
DANGER OBSERVATIONS ARE HIGH TO EXTREME.
..TAYLOR.. 04/24/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL BE UNDERWAY ON TUESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG /15-30
MPH/...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 DEGREES COOLER
IN SOME LOCATIONS WHICH WILL MITIGATE ANY FIRE WEATHER THREATS. SFC
COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NE OK WELL INTO SW TX BY TUE
MORNING...WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO SRN AR BY EVENING. FARTHER
WEST...AMPLIFYING UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH ALONG THE CA COAST.
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
THIS NEXT SYSTEM.
..TAYLOR.. 04/24/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#257 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Apr 25, 2006 7:15 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM/FAR W TX THROUGH THE TX S
PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED MAIN UPPER CIRCULATION OVER
NRN AZ/SRN UT. MID LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS
NM INTO CNTRL KS BY LATE AFTN. MID LEVEL /500MB-700MB/ FLOW WILL
RANGE FROM 45-65 KT...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN NM/W TX INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. SFC DRYLINE /NOW
NEAR TCC TO GDP LINE/ WILL MIX EWD TODAY INTO SW OK/NCNTRL TX AS A
COLD FRONT PLUNGES SWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. TO THE WEST OF THE
DRYLINE...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN NM/FAR W TX THROUGH THE TX S
PLAINS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED W/SW WINDS 15-25 MPH/LOW RH VALUES
BELOW 10-15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE 70S/80S ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
SRN NM TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE ERN PORTION OF THE CRITICAL AREA.
AIRMASS REMAINS VERY DRY...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OR
TEENS IN NM. AS THE DRYLINE MIXES EWD...RH VALUES IN THE TX S PLAINS
AND SW TX WILL RAPIDLY LOWER. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE TOP OF
THE MIXED LAYER WILL REACH JUST ABOVE 700MB. THIS WILL ALLOW
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. LATEST FIRE
DANGER OBSERVATIONS ARE HIGH TO EXTREME.
..TAYLOR.. 04/24/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT MON APR 24 2006
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL BE UNDERWAY ON TUESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG /15-30
MPH/...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 DEGREES COOLER
IN SOME LOCATIONS WHICH WILL MITIGATE ANY FIRE WEATHER THREATS. SFC
COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NE OK WELL INTO SW TX BY TUE
MORNING...WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO SRN AR BY EVENING. FARTHER
WEST...AMPLIFYING UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH ALONG THE CA COAST.
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
THIS NEXT SYSTEM.
..TAYLOR.. 04/24/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#258 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Apr 26, 2006 7:09 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 AM CDT WED APR 26 2006
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW OFF THE SRN CA COAST WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD INTO BAJA CA
THROUGH TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER
THE DESERT SW. SUSTAINED WINDS HOWEVER ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE
STRONG ENOUGH FOR A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE NATION...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL/ERN STATES. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS A RESULT.
AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE OVER THE GREAT LAKES...WHERE WLY WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
...SRN/ERN AZ AND WRN NM...
SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10-20 MPH DURING THE MID-LATE
AFTERNOON AS SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS OVER THE
REGION. ALTHOUGH RH READINGS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY LOW...LACK OF
STRONGER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...NRN MN/NRN WI AND NRN LOWER MI...
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15-20 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS AND
MIXING LAYER DEPTH INCREASES TO AROUND 5 KFT AGL. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S COMBINED WITH SEASONABLY LOW
DEWPTS IN THE 20S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY WITH SUNSET.
..CROSBIE.. 04/26/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 AM CDT WED APR 26 2006
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE DESERT SW...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE DESERT SW THROUGH TOMORROW.
