APPROXIMATELY 340 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS.
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK BUT WELL DE-
FINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION
IN THE VICINITY. A 150750Z QUIKSCAT PASS VERIFIES THE PRESENCE
OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER
LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE DIRECTLY OVER THE LLCC.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE
TO THE INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL EN-
VIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
_____________________________________________________________
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: This message is issued daily for the information of interested parties.
Media are NOT required to broadcast this message.
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
for the Coral Sea West of Longitude 160 East
Issued at 2:30pm on Saturday the 15th of April 2006
At the present time there are no significant tropical disturbances in the Coral
Sea.
A weak low in the Solomon Sea is forecast to move toward the central or
northwest Coral Sea over the next few days. However, no significant development
is likely during this time and the system therefore has a low potential of
developing into a tropical cyclone.
Tropical Cyclone outlooks issued by Brisbane are available on
Weather By Fax 190 293 5278 at a cost of $1.38 per minute [GST incl] and
can also be accessed through the Bureau's Home Page http://www.bom.gov.au.
Please note that the Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre issues Tropical
Cyclone Outlooks that cover the Gulf of Carpentaria. See
http:/www.bom.gov.au/weather/nt/cyclone/ or to subscribe to this service
call Darwin 08 8920 3820.
LETS KEEP AN EYE ON THIS SYSTEM.