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SSWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AT THE SFC OVER
SERN NM/SWRN NM LEADING TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT
FEATURE PRECLUDING ANY OTHER FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN AZ/SWRN NM...FAR WRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
TO THE WEST OF A STATIONARY FRONT...AND AHEAD OF AN UPPER SYSTEM
THERE WILL BE A RELATIVELY NARROW ZONE WHERE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH APPROACHING SYSTEM ALONG WITH MODERATE WIND
FIELDS...WILL SUPPORT MODERATE SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS OVER 30
MPH. MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND SEASONABLY LOW DWPTS WILL
ALLOW FOR MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT. WITH THE PASSAGE OF A
COLD FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT WLY AND REMAIN MODERATE OVERNIGHT WITH
IMPROVING RH READINGS.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
BREEZY WLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WILL OCCUR IN THE WAKE OF A NRN
STREAM SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S...MIN RH READINGS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE GENERALLY ABOVE
25 PERCENT.
..CROSBIE.. 04/26/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
- Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
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Contact:
#259 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Apr 27, 2006 6:37 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CDT THU APR 27 2006
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN ROCKIES
REGION...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE EWD FROM OFF THE NRN BAJA CA COAST INTO THE
SRN ROCKIES THROUGH TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WINDS
AND LOW RH READINGS WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
OVER PORTIONS OF THE FAR SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON. EAST OF A
DRYLINE OVER CENTRAL NM SCT TSTMS WILL BRING MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL TO
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...SFC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT SFC FEATURE PROVIDING FOR LIGHT WINDS.
LOW RH READINGS WILL BE PREVALENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SFC HIGH
OVER MUCH OF THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION LEADING TO HIUGH
FIRE DANGER. TWO EXCEPTIONS TO THE GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL OCCUR
TODAY. ONE OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WHERE MODERATE SFC WINDS WILL
OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH A NRN STREAM UPPER TROUGH MOVING SEWD OUT
OF CANADA. THE OTHER EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER FL WHERE MODERATE WLY
WINDS OCCUR IN THE WAKE OF COLD FRONT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - FAR SERN AZ/SWRN NM AND FAR WRN
TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH...MIN RH
READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...ISOLATED DRY TSTMS AND LONG TERM
DROUGHT.
AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM...WSWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN OVER THE DESERT SW/SRN ROCKIES. IN THE WAKE OF AN
ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT...A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT COMBINED
WITH COLD ADVECTION/STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT
MODERATE SWLY SFC WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN
RECENT DAYS...LOW DWPTS WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15
PERCENT. MID LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT
ISOLATED TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF ERN AZ/WRN NM. RELATIVELY HIGH CLOUD
BASES WILL AID IN LITTLE PRECIP REACHING THE GROUND.
..CROSBIE.. 04/27/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT THU APR 27 2006
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN NM/WRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SRN STREAM UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE
SRN PLAINS WHILE GRADUALLY PHASING WITH A NRN STREAM TROUGH MOVING
SEWD FROM THE NRN PLAINS. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS UPPER SYSTEM...A
SFC LOW/DRYLINE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS WRN TX DURING THE DAY. AREAS TO
THE WEST OF THE DRYLINE AND SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT WILL SEE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...SFC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT SENSIBLE WEATHER FEATURE. ALTHOUGH LOW
DWPTS/RH READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THE HIGH OVER MUCH OF THE ERN
STATES...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - FAR SERN NM/SWRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW-MID LEVELS IN THE WAKE OF A PACIFIC
COLD FRONT/DRYLINE WILL OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SWRN
TX/SERN NM ON DAY TWO. STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL THUS MIX TOWARDS THE
SURFACE AND AID IN MODERATE SFC WINDS. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER THAN RECENTLY...LOW DWPTS WILL STILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS
AROUND 15 PERCENT. AS ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES SWD INTO THE
AREA OVERNIGHT...RH READINGS WILL RISE DRAMATICALLY.
...FLA...
SFC WINDS WILL TURN NELY AS SFC PRESSURES FALL OVER THE LOWER MS
VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. AS
DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES WARM OVER DAY
ONE...MIN RH READINGS WILL REACH CRITICAL LEVELS /25-35 PERCENT/
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LESS
THAN 15 MPH PRECLUDING AN OUTLOOK AREA.
..CROSBIE.. 04/27/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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TexasStooge
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#260 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Apr 28, 2006 7:15 am
Code: Select all
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0406 AM CDT FRI APR 28 2006
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WRN TX/SERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE SWRN STATES
INTO THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. MUCH NEEDED PRECIPITATION WILL
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND SRN ROCKIES
REGION. THERE WILL EXIST A SMALL AREA BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED
DRYLINE/PACIFIC COLD FRONT WHERE LOW RH READINGS AND STRONG WLY
WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER SERN NM/FAR
SWRN TX. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
THE DOMINANT FEATURE EAST OF THE MS RIVER. GENERALLY MILD
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH OVER THE
ERN LAKES...MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF
LOW RH READINGS ACROSS THESE REGIONS... GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THESE REGIONS. FURTHER
WEST...GUSTY NWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER
SYSTEM/SFC COLD FRONT OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN. HOWEVER BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL RH READINGS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT IN THIS AREA AS WELL.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM/SWRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT
THE REGION WILL LIE AHEAD OF THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE SRN
ROCKIES...AND BEHIND A SFC DRYLINE THAT WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS OF W-CENTRAL/SWRN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON. INCREASING
COLD ADVECTION IN THE LOWER-MID LEVELS COMBINED WITH A STRONG SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WAKE OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO
SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. DWPTS IN
THE TEENS EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THEA AREA ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS BEHIND THE PACIFIC
COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN RECENT
DAYS...WITH READINGS MAINLY IN THE 60S/70S...MIN RH READINGS SHOULD
STILL REACH 15 PERCENT DURING THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON. CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO LAST WELL INTO THE EVENING HRS
/ESPECIALLY IN THE DAVIS MTNS/ AS THE GRADIENT REMAINS STRONG.
...FLA...
SFC WINDS WILL TURN NELY AS SFC PRESSURES BEGIN TO FALL IN RESPONSE
TO THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SRN PLAINS. DESPITE SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN OCCURRED YESTERDAY...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN
OVER THE REGION. THUS MIN RH READINGS WILL REACH CRITICAL LEVELS
/25-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST/ DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15
MPH...PRECLUDING AN OUTLOOK AREA.
...ERN/SRN UT...NRN AZ...
NWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND IN THE WAKE
OF THE UPPER TROUGH. SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW NORMAL
AND MIN RH READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT AT ALL
OR FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF TIME TO WARRANT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.
..CROSBIE.. 04/28/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Code: Select all
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0409 AM CDT FRI APR 28 2006
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD OVER THE PLAINS TOMORROW AS THE
PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION REMAINS RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED CUTTING THE
SYSTEM OFF FROM THE MAIN BELT OF WESTERLIES. ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THIS UPPER TROUGH...DRY MODEST WNWLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS AND SRN ROCKIES. HOWEVER...MARGINAL WINDS WILL LIMIT THE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
COUNTRY...UPPER RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN A WARMING
TREND/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE WEST.
MEANWHILE...SFC-UPPER RIDGING WILL EXIST GENERALLY EAST OF THE
APPALACHIANS. LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF
THIS REGION TOMORROW. DESPITE A GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ERN SEABOARD...SFC WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
..SRN HIGH PLAINS/SRN ROCKIES...
WNWLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL AVERAGE 15-20
MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT CO-EXISTS
WITH STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. LOW DWPTS...SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS
AROUND 15 PERCENT. GIVEN THE MARGINAL WINDS EXPECTED... CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
...MID-ATLANTIC...
AREA WILL BE THE CLOSEST IN PROXIMITY TO A STRENGTHENING SFC CYCLONE
WELL OFF THE COAST DURING THE PERIOD. THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE
IN NELY WINDS. PRESENCE OF DRY AIR /DWPTS IN THE 20S/ AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-30
PERCENT. SINCE SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH FOR MOST
OF THE AREA /EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE WHERE DWPTS WILL BE
HIGHER/ CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
...FLA...
AS ON DAY ONE...SFC WINDS WILL BE NELY. DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION AND THUS MIN RH READINGS WILL AGAIN REACH CRITICAL LEVELS
/25-35 PERCENT EXCEPT THE EAST COAST/ DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15
MPH...PRECLUDING AN OUTLOOK AREA.
..CROSBIE.. 04/28/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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